Posted on 01/14/2008 11:30:19 AM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach
epublicans gear up for Michigan
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Voters in the US state of Michigan are gearing up for the Republican primary on Tuesday in the next stage of the race for the White House. Polls suggest a very close battle between Arizona senator John McCain and local boy Mitt Romney. The Democratic contest has been weakened because Michigan chose to hold its vote early and the party barred its delegates from the final convention. Analysts say Michigan's fragile economy is the main issue.
High unemployment Some commentators say this could be a crucial contest for former Massachusetts governor Mr Romney, who failed to win in New Hampshire and Iowa despite heavy spending.
Michigan had Mr Romney's father, George, as its governor from 1963 until 1969. Mitt Romney's wife was also born in the state and in eve-of-poll campaigning he has been stressing his local roots. "If I'm president of the United States I will not rest until Michigan is back," he told a cheering university audience on Sunday. "I will bring it back with your help." Michigan and its main city Detroit used to be famous for making cars.
But it now has the highest unemployment rate in the US.
An average of polls suggests that Mr Romney is marginally behind Mr McCain, who won the state in his presidential bid in 2000 and won the New Hampshire primary last week. Mr McCain told supporters he would make the security of the US his priority. "I believe that the most important mission I can have... is to keep this nation safe," he said. Third in the polls is former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who won the Iowa caucus.
Other big names, like former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson, are not taking part in Michigan, holding their fire for later in the national campaign.
In the Democrat race, only Hillary Clinton of the leading candidates features on the ballot. Barack Obama and John Edwards took their names off last October, after the national party penalised the state party for holding its primary early. Most Democrats are focusing their energies on the contests in Nevada on Saturday and South Carolina on 26 January.
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Earlier article on bad POLLS>>>
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Mitt Romneys major economic address to the Detroit Economic Club was barely out of his mouth Monday before John McCains surrogates began slamming the Republican presidential candidate as all talk, little substance.
The latest salvo in a presidential race that is growing particularly ugly came as Romney strives to keep a slim lead one day before the GOP primary in Michigan, which is sorely hurting from a downturn in U.S. automotive production.
Michigan voters shouldnt be fooled by Mitt Romneys latest campaign promises of economic development and job growth. They need to look closely at his record in Massachusetts, where manufacturing job growth was third-worst in the country and taxes and fees increased by over $700 million per year, said McCain backer and former Massachusetts Gov. Jane Swift, who withdrew from her re-election bid in 2002 under a cloud of voter anger. Her departure made way for Romney to win the nomination and state election.
Mitt Romney has a reputation of saying anything to win. A comparison of his record versus his rhetoric on the economy shows why, Swift said.
Romney has tried to distinguish his message from McCains by arguing that he doesnt see the Great Lakes State as a lost cause. McCain has tried to take a pragmatic approach, telling Michigan voters that the automotive industry jobs lost will not return and Michiganders must learn new skills.
But Romney calls McCains message pessimistic, and says he is unwilling to give up on Michigan.
I see a vital infrastructure, a skilled workforce, and an innovative spirit all worthy of an optimistic vision and deserving of a leader who will work tirelessly to deliver the power and potential of Michigan and the American people, Romney told voters at the speech entitled Keeping Michigan and America Economically Strong.
He also cast himself as a Washington outsider who wont be stuck in the political funk of D.C.
Washington politicians look at Michigan and see a rust belt. But the real rust is in Washington, he said.
Romney said unlike McCain, he is not going to concede Michigans or the nations future.A lot of Washington politicians are aware of Michigans pain, but they havent done anything about it, he said. What Michigan is feeling will be felt by the entire nation unless we win the economic battle here. Michigan is a bit like the canary in the mine shaft whats hurting Michigan, if left unchecked, will imperil the entire nations economy.
He added that McCains proposals wont make it easier for Michigan residents or any other American to get past the economic crunch caused by skyrocketing energy prices.
Senator McCain and Senator (Joe) Lieberman have a bill pending in Congress that unilaterally imposes new high energy costs on U.S. manufacturers, with no safety valve.
Michigan Republican Primary
Tuesday, January 15 | Delegates at Stake: 30*
Romney over McCain slightly....
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Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who badly needs to win Tuesday's Michgian primary, has an 8-point lead over Sen. John McCain of Arizona in a McClatchy/MSNBC poll of Michigan voters to be released Sunday.
Romney had a narrower lead in a Detroit Free Press poll and was tied in a Detroit News poll.
After polls in New Hampshire failed to foresee Tuesdays decisive win by Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.), campaigns and the press are reluctant to put much stock in polls. Its clear that the races for both presidential nominations are fluid, with big swings possible in the final hours before voting.
The poll of 400 likely Republican primary voters in Michigan was conducted by Mason-Dixon by telephone from Wednesday through Friday. The margin of error was plus or minus 5 percentage points.
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The Michigan primary promises to start a bloody debate among Republicans that in some quarters has already started. A new Zogby poll of likely GOP primary voters in Michigan shows John McCain with a three-point edge over Mitt Romney. The poll's internals, however, show that Romney leads among Republicans while McCain gets a boost from Democrats and independents that will skip the meaningless Democratic primary:
He also led McCain by 2 to 1 among likely voters who called themselves Republicans.
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