Posted on 05/27/2008 7:06:29 PM PDT by adi
I agree with your post, except for the part where you compare him to Condi. Unlike Condi, he's actually been elected to office and has accomplished something in government. Also unlike Condi, he's a conservative.
However, you're right. He needs to be given a chance to do great things in LA. Now is not the time for him to make the jump to national office. He's got to focus on his state.
While I'm also pessimistic, there is one thing that gives me some hope: the blue dogs. They are the ones who killed Amnesty. I also think they can be relied upon to kill some of the worst Dem excesses in the tax and spend area. So even if we lose some Senate seats, it won't be as bad as some are predicting.
I think that Colorado is the Democrats' fool's gold. It looks good early but in the end doesn't produce. Much like the Republicans in past elections looking at NJ. Despite the early polls, I would be very surprised if McCain lost Colorado.
I think that the polls will change a lot between now and election day. Obama will be exposed as the lightweight and liberal that he really is. Many who currently see Obama as a breath of fresh air will reconsider before voting for him.
On the night of the general election, McCain will take every state where the polls are showing a tossup. Much of Obama's support comes from those who generally don't vote and many won't get out to actually vote. The "Douglas Wilder/Tom Bradley factor" will raise its head again. I think that there are still people who just won't vote for a black man but who won't tell a pollster that for fear of being seen as a racist.
I think that McCain will carry every state which Dubya did in 2004 along with New Hampshire, Wisconsin, and Michigan (without Romney who I don't think will be on the ticket). I wouldn't be shocked if McCain also carried Pennsylvania and Minnesota.
It’s for the middle. Always has been. Always will be.
Which is why I like McCain's chances in the general election. McCain is the most middle-of-the-road candidate the Republicans have run in recent memory. Obama has no credible claims to be a centrist and this will be exposed over the campaign.
McCain is a culturalist, somewhat like Pat Buchanan. I can't see he picking someone like Romney.
you know that depends on which part of appalachia
the further south you go the more GOP
Folks cream over Jindal primarily because he is a sorta Caucasoid minority
silly
when conservatives use the same demographic litmus tests as the Left for race or gender, they can kiss my arse
This is all speculation from an anonynous blog. McCain would be foolish to pick some rookie governor with zero name recognition at the national level.
VP’s tend to be someone from the senate, the current or past administration, or one of the defeated candidates in the primaries.
The senate and the current administration are very unpopular so he’ll probably look to his former primary opponents. And among those, the only ones who won primaries were Huckabee and Romney.
Huckabee would probably be McCain’s best pick to run against Hillary, but against Hussein he’ll need no help to carry Arkansas, Kentucky, etc.. Huckabee adds nothing to the ticket. He’ll go with Romney.
Romney said awhile back that he would not be picked as VP.
If liberal Charlie Crist were picked, I will not vote for McCain, nor would many other strong conservatives, so I hope it’s true that Crist is out.
However, if someone pro-life, and conservative in other ways, like Governor Bobby Jindal, Senator John Thune, Governor Palin, Rob Portman were picked, I might even contribute to John McCain’s campaign, and it would be the first time I ever contributed to the campaign of a moderate.
btw, Bobby Jindal received a 100% rating in 2006 from the ACU, when he was a congressman:
http://www.conservative.org/pressroom/2006/0604052pr-.asp
I thought Jindal had promised to complete his term as governor before looking at any other office. How will that fly?
If govorner Jindal accepts such a position then he is not the intelligent, principled, skilled politician that I would have hoped he was. He needs more seasoning, not enough is known about him.
“McCain’s VP pick will be none other than Joe Lieberman.”
Ah, one final kick in the crotch.
“We have no place else to go.....except home.”
There are always options. Leave the POTUS slot blank, vote straight “R” downticket; Vote third party for POTUS and straight “R” downticket. Finally yes, you could sit home but in that case who is voting for the “R’s” downticket?
Battered wife syndrome is an ugly thing to watch.
Speculations in abnormal psychology. How would Hillary supporters view Mrs. Palin, who is up-front about being pro-life? She's a woman, so they should favor her for "empowerment" reasons, but abortion is the real sacrament of Hillary-world. They might just see Sarah as an agent of the enemy—especially because she is attractive and happily married.
What I'm describing is how Hillary's hard-core would think, and maybe Mrs. Palin would help peel off significant votes. But I wonder. The feminist thing is not primarily about sex, but failure. For instance, there's a cultural and biographical divide between divorced-and-bitter Hillary fans (as opposed to folks who just happen to be divorced) and a woman with a successful family.
“I have seen little evidence to suggest that Romney would be all that helpful in Michigan”
evidence:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2022964/posts?page=30#30
Does anyone else find it curious that McCain alone gets 41% support and that adding Romney only bumps the total up a little bit? The increasing margins come almsot entirely from the deterioration of Obama's numbers.
There are some strange numbers in that poll. Why would Joe Biden cost Obama so much support? Or the liberal's dream, Kathleen Sebelius? Or Richardson? I could see them not adding to Obama's total but taking away substantially doesn't make sense. It appears that the poll is capturing the effects of a Romney vs. the Democrat VP matchup. If true, the effect could be transitory as the Democrat VP becomes better known and the voters return to focusing on the top of the ticket.
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