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Poll: Independent Voters Deserting the Democrats in Droves
US News & World Report ^ | May 5, 2010 | Peter Roff

Posted on 05/05/2010 7:53:25 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

There are a number of interesting things about Resurgent Republic’s one-year anniversary poll, conducted at the end of April among 1,000 registered voters nationwide, but none more so than the clear evidence it provides that independent voters are deserting the Democrats in droves.

By a margin of better than 2 to 1, self-identified independents agreed that an increase in the number of Republicans in Congress is necessary in order to bring about “a check and balance on runaway Washington government.” Independents also agreed that the country is on “the wrong track” by a 65 to 25 percent margin.

Most surveys, including this one from Resurgent Republic, show the GOP electorate approaches the upcoming election with much greater intensity than the Democrats. Sixty-four percent of Republicans now say they are “absolutely certain to vote” in November.

It is sui generis that if Republican voters turn out in waves while Democratic turnout is down, it will not be helpful to the party in power, which is infected with a severe case of Obama-fatigue coupled with buyer’s remorse.

The impact of all this could be staggering. The party in power, which, in 2010 is the Democrats, suffers an average loss of 41 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives when the president’s job approval rating is below 50 percent, where Obama’s seems to have, for the moment, settled.

“After posting a lofty 61 to 32 percent approval rating last April (59 to 32 percent among Independents), the President now draws a 48 to 48 percent split,” Resurgent Republic’s analysis says, “including a 52 to 41 percent disapproval margin among Independents.”

Congressional Democrats don’t fare any better--in fact, they do worse, posting a 50 to 41 percent unfavorable image among the general population and with independents seeing them unfavorably by a 55 to 31 percent margin, a 10 point shift in downward from last year. It is important to note that independents are different than they were ten or even five years ago and now include a number of soft, non-ideological Republicans rather than just well-educated liberals who eschewed party affiliations. But even if independents are now more GOP in their native inclinations, it is undeniable that, in the last election, they were largely with Obama.

It is axiomatic that the party with the stronger appeal to independents is more likely to win national elections. According to this latest survey the Democrats are in real trouble.


TOPICS: Issues; Parties; Polls; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2010; 2010midterms; 2010polls; congress; democrats; gotv; independents; independentvote; obama; polls
The RINOs aren't much better, but we only have two realistic choices.
1 posted on 05/05/2010 7:53:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wait US News and World Report, you are suppose to shill. What is wrong with you?


2 posted on 05/05/2010 7:55:56 PM PDT by VRW Conspirator (Government does not solve problems; it subsidizes them. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This is big and we need to do right by them and get the RINOS out and small gov’t CONSERVATIVES in. They won’t regret that vote, for sure.


3 posted on 05/05/2010 7:56:23 PM PDT by justsaynomore (The Hermantor - 2012 - www.hermancain.com)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Cornered Rats are the most dangerous.


4 posted on 05/05/2010 7:57:26 PM PDT by screaminsunshine (S)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
“After posting a lofty 61 to 32 percent approval rating last April (59 to 32 percent among Independents), the President now draws a 48 to 48 percent split,” Resurgent Republic’s analysis says, “including a 52 to 41 percent disapproval margin among Independents.”

Obama's approval rating is dropping almost as fast as the unemployment rate.

5 posted on 05/05/2010 7:58:06 PM PDT by mlocher (USA is a sovereign nation)
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To: mlocher

I think you meant the employment rate, right?


6 posted on 05/05/2010 8:00:15 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/backroom/2312894/posts?page=242)
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To: screaminsunshine

The Independents are going to step on those cornered “Rats” in November.


7 posted on 05/05/2010 8:01:33 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It still may be too late to stop the Marxist agenda thrust upon us by the Democrats. They may get a good portion of their agenda passed and signed into law before the next congress is sworn in.


8 posted on 05/05/2010 8:04:01 PM PDT by TennTuxedo
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To: Red Steel

The Independents are going to step on those cornered “Rats” in November.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Rats, meet Sarah Palin.....the rat catcher!!!!!


9 posted on 05/05/2010 8:08:50 PM PDT by ak267
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Remember. “Independents” don’t really exist. The word just means Democrats.


10 posted on 05/05/2010 8:29:16 PM PDT by RC51
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Sixty-four percent of Republicans now say they are “absolutely certain to vote” in November.

This number needs to be way higher if we hope to make a true turnaround. We need a minimum of 75% to 80% of Republicans to turn out in every election if we really hope to drive a stake through the heart of the Left and its policies, which have dominated American government for about 100 years now.

11 posted on 05/05/2010 8:55:09 PM PDT by Wolfstar (Note to rigid ideologues: Your own point of view in a mirror is quite a limited window on the world.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They at US snooze are just getting around to figuring this out.


12 posted on 05/05/2010 9:18:47 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: justsaynomore

Indies will be more willing to support RINO’s more than a conservative.


13 posted on 05/05/2010 9:21:03 PM PDT by muleskinner ("You know the Germans always make good stuff')
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To: muleskinner

The ones I know want smaller gov’t - don’t see RINOS as small gov’t


14 posted on 05/05/2010 9:28:48 PM PDT by justsaynomore (The Hermantor - 2012 - www.hermancain.com)
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To: RC51

Re: “Remember. “Independents” don’t really exist. The word just means Democrats.”

******************

Absolutely; I have always found that to be pretty true - an Independent is just a sometimes squishy Democrat.


15 posted on 05/05/2010 9:30:44 PM PDT by CaliforniaCon
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