Posted on 06/22/2010 7:50:18 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
One of the biggest questions about the 2010 election cycle, which we still don't really know the answer to, is whether it will be solely an anti-Democratic year or more broadly an anti-incumbent year. Our newest Texas poll would seem to suggest voter fatigue toward long serving politicians in both parties- Republican Governor Rick Perry is now tied at 43 with Democratic challenger Bill White.
Texas would seem an unlikely candidate to provide Democrats their biggest win of the election cycle but the Governor's race there is a reminder that candidates matter. Perry is an unusually weak incumbent, while White is an unusually strong challenger. Only 36% of voters in the state like the job Perry is doing while 49% disapprove.
(Excerpt) Read more at publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com ...
Agreed. Sometimes I think he has a spine that he keeps in a closet just for election season. Once safely elected he puts it away, takes out his suitcase, and travels to Mexico for another “good neighbors don’t need fences” speech.
“White is very popular in Houston and that can increase the turn out in metropolitan cities and make the election very close.”
White was not as popular in Houston as the media likes to make it seem. He endorsed the sanctuary city moniker - people started getting killed (including cops), he endorsed the no tall signs or roof-top balloons (which was overturned in court - and started driving out small businesses) and he is an IDIOT!
Bill White is a political ambulance chaser! He hangs his hat onto whatever sounds good at the moment and when it bites him he does not have the skills to talk/BS his way out of the situation! The only way he won Houston was because the black voters will vote for a Democrat EVERY SINGLE D@MN time!
Once you get out of Houston, he quickly looses face - PERIOD!
This poll has more to do with the lull between the primary and the election. The fact is that Perry has really dropped his advertising over the summer (because the residents know who he is), and yet White is continuing to run a good portion of his to keep his name in the minds of voters.
Once it gets close to election time, Perry will start running ads again, and White will loose by at least 8%!
As they should. I hope this poll scares him into showing a little conservative spine. -LifePath
That could explain this poll. Reading this thread, it seems to be less about support for White and more about dislike for Perry. Am I right in thinking that way?
I think it critical that the Texas State House remain GOP. Currently it is 77-73 GOP. If the dems get control of the House then they will bring a lot of sway into the redistricting that will occur.
As far a gerrymandered districts it can’t be any worse that the DeLay gerrymandered districts of last time.
agreed which is why it is imperative that state races up and down the ballot go GOP everywhere
This is almost certainly a cr*p poll.
1) Voter screen “”People who voted in at least 1 of the last 3 general elections” seems to be a rather light voter screen for a midterm election. The electorate is likely to skew a touch more Republican/conservative/male/older/higher income than that.”
2) Texas is running against the national grain on both of those counts- “White is winning 15% of Republicans while Perry gets just 10% of Democrats and White also has a 42-36 advantage with independent voter”
“Obamao will resign his Presidency due to his total incompetency before Bill White wins the Texas Governor’s race!”
it would take a lot to get me to agree to despoil the state of Texas with a Democrat Gov, but .... to get Obamao out, I’d take that trade.
I do have a problem with PPP’s screen, in fact I asked about it and got the answer you cite. The last 3 general elections include 2 Presidential years, where voters would be more inclined to turn out. In an off year such as this, the electorate would almost certainly be different, as the more motivated voter would have a greater influence on the result, in my opinion.
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