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West Virginia Senate: Manchin (D) Takes Slight Lead Over Raese (R)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/27/2010 | Rasmussen

Posted on 10/27/2010 9:54:58 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot

Democratic Governor Joe Manchin has been in overdrive in recent days to distance himself from President Obama and congressional Democrats, and now he’s edged back into a three-point advantage in West Virginia’s U.S. Senate race.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely West Virginia Voters finds Manchin with 49% support to Republican John Raese’s 46%. Two percent (2%) like another candidate in the race, while four percent (4%) remain undecided.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: West Virginia; Polls; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: manchin; raese

1 posted on 10/27/2010 9:55:02 AM PDT by Palmetto Patriot
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To: Palmetto Patriot

This is useless...back and forth....I think it is best to wait until Tuesday to see what happens......Wow am I brilliant...NOT! lol.


2 posted on 10/27/2010 9:56:36 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: napscoordinator

ugh!


3 posted on 10/27/2010 9:57:14 AM PDT by Perdogg (Nancy Pelosi did more damage to America on 03/21 than Al Qaeda did on 09/11)
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To: napscoordinator

Only one poll that matters...


4 posted on 10/27/2010 9:57:36 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

This is Raese’s to lose given that he had the upperhand much of the fall. If he lets Manchin get away with his tact to the right and doesn’t point out that the balance of power in the Senate between Obama’s agenda and an alternative is at stake, he probably deserves to lose. Manchin, despite some moderate stances, is still going to be a vote for the Dem majority and for the overall larger government, more intrusion that has failed so badly the past 18 months.


5 posted on 10/27/2010 10:01:34 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: Palmetto Patriot

WTH happened there? Raese was up by 7 just a week ago!! Is it because of Manchin’s “I-don’t-support-0bama” head fake?

Come on, West Virginia!!! Don’t let your country down!!


6 posted on 10/27/2010 10:01:58 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: thackney

When did early voting start there? Manchin is such a fake! Thanks a ton NRA!


7 posted on 10/27/2010 10:02:53 AM PDT by Clump (the tree of liberty is withering like a stricken fig tree)
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To: ScottinVA

This makes me sick.


8 posted on 10/27/2010 10:06:47 AM PDT by Perdogg (Nancy Pelosi did more damage to America on 03/21 than Al Qaeda did on 09/11)
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To: ScottinVA

Manchineel been on fox lying kept n right raese no where 2 b found...


9 posted on 10/27/2010 10:07:40 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: Palmetto Patriot; All
FYI..Taranto has a piece today in the WSJ, also at nationalreview.com..saying that Manchin, if elected, is the MOST likely Dem to switch to the GOP..premise is that he sounds more like a Republican now, and that if he is elected, there's no way he could win in 2012 with Obama at the ballot. And if Rahall loses, that might convince Manchin to jump

Intriguing premise..if he did switch, right after the election, gave the GOP the majority..and voted against all of Obama's stuff..he probably wouldn't have a GOP primary opponent

10 posted on 10/27/2010 10:10:04 AM PDT by ken5050 (I don't need sex.....the government screws me every day..)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

This state voted McCain, Bush, Bush. I refuse to believe that Manchin will win this.

If so, every coal miner will certainly lose his job.


11 posted on 10/27/2010 10:11:41 AM PDT by Reagan69 (Let me know when those health insurance premiums go down.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Tired of people getting so worked up over these fluctuating polls. Tuesday can’t come soon enough so this nonsense can stop. Yes, I still think Raese is going to win but however it goes I just want it done so the real work can start. The real work will be challenging Republicans to govern constitutionally and conservatively. I don’t view Tuesday as cause for celebration but one step toward confronting both establishments in D.C. and want to get started now.


12 posted on 10/27/2010 10:12:18 AM PDT by Soul Seeker ( I was there when we had the numbers, but didn’t have the principles.---Jim DeMint)
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To: Clump
I already voted for John Raese ... early voting started the 13th.

I'm really annoyed with the NRA.

13 posted on 10/27/2010 10:14:51 AM PDT by ArrogantBustard (Western Civilization is Aborting, Buggering, and Contracepting itself out of existence.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

And all how many Dems/liberals will be loving this poll now after trashing Rasmussen all damn year long.


14 posted on 10/27/2010 10:16:45 AM PDT by delapaz
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To: ken5050

he won’t switch..he is a full core liberal why would he switch if he wins as a Democrat this cycle. Raese needs to run ad says Obama and Dems are going to wins California and New York Senate races to decide if we are going to be able to stop Obama it is up to West Virginia voters. So vote Raese to stop Obama and Manchin to stay Governor. Also Republicans should have spent 3 million in WV instead of wasting on California


15 posted on 10/27/2010 10:19:33 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: GoMonster
Manchineel been on fox lying kept n right raese no where 2 b found...

Is there a reason you're keying "text-ese?"

16 posted on 10/27/2010 10:20:41 AM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: Clump

Early voting started on the 13th. So at this point, people have been voting for two weeks.


17 posted on 10/27/2010 10:23:49 AM PDT by susan_wv
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To: Soul Seeker

“Tired of people getting so worked up over these fluctuating polls.”

True. Live by the polls, die by the polls.

Still, I find myself watching them closely and though they can show some unusual swings, I like the way the majority of them are trending.


18 posted on 10/27/2010 10:23:59 AM PDT by SharpRightTurn (White, black, and red all over--America's affirmative action, metrosexual president.)
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To: ScottinVA

Sorry was on my phone and driving. Habit. Back at work now:)


19 posted on 10/27/2010 10:24:04 AM PDT by GoMonster (GO)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Raese by 8 points over Manchin. All of you are forgetting the massive Repbublican turnout that is coming... If he is anywhere close to even, Raese wins.


20 posted on 10/27/2010 10:24:54 AM PDT by Deagle
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To: Palmetto Patriot
I recall Wizbang blog did a analysis of pollster accuracy on state level polls ( not national) and Rasmussen had a semi poor record on his state level polls .
The same study showed almost all pollster state race accuracy were way off.

I suspect a world of cell phones and I-phones has made these robo calls polls obsolete.

So like the others have stated , its all about turn out.

Most of these polls are only meant to manipulate voter turn out.

Does anyone recall the Boston Glob PUSH poll that showed Brown behind by 15 points a week before the election ?

Did the Boston Globe get dragged into court for trying to manipulate an election result ?

Nothing is ever said or done to these Dem Media outlets when their PUSH polls are proven to Way off and Fraudulent !

21 posted on 10/27/2010 10:25:42 AM PDT by ncalburt (Get Even on Election Day)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

RCP still has that BOGUS Marshall Univ “Poll” done 1st Week of October that showed Manchin 10 points ahead ! BS


22 posted on 10/27/2010 10:31:51 AM PDT by Tribemike1
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To: ncalburt

Ras called last night.........*click!*


23 posted on 10/27/2010 10:35:20 AM PDT by Roccus (......and then there were none.)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

BAD BAD NEWS...RR is matching PPP.....If the people of WVA are really that stupid to think he is gonna distence himself from Bama then they deserve him


24 posted on 10/27/2010 10:40:21 AM PDT by skaterboy (Hate=Love....Love=Hate)
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To: GoMonster; ken5050

The winner still would have to run again in 2012, right?


25 posted on 10/27/2010 10:55:51 AM PDT by Perdogg (What Would Aqua Buddha do?)
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To: Perdogg

Yes..and that’s why Manchin might switch right after this election..if he wins..it’ll be very close..and no way he could win again in 2012 with Obama atop the ticket...


26 posted on 10/27/2010 10:58:58 AM PDT by ken5050 (I don't need sex.....the government screws me every day..)
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To: Palmetto Patriot
rasmussen... sine wave polling... if you can't figure out the electorate... keep it well within the margin... when the republican wins big... say you did not catch the “last minute swing”. Seen it ALL before scotty... bring Carl back and YOU retire scotty.

LLS

27 posted on 10/27/2010 11:02:11 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (WOLVERINES!)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

This state voted McCain, Bush, Bush. I refuse to believe that Manchin will win this.

If so, every coal miner will certainly lose his job.


28 posted on 10/27/2010 11:05:21 AM PDT by Reagan69 (Let me know when those health insurance premiums go down.)
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To: Reagan69

And they voted Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd, Byrd....


29 posted on 10/27/2010 11:14:40 AM PDT by Niteranger68 (A check is worthless until you actually cash it......VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!!)
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To: Palmetto Patriot

Don’t forget, he’s up for re-election in 2 years. This is a special election. He will have to vote lock step with Repubs for 2 years no matter what.


30 posted on 10/27/2010 11:24:25 AM PDT by nhwingut (Palin/Bachmann '12)
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To: napscoordinator

I’ve felt all along this guy would end up pulling it out. He’s got near 70% approval as the governor right? Looks like it is trending his way.


31 posted on 10/27/2010 11:31:48 AM PDT by chad_in_georgia
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To: chad_in_georgia

He is very loved as governor which is why I thought the Republican would use that as a tactic throughout the state. Basically saying “We have an incredible governor of the state so why would we give him up for Washington D.C.?” I think that would have worked great....it would be a win-win for everyone.


32 posted on 10/27/2010 11:37:23 AM PDT by napscoordinator
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To: Palmetto Patriot
C'mon, West Virginia...if Massachusetts of all places could see the light and make the switch...
33 posted on 10/27/2010 5:49:07 PM PDT by Qbert
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To: Roccus

good one !


34 posted on 10/27/2010 5:52:31 PM PDT by ncalburt (Get Even on Election Day)
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To: ilgipper
Manchin always had the upper hand....this is a surprise that Raese has done so well...

he does not "deserve" to lose....

the rats all over the country have hid behind their "conservative" ideals...remember, the rat congress from 4 yrs ago was supposed to be "conservative" too...

this is an extremely important seat and I hope Raese can pull it out....

35 posted on 10/27/2010 6:02:36 PM PDT by cherry
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To: ken5050

don’t count on any blue dogs....they’re dogs, period....


36 posted on 10/27/2010 6:05:14 PM PDT by cherry
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To: GoMonster

Ah. No worries! Thanks!


37 posted on 10/27/2010 6:25:54 PM PDT by ScottinVA (The West needs to act NOW to aggressively treat its metastasizing islaminoma!)
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To: cherry; All

This matches PPP, which is bad. Hopefully good GOP turnout will help Raese.


38 posted on 10/27/2010 7:39:36 PM PDT by rwfromkansas ("Carve your name on hearts, not marble." - C.H. Spurgeon)
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