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Will Republican Race’s First in Be the First Out?
The New York Times ^ | July 7, 2011 | Jeff Zeleny

Posted on 07/07/2011 7:28:05 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

AMES, Iowa — Tim Pawlenty was first in line to enter the Republican presidential race. He is now fighting to avoid becoming the earliest major candidate to be shown the door.

No contender for the Republican nomination has followed the conventional playbook more than Mr. Pawlenty, a former governor of Minnesota who began introducing himself two years ago during a prospecting trip to Iowa. Yet his path has been complicated by fresher faces, an unruly nominating contest and a handful of missteps that swallowed his summer momentum.

The voting will not open for at least six months, but Mr. Pawlenty knows that his performance at the Iowa Straw Poll on Aug. 13 — fair or not — will help determine whether his candidacy accelerates or lands in the annals of Republican presidential hopefuls like Elizabeth Dole, Lamar Alexander and Dan Quayle whose campaigns were extinguished here.....

(Excerpt) Read more at nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Minnesota; Campaign News; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: bachmann; cain; capandtrade; globalwarming; iowa; palin; pawlenty; perry; polls; romney; tpaw

1 posted on 07/07/2011 7:28:10 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And take Rick and Mitt with you Timmy.


2 posted on 07/07/2011 7:34:05 PM PDT by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
followed the conventional playbook

Yep, a horse cav caracole against squad automatic weapons got phased out of the playbook for the same reason. It got you slaughtered.

The old playbook is broke for conservative voters. Candidates might want to tack to the right if they want to win.

/johnny

3 posted on 07/07/2011 7:35:59 PM PDT by JRandomFreeper (Gone Galt)
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To: All

Your Donation To FR Is The Fuel
That Keeps It Running!!
Click here to Donate!!

4 posted on 07/07/2011 7:37:58 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Mr. Pawlenty knows that his performance at the Iowa Straw Poll on Aug. 13

I don't care about Pawlenty one way or the other, but this handful of idiot bumpkins making so much of a difference, this just isn't right.

5 posted on 07/07/2011 7:41:11 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: MrEdd

No need. Rick and Mitt are doing a pretty good job of eliminating themselves. So will T-Paw. It’s just a matter of time. Buy some popcorn. Sit back and enjoy the show.


6 posted on 07/07/2011 7:51:53 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: musicman
I assume that is the Obama bus we all hear about bringing Hope and Change to all of America
7 posted on 07/07/2011 7:54:54 PM PDT by OKIEDOC (I would rather be hung with a few brave conservatives than live a lifetime with cowardly liberals.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Meanwhile, the wise candidate is keeping her powder dry, and watching all the rest destroy themselves.

Take your time Sarah, they’re thinning the field for your grand entry.


8 posted on 07/07/2011 7:58:23 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: Vigilanteman

Mitt scares me. If he becomes the nominee, I’ll write someone in or stay home.


9 posted on 07/07/2011 8:04:24 PM PDT by Diverdogz
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To: hinckley buzzard

Amen.

When will a candidate finally have the guts to call out this stupid primary system?


10 posted on 07/07/2011 8:05:32 PM PDT by Retired Greyhound
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To: hinckley buzzard
but this handful of idiot bumpkins making so much of a difference, this just isn't right.

Yep. A dumb tradition if there ever was one. And not harmless. The stupid ethanol scam owes much of it's staying power to it.

11 posted on 07/07/2011 8:11:53 PM PDT by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: OKIEDOC

12 posted on 07/07/2011 8:15:46 PM PDT by musicman (Until I see the REAL Long Form Vault BC, he's just "PRES__ENT" Obama = Without "ID")
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To: editor-surveyor
Take your time Sarah, they’re thinning the field for your grand entry.

Sarah is pefectly happy with her current lifestyle.

Her grand entry will come when she officially endorses Rick Perry.

MAY 31, 2011 .... Palin plugs Perry: "I really like him" .... Unprompted, Sarah Palin brought up Rick Perry's name yesterday as a strong presidential candidate. "I think he would be a fine candidate.... we have a lot in common. I really like him.

Governor Sarah Palin's Endorsement of Governor Rick Perry

"That's why I am supporting Governor Rick Perry for re-election. He does what is right regardless of whether it is popular. He walks the walk of a true conservative. And he sticks to his guns – and you know how I feel about guns!" ...... Sarah Palin, January 17, 2009


13 posted on 07/07/2011 8:19:40 PM PDT by Polybius
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To: Polybius

Your angry, flamboyant posts make you seem insecure, as though you are compensating for something.


14 posted on 07/07/2011 8:32:31 PM PDT by ansel12 (America has close to India population of 1950s, India has 1,200,000,000 people now. Quality of Life?)
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To: Diverdogz
I doubt Mitt makes it past New Hampshire. He not only has to win there, he has to win big. It's his home turf. If he barely manages to get past the finish line, it is over.

Like him or not, I do give him credit for being a smart man and not overly wasteful with his money. Remember how quickly he bailed after Super Tuesday 2008?

That was his high water mark.

15 posted on 07/07/2011 9:08:52 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (Obama: Fake black man. Fake Messiah. Fake American. How many fakes can you fit in one Zer0?)
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To: Polybius

... only in your dreams.


16 posted on 07/07/2011 9:15:22 PM PDT by Babu
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To: Polybius
"Polly-bee-us, you ain't knowin' a whole lot, are ya?
Ev'ryone knows Sarah didn't mean those things 'bout that Perry.
She just didn't do her homework.
Now you run along and take your PDS with ya.
We are all for Palin 'cause she's one of us."

17 posted on 07/07/2011 10:18:30 PM PDT by jla
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To: jla
See your sister there done switched to Miller Lite........Guud fer her!

Ya'll have a nice day now.

18 posted on 07/07/2011 10:31:39 PM PDT by The Cajun (Palin, Free Republic, Mark Levin, Rush, Hannity......Nuff said.)
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To: editor-surveyor

“Meanwhile, the wise candidate is keeping her powder dry, and watching all the rest destroy themselves....Take your time Sarah, they’re thinning the field for your grand entry.”

That’s the way I see it too....In the meantime “She’s not running”.....”She’s old news”......”Her 15 minutes are up”....It will be a firestorm of coverage when she announces.....Everyone else will become obsolete.....


19 posted on 07/08/2011 3:05:02 AM PDT by 3722535r
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
No contender for the Republican nomination has followed the conventional playbook more than Mr. Pawlenty...Mr. Pawlenty knows that his performance at the Iowa Straw Poll on Aug. 13 — fair or not — will help determine whether his candidacy accelerates or lands in the annals of Republican presidential hopefuls ... whose campaigns were extinguished here.....

What a load of crap.

This whole gong show of "exploring", "declaring", "running" two years or more before the election is the enemy's game.

I don't think TPaw is a strong man or a strong candidate, but the LSM obviously wants to be n the role of saying who's in, who's out, who has a chance, who has no chance - and whatever they say, they ain't saying it for love of country.

20 posted on 07/08/2011 3:10:09 AM PDT by Jim Noble (Freedom is the freedom to say 2+2=4. If that is granted, all else follows.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

His problem isn’t organization: He hired anyone who would take a paycheck and some of them left 25K a month gigs to sign up. He has paid county leaders. He has more TV than a network. He is just so stand for nothing boring, as we’d rather watch the corn grow than even post a reply on the blogs when he does a press release. Leadership is needed. A conservative willing and able to take the fight on our platform issues to the left and to the establishment. He is the lukewarmest candidate in a century.


21 posted on 07/08/2011 9:46:27 AM PDT by Waywardson (Carry on! Nothing equals the splendor!)
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To: Polybius

Fortunately, Perry is well enough understood that he is no threat to anyone in 2012.

Palin’s endorsement in his gubernatorial contest was no endorsement of Perry the person, but a rejection of the crud that opposed him.

Let’s hope that President Palin has the good sense not to put Perry in any position in her administration.


22 posted on 07/08/2011 9:59:12 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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To: jla
"Polly-bee-us, you ain't knowin' a whole lot, are ya? Ev'ryone knows Sarah didn't mean those things 'bout that Perry. She just didn't do her homework."

Well, jla, in all seriousness, it is sad. The Palin supporters really want to believe. The problem is that reality has passed them by. I know that, you know that and Sarah Palin knows that but they still don't.

The fact of the matter is that, right now, Sarah Palin is behaving in a very rational manner which, I must admit, I hope works out exactly as she plans:

Right now, Sarah Palin is working on a Win-Win situaion for herself and for America.

1.) By teasing to run or pretending to run, Sarah is maximizing her very high earning potential in the "motivational speaking" and entertainment industry. (Can we really blame her? She earned $12 million between leaving the Governoship and April 2010.)

2.) She is backing the dog (I will admit that the dog has fleas and is not "Perfect") that can actually WIN and rip out the throat of the Marxist dog in the November 2012 dogfight (Go, Sarah! Go, Sarah!! Polybius backs you up 100%!!!)

Sarah Palin is not dumb. She may have a poor fund of knowledge in certain topics crucial to the Presidency but she is very intelligent. There is a difference between being "dumb" and simply having no interest in the geopolitics of, for example, how the Yalta Conference led to the formation of two separate Koreas.

Sarah knows that an unsuccessful Presidential run can leave you millions in debt (as it did Hillary) so that is why her paid organization is non-existent. Sarah wants nothing to do with a genuine run for the Presidency that will adversely impact her financial bottom line.

Sarah knows what she's doing. She's politically smart and she can read polls. She knows that running outside the safe confines of her Fan Club will be a financial and PR disaster of Biblical proportions.

Here are the latest Favorable/Unfavorable polls in her own State of Alaska:

July 7, 2011 .... New Alaska poll on Palin (update)

Unlike her supporters, Sarah Palin has her feet firmly planted in reality.

==========

" There's another poll out that says former Gov. Sarah Palin has an approval rating of less than 40 percent among Alaskans. .... The Moore poll gives Palin a 39 percent positive rating and 49 percent negative rating among Alaskans. Twelve percent said they were neutral. .... The results are similar to other polling on Palin in Alaska, although a Dittman poll in March had higher negatives for her. That poll by Dittman Research of Anchorage found 36 percent favorable to her in Alaska and 61 percent unfavorable."

23 posted on 07/08/2011 10:36:58 AM PDT by Polybius
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To: editor-surveyor
Fortunately, Perry is well enough understood that he is no threat to anyone in 2012. ..... Let’s hope that President Palin ......

What is not "understood" at all by Palin supporters are the political realities that Sarah Palin herself understands perfectly.

See Post 23.

Take a look at the Favorable/Unfavorable polls that Sarah Palin had this week IN HER OWN STATE OF ALASKA.

Gov. Sarah Palin has an approval rating of less than 40 percent among Alaskans. ... The Moore poll gives Palin a 39 percent positive rating and 49 percent negative rating among Alaskans. Twelve percent said they were neutral.

And that is in ALASKA.

There will never be a "President Palin" any more than there will ever be a "President Tinker Belle" or a "President Tooth Fairy".

Sarah Palin understands that perfectly well and is acting accordingly. Again, see Post 23.

Her more rabid supporters, however, are still clapping their hands furiously so that Tinker Belle won't die.

Peter Pan - Believe in Fairies!

Is Perry perfect?

Hell, no.

Like any chief executive that has actually governed, he has political skeletons in his closet and lots of them. Ronald Reagan, for example, had 3 million amnestied illegal alien political skeletons in his closet.

That's called The Real World.

Perry, like all mere mortals that have actually governed, is not perfect but, as Jim Rob says:

Posted on Friday, July 01, 2011 10:13:29 AM by Jim Robinson

Either way, Palin, Bachmann, Cain or even Perry would all be excellent alternatives to Obama the commie. …… Posted on Friday, July 01, 2011 10:13:29 AM by Jim Robinson”

24 posted on 07/08/2011 11:00:25 AM PDT by Polybius
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Click the Pic

My vicious cat Rocket cruelly cuts one from the herd

It was the one who didn't donate


Become a monthly donor and end FReepathons

25 posted on 07/08/2011 11:08:42 AM PDT by TheOldLady (FReepmail me to get ON or OFF the ZOT LIGHTNING ping list.)
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To: Polybius
To 23 - I cannot honestly state I disagree with what you've stated. Though I've no idea what she'll do in regard to seeking the nomination.
What turned me away was her using PAC dollars to pay expenses for herself and her family as they drove around the east coast in their RV. A trip she stated was 'not campaign related'. So if it's a personal/family excursion, how does she justify using money donated to her PAC to pay for it?
Also, that episode at the Mall of America with her daughter was shameless.
For someone who touts free market economics it was hypocritical to insist people purchase her daughter's book before she'd sign any of her own books.

The scenario you broach is interesting. I wouldn't discount it. Who knows what meanders thru the minds of these politicians.

26 posted on 07/08/2011 10:00:55 PM PDT by jla
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To: Polybius
Lying through your teeth again, Polybius?

I eviscerated the Moore poll earlier today.

In a post to *you* of all things. Imagine that.

And less than 12 hours later you are posting it again.

Troll.

27 posted on 07/09/2011 5:58:52 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Polybius
Lying through your teeth again, Polybius?

I eviscerated the Moore poll earlier today.

In a post to *you* of all things. Imagine that.

And less than 12 hours later you are posting it again.

Troll.

28 posted on 07/09/2011 6:34:24 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: Polybius

'I can win': Sarah Palin on Cover of Newsweek

29 posted on 07/10/2011 4:30:00 PM PDT by editor-surveyor (Going 'EGYPT' - 2012!)
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