Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Mitt Romney in Charge in South Carolina (Sarah, not Michele in second place!)
The Sunshine State News ^ | July 18, 2011 | Kevin Derby

Posted on 07/18/2011 1:10:17 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

A new poll from American Research Group released Monday shows that former Gov. Mitt Romney of Massachusetts is leading the Republican presidential race in South Carolina, traditionally the first state in the South to hold a presidential primary.

The South Carolina Republican primary -- set up with the help of legendary Republican operative the late Lee Atwater, a native of the Palmetto State -- has proven decisive in recent years, helping to erect a firewall in the region for Atwater’s candidate George H.W. Bush in 1988 and propelling front-runners Bob Dole over Pat Buchanan in 1996 and George W. Bush over John McCain in 2000.

Romney leads the pack with 25 percent, with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has yet to declare if she is running, in second with 16 percent. U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota placed third with 13 percent, followed by businessman Herman Cain, based in neighboring Georgia, with 10 percent.

The rest of the field trailed in single digits. Two other candidates who have left the door open to running but have not officially entered -- Gov. Rick Perry of Texas and former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani -- tied for fifth with 6 percent. Despite being from neighboring Georgia, former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich garnered only 3 percent. Three candidates -- U.S. Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, former U.S. Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania and former Gov. Buddy Roemer of Louisiana -- tied for eighth with 2 percent. The rest of the pack -- former Gov. Jon Huntsman of Utah, former Gov. Gary Johnson of New Mexico and former Gov. Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota -- took less than 1 percent.

The poll shows dramatic developments since an earlier one in April. In that poll, former Gov. Mike Huckabee of Arkansas, who has since announced that he will not run in 2012, led with 20 percent followed by Romney with 18 percent. Billionaire and reality television star Donald Trump, who also announced he was not running, took third with 13 percent, followed by Palin with 10 percent.

Besides Palin and Romney, the two polls show momentum for other candidates in South Carolina -- namely Bachmann and Cain. Bachmann had 5 percent in April and now stands at 13 percent, while Cain moved up from 1 percent in April to 10 percent today.

Gingrich is the one candidate who took a step back since April. He moved back from 9 percent in April to his current 3 percent.

The poll of 600 likely South Carolina Republican primary voters was taken from July 12-17 and has a margin of error of +/- 4 percent.


TOPICS: South Carolina; Campaign News; Polls; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2012; bachmann; michelebachmann; palin; polls; romney; romneyalbatross; romneybackstabbing; romneybadjudgment; romneybigdigs; romneycare; romneycrybaby; romneydirtytricks; romneyfakebadges; romneyhiding; romneyjudges; romneymarriage; romneypoorsport; sarahpalin; southcarolina
Raise your hand if you believe that Gov. Mitt Romney will win South Carolina next year.
1 posted on 07/18/2011 1:10:23 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

ROFL

Uh, no.


2 posted on 07/18/2011 1:15:54 PM PDT by BykrBayb (Somewhere, my flower is there. ~ Þ)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Can I raise a finger instead?
3 posted on 07/18/2011 1:20:02 PM PDT by JPG (Palin '12)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

ALL Polls are propaganda.. even if they go in your favor..
Weighted with subtle references and wording they manipulate “ideas”..


4 posted on 07/18/2011 1:20:53 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JPG

Hey now. :)


5 posted on 07/18/2011 1:21:05 PM PDT by gov_bean_ counter (JMO but I reserve the right to be wrong...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Tired of this nonsense.
Romney can never be the Republican candidate if they want any chance to win.
No More RINO’s. Time to take America back


6 posted on 07/18/2011 1:32:29 PM PDT by SECURE AMERICA (Where can I sign up for the New American Revolution and the Crusades 2012?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Is Sarah running? Unless you are on the ballot, it is hard to get a vote.


7 posted on 07/18/2011 1:32:34 PM PDT by kabar
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
"Raise your hand if you believe that Gov. Mitt Romney
will win South Carolina next year. "


8 posted on 07/18/2011 1:33:27 PM PDT by The Bronze Titan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: hosepipe
I'm not quite a skeptical as you about all polls. Ones that are well-done can provide valuable information if their limitations are understood. Political parties wouldn't pay big dollars for them, otherwise. These private polls don't want a particular result, the ones paying for it want to know the truth, even if it is painful. Results from the good, private polls generally aren't publicized so as to not alert the opposition. Most media polls are junk because the ones paying for the poll want results which can be spun into a storyline.

Media polls right now reflect little more than name recognition. Given that Mitt is the best known of the announced candidates, I'm not surprised that he is leading right now.

9 posted on 07/18/2011 1:34:54 PM PDT by CommerceComet (Governor Romney, why would any conservative vote for the author of the beta version of ObamaCare?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: kabar
"Is Sarah running?"

Anyone who thinks Sarah won't run, raise your hand!

10 posted on 07/18/2011 1:35:18 PM PDT by The Bronze Titan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

we need to get past Mittens (Obama light) ASAP. There’s serous work ahead and he’s screwing up the works.


11 posted on 07/18/2011 1:36:15 PM PDT by CharlyFord (t)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kabar
"Anyone who thinks Sarah won't run, raise your hand! "

12 posted on 07/18/2011 1:36:30 PM PDT by The Bronze Titan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I really doubt this will become reality. Romney only received 25% in the poll, but was able to lead in it because of the fact that there were so many alternatives. By the time the real South Carolina primary rolls around it’s going to be Romney vs. the lead anti-Romney candidate and then maybe someone like Ron Paul. My guess is that the 75% of voters in this poll who voted for someone other than Romney will mainly go to the leading anti-Romney candidate.


13 posted on 07/18/2011 1:37:55 PM PDT by libertarian neocon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

BS


14 posted on 07/18/2011 1:40:38 PM PDT by samtheman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Romney leads the pack with 25 percent, with former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, who has yet to declare if she is running, in second with 16 percent. U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota placed third with 13 percent,...

OK now Gov Palin is not in the race yet. So if it comes down to counting votes do you think the 16% going to Palin are going to go to Bachman or Romney? IOW it is more like Romney 25%, Conservative 29%. Now if Palin actually announces it will be a different story.
15 posted on 07/18/2011 1:46:19 PM PDT by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Do they have electricity to get the internet? IF so then just a little research if they aren’t to lazy will show them pretty boy is a plastic Ken doll and a country club elitist, RINO.

Send donations directly to candidates, defund the RNC who want to choose a pretty face over conservatisim.


16 posted on 07/18/2011 1:46:29 PM PDT by GailA (NO DEMOCRATS, NO ROMNEY, NO RINOS in 2012!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

My prediction is that Rick Perry will win SC.


17 posted on 07/18/2011 1:51:33 PM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think the poll is accurate because it shows that75% of the South Carolina GOP doesn’t want Romney. The problem is that unless conservatives unite behind one alternative to Romney (e.g. Palin, Bachmann or Perry); Romney will win the nomination by simply racking up pluralities against a big field.

At this point, I wouldn’t be surprised if Slick Willard wouldn’t want both Palin and Perry to jump in and divide the conservative vote between themselves and Bachmann.


18 posted on 07/18/2011 1:53:19 PM PDT by Lou Budvis ("Socialism...the smiling face of slavery")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: CommerceComet

Polls are used to manipulate the weak minded..
All others already made up their minds about Obama..

Anyone that cares what a Poll says/indicates mind is mush..
Most people are not as dumb as all that..

Even most Obama supporters are not dumb, they are corrupt..
Totally, partially, or marginally corrupt..

A corrupt President supported by corrupt people.. with a corrupt administration..
Birds of a feather flock together..


19 posted on 07/18/2011 1:56:54 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet
Milt has wanted to be President since he was an itsy-bitsy baby.

That, alone, is enough reason to not vote for him.

20 posted on 07/18/2011 1:58:27 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("A society of sheep must in time beget a government of wolves." - Bertrand de Jouvenel des Ursins)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: kabar
Palin will not run but will instead endorse Rick Perry. Then it will be a contest between Perry and Romney with conservatives lining up behind Perry and liberals (Reps and crossover Dems) behind Romney.

The sad thing is someone like Bachmann could make it a three person race if conservatives had closed the GOP primaries. Too late now I suppose.
21 posted on 07/18/2011 2:01:08 PM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Lou Budvis

In 2008, Romney/Paul/McCain/Giuliani (non-conservatives) got 54% of the primary vote. Huckabee/Thompson/other (conservatives) got 46%. A moderate split would be helpful there for sure, as they have an advantage.


22 posted on 07/18/2011 2:03:47 PM PDT by magritte ("There are moments, Jeeves, when one asks oneself "Do trousers matter?")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

I am also NOT a believer in political polling, even if I happen to like a particular number.

I do not believe that Romney is leading in SC, nor do I believe that Bachmann is running away with Iowa.

I believe the LSM/Rep Est want us to believe that Romney and Bachmann are the front runners.

I wonder how much tinkering they had to do to get MB as high as 13%

The Nomination is Gov Palin`s if she wants it.


23 posted on 07/18/2011 2:25:09 PM PDT by Friendofgeorge (DID I MENTION...SARAH PALIN OR FLIPPIN BUST)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: magritte

Paul is in his own camp, and if you remember lots of conservatives voted for Romney last time because he was the conservative alternative to McCain according to the media. Also, the Tea Party has gotten heavily involved since ‘08, bringing in a lot of folks who were not interested in ‘08 to the ‘12 race, and they will generally vote conservative. A lot has changed since ‘08, and we need to recognize that. The GOP is way more conservative than it was then.


24 posted on 07/18/2011 3:13:38 PM PDT by RecoveringPaulisto
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Amazing how low Perry’s numbers are considering all the trial balloons he’s been floating lately. Pretty small polling sample though. Hard to say how accurate this is.


25 posted on 07/18/2011 3:17:58 PM PDT by CowboyJay
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

Havent been impressed with this polling outfit. It has produced some of the most inaccurate polls in memory.


26 posted on 07/18/2011 3:33:46 PM PDT by freespirited (Stupid people are ruining America. --Herman Cain)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: JPG

“Can I raise a finger instead?”

Yes, as long as it’s the Hawaiian good luck sign (as shown by the Pueblo captors).


27 posted on 07/18/2011 4:21:18 PM PDT by secondamendmentkid
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: 2ndDivisionVet

His close relationship with Senator DeMint helps Romney in SC.


28 posted on 07/18/2011 6:52:47 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Bristol Palin's book "Not Afraid Of Life: My Journey So Far" became a New York Times, best seller.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Grandma Conservative
Palin will not run but will instead endorse Rick Perry.

And so ends her political career, IMHO. Her greatest supporters would never rally the way they are willing to right now ever again. It'd feel like "Ross Perot II".

OTOH, if that's what she wants, to step down from the political limelight, more power to her.

29 posted on 07/18/2011 7:25:00 PM PDT by Caipirabob ( Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 21 | View Replies]

To: Caipirabob

I disagree. Palin has been pushed more as a personality than a politician, and I think many conservatives have bought into that line of thinking. I can see almost all of her supporters backing the person she endorses.


30 posted on 07/19/2011 11:48:59 AM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 29 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

It helps, but I still think Perry will win SC. Strange that a staunch conservative like DeMint would be so close to a “moderate” like Romney.


31 posted on 07/19/2011 12:34:47 PM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 28 | View Replies]

To: Grandma Conservative
I disagree. Palin has been pushed more as a personality than a politician, and I think many conservatives have bought into that line of thinking.

That is way off base, what conservatives see in Palin is someone that is genetically conservative at her core, and is forceful in leadership and getting change made, those are both rare qualities.

32 posted on 07/19/2011 12:41:46 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Bristol Palin's book "Not Afraid Of Life: My Journey So Far" became a New York Times, best seller.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 30 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

Does someone “genetically conservative at her core” support amnesty (or whatever flavor of the week it’s being called now)for millions of illegal aliens in this day and age? How is that forceful leadership?


33 posted on 07/19/2011 9:47:33 PM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: Grandma Conservative

If you have a good, firm, in depth, campaign ready statement of 2012 Presidential candidate Palin’s position on immigration, then I would like to see it.

Anyone that denies that Governor Palin is a “forceful leader” is an idiot.


34 posted on 07/19/2011 10:07:52 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Bristol Palin's book "Not Afraid Of Life: My Journey So Far" became a New York Times, best seller.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 33 | View Replies]

To: ansel12

I am talking about her interview with O’Reilly as you should know. Anyone denying what she proposed was amnesty by another name is a liar.


35 posted on 07/19/2011 10:22:26 PM PDT by Grandma Conservative (Close all GOP primaries Now! or the Democrats will choose our candidate for us.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies]

To: Grandma Conservative

If you have a good, firm, in depth, campaign ready statement of 2012 Presidential candidate Palin’s position on immigration, then I would like to see it.

Anyone that denies that Governor Palin is a “forceful leader” is an idiot.


36 posted on 07/19/2011 10:53:16 PM PDT by ansel12 ( Bristol Palin's book "Not Afraid Of Life: My Journey So Far" became a New York Times, best seller.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 35 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
GOP Club
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson