Skip to comments.Baumgartner suspends campaign to advise troops heading to Afghanistan (WA Senate race)
Posted on 06/10/2012 1:34:33 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
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Some more good news (2 weeks old but new to me ;-) ), John Koster is strongly leading (in general election matchups not just the stupid queero top two primary) all the possible rats in the race for the First Congressional District.
I hadn’t seen that WA-01 poll, Impy, very interesting. In the jungle primary, Koster is ahead with 46%, with 34% combined for five Democrats, 4% for an independent and 16% undecided. One-on-one against Democrat Darcy Burner (who is well ahead for second place on the poll and thus is likely to go on to the general), Koster leads 48% to 39% with 13% undecided. Pretty good numbers for us. http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=a9366964-0b4e-4f15-9877-6712f41e69fb
But the most interesting aspect to the poll was Koster’s performance among voters aged 18-34. Among likely voters in such age group, Koster leads in the jungle primary with 54%, with a pitiful 13% for the five Democrats combined (probably 14% or 15% due to rounding, but still), 5% for the independent and 27% undecided. And in the general against Burner, he leads Burner among registered voters aged 18-34 by 47%-28%, with 25% undecided; had this been filtered for likely voters, Koster would probably lead 55%-25% or more.
And Romney also leads big among voters aged 18-34, by 55%-36% among registered voters in such age group. Looks like young voters north of Seattle want to give the GOP a chance. If Democrats aren’t panicking already, it is because they aren’t paying attention.
So old people in WA-1 like Obama more than 18-34s? Hmm.
15% of 35-49 year olds voting for “other”, that’s strange and way higher than other age groups. Mid life crisis=vote for Johnson?
They have Romney up by 1 in the district (among REGISTERED voters) this would indicate a POTUS result in WA better than the Bush performance in 2004 when he lost the old 2nd district by 4 (among certain voters ;p).
Dems lead among cell phone responders.
Oh, McKenna is up in the district big, 52-38 of registered voters.
Only bad news is these voters are for gay marriage by 40-37 with a huge undecided.
This is just one poll but very nice.
That poll showed the 18-34 and 65+ crowds voting strongly Republican, but the 35-49 and 50-64 crowds voting Democrat. Pretty weird.
What’s the average deficit for same-sex “marriage” support in the voting booth as compared to in public-opinion polls? 10%? If same-sex “marriage” is up by 40-37 in the district, it will be voted down in a landslide (at least in WA-01).
I do not get that 15% for “other” among just among the middle aged. Do they want to smoke weed or something? More than the young people do? Gary Johnson is the only 3rd party guy I’d figure on having much support in WA.
I have no idea what the gay marriage poll correlation is but I know they’re lead in many polls but have yet to win a gay marriage referendum anywhere other than narrowly in AZ in 2006 where the proposal would have banned civil unions also, in 2008 they approved a different marriage only ban.
I assume most gay marriage referendum polls use registered voters.
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