Posted on 06/12/2012 9:47:46 PM PDT by Clintonfatigued
Republicans Barbara Cegavske and Danny Tarkanian are locked in a down-to-the-wire battle for the nomination in Nevada’s newest congressional district, according to early voting tallies.
The count is poised to stretch late into the night with fewer than 100 votes separating the two front-runners.
Cegavske, a conservative state senator, relied on a targeted voter identification campaign that could make a difference in the low-turnout primary election.
Tarkanian, a Las Vegas lawyer and businessman, has staked his political future on this campaign, saying he likely wouldn’t be able to run again after four straight losses — a record his opponents used against him in this race.
With early voting and absentee ballots counted, Cegavske and Tarkanian each had 29 percent of the vote.
Kenneth Wegner, a perennial candidate with some tea party backing, was in the running for third place with 22 percent. Las Vegas businessman Dan Schwartz, who spent much of his own money on the race, trailed in fourth place.
The winner will battle Senate Majority Leader Steven Horsford, D-North Las Vegas, in November.
Although voter registration in the district favors Democrats by 9 points, Republicans hope they will outperform those statistics on Election Day. The district stretches from urban North Las Vegas — where Democrats often struggle to get voters to the polls — through the Southern rural counties — where Republican vote almost religiously.
(Excerpt) Read more at lasvegassun.com ...
This is a key race, the district leans Democrat, but Republicans sometimes win there.
The story you linked to has been updated — Tarkanian won.
It’s official, Danny Tarkanian is the nominee. I hope he wins this.
Republicans have never won there cause the district didn't exist in the past, and technically won't exist until January. ;p
This district voted Obama by 56-41. The State went Obama by 55-42. So it's only slightly worse than the state. I think it's rural GOP areas plus a nasty chunk of Vegas/North Vegas filled with union scumbags and other assorted trash. I'd like to know the Bush/Kerry #s for a better idea.
The article calls the seat "heavily democratic", retards. Honestly, the people who write this articles need to be rounded up and shot. They point to the overwhelming 113K to 90K registered dems to Republicans ratio, I mean holy crap we should just concede this right now, this is like the Bronx right here.
Tarkanian could be Senator right now, I'd like to see him win. It would be horrible for those GOP counties to be stuck with some Vegas Obama piece of crap. They'd feel like the people in Kankakee county IL that now have Jesse Jackson Jr.
I really wish we had won the stinking Nevada legislature in 2010. Doubtless that will be tough with what I would assume to be rat friendly lines acquiesced to by Sandoval.
Sandoval vetoed two separate congressional redistricting plans approved by the RAT legislature, and the courts drew the maps.
The new NV-04 includes heavily black North Las Vegas, giving the CD the largest black population in the state (15% IIRC), which, combined with the labor vote that Impy mentioned compensates for the heavily Republican vote in the Cow Counties. In 2004, President Bush carried NV by 50.5% to 47.9%, so if the NV-04 is truly 1% less Republican (and 1% more Democrat) than the state as a whole, then one would expect President Bush to have carried the NV-04 by 49.5%-48.9%; in other words, it basically is an evenly divided district when it comes to electoral performance.
The RATs have a top-tier candidate in Senate Majority Leader Steven Horsford of North Las Vegas, who will be well funded. Danny Tarkanian will have his work cut out for him, but it is definitely a winnable district, and I think that Romney will carry the CD over Obama.
Danny Tarkanian will have his work cut out for him, but it is definitely a winnable district, and I think that Romney will carry the CD over Obama.
That is good, do think Romney will take the state?
All three maps were drawn by a court-appointed panel of special masters and approved by a state judge.
I increasingly think that Romney will carry NV, although I’m not counting on its 6 EVs for Romney’s 270 (I think NH and IA are likelier Romney gets, and either one will put him at 270 if he wins NC, VA, FL ad OH). But the NV-04 might vote more GOP than the state as a whole this time, since I think it will see a more depressed Democrat turnout. We shall see.
I’d put Colorado ahead of Nevada also, but behind Iowa and NH. Though Nevada does have the Mormons, they could tip it.
Back to this race, a big lawsuit (failed real estate deal) went against Tark a few weeks ago. Look for the rat to be mentioning this.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.