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Canaries in the Coal Mine ("Working Class" Whites determine elections)
The New York Times ^ | June 17, 2012 | Professor Thomas B. Edsall

Posted on 06/18/2012 12:18:22 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Over the past few decades, working class whites – loosely defined as those without college degrees – have been a strikingly reliable indicator of the strength of the two main political parties. These voters are highly volatile and their shifting loyalties are a powerful factor in determining control of Congress and of the White House, according to recently re-analyzed exit poll data provided to the Times by Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory, and Sam Best, a political scientist at the University of Connecticut.

Take a look at the fluctuating level of support white non-college voters gave to Democratic congressional candidates between 1984, when exit polls first asked respondents about their level of education, and 2010:

--snip--

Obviously, the rejection of many Democratic presidential nominees by whites without college degrees is relevant to Obama’s prospects on Nov. 6. In 2008, Obama lost white working class voters by a landslide, 18 points, although he did 5 points better than Kerry. For Obama, the trick will be to avoid falling into the Stevenson-Mondale-Dukakis trap, and to place himself more in the tradition of Kennedy, Johnson and Clinton. It will not be easy.

--snip--

...the loss of white non-college voters has diminished pressure within the Democratic Party to address the dislocations resulting from globalization and automation, especially the loss of low-to-medium-skill jobs that paid high wages to workers without college degrees....

(Excerpt) Read more at campaignstops.blogs.nytimes.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls; U.S. Congress; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: obama; polls; romney; whites
Comments?
1 posted on 06/18/2012 12:18:40 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The GOP hasn’t developed a plan to cater to this cohort either.

The only reason why they’re trending GOP is that the GOP doesn’t make it clear that they outright hate working class people.

If the GOP wanted to seal the deal, they’d address the issues of wage stagnation, trade imbalances, bank bailouts, etc.

But they won’t.

Just look at the behavior of Jim DeMint when he osculated the posterior of Jamie Dimon, asking Dimon what Congress should enact for regulations. What a suck-up weasel.


2 posted on 06/18/2012 12:41:39 AM PDT by NVDave
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To: NVDave

Two words: Sarah Palin.


3 posted on 06/18/2012 12:42:55 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (Ich habe keinen Konig aber Gott)
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To: NVDave
Just look at the behavior of Jim DeMint when he osculated the posterior of Jamie Dimon, asking Dimon what Congress should enact for regulations.

Negative audio review of Jamie by one of his former employees: http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/v4wjzKpjHI9E.mp3

4 posted on 06/18/2012 12:56:26 AM PDT by cynwoody
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Before he was a Virginia senator, Democrat Jim Webb wrote an insightful book titled “Born Fighting.” This is a history of the Scots-Irish migration and settlement in America and the traits that define them to this day. In his book Webb references George MacDonald Fraser who wrote “The Steel Bonnets”—a description of the Scottish border clans that dovetails with Webb's book. Fraser writes that he was watching the inauguration of Richard Nixon on television. At one point Nixon, Lyndon Johnson and Billy Graham were together on the stage. It struck him that all three men—by surname and facial features—were kinsmen of the border clans and that the Scots-Irish ran the U.S.
5 posted on 06/18/2012 1:38:27 AM PDT by Brad from Tennessee (A politician can't give you anything he hasn't first stolen from you.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The Obama Administration has already admitted Publicly they have written off the Working class white Vote


6 posted on 06/18/2012 3:11:51 AM PDT by ballplayer
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To: ballplayer

Sorry, a Columbia professor of journalism and a pulitzer prize winner means that the article is an excuse for why Obama will lose.

Can’t these “brilliant” people come up with something that isn’t party line bullcrap?


7 posted on 06/18/2012 5:57:17 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (ABO 2012)
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