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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This over polling of Democrats vs. Republicans has a reason but is based on what determinants exactly, besides the obvious count of likely voters are largely Dems? Are there other more obscure factors, I wonder?


6 posted on 08/22/2012 9:55:46 PM PDT by RitaOK (NO ROMNEY, NO COMPROMISE. NO WAY. NO HOW. NOT NOW. NOT EVER.)
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To: RitaOK

They are using turnout models from 2008 when dems were +7, in 2010 the pubs and dems were even.

This year IMO the turnout model will be even to R+2, Rasmussen has had the Generic ballot R+3 for awhile though the latest take was R +1,

When you factor in the enthusiasm gap...

The polls are trying to bump up barry the bozo.


7 posted on 08/22/2012 10:15:58 PM PDT by Leto
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