Skip to comments.Obama vs Romney Polls: Obama Tanks Among Women and Independents
Posted on 09/06/2012 9:02:50 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Just 47% of registered voters in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll see Obama favorably overall, down 7 percentage points from his recent peak in April, while 49% rate him unfavorably. Hes numerically underwater in this group for the first time since February.
The decline has occurred entirely among women registered voters from 57%-39% favorable-unfavorable in April to a numerically negative 46%-50% now. Thats Obamas lowest score among women voters a focus of recent political positioning in ABC/Post polls since he took office.
On top of that, according to CNNs latest poll, Romneys lead among independents has jumped in the last week from 3 points to 10 points today among likely voters.
(GRAPH AT LINK)
Against that backdrop of new polling, there are more campaign ads being released targeting women voters.
Independent Womens Voice is a 501(c)(4) nonpartisan, nonprofit organization for mainstream women and is the sister organization of the Independent Womens Forum. IWV has a track record demonstrating that it uses resources wisely while effectively developing and delivering messages to independents and women, key blocs of citizens in 2010 and 2012.
IWV released an ad back in June called Boyfriend.
(VIDEO AT LINK)
A good friend of mine worked with IVW on putting that ad together and after testing it, found that it was effective in moving the needle. An Ohio focus group moved from 44% disapproval of Obama to 62% after viewing the ad.
Apparently, it also got the attention of the RNC, who just released this ad today thats eerily similar in its message.
(VIDEO AT LINK)
You have to admit, both ads arent particularly venomous, even offering understanding about how Obama may have inspired them in 2008 and promised them a new direction for America and its politics. The pitch (and the message discipline) produced a reasonable tone and approach, one that tended to ask for unity rather than make a strident base-appeal rally.
Now contrast that with the abortion-palooza thats the 2012 Democratic National Convention.
I have NEVER heard this much about abortion as in that hall last night Thats according to Melinda Henneberger, who writes the "She the People" column for the Washington Post. She was responding to a post Matt Lewis wrote in which he argued that Democrats risk turning off undecided voters if their convention turns into abortion-palooza.
Even liberal columnist Margaret Carlson recently wrote on Bloomberg, I hate to bring up abortion during the Democrats festivities, which are going so swimmingly, but I have a question. Why has the party removed the sentence Abortion should be safe, legal, and rare from its platform? It was in the 2004 document but not in 2008s or this years. Cant Democrats just throw a crumb to the many millions who are pro-choice but not pro-abortion? (Btw: kudos to Carlson for pointing out the difference).
Theres no doubt that one of the key demographics the Obama campaign is counting on come November is women and are keeping up the disingenuous War on Women rhetoric to scare more and more women voters into their corner. Its also why theyre still trying to keep Sandra Fluke (remember her?) fresh in everyones minds.
But the entire convention is turning into a primal scream on abortion and contraception. Dont be surprised if swing voters feel repelled by the spectacle. They may be breaking up with more than just Obama by the end of this week.
According to the state controlled “media”, Slick Willie whistled the women back over to Barry last night and they came running.
I’m just ready to vote.
To think, we still got 4 debates sprikled throughout Oct to get through, plus whatever Oct Surprise there is.
Romney can start running ads that Obama can’t keep up with now the convention is over. Koch’s and Adelson ads will be running 24/7.
I don’t doubt it. John King was doing the electoral map on CNN and basically says obama wins if he wins Ohio. And if the women vote for him, he wins. Women are more likely to vote with their emotions.
That BS speech he gave tonight isn’t going to help either.
Yeah I really doubt Slick Willie made women flock to Obama, more like run away from Clinton afraid that he would grope them
Wimin are not all that crazy about lesbians politically, to tell you the truth. Fluke going for the free birth control, abortions and penis removal rights doesn’t ring a bell. Women kinda like men with their penises attached. They love babies. They manage their own birth thing without the government in their bedrooms. They like jobs, too!
Because they never could find a focus group, even among drunks, serial killers, racists and other Democrats who could answer the question: If abortions are safe and legal, why should they be rare?
We Independents are closer to you than you know. Yes, I’m one of them!!!!
Your mistake is listening to CNN. Pretty easy to manufacture an Obama win when you over sample Dems 13 points like CNN does.
I’m not sure women will be impressed with Obama on an emotional level. I think women who are even halfway objective (i.e. not democrat ideologues) have a pretty finely-tuned BS detector. (Us guys give them plenty of practice in keeping it tuned-up). I think their reaction to Obama is going to be about the same as to a boyfriend who says he’ll never cheat again, or a husband who never quite gets around to cleaning out the garage. In other words, after four years of promises and excuses, women voters will be fed up with Barrys BS.
if the women vote for him, he wins. Women are more likely to vote with their emotions.
And their estrogen...
Pro-choice but not pro-abortion, that is the second time today that I have heard a liberal try to make a distinction, one that I admit completely escapes me. Does anyone understand what point they are trying to make and if so, would you be willing to enlighten me? I mean, I don’t see any gray area between taking the life of an unborn child, or protecting it. How can one be both pro-choice and against abortion? Or is this another attempt at equivocation, courtesy of the democratic party?
Rasmussen Daily Swing State Poll: Romney now leading by 4 points in the Swing States
The 11 states included in this poll are: Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.
Head-to-Head: (Previous results from September 6)
Mitt Romney 47% (47%)
Barack Obama 43% (44%)
Some other candidate 4% (5%)
Undecided 5% (5%)
A survey of approximately 1,300 likely voters was conducted August 30-September 5, 2012. The MOE is +/-3%.
I have to admit “that” would make me consider voting with my emotions.
That is really bad new for 0. Give the edge in PA and MI in Dem registration this is a poll slanted to the Left. Based on the sample mix if R is winning this, O is in serious trouble
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