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If The Election Were Held Today Barack Obama Would Win
RedState ^ | September 17th, 2012 | Erick Erickson

Posted on 09/17/2012 5:44:26 AM PDT by granada

Contra Dick Morris, Mitt Romney is not winning this election. At least Mitt Romney is not winning the election right now. Conservatives are obsessing over every poll, the turn out models used, and the media bias that is on ful display. Yes, some of the polling models seem screwy, though we all forget the pollsters apply a secret sauce known only to them on top. Yes, reporters are fully beclowning themselves to get their god-king re-elected. But while we may be focused there, the fact is the Romney campaign isn’t functioning well. Lucky for you and me the election is not today. But something needs to happen in Boston and I am less and less hopeful anything will happen.

It would be easy to dismiss me by saying I never cared for Romney or I’m somehow actually rooting against him. So let me put it to you this way: Jenn Rubin and I are on the same page. That’s either a sign of the apocalypse or there is something really dysfunctional happening within the Romney campaign.

(Excerpt) Read more at redstate.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; conservatives; gop; pantwetting; polls
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Obama is poised to win?
1 posted on 09/17/2012 5:44:38 AM PDT by granada
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To: granada

“If The Election Were Held Today Barack Obama Would Win”

Don’t give him any ideas!!!


2 posted on 09/17/2012 5:46:35 AM PDT by SMARTY ("The man who has no inner-life is a slave to his surroundings. "Henri Frederic Amiel)
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To: granada

It wasn’t “Boston” that got Romney elected. Just like every blue state the cities are the reason. Worcester, Framingham etc got him in.


3 posted on 09/17/2012 5:47:34 AM PDT by albie
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To: granada

We still have the debates.


4 posted on 09/17/2012 5:50:27 AM PDT by ILS21R (The time is nigh.)
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To: granada

Just another propaganda saturation concept, keep at it 24/7 forecasting an upcoming hurricane that eventually the people will start heading to the store to clear out stock.


5 posted on 09/17/2012 5:52:48 AM PDT by Eye of Unk (OPSEC)
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To: granada

I live in a reliable red state so haven’t seen many ads. Really the only one I’ve seen regularly is the Obama ad with Clinton pimping him and it is usually aired on Fox.

I would hope Romney will be kicking it up a notch this week. I can only hope that after laying low during the Dem convention and then for 9/11 . . . that this will be the week he goes nuclear with his ads against Obama.

How is it in the swing states with R/R advertising?


6 posted on 09/17/2012 5:54:08 AM PDT by Qwackertoo (Romney/Ryan 2012 The Future of Our Children and Their Children are at stake.)
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To: granada

based on what? A poll by F Chuck Todd?


7 posted on 09/17/2012 5:54:23 AM PDT by Perdogg
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To: granada

The problem I see is that Mitt’s only selling point is that “he’s not Obama”, hard to win an election that way.


8 posted on 09/17/2012 5:55:32 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: ILS21R
We still have the debates.

ALL of which are chaired by left wing moderators who have been apologists for the kenyan! Hint: The fix is in.

9 posted on 09/17/2012 5:56:04 AM PDT by The Sons of Liberty ("Get that evil, foreign, muslim, usurping bastard out of MY White House!" FUBO GTFO!)
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To: granada
The series of recent events has allegedly turned this race into one about "foreign policy," instead of the terrible economy. If I were Romney, I would argue that extension of US foreign policy is only possible if we have a strong economy. Everything is tied to the economy.
10 posted on 09/17/2012 5:56:07 AM PDT by Lou L (Health "insurance" is NOT the same as health "care")
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To: granada

If obama wins all those idiots who vote for him are going to get what they deserve. Unfortunately, the rest of us go down too. I really loathe liberals. Wish we could split the country and leave them in their blue cities to rot.


11 posted on 09/17/2012 5:56:25 AM PDT by jersey117
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To: granada
Photobucket I don't believe the media.
12 posted on 09/17/2012 5:56:27 AM PDT by baddog 219
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To: Perdogg

I am not an Erickson fan. He blogs a conservative game online; and then when he is on CNN he barely lifts a finger to either defend the GOP nominee or even explain a conservative position.

Anybody concur?

The point is, he’s only out for himself.


13 posted on 09/17/2012 5:58:17 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: Perdogg

I am not an Erickson fan. He blogs a conservative game online; and then when he is on CNN he barely lifts a finger to either defend the GOP nominee or even explain a conservative position.

Anybody concur?

The point is, he’s only out for himself.


14 posted on 09/17/2012 5:58:30 AM PDT by mwl8787
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To: granada

This isn’t new. I’ve said this from before the end of the primary. Mitt is like the reluctant suitor. Do I believe he would lose if the election were held today. I’d have a hard time believing that because that underestimates the very real animosity and disappointment voters have with Obama.These voters have been waiting to vote against Obama for two election cycles. Obama also has problem with his base. Many blacks are talking about staying home and I get the feeling a sizable percentage of young voters who are unemployed and disenchanted with him will also.

Now this isn’t saying that Romney is winning. He isn’t. Obama is losing which is another thing altogether. Team Romney is playing the risky run out the clock and close at the end ploy. They are counting on Obama to lose. I hate that strategy because it is stupid. Obama represents the most leftwing President since Woodrow Wilson. The fact that team Romeny isn’t hitting him on all fronts including using the walking talking wedge issue that is Obama and his Obamacare to defeat his is a travesty.

If Romney loses if will be because he never really fought at all.


15 posted on 09/17/2012 5:59:12 AM PDT by Maelstorm (Now lets return to our regular scheduled deprogramming.)
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To: granada

Shades of 1980 when the media promoted the same bogus polls to show Carter ahead of Reagan by 10 points just before the election.

We know how that turned out.

Pay no mind, just keep talking to folks on the multiple reasons why a re-election of Obama is bad for them and their families.


16 posted on 09/17/2012 6:00:57 AM PDT by exit82 (Pass the word: Obama is a FAILURE!! Democrats are the enemies of freedom!)
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To: granada
We must face the facts - we have McLame 2 on our hands.

A candidate that is has become the candidate by hanging around the longest. A Vice President candidate that is much more appealing to conservatives than the President candidate is. An opponent that has the press, most of the Washington bureaucracy (and all the other pigs that slop at the government troth), as well as all the people that receive a check every month from the government, on his side.

Most conservatives are prepared to hold their nose and vote for Mittens in November, but there is no fire, no passion, no real desire to fight. As a consequence, it's all in Zero's hands. If he can turn out his full army (more commonly known as the cancer upon our society) - he will win.

The worst part about this is that every year more and more people starting getting more money from the government, meaning that every year it gets more and more difficult for an actual conservative to win. Unless God can provide us with a second Reagan, we may be facing a hill too high to climb. At least until the second American Revolution starts - which the way things are going, may be in my lifetime.

17 posted on 09/17/2012 6:03:11 AM PDT by I cannot think of a name
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To: exit82
Pay no mind, just keep talking to folks on the multiple reasons why a re-election of Obama is bad for them and their families.

Reagan didn't beat Carter because Carter sucked alone...Reagan inspired people, they felt good about him.

Does anyone really feel that way about Mitt? He sure doesn't inspire me, I just want Obama out.

But candidates running on "I'm not the other guy" seldom do well.

18 posted on 09/17/2012 6:04:17 AM PDT by dfwgator (I'm voting for Ryan and that other guy.)
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To: mwl8787
Lately I've been wondering if Erick is on crack. I think he's having trouble washing off the CNN and WSB slime every night, and is listening to the wrong voices.

Red states, like Erickson's Georgia, don't need Romney ads right now - their voters are living for November 6 and will crawl on broken glass to vote Obama out. And I still defy anyone to show me just ONE McCain-Palin voter who will switch to Obama this year.

19 posted on 09/17/2012 6:04:27 AM PDT by Always A Marine
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To: granada

Erick is wrong this time. He must not have seen the latest numbers from Rasmussen. Romney is ahead in the battleground states, and he’s also ahead nationally.

Erick Erickson has officially jumped the shark.


20 posted on 09/17/2012 6:06:16 AM PDT by o2bfree
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