Skip to comments.GALLUP: One Of Republicans' Biggest Advantages Has Evaporated At The Worst Possible Time
Posted on 09/20/2012 7:47:27 AM PDT by granada
Democratic enthusiasm has surged both in swing states and nationally, according to a new Gallup poll, topping Republican enthusiasm and, in the process, wiping out what was thought to be a major advantage for Republicans and presidential nominee Mitt Romney.
Democrats have seen a rise in enthusiasm since July. In 12 swing states, Gallup found that 73 percent of Democrats now say they are "extremely" or "very" enthusiastic about voting for president in the upcoming election. Previously, that percentage had lagged behind at just 53 percent in June.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Business Insider might be the most politically clueless website in the US today...and that’s not an easy distinction to earn. :)
Funny cbs showed the opposite among likely voters barry the weasel cant run from his record
Republics don’t trust pollsters (for good reason) and are not responding or flat-out lying about their intent.
This season, polls are worthless...even Ras
One of the chief reasons the media is so mistaken in their zeal to proclaim Obama the election winner is that most of the polls they’re basing their predictions on are wildly inflating Democrat turnout. The overwhelming majority of media polls are an assuming an electorate that is at least as Democrat as the one in 2008, with many polls assuming a higher Democrat turnout. This is just daft. The latest CBS poll of 3 swing states is the most recent to show that GOP has a huge turnout advantage over Democrats.
Yesterday, CBS/NYT released its latest Quinnipiac poll of Colorado, Virginia and Wisconsin. With the exception of CO, the polls had heavy Democrat skews, so the head-to-head match-ups aren’t particularly informative. What was telling though was the differences in enthusiasm between the two parties.
In all three states, a majority of Republicans say they are more enthusiastic about voting this year, compared to about a third of Democrats who are. In Colorado and Virginia, GOP voters are more enthusiastic than Democrats by a 15 point margin. In Wisconsin, GOP enthusiasm outpaces Democrats by 16 points.
Particularly interesting is that GOP voters have become more enthusiastic about voting in the past month. GOP enthusiasm has increased 9 points in CO, 10 points in WI and 12 points in VA. Democrat enthusiasm, meanwhile has increased only modestly; 5 points in VA, 4 in WI and 10 in CO (from a very low 28% of Democrats who were more enthusiastic about voting).
If these trends continue, today’s head-to-head numbers will be wildly off base, as the electorate this November will be very different than the one that voted in 2008.
Keep in mind, GOP voters in these swing states have become more enthusiastic about voting in the midst of a weeks-long assault on Romney by the Democrat-media industrial complex. Since the beginning of the Democrat convention, the media have reported that Obama was surging, Romney was flailing, and the election was all but over. And yet, GOP voting enthusiasm increased.
The media reports of the death of the Romney campaign are not just exaggerated, they are flights of fantasy made up from whole cloth. GOP voters are clearly ready to rumble this
Yep. 3 times this week.
Gallup’s been on a roll lately. That call from Axelrod must have scared the shiite out of them.
Gallup just wants to explain why Dems need to be oversampled.
Ooooh noooo, I'm so depressed and dispirited now. Guess I'll just stay home on Election Day and cry into my latte. Man, you idiots are so transparent...
Axleshaft is smiling this morning.
This was taken right after the RAT convention. It is gone just like Zero’s supposed 150 point convention bounce.
ALL Public Polls from now to election including exit polls WILL claim its a very tight race or Obama is leading. Reality is Obama had to cut back his coronation venue from 77 thousand to 20 thousand of which the 3 No Vote video showed to be not even half full. He also is way down on number of donors having to beg people to send him their wedding gifts, etc. Stop paying attention to Public Polls, they lie for money.
An almost exact re-reun of the McLame candidacy. A Presidential candidate that elicits no trust or excitement from conservatives, a vice-president candidate that most conservatives would prefer over the president candidate.
Conservatives (me included) will go to the polls in November, hold our noses, and vote for Mittens. Will I go out and work my a$$ off for the guy? Not hardly. Will many of the most hard core conservatives decide not to even bother to vote at all? Probably. Will all of the liberal idiots and all of the cancers that slop at the public troth vote for Zero? Absolutely. Will the brainless sheeple vote for whoever the lamestream media tells them to? Check.
Without the second coming of Reagan (which I sure can't find on the horizon) GWB may the last thing ‘resembling’ a conservative in the White House in my lifetime.
"This months chocolate ration has been raised to 12 grams from the previous months level of 16 grams. doubleplusgood!"
Clearly in a poll of [enthusiastic Democrats] +15 over unenthusiastic Democrats.
Comrade Barry is invincible.......
no ,the Dem propaganda machine is at full speed
“Democratic enthusiasm has surged both in swing states and nationally, according to a new Gallup poll,”
This is absolute BS! As we have talked about in several threads, I have noticed a tremendous reduction in the number of Obama bumper stickers and signs as opposed to 2008. In 2008 they were everywhere. I see a huge dropoff in enthusiasm for Bozo, even in these heavy Rat states around here. Last weekend I drove from NYC to Boston, and back, and saw a grand total of 4 bumper stickers. Two of which were for R&R. As we know, conservatives are very leery to put stickers on their cars for fear that the Rat mutants will key them. (I am using a magnetic bumper sticker when I am on the highway and take it off before I get home!) However, Rats usually love putting crap on their cars, but this time around (47 days left) they just are not! I think it is a very good sign for R&R!
I can’t imagine what the Democrats have to get “fired up”, over? My observation is that they seem demoralized to some extent.
I just bought 1,000 shares of amalgamated enthusiasm and I'm led to believe it'll grow at least 3% in the next 40 days.
My wife just left for the weekly shopping trip and right under milk, bread and eggs I penciled in 2 16oz. jars of buttered enthusiasm.
Not the bland kind, but the Asian stuff (it's purer .. and besides .. my wife's Asian)
You ain't lived 'til you've got your feet propped up in front of the computer, watching HULU episodes, back to back from season 1 to season 9 of the X Files, munchin' on some cool, crisp buttered enthusiasm.
I live in Madison. In 2008 the Madison campus has scores and scores of bumper stickers and signs plastered in student's windows. Now, in 2012 an ocassional bumper sticker on some white-bearded prof's Subaru or Pruis. I have yet to see any Obama window signs.
Is this all anecdotal? Sure, but with each election you get a certain feeling in the air regarding what's about to happen, and this election is no different.
October 1, 2012 — A USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows 47% of Americans would support the removal of George Washington on the one-dollar ($1) bill in favor of current President Barack Obama. It is the highest showing yet in monthly polling.
What utter garbage!
NO REAL CONSERVATIVE IN SPIRIT AND IN TRUTH NEEDS ROMNEY TO MOTIVATE THEM TO FIGHT IN THIS ELECTION AGAINST THE GRAVEST THREAT TO THEIR COUNTRY IN THEIR LIFETIME!
Any "so called conservative" who sits this one out is fraud!
Gallup failed to publish results that 99% of Republicans will definitely vote inspite of the Black Panther Party swearing on their mother’s graves to stop them.... Come Hell or High Water, Republican’s and most Independent’s will vote against Obama.
His minions have already put his pic on the Flag. I’m guessing ~47% of us will soon think that’s a great idea.
they evidently also think we have a huge advantage as far as voters in November: http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2933459/posts
“I live in Madison. In 2008 the Madison campus has scores and scores of bumper stickers and signs plastered in student’s windows. Now, in 2012 an ocassional bumper sticker on some white-bearded prof’s Subaru or Pruis. I have yet to see any Obama window signs.”
Yup, this is what I am seeing as well. There is no where near the enthusiasm for Obama this time around.
The polls must be in zeros favor so the libs can claim election fraud when their messiah loses.
What the lamestream media is doing isn’t just shameful, it’s borderline dangerous. Are they going to be held responsible for the riots and people going nuts when Obama has his butt handed to him in November? They’re setting up these expectations and a scenario where when he loses, it creates a situation that makes the Watts Riots look like a church picnic.
They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws area poll tax. Then they will file massive law suits to contest the Romney victory. Scary stuff. It will happen, unless the margin of victory is huge. The riots will happen no matter what if Romney wins. I am not as worried about that as I am the voter ID shenanigans.
Ah, the one advantage of being old. I've lived through these movies before and know exactly how they turn out.
In ‘92, too many people fell under Perot's spell and we were stuck with Clintoon. We also almost got a worse health care bill and the destruction of the 2nd amendment. I took almost the entire year of 1994 and worked my butt off to make sure we riled up every conservative to be found. And with hundreds of thousands just like me across the country, the 1994 Congressional elections tied Clintoons hands and pretty much saved the country. All that was left was to boot the “bend one” out of office and say “good riddance.”
In 1996 Dole hung around until he got the nomination. Unfortunately he had a track record of being all over the place on many issues, and most conservatives had a high degree of distrust about his policies (almost everyone respected the man himself). All of the people that I had been able to call just two years before and get any help I needed, were now all “really busy.”
I'm sorry to burst anyone’s bubble, but the sad fact is this: If you want to fire up the base, you have to have a candidate that can fire up the base. It really doesn't matter how much they hate the other guy, it won't be enough. People have to be fired-up about their candidate, to be fired-up! And Mittens just doesn't seem to have the spark to fire up anybody.
I live in South Philadelphia and in 2004 it looked like a John Kerry theme park, but that was nothing compared to 2008. It seemed that every non-moving object was plastered with the "hope" poster or Obama Biden stickers.
This year, you wouldn't know it was an election year at all.
“They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws area poll tax.”
Oops, that should read: They will try to use these polls as proof that the voter ID laws are poll taxes.
They are forgetting we aren’t going to the polls to vote for just a president. We also need the House and Senate
as well as state and local candidates elected.
Not in my world! Romney stickers and signs 10-1 over Barry.
“Not in my world! Romney stickers and signs 10-1 over Barry.”
Well that’s good news! Where in the country are you located?
Damn It Feels Good to Be a Gangsta...er...Pollster
I need to move to your part of the country!
I hope you are right. You, and others, are the reason I read FR...to get a sense of what is going on in battleground states...from people who actually live there and who see it everyday.
I know no one can know for sure...but it is encouraging none-the-less.
Absolutely. And this time even more.
We will end up with either an outright communist, or a weak kneed kind-of conservative for President. Only a bunch of fire eaters in the Senate and House can save us at this point. We need to re-run the 1994 Congressional results, although this time I hope more of the people we think are conservative actually turn out to BE conservative.
If case you missed it, you'll want to read it. It's really good!
Now will you drop the lawsuit against us, Mr Holder? See what we’ve done for Obama? Please, Mr. Holder?
Rush talking about the bogusness of this. But let them spin.
We’ll see who is “unenthusiastic” on Nov. 6.
Trends in polling show up first in national polling then are followed a few weeks afterward in state polling. Current state polling reflects the bump received from Clinton’s speech.
People voting for Romney shouldn’t be concerned as it will fade. They should be focused instead on the surge upward reflected in Rassmussen’s polling just released and the fact Romney wasted his opportunity to even his standing with Obama at his own convention. Instead of being at a tie or statistically slightly ahead once polling has faded imo Obama still slightly leads. That’s on Romney.
The debates are his last opportunity to convince apathetic and/or hostile voters towards him that a vote for him is more then just the “slightly less bad” choice. Otherwise some people will just vote Obama again while others that cannot tolerate either of them sit home.
Gallup is owned by the regime but we can’t discount the polls that don’t agree with us. I can ignore them and just encourage my neighbors to vote .. but either way, the American public will be surprised if Obama wins and the media will be surprised when Romney wins..