Skip to comments.New Hampshire (Romney 50%, Obama 46%)
Posted on 10/12/2012 8:36:26 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Interview dates: October 9-11, 2012
Sample size: 600 likely voters
Margin of error: ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time
Question wording and responses:
If the general election were being held today between Barack Obama for president and Joe Biden for vice president, the Democrats, and Mitt Romney for president and Paul Ryan for vice president, the Republicans, for whom would you vote - Obama and Biden or Romney and Ryan (names rotated), or someone else?
New Hampshire Obama Romney Other Undecided
Likely voters 46% 50% 1% 3%
Democrats (29%) 94% 3% - 3% Republicans (35%) 6% 92% - 2% Independents (36%) 45% 48% 3% 4%
Men (48%) 42% 53% 1% 4% Women (52%) 49% 48% 1% 2%
18 to 49 (59%) 50% 45% 2% 3% 50 and older (41%) 39% 58% - 3%
Landline (77%) 44% 52% 1% 3% Cell Phone (23%) 51% 45% 1% 3%
Sep 25-27 50% 45% 1% 4%
The breakdown is 29D, 35R and 30I. Is that right for New Hampshire?
Make that 36I.
I’m kinda liking the entire trajectory of this race. The trend is our friend.
Never been there, know next to nothing about it. If you have an Iowa question, I could probably try to answer it.
One can only hope that a state with “Live Free or Die” on their plates would flush The Won.
Yes. NH is a very republican state by registration. But like Southern states that still have large numbers of registered democrats, it doesn’t necessarily translate into how the state will vote in a presidential election.
The party ID in the survey was R +6 (Dem 29, Rep 35, Independent 36). In 2008 it was also D +2 (Dem 29, Rep 27, Ind 45) and in 2004 it was R+7 (Dem 25, Rep 32, Ind 44).
Thanks guys. So those numbers could very well be right on target. That is very good news.
Isn’t New Hampshire pretty conservative? Shouldn’t Romney be leading there anyway?
With these numbers I’m willing to say Maine may well be close as well.
It does look like Romney is pulling ahead.
Meet The Voters Who Will Decide The Election
Obama won it by about 10% in 2008
All the New Yorkers and Bostonite libs are moving there
If the polls hold true, there’s REAL hope for this nation, yet! Keep it up New Hampshire!
Indeed...NY’ers spreading like cockroaches all over southern and central New Hampshire...driving property taxes higher and higher.
Like a plague
I see. Kind of like all the Californians moving here to Colorado and polluting our politics. Of course we already had Denver, Boulder and Fort collins and they don’t call it the peoples republic of Boulder for nothin.
Yay! Please New Hampshire, please try and rescue a little honor for New England lest it become an irrevocable blue wasteland!
From what people here tell me, a lot of “Massholes” have moved to there and Vermont, which has tipped them blue.