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Polls like Romney: Pundits wonder if popularity survives next week's debate
The Albany Times-Union / The Los Angeles Times ^ | October 12, 2012 | Doyle McManus

Posted on 10/13/2012 4:01:29 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

The first debate between President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney was an even bigger win for Romney than it appeared at the time. That's what the polls are telling us.

The Oct. 3 debate, it seems, prompted swing voters to take a second look at Romney, and it also boosted Republican voters' resolve to get out and vote.

A presidential election that once appeared to favor Obama is now razor-close again, and heading toward an unpredictable finish.

Four national polls released their first post-debate findings this week. The Pew Research Center reported that Romney had moved into the lead among likely voters, 49 percent to 45 percent. The Gallup Poll reported that Romney held a narrow lead, 49 percent to 47 percent. The Rasmussen Poll, which sometimes appears to favor Republicans, was kinder to Obama this time; it reported a tie at 48 percent each. And Reuters/IPSOS reported a tie at 45 percent.

The usual words of caution apply: These numbers are fallible snapshots of public opinion, not predictions of election outcomes. All polls come with a margin of error; the Pew survey's margin of 3.4 percent means that Romney's apparent 4-point lead could be either an even-larger advantage, or a virtual tie.

But when four major polls move in the same direction, it's no mirage. The Romney campaign found new momentum in last week's debate, and Obama hasn't yet stopped it. Moreover, the Pew poll included fascinating data that suggest some of the reasons for Romney's advance.

One was a swing toward the Republican candidate on the issue of jobs, a word Romney used over and over in last week's debate.

When Pew asked voters which candidate would do better on jobs, 49 percent named Romney against only 41 percent for Obama....

(Excerpt) Read more at timesunion.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; debate; debates; obama; polls; romney
Yeah, but nodody else is in much doubt. The Obama you saw at the first debate was the real Obama. What is he going to do differently?
1 posted on 10/13/2012 4:01:39 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Pundits wonder if popularity survives next week’s debate”


funny- i quickly scanned the article and so nothing to reference their above sub-title....i didn’t even see a single quote or quotation mark...


2 posted on 10/13/2012 4:04:29 PM PDT by God luvs America (63.5 million pay no income tax and vote for DemoKrats...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Actually tell the truth ? on 2nd thought, maybe not.


3 posted on 10/13/2012 4:04:56 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: God luvs America
Verbal flatulence from Mr. McManus or some 20-something Obot editor, no doubt. Many low-information voters only read headlines and the presstitutes know it.
4 posted on 10/13/2012 4:06:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: God luvs America
" popularity survives next week’s debate "

Don't think popularity has anything to do with it more than America got to see the real Obama and got to see Romney take command as a real leader.

5 posted on 10/13/2012 4:07:28 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2944439/posts


6 posted on 10/13/2012 4:16:13 PM PDT by American Constitutionalist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Romney does like his first debate, he will have no problems answering those liberal questions from the “impartial” CNN audience.


7 posted on 10/13/2012 4:18:57 PM PDT by Red Steel
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama’s gonna strain a gut being ABO. He was such a STINKER in that first debate; so stinky, in fact, that even the “one” can’t spin it. People saw how he was finally, smacked themselves on the forehead and changed their minds. It’s hard to “unsee” that debacle.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 4:21:40 PM PDT by Twinkie
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hahaha is this real life? The Unicorn Party™, enabled by the Unicorn Press™ are the most mentally insane beings to inhabit the earth.

Bozo the Prez leads in the polls: “This thing is over...”
President Elect Romney leads in the polls: “Just opinion and not indicative or actual election results”

These clowns are not only Treasonists, but are absolutely certifiably mentally insane!


9 posted on 10/13/2012 4:26:21 PM PDT by JoshuaLawrenceChamberlain
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I expect him to pull a Biden, but I don’t it will work too well on Romney.


10 posted on 10/13/2012 4:37:31 PM PDT by Jonty30 (What Islam and secularism have in common is that they are both death cults.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
What is he going to do differently?

More to the point, what are the liberals running the "debate" going to do? They are the ones to be concerned about.

11 posted on 10/13/2012 4:38:06 PM PDT by ChildOfThe60s (If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The real thing about the first debate was that Romney proved that he was not an ogre, and that it was safe to abandon Obama.

Once that happened, everyone who was longing to abandon Obama did so. Such a scenario is not going to be reversed.


12 posted on 10/13/2012 4:39:07 PM PDT by proxy_user
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To: Jonty30
And they won't have an element of surprise. Romney will be fully prepared for it.

I expect he's going to be in full out cool guy mode. Using hip jargon and mannerisms.

That's if he's cognizant.

The debate is Tuesday, correct? I'd suspect he should begin preparing for it by tomorrow. It will be interesting to see what he's doing the next three days.

13 posted on 10/13/2012 4:43:28 PM PDT by riri (Plannedopolis-look it up. It's how the elites plan for US to live.)
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To: Jonty30

It didn’t work on Paul Ryan, either.


14 posted on 10/13/2012 4:44:29 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: Jonty30

“I expect him to pull a Biden, but I don’t it will work too well on Romney.”

Obama will certainly try to be more aggressive and strident towards Romney.

But I think Romney would do well to shift his demeanor. In response to Obama’s [expected] behavior change, Mr. Romney should “tone it down” just a bit, with the objective of coming across both to the town hall audience and the viewing public as warm and gracious while still remaining in command of the facts and issues.

In other words, he should use the second debate to distinguish his overall character from Obama’s. While Obama flails at him, Mr. Romney should deflect the blows with confidence and grace. The first debate showed him to be capable of sitting in the Oval Office. This second one should show to voters why he is “the better man” of the two.

The town hall format isn’t the best in which to shoot cannonballs. Mr. Romney should turn the tables on Obama this time around. The Kenyan may well be caught off-guard.

And then, in the final debate, when Obama and his handlers are thoroughly confused as to what to expect, Mr. Romney can come out blasting and finish him off!


15 posted on 10/13/2012 5:04:21 PM PDT by Road Glide
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To: proxy_user
The real thing about the first debate was that Romney proved that he was not an ogre, and that it was safe to abandon Obama. Once that happened, everyone who was longing to abandon Obama did so. Such a scenario is not going to be reversed.

I agree. The first debate was not about Obama 'phoning it in'. It was about people seeing that the previously demonized Romney, whom the press said was a gaffe machine, had answers to many of our problems and seemed to be someone competent enough to put people back to work.

The dems are the one who always think it is about nothing but personalities.

16 posted on 10/13/2012 5:09:58 PM PDT by Sans-Culotte ( Pray for Obama- Psalm 109:8)
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To: Jonty30

Romney should be more prepared for it if he does.


17 posted on 10/13/2012 5:10:34 PM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

LOL! Yeah, the pundits still can’t figure out why the polls don’t seem to be favoring their guy, because they certainly don’t like his opponent.


18 posted on 10/13/2012 5:13:14 PM PDT by SuziQ
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To: proxy_user
Very true and the next debates will only reinforce that view.
19 posted on 10/13/2012 5:13:58 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Road Glide

Obama will probably try to be charming and win over the audience. But all Romney has to do is to challenge him in any way, and it will ruffle 0s feathers and his smile will disappear and will be substitued by that angry look along with the scowl.


20 posted on 10/13/2012 5:14:53 PM PDT by murron (Proud Mom of a Marine Vet)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

21 posted on 10/13/2012 5:50:03 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Obama's "likeability factor" will go negative after the next debated.

Unless they let him use his TelePrompTer®.

22 posted on 10/13/2012 6:14:14 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Government is the religion of the psychopath.)
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To: proxy_user

If things really start to look bad for Obama in the last two weeks before the election, expect to hear the media start saying “Are the American people going to be able to live with themselves if they allow the 1st Black President to be a 1 termer?” That’s their last race card in the deck, and it will be played.


23 posted on 10/13/2012 7:20:00 PM PDT by The Fop (Excuse me while I clean the saliva out of my racist dog whistle)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Unless Obama finds 30 points to add to his IQ by next Tuesday evening I don’t see how he’s going to hurt Romney all that much.


24 posted on 10/13/2012 7:31:30 PM PDT by LongWayHome
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