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John Zogby to Newsmax: Ohio Momentum 'Clearly With Romney'
Newsmax ^ | October 12, 2012 | David Alliot and John Bachman

Posted on 10/13/2012 9:29:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

When it comes to the all-important swing state of Ohio this election, “the momentum is clearly with Romney,” now that President Barack Obama’s 9-point lead going into the first presidential debate has vanished, pollster John Zogby tells Newsmax TV.

But it’s the independent vote that really matters in the Buckeye State, he says. When asked how important the independent vote is for Ohio, Zogby tells Newsmax: “Extremely important. For starters, Ohio does not have registration by political party. People will identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans but most voters in Ohio are independents.”

(VIDEO AT LINK)

Newsmax has teamed up with Zogby to produce multipart NewsmaxZogby online surveys, focusing on key states like Ohio.

The joint venture will feature three-day Swing State Tracking Polls in Ohio, Florida, and Virginia, and a national poll leading right up to Election Day. The NewsmaxZogby polls use key information based on census data, voter registration figures, CIA fact books, and exit polls to best represent the demographics of the population being surveyed.

Zogby says the tracking is critical, especially in battleground states like Ohio. “Obama just doesn’t have wiggle room in Ohio. Ohio is very important, and it’s going to be very, very close.”

Out of the gate, “the president starts out with a solid deficit — 39 percent who rate him poorly or strongly disapprove of his job performance,” he says. “That means to be credible, he has to win over 90 percent of the rest of the voters. Right now he’s at about 47 percent overall approval, and 50 percent disapprove. But 39 percent strongly disapprove — they’re just not going to vote for him.”

Zogby says he’s seen the state go from being up for grabs to solidly in Obama’s corner to now, up for grabs again...

(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...


TOPICS: Ohio; Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; obama; ohio; polls; romney

1 posted on 10/13/2012 9:29:47 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

O is sending Bruce STFU Springteen out to Ohio to campaign. That should sew things up./s


2 posted on 10/13/2012 9:34:56 PM PDT by o-n-money
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

They should make Ohio vote in August and keep the results sealed until election day for the rest of the country. I’m so tired of hearing about Ohio Independents. Independent simply means they are open to bribes from either side.


3 posted on 10/13/2012 9:47:50 PM PDT by Mike Darancette (Take two Aspirin and call me in November - Obama for Hindmost.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Here’s hoping OblahMao gets a landslided loss of earthquake proportions. Let the Lame Streams eat dirt all night on Nov 6th.


4 posted on 10/13/2012 9:50:08 PM PDT by tflabo (Truth or Tyranny)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Zogby? haha

He’s right though. It’s Mitt-Mentum


5 posted on 10/13/2012 9:55:52 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Mike Darancette
It must make Ohio feel very proud of themselves to know they have the ability to destroy or save the United States.

They must truly love that all the other states can be held hostage to the fragile whims of Ohio voters, truly amazing, and truly disgusting.

Get over yourself Ohio, you ain't that damned important. In fact, I never ever think of you in my daily life, and you are not a place I tend to take a vacation in.

6 posted on 10/13/2012 9:56:11 PM PDT by annieokie (O)
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To: tflabo

I thought Zogby had given it up. I don’t remember seeing any polls from him this cycle. Did I miss?


7 posted on 10/13/2012 9:57:05 PM PDT by gswilder
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To: SeekAndFind; LS; Perdogg; napscoordinator; God luvs America; nutmeg; SoFloFreeper; Ravi; ...

Poll ping.


8 posted on 10/13/2012 9:57:41 PM PDT by Jet Jaguar (The pundits have forgotten the 2010 elections.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
For starters, Ohio does not have registration by political party. People will identify themselves as Democrats or Republicans but most voters in Ohio are independents.”

The first part is misleading and I don't know about the stats for the second. Although you don't register by party, your party affiliation is declared when you request one party's ballot in a primary. If you are neither you will get an issues only ballot in that primary. If you just blow off the primary every year and only vote in the general election you will be an independent by default. There used to be (and may still be) a requirement that if you wanted to change your party affiliation you had to sign an affidavit that you really did vote for your new party, but there is no way to check that and it is almost impossible to challenge it unless an election judge has personal knowledge that you are lying, like if you are a Democratic party official voting as a Republican to spoil a primary choice.

9 posted on 10/13/2012 10:02:16 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (Big Bird is a brood parasite: laid in our nest 43 years ago and we are still feeding him.)
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To: Mike Darancette

I love your idea. LOL! There is a certain amount of truth to your comment.


10 posted on 10/13/2012 10:03:08 PM PDT by Dave W
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To: annieokie
Romney can win other States like WI and not have to have Ohio.

It was always assumed that since WI was a Blue State that it wasn't in play, but I believe it is, as well as some other Blue States.

11 posted on 10/13/2012 10:05:46 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: gswilder

He now does Internet polls.


12 posted on 10/13/2012 10:06:11 PM PDT by Arthurio
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To: o-n-money

We’ll just have to wait and see what happens in the 2nd debate. It can’t get much worse I don’t think for the Democrats. They don ‘t have any real good ideas, now do they.


13 posted on 10/13/2012 10:07:07 PM PDT by rovenstinez
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To: KarlInOhio

And many Democrats are going to be voting Romney I believe.


14 posted on 10/13/2012 10:07:07 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Thanks, I am just sick and tired of these Pohick little nothing states can hold the rest of the country hostage with their grandiose self importance.

They are loving this, brings big $$$$campaign$$$$ into the state, I know the game, but just the same it makes me sick.

Ohio and others you are just not that important, get over yourselves. Maybe it's time to just IGNORE them until they realign their attitude.

15 posted on 10/13/2012 10:23:12 PM PDT by annieokie (O)
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To: annieokie
Believe me, It is not. i hate that I live in a swing state. The only thing worse would be to live in a solid blue state.

The stupidity on display is intolerable. The dozen phone calls from pollsters, GOTV people, BOTH DEM AND REPUB, My wife is still a registered Democrat from Operation Chaos, the endless ROBO calls from all the politicians. It never ends. The damn urban Dem Dummy's, including my neighbors, drive me nuts.

Too many union members, too many auto plants, too many steel mills, too many damn government workers all add up to close elections here in the Buckeye State.

16 posted on 10/13/2012 10:46:17 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

George Gilder on Why Socialism Always Fails

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SvWbjpcy9jI


17 posted on 10/13/2012 10:57:40 PM PDT by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole..)
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To: fortheDeclaration
WI doesn't have near the electoral votes that Ohio has. Ohio has 18, WI has only ten. In order to make up for OH he would have to win PA with 20, but if he wins PA, he wins OH already.

Ohio must go to Romney, I believe it will and comfortably by at least 250,000 votes.

Remember more than 200,000 voters where purged from Cuyahoga County. O’Bumbler won Cuyahoga County by almost 250,000 votes.

18 posted on 10/13/2012 10:59:38 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Jim from C-Town
I was only using that as an example, there are also a couple of other States that could make up the number of EV's, along with WI, like MI and Iowa.

I also think he is going to win Ohio and it won't be close.

All of these polls are using 2008 as their model and it isn't going to be anything like 2008.

The last two debates showed who exactly is in the WH and the American People are going to make a change in 2012.

Remember the WI recall polls being close and then it turning into an easy win for the GOP.

The difference was a massive get out the vote effort which was not factored in the polls.

The ground game is going to win this election and the motivation isn't there for the Democrats.

19 posted on 10/13/2012 11:24:42 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: annieokie

Romney may pick up some other States, but I frankly don’t think Ohio is going to be close, it usually votes GOP and I don’t see any reason why it won’t this time as well.


20 posted on 10/13/2012 11:27:56 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

IIRC, Ohio went for Zero because more than 250K GOP voters stayed home rather than vote for McCain.


21 posted on 10/14/2012 12:50:01 AM PDT by rfp1234
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To: Jim from C-Town

Assuming Romney won FL, VA, and CO (which currently show he is ahead), the combination of NV, IA, and Maine’s split vote is enough even if he lost OH.


22 posted on 10/14/2012 1:17:28 AM PDT by paudio (Post-racial society: When we can legitimately hire and fire a Black man without feeling guilty.)
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Berosus; bigheadfred; Bockscar; ColdOne; Convert from ECUSA; ...

Thanks 2ndDivisionVet.


23 posted on 10/14/2012 1:32:59 AM PDT by SunkenCiv (https://secure.freerepublic.com/donate/)
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To: annieokie

fyi, 8 presidents were born in Ohio.


24 posted on 10/14/2012 2:14:23 AM PDT by staytrue
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To: rfp1234

“IIRC, Ohio went for Zero because more than 250K GOP voters stayed home rather than vote for McCain.”

That and the fact that another 20% of the GOP voters fell for the Hope and Change lie.


25 posted on 10/14/2012 3:56:23 AM PDT by Typelouder
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To: annieokie

Wow...did Ohio pee in your wheaties or something? Such hatred for my little state. By the way, Ohio isn’t the one making the fuss. It’s others making a fuss over Ohio. Perhaps you should learn the difference...


26 posted on 10/14/2012 5:58:48 AM PDT by carton253
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To: Jim from C-Town

Romney wins all the solid red states

Adds CO, VA, NC, FL, NH, and WI, along with 1EV in ME and he is at 272 - victory.

Under this scenario, he doesn’t need OH or PA. Romney has a number of routes to 270, O-man has to practically run the table of remaining toss ups. He must have a major reversal of public sentiment to have a chance. Its probably not going to be close enough for cheating to make a difference.


27 posted on 10/14/2012 7:48:40 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: paudio; centurion316; fortheDeclaration
I agree with all of you. The best advice from any of us would be to win OH.

I think Romney WILL win OH. I think he will also win many more states than that. I have been saying for months that I think it will be a solid win, if not a run away win for ANY Republican candidate against O’Bumbler. After the first debate and the A-Hole Biden, it could be a landslide!

28 posted on 10/14/2012 8:58:43 AM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
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To: Jim from C-Town

I also believe that Romney will win Ohio. The MSM has proclaimed that this is a must win state for the GOP. I say the opposite, it is a must win state for Obama, and he knows it. If he can’t win Ohio, the other toss ups won’t come his way either. It is the clearest and best path to victory, but if Obama pulls it out, he is still in considerable trouble.


29 posted on 10/14/2012 9:08:45 AM PDT by centurion316
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