Skip to comments.Mitt Romney set to win, maybe by a mile: Republican momentum makes prez desperate
Posted on 10/30/2012 11:18:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
One week from today, the Boston Heralds front page will either read Obama Pulls Out Victory Or Romney Wins. (Actually, given that this is the Herald the headline will be something clever like, Hes Barack In Charge! or Sweet Mitt-ory!)
I predict the latter. One week from today, Mitt wins.
Ill even go a step farther. Ill ask the question poll watchers across America are thinking but afraid to ask: Is this election over?
If your source of news is MSNBC or the Boston Globe-Democrat, obviously not. If anything, you think President Obama is on the verge of a massive sweep from North Carolina to Nevada.
But if youve been watching the polls and the campaigns at all objectively, youre starting to see a picture develop. One where Romneys the winner well before bedtime.
I believe were on the verge of a solid Romney win for two reasons. One is the objective evidence. The other is the ugly desperation of the Obama campaign in its final days.
First the numbers. And lets start with the big one: Before Gallup suspended polling due to Hurricane Sandy, Mitt Romney was at or above 50 percent among likely voters for 14 consecutive days. No candidate above 50 percent at this point has ever lost the presidential race.
The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.
Obama supporters are quick to tell you the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day. Two things: a) thats what candidates who are behind always say; b) this is election day.
Thanks to early voting, millions of votes have already been cast. Four years ago on this day Halloweek Gallup released a poll of folks whod already voted and found Obama was beating John McCain by 15 points.
This year? Hes losing to Mitt Romney 52 percent to 45 percent a set swing of 22 points. The wrong way.
But who cares if Obama loses the popular vote (and he will, by the way)? All that matters is winning the Electoral College vote in the swing states! Thats Obamas path to victory!
OK. But what is a swing state? Forget Virginia and Ohio. Obamas lost so much ground hes been forced to send Joe Biden to Pennsylvania and Bill Clinton to Minnesota a state so blue Ronald Reagan never carried it.
The president, on the other hand, is only up by 6 among the loony-left granola-crunchers of Oregon.
Those are the numbers. The campaign Obamas running looks even worse.
Between desperate, last-second proposals for a Secretary of Business and embarrassing ads comparing voting for Obama to a girl losing her virginity, you can smell the desperation from the Obama camp.
These are the juvenile stunts of a second-tier congressional race, not the campaign of an incumbent president. Then again, has any other president posted a picture of his opponent in a dunce cap? Or called his opponent a bullsh***er on the record? Obamas done both.
The Obama campaign is angry, its negative and it acts like to quote Bill Clinton its feelings are hurt. In a word: Losing.
More and more people sense it. Ben Domenech wrote at RealClearPoli tics.com about an undertow that seems to be pulling Obamas support away. Its not that Obamas supporters have turned on him. Theyve just abandoned him. Theyve drifted away. Like so many of us, theyre just done with Obama.
If Im wrong, Im counting on you to mock me for it mercilessly next Wednesday. But Im not wrong.
And isnt it interesting how many people already seem to know it.
Obama, the affirmative action president, has never had to earn anything himself. Romney is such a straight arrow that there isn’t any dirt to find on him by the Obama campaign’s private detectives.
Nope. You have it right and I think Mitt is going to win bigger than many are currently thinking.
Romney/Ryan WINS!!! ......................................................... FRegards
I’m still counting on a super close election with a narrow Romney win.
Demographics are such that GOP blowouts are extremely tough to get, and I actually think the Pres. will get some positive bounce from the hurricane.
I sure would love to be wrong and see Graham’s scenario play out instead though.
The communist DemocRATS’ campaign “ads” in Arizona are enough to make a zombie puke. The ‘RATS are really down there in the sewer. Desperation isn’t pretty.
I have been calling this for the last nine months, much, much, to my wife’s annoyance, because until the last three weeks all I could say to support my opinion was my “gut.” I just never felt that a president who has failed this badly could convince anyone other than his delusional true believers to reelect him. Plus, he could never get over that 50% number, which is death to an incumbent.
I predict a heavy, heavy demand on bath salts.
They’ll be in each other’s face..
Romney 275 (Wins WI, IA, CO, VA, NC, FL, NH)
Obama 263 (Wins OH, MI, PA, NV)
Note: Ohio is not critical in 2012
That 47% number is going down in history
“The president, on the other hand, is only up by 6 among the loony-left granola-crunchers of Oregon.”
Don’t even get me started on Washington state - 53%(O) - 41%(R).
I wonder if Lea Dunham will still want to get laid by Barry Soetorro after the election? lol
I’m still wretching over that “lose your virginity to obama ad”. lol
Obama will not take Ohio
He is polling ahead there by 2%
Romney is ahead by 2% in Ohio
My mind tells me people can't be dumb enough to elect the Muslim again, but then a poll comes out with him leading. Then the toe sucker comes on Hanity and says it's in the bag. Then someone interviews some college kids and they don't even know who Geo. Washington was and that sinking feeling comes back over me. I fall back to trusting America to do the right thing, but I have been disappointed before. I was jumping up and down when we wouldn't impeach Clinton, but this is bigger, IMHO. I think if Obama gets a second shot at the apple, America is finished,....literally. I cannot even imagine a crazy doped up college kid voting for no jobs after college.
I think so too.
That after I vote next Tuesday, a lot of people will be quietly smiling and nodding at each other and saying “Happy 1980.” The joy will be subdued throughout the day and will reach a crescendo that evening.
People will be flashing R+R gang signs at each other and smiling.
R+R gang signs?
Curl forefinger against thumb, stick out middle and ring fingers, to make an “R.”
Yeah...he’s desperate. I heard a campaign commercial where he was the only one spewing his lies. 5 million jobs, auto industry saved....read MY plan, more promises, lies and bullshit.
He has sunk to pleading (lying) in person on air without Letterman-Leno-Stuart, and not depending on Biden, the Wookie, DWS, et al....
I also believe it is big....BIG. They’ve been busting at the seams trying to get R voters discouraged and to shore up their core (uber libs and minorities) even at the expense of white men, religious women, Jews, etc.... it hasn’t worked and the MSM can’t hold it for him anymore, at least not with trying to help him cover up Benghazi AND hide the tide against him.
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