Skip to comments.Mitt Romney set to win, maybe by a mile: Republican momentum makes prez desperate
Posted on 10/30/2012 11:18:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
One week from today, the Boston Heralds front page will either read Obama Pulls Out Victory Or Romney Wins. (Actually, given that this is the Herald the headline will be something clever like, Hes Barack In Charge! or Sweet Mitt-ory!)
I predict the latter. One week from today, Mitt wins.
Ill even go a step farther. Ill ask the question poll watchers across America are thinking but afraid to ask: Is this election over?
If your source of news is MSNBC or the Boston Globe-Democrat, obviously not. If anything, you think President Obama is on the verge of a massive sweep from North Carolina to Nevada.
But if youve been watching the polls and the campaigns at all objectively, youre starting to see a picture develop. One where Romneys the winner well before bedtime.
I believe were on the verge of a solid Romney win for two reasons. One is the objective evidence. The other is the ugly desperation of the Obama campaign in its final days.
First the numbers. And lets start with the big one: Before Gallup suspended polling due to Hurricane Sandy, Mitt Romney was at or above 50 percent among likely voters for 14 consecutive days. No candidate above 50 percent at this point has ever lost the presidential race.
The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.
Obama supporters are quick to tell you the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day. Two things: a) thats what candidates who are behind always say; b) this is election day.
Thanks to early voting, millions of votes have already been cast. Four years ago on this day Halloweek Gallup released a poll of folks whod already voted and found Obama was beating John McCain by 15 points.
This year? Hes losing to Mitt Romney 52 percent to 45 percent a set swing of 22 points. The wrong way.
But who cares if Obama loses the popular vote (and he will, by the way)? All that matters is winning the Electoral College vote in the swing states! Thats Obamas path to victory!
OK. But what is a swing state? Forget Virginia and Ohio. Obamas lost so much ground hes been forced to send Joe Biden to Pennsylvania and Bill Clinton to Minnesota a state so blue Ronald Reagan never carried it.
The president, on the other hand, is only up by 6 among the loony-left granola-crunchers of Oregon.
Those are the numbers. The campaign Obamas running looks even worse.
Between desperate, last-second proposals for a Secretary of Business and embarrassing ads comparing voting for Obama to a girl losing her virginity, you can smell the desperation from the Obama camp.
These are the juvenile stunts of a second-tier congressional race, not the campaign of an incumbent president. Then again, has any other president posted a picture of his opponent in a dunce cap? Or called his opponent a bullsh***er on the record? Obamas done both.
The Obama campaign is angry, its negative and it acts like to quote Bill Clinton its feelings are hurt. In a word: Losing.
More and more people sense it. Ben Domenech wrote at RealClearPoli tics.com about an undertow that seems to be pulling Obamas support away. Its not that Obamas supporters have turned on him. Theyve just abandoned him. Theyve drifted away. Like so many of us, theyre just done with Obama.
If Im wrong, Im counting on you to mock me for it mercilessly next Wednesday. But Im not wrong.
And isnt it interesting how many people already seem to know it.
Obama, the affirmative action president, has never had to earn anything himself. Romney is such a straight arrow that there isn’t any dirt to find on him by the Obama campaign’s private detectives.
Nope. You have it right and I think Mitt is going to win bigger than many are currently thinking.
Romney/Ryan WINS!!! ......................................................... FRegards
I’m still counting on a super close election with a narrow Romney win.
Demographics are such that GOP blowouts are extremely tough to get, and I actually think the Pres. will get some positive bounce from the hurricane.
I sure would love to be wrong and see Graham’s scenario play out instead though.
The communist DemocRATS’ campaign “ads” in Arizona are enough to make a zombie puke. The ‘RATS are really down there in the sewer. Desperation isn’t pretty.
I have been calling this for the last nine months, much, much, to my wife’s annoyance, because until the last three weeks all I could say to support my opinion was my “gut.” I just never felt that a president who has failed this badly could convince anyone other than his delusional true believers to reelect him. Plus, he could never get over that 50% number, which is death to an incumbent.
I predict a heavy, heavy demand on bath salts.
They’ll be in each other’s face..
Romney 275 (Wins WI, IA, CO, VA, NC, FL, NH)
Obama 263 (Wins OH, MI, PA, NV)
Note: Ohio is not critical in 2012
That 47% number is going down in history
“The president, on the other hand, is only up by 6 among the loony-left granola-crunchers of Oregon.”
Don’t even get me started on Washington state - 53%(O) - 41%(R).
I wonder if Lea Dunham will still want to get laid by Barry Soetorro after the election? lol
I’m still wretching over that “lose your virginity to obama ad”. lol
Obama will not take Ohio
He is polling ahead there by 2%
Romney is ahead by 2% in Ohio
My mind tells me people can't be dumb enough to elect the Muslim again, but then a poll comes out with him leading. Then the toe sucker comes on Hanity and says it's in the bag. Then someone interviews some college kids and they don't even know who Geo. Washington was and that sinking feeling comes back over me. I fall back to trusting America to do the right thing, but I have been disappointed before. I was jumping up and down when we wouldn't impeach Clinton, but this is bigger, IMHO. I think if Obama gets a second shot at the apple, America is finished,....literally. I cannot even imagine a crazy doped up college kid voting for no jobs after college.
I think so too.
That after I vote next Tuesday, a lot of people will be quietly smiling and nodding at each other and saying “Happy 1980.” The joy will be subdued throughout the day and will reach a crescendo that evening.
People will be flashing R+R gang signs at each other and smiling.
R+R gang signs?
Curl forefinger against thumb, stick out middle and ring fingers, to make an “R.”
Yeah...he’s desperate. I heard a campaign commercial where he was the only one spewing his lies. 5 million jobs, auto industry saved....read MY plan, more promises, lies and bullshit.
He has sunk to pleading (lying) in person on air without Letterman-Leno-Stuart, and not depending on Biden, the Wookie, DWS, et al....
I also believe it is big....BIG. They’ve been busting at the seams trying to get R voters discouraged and to shore up their core (uber libs and minorities) even at the expense of white men, religious women, Jews, etc.... it hasn’t worked and the MSM can’t hold it for him anymore, at least not with trying to help him cover up Benghazi AND hide the tide against him.
Would not surprise me Romney does exactly what this writer claims. Romney has all the momentum
And, Sandy has little to do with the outcome. Most of the states affected are Obama states, anyway...and, it is liberals who tend to stay home when weather is bad
When states like Minnesota are in Romney’s grasp...you know Obama has major problems. I think George McGovern even won Minnesota when he got slaughtered in ‘72
I think we’re about to see a glittering example of the Bradley effect. A lot of white people (and others) don’t want to vocally complain about the black, quota-hire guy doing a bad job. They have decided to wait for election day to quietly do away with this hideous embarrassment. They won’t complain out loud but they will make their dissatisfaction known.
The election isn’t over until Candy Crowley sings.
I think we will all realize after the Romney-Ryan win that, in the name of giving hope to those on the left, the 2010 mid-terms were completely ignored in the run-up to this election.
From 2008 to 2010, there’s an acute upward trajectory in Republican fervor and turnout. All the institutions on the left—academia, the media, and the Democratic Party ground-game apparatus were in place. None had any impact on the outcome. Lest we forget, the media, for example, shilled for each and every Dem candidate, in state, congressional, gubernatorial and municipal races, and they still lost in monumental fashion.
Let’s ask ourselves the question “What did Obama and the liberals do in the ensuing two years to change not only the outcome for 2012, but the trajectory from the election in 2008 to the ones in 2010?
It must be factored in that 18 to 20 year olds, still steeped in Obama worship coming from the institutions still owned by the left, may be predisposed to Obama. But they have PARENTS, who may have been able to counter the indoctrination, since parents, those who turned out in droves in 2010 at least, know what happened in 2008, and may strap the young’uns to the couch on Nov 6.
So it’s hard not to see a decisive victory for R-R in 2012, and all our consternation may have been engineered by those who ignored the 2010 shellacking, and wished us to do the same.
I refuse to gloat until next Tuesday night.
One thing the MSM and political pundents have ignored and totally underestimated is the fact that the Tea Party hasn't gone away, we are still here, still conservative and still active. The only difference is we are less visible (the MSM totally ignored or purposely underestimated and misrepresented our numbers and our message when we were openly visible and vocal anyway so we "went underground" and continued doing what we said we would do and make our millions upon millions of voices heard at the ballott box in 2010. 2012 is no different, the Tea Party is stronger today and we are, Lord willing, about to continue the work we started in 2010 by sweeping Obama and the Democrats out of power via a tsunami, landslide victory for RR and numerous conservative and Republican (yes we recognize the difference) candidates.
The Tea Party is alive and well and we aren't going anywhere until the job is done!
Mitt will carry all the Bush states and might win one or two surprise states. Obama will win all the reliable states, but by much smaller margins which doesn’t really matter. The final tally will be something like 51 to 46 popular.
If Obama wins, he will have negative coat tails, he will lose senate seats and house seats.
If Romney wins, he will have short coat tails but the repubs will move to 50 seats in the senate.
Geez, that’s a scary photo.
See ya Tuesday, I hope.
Good luck, pally! Fair skies .................................................... FRegards