Here’s their math (remember, this is NOT a Presidential election, it is state by state ):
There are states to concentrate on and they fall into two groups .... “Take Back” states and “Upgrade” states as follows:
Take Back (from Dem incumbent)
North Carolina Hagan
South Dakota - Johnson
West Virginia - Rockefeller
Upgrade (from lesser conservative)
South Carolina Graham
Wyoming - Enzi
With the exception of Colorado (should be GOP), every state went Romney in 2012.
Yes, well put. Those who are comparing this to 2012 don’t know what they’re talking about. The more proper analogy would be 2010. And Obama Care / IRS will work against the Dems bigtime in ‘14.
It would make for an interesting race...
I'm a little more hopeful with Cruz gaining traction and the HOR 'pubs (fingers croseed) standing firm.
We also need to Prioritize those seats. Ie you get more bang for your buck is small inexpensive media markets. Also “upgrading” has its risk as well. Ask the folks in Indiana how that worked out for them..
So, using this criteria, Lets prioritize the Upgrades:
WY: inexpensive media, Good replacement check and check.
TN: Way more costly, Lamar! is a RINO, some good choices are available (Marsha Blackburn)
SC: Expensive, Don’t forget, Tim Scott also will be on the ballot. Anybody else see a problem with explaining that this republican good, that republican bad to a low information voter?
GA: Not red enough to assure winner in bloody primary takes general.
TX: Too expensive, money better utilized elsewhere.
Added Criteria: Open seats are easier to take.
How Republican is the electorate, margin in last 3 presidentals is a good rule of thumb.
SD: Inexpensive Media, Open Seat, Very Republican in Statewide races, poor candidate selection by dems.
MT: Open, inexpensive media, Most formidable dem chose not to run.
WV: Open, Reasonable media expense, Poor candidate selection on Dem. ( Is Capito just another RINO?)
AK: Begitch has baggage, Imagine the shear size of Alaska makes media expensive. Never voted for a budget in 6 yrs.
LA: Landrieu has always under performed. Her state lost 400k mostly dem voters after Katrina. Media is reasonalby priced. Please lets pick this up!! Very favorable Demographics.
AR: Pryor is vulnerable to the right candidate. Media is reasonable, more bang for the buck. Has not voted on a budget in 6yrs in majority. Favorable demographics.
NC: Hagan has not done anything for the state. Demographics and media are not as favorable as previous states; Has not voted for a budget in six years of the majority. Rubber Stamp for Harry Reid.
IA: Open, reasonable cost. Even Demographics.
MI: Open, expensive, fair demographics for right candidate.
CO: Udall is despicable, Media more than average cost, has not voted for a budget in 6 yrs of majority. Good place to undo OFA.
In Conclusion, My rankings in priority would be:
14: MN I would really love to see Franken defeated.
Thanks for Playing, CPT Clay