Posted on 07/30/2013 1:01:56 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Gotta figure her lead would be even bigger without Joe Miller in the field here.
Her nomination for the taking?
Alaska should be a top tier pick up opportunity for Senate Republicans next year…but their top choice of a candidate is Sarah Palin. 36% of GOP primary voters in the state say they’d like Palin to be their standard bearer against Mark Begich to 26% for Mead Treadwell, 15% for Dan Sullivan, and 12% for Joe Miller. Palin leads mostly based on her strength with ‘very conservative’ voters where she gets 43% to 20% for Treadwell, but she also leads him 28/25 with moderates.
The problem for Republicans with a Palin candidacy is that even though she is in good standing with the party base, voters overall don’t like her at all. She has a 39/58 favorability rating, including 33/64 with key independent voters. There’s a lot of division about how strong her ties to the state even are anymore- only 47% of voters consider her to still be an Alaskan while 46% don’t, and 37% of voters in the state think it would be more appropriate for her to run for the Senate from Arizona to 41% who say Alaska.
It all adds up to a 52/40 lead for Begich in a hypothetical match up with Palin. He leads by 21 points with independents, 56/35, and takes 20% of the Republican vote. It’s a slight improvement for Palin from February when we found her trailing Begich 54/38, but she’s very much in a hole.
Assuming half of Miller’s supporters would break for her if he dropped out, she’s above 40 percent without having run a single ad yet.....
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Ping to Sarah's Awesome List!
Sorry for the late ping, long day at work.
Anyone got the polls back in 2006?
Gotta luv the agitprop from some folks......typical.
But he has 20% of the vote from RINOs, GOPes and Palin haters. If she wants the Senate seat, it’s hers for the taking.
And for the NSA trolls, FU.
Has she even mentioned running or is this the same hopeful splash we’ve seen people beat at before?
If she hasn’t said she’s running then I’m not buying all the wishful thinking...and certainly not going to belly up to the bar until she does.
And further I’m not going to go thru the Sarah tease again if or not she is. I learned from that game and not playing. I won’t waste money again...
Bull,conservatives love Sarah Palin liberals are scared to death of Sarah and if she ran for Senate she would get it.I can't wait until November and we can get rid of the dead beats in Washington..I know I can't vote for her but I can pray real hard she will win if she runs..
PPP is a liberal polling org. they are so scared of Palin running for president to challenge their Hillary that they want to at least get her stuck in the Senate
PPP trying to get sarah to run for Senate so she Doesn’t run for president. obvious
I’d say maybe she if she won a Senate seat, she could then run for President in another two years. But I don’t know if that would work. The slimers have already gone with the meme that she “quit” the governorship—even though she didn’t do so until she had a solid guy to replace her, and in the face of endless fake lawsuits that were bleeding her and her family dry. But I don’t think she could afford to use the Senate seat as a stepping stone after all that.
And we don’t really need her as one more Senator. We really, really need her in the White House, difficult as that may be to achieve. But it could be done if only we could get all the conservative factions to work together.
Otherwise, it’s RINO time again. Jeb Bush and Co. Not much good that Sarah could do as a Senator under yet another bush.
Don’t bite on this Sarah! They only want you out of the way. They want you to focus on the senate seat and not paying attention to them. Yes “them” and you know who you are. Can say Dems anymore because its not just the libs after you.
Sarah, I like your sweat shirt. Where can we get one, two, three?????
Numbers get radically “adjusted” on those final polls, because the polling outfits know that their reputation will be measured by the accuracy of that final poll.
In the meanwhile, expect the usual push-polling which shows the more liberal candidate(s) in every primary and general matchup to be ahead, typically significantly ahead. The polling firms know they can do this without consequence, so long as they make a concerted effort to be accurate on the last poll before voting.
There's a reason Rasmussen's numbers tend to chart in straight lines, whereas other polling firms see radical closure during the final days of an election. He tries to be accurate during the entire cycle, whereas most of the others try to shape public opinion until Election Day(CNN, NBC, NYT, CBS, Post, PPP.......).
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