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Rasmussen poll of Republican voters: Christie 21, Rubio 18, Jeb Bush 16
Hot Air ^ | August 7, 2013 | Allahpundit

Posted on 08/11/2013 7:50:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

One word, my friends: RINOgeddon.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that Christie earns 21% support when Republican voters are asked whom they would vote for if the party’s primary in their state were held today. Florida Senator Marco Rubio runs a close second with 18% of the GOP vote, followed by former Florida Governor Jeb Bush at 16% and Kentucky Senator Rand Paul with 15% of the vote.

Congressman Paul Ryan, the unsuccessful Republican vice presidential candidate in 2012, picks up 13% of the Republican vote, with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker dead last at six percent (6%). Just three percent (3%) prefer another candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.

Good news for Christie-haters: He’s also leading the field — by double digits — when Republicans are asked who they’d least like to see win the nomination. (His new nemesis, Rand Paul, is a distant second.) This is why I keep thinking that, for all the slobber over his “electability,” he might be so widely and deeply disliked by a small but significant minority of righties that they end up staying home if he’s nominee and costing him the election. To be “electable” with a few percentage points’ worth of conservatives sitting out, he’d have to offset them by grabbing more centrist Democrats than expected from the Democratic nominee. How likely is that if Hillary’s the pick and Bill Clinton’s out there every day for her on the trail? Every candidate tacks toward the center after he’s nominated, but Christie would tack further than most — not just because he’s inclined to, but because he might have to in order to make up those lost conservative votes.

It’s time (already!) to stop thinking about national polls for 2016, though, and to start thinking in terms of Iowa and New Hampshire. They’re the springboards to national success, after all; if a top-flight candidate can’t play in either of them, for whatever strange reason, they won’t have any traction for South Carolina and Florida. Right, Marco Rubio?

A new Granite State Poll conducted for WMUR-TV shows Rubio, who was tied with Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) for the lead in an April poll by the same pollster at 15 percent, now garners the support of just 6 percent of New Hampshire GOP primary voters, placing fifth.

Rubio’s favorable rating has also taken a hit. While in April he was viewed favorably by 59 percent and unfavorably by 8 percent, his favorable-unfavorable split is now 47-14.

The poll’s new leader is New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, at 21 percent. He is followed by Paul at 16 percent, former Florida governor Jeb Bush at 10 percent, Rep. Paul Ryan (Wis.) at 8 percent and Rubio at 6 percent.

Rubio’s a special case in that he’s a Florida native and could, in theory, win there even if he loses the first three major primaries, but imagine how many “Rubio disappoints again” stories will be written before then. New Hampshire is going to be even tougher than usual next time too thanks to Christie’s and Paul’s likely candidacies: Each of them, in very different ways, seems better suited to NH’s maverick-y sensibility than Rubio does. (New Hampshire will, I think, end up as ground zero for the Christie/Paul debate on national security and civil liberties.) Iowa is Rubio’s best bet and Iowa famously has a lot of social conservatives, which is why you’re seeing him sponsor that Senate abortion bill and why he made such a stink about gay marriage during the immigration debate instead of the more important stuff like, say, amnesty.

His best bet at an early primary win, then, might be to go full social con and hope that (a) caucusgoers decide that Santorum’s a lost cause this time and (b) Rand Paul somehow flames out, which is difficult to imagine given that Ron’s supporters nearly carried him to victory there last time. In fact, as strange as this sounds, I’d argue that the ostensibly fringy Paul is the guy best positioned right now to sweep Iowa and New Hampshire. He’s got the Paulites in Iowa behind him and he’s been working to woo social conservatives; he also doesn’t have Rubio’s vulnerability on immigration in Steve King country. His foreign policy views and libertarian take on spending will make him competitive in New Hampshire too, especially if he gets some momentum from winning Iowa. If he wins one or, especially, both, Beltway Republicans will shift immediately into “stop Paul” panic mode and someone — Christie, Walker, maybe Rubio — will become the designated anti-Paul establishment favorite for South Carolina and Florida. Makes me wonder if, oddly enough, that’s not Rubio’s best bet at this point. Hope Rand looks strong early and then wait for the non-libertarian segments of the party to run fleeing to him in terror as a guy who might be able to unite the center and right in overcoming Paul.

One other fun fact from the Rasmussen poll: Among Democrats, Christie is the guy they’d most like to see win the GOP nomination — and Jeb Bush, by far, is who they’d least like to see win. Shouldn’t it be the opposite? If you’re a Dem, you’d love to run against a guy named Bush, especially if you’re carrying the dynastic liability of nominating someone named Clinton. Or do Democrats really think Jeb would be that formidable in the general?


TOPICS: Florida; Iowa; Kentucky; New Hampshire; New Jersey; Campaign News; Parties; Polls; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: 2016; bush; chrischristie; cruzpalinorbust; krispykreme; marcorubio; naturalborncuban; noneoftheabove; nonoandno; polls; randpaul; rove; rubio
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Has Jeb Bush ever lost a race? Notice who is never mentioned?
1 posted on 08/11/2013 7:50:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Where the hell did he poll? NY/NJ MIAMI?........


2 posted on 08/11/2013 7:52:32 PM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? Google your own name......Want to have fun? Google your friend's names........)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Was “None of the Above” a poll choice? It would have been mine.


3 posted on 08/11/2013 7:53:07 PM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Cruz?

Palin?

Maybe they weren’t included.


4 posted on 08/11/2013 7:53:19 PM PDT by upchuck (My therapist says I have a preoccupation with vengeance. We'll see about that.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

5 posted on 08/11/2013 7:53:43 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Forget the GOP, it is run by Rove and Romney,
the bastards who impose SOCIALIZED MEDICINE,
OPEN BORDERS and protection of Obama’s unConstitutional
actions and inactions.


6 posted on 08/11/2013 7:54:45 PM PDT by Diogenesis
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To: Red Badger

So my choices are Fat Boy,a La Raza front man,or yet another Bush?


7 posted on 08/11/2013 7:55:03 PM PDT by Farmer Dean (stop worrying about what they want to do to you,start thinking about what you want to do to them)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This was a poll of 10 liberals.

Krispy Kreme will lose Iowa, might win New Hampshire, lose South Carolina, lose Florida, and then lose everything not in the North East.


8 posted on 08/11/2013 7:55:06 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Wait until the voters see Cruz slay the likes of Christie, Rubio and Bush in a debate and this poll will turn upside down.


9 posted on 08/11/2013 7:55:37 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

What per cent was Santorum receiving in 2009?


10 posted on 08/11/2013 7:55:53 PM PDT by alstewartfan ("The atmosphere's too cold in here to attract a butterfly like that." Al Stewart)
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To: upchuck

Cruz would have been my #1 and only choice.


11 posted on 08/11/2013 7:55:58 PM PDT by Joann37
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To: Diogenesis

Forget the GOP, it is run by Rove and Romney,


Rove, yes. Romney, no. Show me where Romney has any say-so in the GOP/RNC.


12 posted on 08/11/2013 7:56:46 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Another election to stay home?


13 posted on 08/11/2013 7:58:49 PM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: Joann37

bump


14 posted on 08/11/2013 7:59:38 PM PDT by GeronL
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To: Viennacon

Iowa has enthusiastically thrown down for Cruz.

GOP-e can’t deal with it. They will Murkowski every TEA candidate that surges in ‘14, believe that.

I believe they will FAIL.

We will be rid of them in about 16 months.


15 posted on 08/11/2013 8:00:29 PM PDT by txhurl ('The DOG ate my homework. That homework, too. ALL my homework. OK?' - POSHITUS)
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To: laplata
Show me where Romney has any say-so in the GOP/RNC.

If he doesn't, then I guess the GOP leaders don't fit the old definition of "an honest politician."

16 posted on 08/11/2013 8:01:14 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh Gawd! Here we go again.


17 posted on 08/11/2013 8:02:05 PM PDT by Bullish (Psalm 46)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Just three percent (3%) prefer another candidate

What?

Only 3% prefer somebody other than a pro amnesty Paul and 4 pro amnesty RINOs??

In my view, like everything now, these polls are so damn corrupt.

18 posted on 08/11/2013 8:02:22 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
There it is: more proof that I'm not a french rino. I can't stand all three of them.

Good luck stormin' the castle, boys.

19 posted on 08/11/2013 8:02:47 PM PDT by GBA (Our obamanation: Romans 1:18-32)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Isn’t it amazing how the same kinds of RINOs always win these polls?


20 posted on 08/11/2013 8:04:10 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Telephone polls are meaningless. They only call landlines, and how many people have landlines these days?


21 posted on 08/11/2013 8:04:11 PM PDT by jespasinthru (Proud member of the Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

CRUZ, PALIN OR bust, AND YES those are my keywords.


22 posted on 08/11/2013 8:08:06 PM PDT by onyx (Please Support Free Republic - Donate Monthly! If you want on Sarah Palin's Ping List, Let Me know!)
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To: txhurl

You can’t Murkowski someone just anywhere. It has to be somewhere with a particularly corrupt state party and a village of Eskimos whose signatures you can forge.

Imagine if Joe Miller had actually gotten the seat he won fair and square. He’d have given a speech during Paul’s filibuster for sure.


23 posted on 08/11/2013 8:08:34 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: EternalVigilance

I don’t think Romney is now involved in the GOP/RNC at all.


24 posted on 08/11/2013 8:08:53 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: laplata

Romney is out of the picture. Its Rove we have to worry about.


25 posted on 08/11/2013 8:09:12 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Facebook has a “Like” button. I propose a button having the outline of a man sticking his finger down his throat. . . that is what I think of those 3 Republican choices.


26 posted on 08/11/2013 8:10:45 PM PDT by RatRipper (Self-centeredness, greed, envy, deceit and lawless corruption has killed this once great nation.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Chris Christie, Marco Rubio, Jeb Bush.
Yep that should do it. My guess is if one or more of those three are the Republican nominee(s) someones yellow dog will get a lot of votes.
27 posted on 08/11/2013 8:15:40 PM PDT by Tupelo (The Government lies, then the media lies to cover up the government lies.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Was I supposed to care who’s ahead and who’s behind in the Vichy Republican party?


28 posted on 08/11/2013 8:16:06 PM PDT by Standing Wolf (No tyrant should ever be allowed to die of natural causes.)
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To: Tupelo

Why not bring back McCain or Romney at this rate?


29 posted on 08/11/2013 8:16:20 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (I aim to raise a million plus for Gov. Palin. What'll you do?.)
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To: laplata
I don’t think Romney is now involved in the GOP/RNC at all.

Really? I could have sworn he was just up in New Hampshire warning the party against the political dangers of defunding Obamacare.

30 posted on 08/11/2013 8:16:41 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: Red Badger

“Among Democrats, Christie is the guy they’d most like to see win the GOP nomination”

Tells you something


31 posted on 08/11/2013 8:16:51 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon

Romney is out of the picture. Its Rove we have to worry about.


Exactly!


32 posted on 08/11/2013 8:17:14 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: Red Badger

Would like for him to poll TEA PARTY voting citizens rather than RINO’s. He get a more accurate result.


33 posted on 08/11/2013 8:17:54 PM PDT by wetgundog (" Extremism in the Defense of Liberty is no Vice")
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To: EternalVigilance

He’s chiming in just like Dole and others would. Means nothing. Nobody is listening, just like McLame.


34 posted on 08/11/2013 8:18:02 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: EternalVigilance

I hadn’t heard about that. What a skunk.


35 posted on 08/11/2013 8:18:41 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: Viennacon
Nobody is listening,

Well, no one except the folks who actually run the party.

36 posted on 08/11/2013 8:19:28 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: laplata

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/08/07/19914511-romney-re-enters-gop-fray?lite


37 posted on 08/11/2013 8:20:39 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Looks to me like none of them have anything to brag about.


38 posted on 08/11/2013 8:23:11 PM PDT by RC one
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To: EternalVigilance

Thanks, EV. What a sorry bastard he is.

I thought he’d crawled back under a rock never to be seen again.


39 posted on 08/11/2013 8:23:33 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: EternalVigilance

And they are nobodies, so nobody is listening. :D
They can’t control us anymore. That’s why Lindsey Gayham is going down in 2014. They’ll whine and complain, but like it or not, Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Rand Paul, and others are senators. We got them elected.

Krispy Kreme will NOT be our nominee in 2016. He’ll try to run to the right of Rubio on immigration, but his appointed senator voted for amnesty. They’ll destroy each other, and good riddance.


40 posted on 08/11/2013 8:24:37 PM PDT by Viennacon
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To: Viennacon
And they are nobodies, so nobody is listening. :D

What do you rate the odds of the GOP leadership defunding Obamacare?

41 posted on 08/11/2013 8:26:49 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Christie has name recognition, and he is big enough that everyone has seen him. Rubio is still trading on his pre amnesty popularity. The world, even the one Republicans live in, is slow on the political uptake.

Now is the time to start educating the lost and pitiful souls who don’t pay attention to bad men.


42 posted on 08/11/2013 8:27:48 PM PDT by pallis
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

God help us...


43 posted on 08/11/2013 8:28:01 PM PDT by babygene ( .)
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To: Viennacon
They’ll whine and complain, but like it or not, Ted Cruz, Mike Lee, Rand Paul, and others are senators. We got them elected.

They're not even conservative enough to rescue this free republic.

44 posted on 08/11/2013 8:28:02 PM PDT by EternalVigilance (Equal Protection for the individual's unalienable right to life is not optional. It is imperative.)
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To: Pearls Before Swine

I have no clue as to who would want blubo Obozo suckup Christie


45 posted on 08/11/2013 8:28:34 PM PDT by AlexW
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

An election cant fix the nation.

If Reagan rose from the dead, he couldn’t fix it.

Turn the lights out the US is as done as the USSR.

It’s over.

Voting and posting will give us more of what we have.


46 posted on 08/11/2013 8:45:11 PM PDT by NoLibZone (The reason we are where we are today is the belief that posting on a website will fix the nation.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Hillary will beat anyone of them like a rented mule.


47 posted on 08/11/2013 8:46:28 PM PDT by Baynative (Lord, keep your arm around my shoulder and your hand over my mouth.)
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To: EternalVigilance

What do you rate the odds of the GOP leadership defunding Obamacare?


ZERO


48 posted on 08/11/2013 8:47:21 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: NoLibZone

You’re exactly right. We’re kidding ourselves if we think some conservative is going to step in and save us.


49 posted on 08/11/2013 8:50:04 PM PDT by laplata (Liberals don't get it .... their minds are diseased.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I would pay to see “None of the Above” added to the poll and I guarangee “NOTA” would pull more than 50%


50 posted on 08/11/2013 8:57:13 PM PDT by bigbob
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