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Upset: Republican wins surprise blowout in Arkansas Senate special election
Hot Air ^ | January 17, 2014 | Guy Benson

Posted on 01/17/2014 8:47:18 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

Let’s read some 2014 tea leaves, shall we? First, some background on an Arkansas special election that was decided earlier this week:

The special election for a northeast Arkansas Senate seat vacated by a lawmaker who resigned over ethics violations will be an early bellwether on the fight to protect the state’s Medicaid expansion, as well as Democrats’ chances in the November election. Voters head to the polls Tuesday to cast ballots in the special election between Democrat Steve Rockwell and Republican John Cooper for state Senate District 21 seat that covers the Jonesboro area. The winner will serve the remainder of the term of former state Sen. Paul Bookout – a Democrat. The race for Bookout’s seat between Rockwell and Cooper has centered on the key issue facing lawmakers when they return for next month’s fiscal session – whether to continue the state’s “private option” plan to expand Medicaid.

Craighead County has not been represented by a Republican in the state senate since reconstruction. An analysis from the left-wing Daily Kos explained the dynamics and significance of this race:

Craighead County is part of the Delta. As such, it is part of the rural Democratic coalition that dominated state politics for over a century. Today, county politics are still largely Democratic…On the politics side of things, this election is huge. Craighead County is a key area of the state for both Mark Pryor and Mike Ross to win (they need to get at minimum 49% of the vote in this county to win the state) If Rockwell can’t put up a decent showing, Democrats are going to have some serious issues going into 2014.

So here we had a contested race in a traditionally Democratic area, the outcome of which held significant implications for Mark Pryor’s re-election bid. An Obamacare-related controversy drove the campaign. Oh, and according to an email blast from the NRSC, the Republican candidate was outgunned on the spending front by a three-to-one margin. Your result:

(VIDEO-AT-LINK)

It wasn’t even close. The victorious Cooper called his triumph a “statement win.” Indeed. I’d imagine Sen. Pryor can hear that statement loud and clear.


TOPICS: Arkansas; Campaign News; Issues; Parties; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: arkansas; congress; gop; obamacare
I expect the Republicans to somehow throw it all away between now and November.
1 posted on 01/17/2014 8:47:18 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh, of course. They always do, aided by the “hold-your-nose-and-vote” brigade. Oh, yeh, you’re doing everyone such a favpr by voting for any Republican on the ticket... ::snort::


2 posted on 01/17/2014 8:52:03 PM PST by arderkrag (An Unreconstructed Georgian, STANDING WITH RAND.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I expect the Republicans to somehow throw it all away between now and November.

I keep saying, they do not call them the stupid party for nothing.

3 posted on 01/17/2014 8:52:29 PM PST by Mark17 (Chicago Blackhawks: Stanley Cup champions 2010, 2013. Vietnam Veteran, 70-71)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet


  Here's Johnny
4 posted on 01/17/2014 8:54:08 PM PST by Ray76
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

” - - - Craighead County has not been represented by a Republican in the state senate since reconstruction. - - - “

YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS !!!!!!!!!!!!!


5 posted on 01/17/2014 8:54:21 PM PST by Graewoulf (Democrats' Obamacare Socialist Health Insur. Tax violates U.S. Constitution AND Anti-Trust Law.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
history probably will prove you correct.
if there's any chance, GOP/e will blow it.
6 posted on 01/17/2014 8:55:40 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This may be somewhat akin to what is going on in Louisiana and might be called the ‘Revenge of the Dixiecrats’. It is clear that in a state that is forty something per cent black as is Louisiana that the current GOP control of both houses of the legislature is a bit odd. Digging deeper, it seems in many rural parishes the local Democrat political leadership are white Blue Dog Democrats who detest National Dem policies. All they want to do is hold on to power at the parish level and make sure that the men (mostly) that get sent to baton Rouge will bring home some pork whether they have an R or a D after their names. These folks have zero interest in ‘community activism’ mode of stirring up the torpid mass of the blackamoors to vote heavily on election day. I suspect this sort of attitude is now spreading to other Bluedog strongholds.
7 posted on 01/17/2014 8:57:51 PM PST by robowombat
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

With amnesty and all the other crap the GOPe is apparently going to pull on us, they will lucky to exist as a going concern after the elections this year


8 posted on 01/17/2014 8:58:29 PM PST by GeronL (Extra Large Cheesy Over-Stuffed Hobbit)
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To: skinkinthegrass

I have previously predicted that the Pubbies will NOMINATE a Northeastern RINO, similar to Romney. Christy? Whoever it will be, he/she will suffer the same fate.


9 posted on 01/17/2014 9:06:11 PM PST by matthew fuller (Our enemy list- http://www.nraila.org/news-issues/fact-sheets/2004/anti-gun-lobbying-organizations..)
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To: robowombat

Louisiana is 33% black, second only to Mississippi at 38%.
Washington DC is 52%, but they’re not a state.
http://blackdemographics.com/population/black-state-population/


10 posted on 01/17/2014 9:06:51 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Final results:

•Republican John Cooper: 4,314 (57.21%)

•Democrat Steve Rockwell: 3,227 votes (42.79%)


11 posted on 01/17/2014 9:09:02 PM PST by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat Party!)
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To: arderkrag
Oh, of course. They always do, aided by the “hold-your-nose-and-vote” brigade.

FR has its share of nose-holders.

12 posted on 01/17/2014 9:12:38 PM PST by Fiji Hill
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To: mrsmith

The first of many GOP victories to come! A new wind is blowing and it will change the face of American politics! Watch and be amazed by this new wave of Conservatism—Ted Cruz was like unto John The Baptist calling the way for another who will transform the nation. Not a new Reagan—more like a new Lincoln!


13 posted on 01/17/2014 9:15:32 PM PST by Forward the Light Brigade (Into the Jaws of H*ll)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Louisiana is 33% black, second only to Mississippi at 38%.
Washington DC is 52%, but they’re not a state.

That statistic seems to keep falling with each census. Good news for the Swamp State.


14 posted on 01/17/2014 9:17:08 PM PST by robowombat
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To: Fiji Hill

I know. They rear their ugly heads every election cycle, claiming that anyone not supporting a party is “throwing their vote away” or somehow voting for the other party.


15 posted on 01/17/2014 9:20:23 PM PST by arderkrag (An Unreconstructed Georgian, STANDING WITH RAND.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And even if they do win they’ll want to go back into ‘power sharing’ mode and let liberals shit all over them again.


16 posted on 01/17/2014 9:28:08 PM PST by Bullish (America should yank Obama like a rotten tooth before he poisons the entire body)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I expect the GOPe to try, and for their candidates to begin losing primaries.


17 posted on 01/17/2014 9:36:38 PM PST by MrEdd (Heck? Geewhiz Cripes, thats the place where people who don't believe in Gosh think they aint going.)
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To: Joe 6-pack

What say you, Joe?


18 posted on 01/17/2014 9:38:32 PM PST by definitelynotaliberal (Go, Cruz! Go!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

While this is nice, special elections are a bell-weather for absolutely nothing.


19 posted on 01/17/2014 9:39:38 PM PST by RIghtwardHo
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To: Graewoulf

Back in 1980 Bill Clinton was defeated in the Arkansas governor’s race by a republican named Frank White. He was the first republican governor since reconstruction. Sadly, two years later the dumb voters put Clinton back in. If he had not won in 1982 we wouldn’t even know the name “Hillary”.


20 posted on 01/17/2014 9:59:41 PM PST by VerySadAmerican (".....Barrack, and the horse Mohammed rode in on.")
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To: mrsmith

That’s a pretty serious thumping.


21 posted on 01/18/2014 12:14:44 AM PST by FreedomPoster (Islam delenda est)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Even if the Republicans prevail and take a majority in the Senate, how much will it matter? If speaker Boehner and newly elected Majority Leader McConnell are running the Congress in the shadow of Barack Obama's veto pen, what will they do that differs from what they did when they had majorities under George Bush?

Mark Levin is the one who is making this point consistently, the Republicans have not even written a bill repealing Obamacare. The Republican elites are preparing not to repeal it but to shape it. The same elites are going to pass amnesty to appease the Chamber of Commerce and collect their campaign contributions. They have just passed a $1 trillion budget gimmick and they justify every pusillanimous surrender openly as the only way they can avoid a government shutdown.

Is there any bright and shining historic stand that these people have taken which gives us genuine hope that they will actually change the headlong course the country is taking toward tyranny and disaster?


22 posted on 01/18/2014 12:32:35 AM PST by nathanbedford ("Attack, repeat, attack!" Bull Halsey)
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To: nathanbedford

In a word NO!


23 posted on 01/18/2014 12:40:06 AM PST by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Of course they will, its called amnesty.


24 posted on 01/18/2014 12:48:18 AM PST by Yogafist
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Health insurance lobbyists own both parties.


25 posted on 01/18/2014 2:35:06 AM PST by Excellence (All your database are belong to us.)
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To: RIghtwardHo

“...special elections are a bell-weather for absolutely nothing....”

I agree, but it might be an indicator for Pryor and other statewide candidates in that state.


26 posted on 01/18/2014 4:55:02 AM PST by jocon307
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To: RIghtwardHo

I doubt you would have the same opinion if a Rat had won.


27 posted on 01/18/2014 5:00:43 AM PST by beandog (All Aboard the Choo Choo Train to Crazy Town)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

25% black and Hispanic district:

http://ballotpedia.org/Arkansas_State_Senate_District_21

Assuming all ethnicities voted in proportion, and blacks and Hispanics voted 100% for the Dem, Cooper got 2/3 of the white vote. Not ideal, but good enough for a win.


28 posted on 01/18/2014 6:00:28 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: matthew fuller
I have previously predicted that the Pubbies will NOMINATE a Northeastern RINO, similar to Romney. Christy? Whoever it will be, he/she will suffer the same fate.

It's a good strategy. The GOP doesn't have problems winning in red states - it's got problems in places like Michigan, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida, which are trending blue. When it starts losing red states, it might start choosing ultra-conservative presidential nominees, but then we get Goldwater-style drubbings. That's why we have primaries and caucuses in 50 states rather than just the red states. We need more than red states to win the White House. In the blue/purple states, a lot of GOP voters are way more liberal, and the final nominee needs to be able to win their votes in order to have a shot at winning those states. Weirdly enough, without an electoral college system, an ultra-conservative candidate might be able to win enough red state votes to dispense with having to deal with blue/purple states. But that's not the system we have today.

29 posted on 01/18/2014 6:10:32 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Zhang Fei
"It's a good strategy."

Yeah, it worked SO well with Romney, McCain and Dole. I guess that the most conservative candidate that we ran (RWR) was an exception to the strategy.

30 posted on 01/18/2014 7:30:43 AM PST by matthew fuller (Our enemy list- http://www.nraila.org/news-issues/fact-sheets/2004/anti-gun-lobbying-organizations..)
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To: matthew fuller; All
I have previously predicted that the Pubbies will
NOMINATE a Northeastern RINO, similar to Romney.
yeah, the GOP/e, is awash w/traitors, turncoats, populists &
opportunitsts, not one patriot amongst them all..citizens of the lowest order.
bread, circuses & serfdom, is all the Establishment offers..no responsibility.

31 posted on 01/18/2014 8:44:08 AM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: robowombat
hmm...in many ways, you maybe on target (get ready for flax :)
..local issues/politics are predominant in a hard economy.
whomever controls the media, controls the issues..the spotlight.

32 posted on 01/18/2014 8:58:45 AM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I wonder who the NSA is studying this week? /sarcasm


33 posted on 01/18/2014 9:13:38 AM PST by bmwcyle (People who do not study history are destine to believe really ignorant statements.)
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To: matthew fuller
Yeah, it worked SO well with Romney, McCain and Dole. I guess that the most conservative candidate that we ran (RWR) was an exception to the strategy.

Reagan wasn't seen as a conservative. He was seen as Reagan, a larger than life figure who transcended conservatism. Similarly, some southern states voted for Clinton (vs Dole) not because he was a liberal, but because he was a good old boy who transcended ideology. Obama won purple states despite being a far leftist because the electorate doesn't see him as a far leftist - he transcends leftism. Romney and McCain won the red states. They lost the union states that voted for Reagan against Mondale because he imposed significant protectionist measures to keep union jobs in the country - measures that neither Romney or McCain will stand behind. The free trade orthodoxy that has taken over the GOP is probably the factor that has sunk its electoral fortunes in the rust belt, rather than any number of social issues. Bush II won via superior organization, but Obama showed us twice that the Dems have caught up in that arena, and then some.

34 posted on 01/18/2014 9:38:48 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: RIghtwardHo
While this is nice, special elections are a bell-weather for absolutely nothing.

RIGHT! Like when Scott Brown won in Massachusetts in January of 2010, then in November of 2010 when failed to take any seats at all!!!

.... oh, wait....

35 posted on 01/18/2014 9:44:20 AM PST by Lazamataz (Early 2009 to 7/21/2013 - RIP my little girl Cathy. You were the best cat ever. You will be missed.)
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To: matthew fuller

Reagan was our FDR. For most of the electorate, to hear either of these men’s voices was to believe and trust them. There is no shortage of conservatives in the GOP. What we lack is someone with Reagan’s charisma. I like Palin, but her personality is grating to the majority of Americans and a large number of Republicans. She also has the distinction of being a half-term governor from a tiny state, population-wise. In the 200+ years of this nation’s history, we’ve had one FDR and one RWR. I wouldn’t count on anyone in the GOP, moderate or conservative, coming anywhere near RWR’s numbers.


36 posted on 01/18/2014 9:48:40 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Mark17
I keep saying, they do not call them the stupid party for nothing.

They are not stupid. They are corrupt. There's a difference.

The Republican establishment understands they can win seats in conservative areas by appearing conservative. Meanwhile, they avoid trouble with the Dems, media, and protestors by not opposing the Dems on anything the Dems deem important.

By playing ball, they can also get invited to fun parties, have mistresses, smoke pot, take bribes, etc. They understand the fun stops when they balk the Left.

37 posted on 01/18/2014 9:50:37 AM PST by PapaBear3625 (You don't notice it's a police state until the police come for you.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
I expect the Republicans to somehow throw it all away between now and November.

I wouldn't take that on a bet myself. The Republican party has an uncanny ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory time, after time, after time.

That's why they're referred to as the STUPID Party in my house.

(Alternatively, the Democrats are the EVIL Party.)

38 posted on 01/18/2014 9:53:48 AM PST by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: Zhang Fei

I am not counting on a RWR redux, but I do have high hopes for either Cruz or Paul. I realize that Paul is correctly considered a Libertarian, but I like his style, and guts- (same as Cruz).Two other politicians that I find refreshingly agreeable are Louis Gohmert, and Trey Gowdy, but it is a looong stretch for Representatives. But we will undoubtedly wind up with another McCain, Dole, or Romney, and drive off the Tea Party, Conservative, and Evangelical votes, thereby electing the dimmacrat. I don’t see Hillary running.


39 posted on 01/18/2014 10:52:12 AM PST by matthew fuller (Our enemy list- http://www.nraila.org/news-issues/fact-sheets/2004/anti-gun-lobbying-organizations..)
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To: GeronL
they will lucky to exist as a going
concern after the elections this year
true, they'll be part of the Establishment Party's..
Nomeklatura, serving as low-grade Apparachniks
but nowhere else, b/c they'll be chained in DC

40 posted on 01/18/2014 12:02:03 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: mrsmith
thanks, for the ping/post.

41 posted on 01/18/2014 12:03:58 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: FreedomPoster; All
Final results:
•Republican John Cooper: 4,314 (57.21%)
•Democrat Steve Rockwell: 3,227 votes (42.79%)
That’s a pretty serious thumping.
Yes, It was..Hopefully the GOP/e understands...
what awaits them in Nov. '14

42 posted on 01/18/2014 12:08:47 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: Zhang Fei
It's a good strategy...That's why we have primaries and caucuses in 50 states rather than just the red states. We need more than red states to win the White House. In the blue/purple states, a lot of GOP voters are way more liberal, and the final nominee needs to be able to win their votes in order to have a shot at winning those states.

This strategy has worked so very, very well for the party in the past -- as amply demonstrated by the McCain and Romney administrations. As opposed to the failed Reagan candidacy, of course.

I'm sorry but, if a candidate can't get his own base out, he'll never win an election.

43 posted on 01/18/2014 12:23:55 PM PST by okie01 (The Mainstream Media -- IGNORANCE ON PARADE)
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To: nathanbedford; Kit cat
Mark Levin is the one who is making this point consistently, the Republicans have not even written a bill repealing Obamacare.
The Republican elites are preparing not to repeal it but to shape it. The same elites are going to pass amnesty to appease
the Chamber of Commerce and collect their campaign contributions. They have just passed a $1 trillion budget gimmick
and they justify every pusillanimous surrender openly as the only way they can avoid a government shutdown.
sadly, kat is correct..we have no RWR / Abe L. in the wings...
and our present Congressional Ldr. is bought / paid for in Wash
..
..of course; they'll fight tooth n' nail against any like minded TEA / LUA Party's
candidates that threaten them, like CRUZ, PAUL or LEE, they're the best.

44 posted on 01/18/2014 12:33:03 PM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi :-)
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To: okie01
I'm sorry but, if a candidate can't get his own base out, he'll never win an election.

How about the GOPe strategy of blaming the base? Won't that work? They have some of their flying monkeys posting right here on FR.

45 posted on 01/18/2014 12:41:24 PM PST by Moonman62 (The US has become a government with a country, rather than a country with a government.)
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To: okie01
I'm sorry but, if a candidate can't get his own base out, he'll never win an election.

They got the base out - they won the red states handily. They couldn't win the Rust Belt states (or the original snowbird state, FL), and that was all she wrote. No surprise there - no hard line conservative has won a Rust Belt governorship either. Rick Scott barely won FL in 2010, and that was an excellent year for the GOP. The electorate is moving left, and the irony is that the end of the Cold War has accelerated that move.

NC's governor, Pat McCrory, pushed through several laws social conservatives had been asking for. His approval rating is 37%. This tells me that Beverly Perdue's election victory was not a fluke, that the state's electorate is changing, either demographically or ideologically.

46 posted on 01/18/2014 12:44:38 PM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Zhang Fei
Reagan wasn't seen as a conservative

??? Why do you suppose the GOP establishment ran John Anderson as a third party candidate? Maybe you weren't around yet, or weren't paying attention. Reagan was attacked for being a trigger happy Cold War cowboy who risked nuclear war with the USSR.

He had Jerry Falwell's newly ascendant Moral Majority behind him, as well as Paul Weyrich's fundraising machine. And to be clear, the democrats did everything they could to make sure everyone knew how conservative Reagan was.

47 posted on 01/21/2014 9:10:35 AM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: hinckley buzzard
??? Why do you suppose the GOP establishment ran John Anderson as a third party candidate? Maybe you weren't around yet, or weren't paying attention. Reagan was attacked for being a trigger happy Cold War cowboy who risked nuclear war with the USSR.

That's how he was attacked, but it never stuck. That's why he was called the Teflon President.

48 posted on 01/21/2014 9:21:59 AM PST by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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