Skip to comments.Upset: Republican wins surprise blowout in Arkansas Senate special election
Posted on 01/17/2014 8:47:18 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
Lets read some 2014 tea leaves, shall we? First, some background on an Arkansas special election that was decided earlier this week:
The special election for a northeast Arkansas Senate seat vacated by a lawmaker who resigned over ethics violations will be an early bellwether on the fight to protect the states Medicaid expansion, as well as Democrats chances in the November election. Voters head to the polls Tuesday to cast ballots in the special election between Democrat Steve Rockwell and Republican John Cooper for state Senate District 21 seat that covers the Jonesboro area. The winner will serve the remainder of the term of former state Sen. Paul Bookout a Democrat. The race for Bookouts seat between Rockwell and Cooper has centered on the key issue facing lawmakers when they return for next months fiscal session whether to continue the states private option plan to expand Medicaid.
Craighead County has not been represented by a Republican in the state senate since reconstruction. An analysis from the left-wing Daily Kos explained the dynamics and significance of this race:
Craighead County is part of the Delta. As such, it is part of the rural Democratic coalition that dominated state politics for over a century. Today, county politics are still largely Democratic On the politics side of things, this election is huge. Craighead County is a key area of the state for both Mark Pryor and Mike Ross to win (they need to get at minimum 49% of the vote in this county to win the state) If Rockwell cant put up a decent showing, Democrats are going to have some serious issues going into 2014.
So here we had a contested race in a traditionally Democratic area, the outcome of which held significant implications for Mark Pryors re-election bid. An Obamacare-related controversy drove the campaign. Oh, and according to an email blast from the NRSC, the Republican candidate was outgunned on the spending front by a three-to-one margin. Your result:
It wasnt even close. The victorious Cooper called his triumph a statement win. Indeed. Id imagine Sen. Pryor can hear that statement loud and clear.
Oh, of course. They always do, aided by the “hold-your-nose-and-vote” brigade. Oh, yeh, you’re doing everyone such a favpr by voting for any Republican on the ticket... ::snort::
I keep saying, they do not call them the stupid party for nothing.
” - - - Craighead County has not been represented by a Republican in the state senate since reconstruction. - - - “
With amnesty and all the other crap the GOPe is apparently going to pull on us, they will lucky to exist as a going concern after the elections this year
I have previously predicted that the Pubbies will NOMINATE a Northeastern RINO, similar to Romney. Christy? Whoever it will be, he/she will suffer the same fate.
Louisiana is 33% black, second only to Mississippi at 38%.
Washington DC is 52%, but they’re not a state.
Republican John Cooper: 4,314 (57.21%)
Democrat Steve Rockwell: 3,227 votes (42.79%)
FR has its share of nose-holders.
The first of many GOP victories to come! A new wind is blowing and it will change the face of American politics! Watch and be amazed by this new wave of Conservatism—Ted Cruz was like unto John The Baptist calling the way for another who will transform the nation. Not a new Reagan—more like a new Lincoln!
Louisiana is 33% black, second only to Mississippi at 38%.
Washington DC is 52%, but theyre not a state.
That statistic seems to keep falling with each census. Good news for the Swamp State.
I know. They rear their ugly heads every election cycle, claiming that anyone not supporting a party is “throwing their vote away” or somehow voting for the other party.
And even if they do win they’ll want to go back into ‘power sharing’ mode and let liberals shit all over them again.
I expect the GOPe to try, and for their candidates to begin losing primaries.
What say you, Joe?
While this is nice, special elections are a bell-weather for absolutely nothing.
Back in 1980 Bill Clinton was defeated in the Arkansas governor’s race by a republican named Frank White. He was the first republican governor since reconstruction. Sadly, two years later the dumb voters put Clinton back in. If he had not won in 1982 we wouldn’t even know the name “Hillary”.
That’s a pretty serious thumping.
Mark Levin is the one who is making this point consistently, the Republicans have not even written a bill repealing Obamacare. The Republican elites are preparing not to repeal it but to shape it. The same elites are going to pass amnesty to appease the Chamber of Commerce and collect their campaign contributions. They have just passed a $1 trillion budget gimmick and they justify every pusillanimous surrender openly as the only way they can avoid a government shutdown.
Is there any bright and shining historic stand that these people have taken which gives us genuine hope that they will actually change the headlong course the country is taking toward tyranny and disaster?
In a word NO!
Of course they will, its called amnesty.
Health insurance lobbyists own both parties.
“...special elections are a bell-weather for absolutely nothing....”
I agree, but it might be an indicator for Pryor and other statewide candidates in that state.
I doubt you would have the same opinion if a Rat had won.
25% black and Hispanic district:
Assuming all ethnicities voted in proportion, and blacks and Hispanics voted 100% for the Dem, Cooper got 2/3 of the white vote. Not ideal, but good enough for a win.
It's a good strategy. The GOP doesn't have problems winning in red states - it's got problems in places like Michigan, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida, which are trending blue. When it starts losing red states, it might start choosing ultra-conservative presidential nominees, but then we get Goldwater-style drubbings. That's why we have primaries and caucuses in 50 states rather than just the red states. We need more than red states to win the White House. In the blue/purple states, a lot of GOP voters are way more liberal, and the final nominee needs to be able to win their votes in order to have a shot at winning those states. Weirdly enough, without an electoral college system, an ultra-conservative candidate might be able to win enough red state votes to dispense with having to deal with blue/purple states. But that's not the system we have today.
Yeah, it worked SO well with Romney, McCain and Dole. I guess that the most conservative candidate that we ran (RWR) was an exception to the strategy.
I wonder who the NSA is studying this week? /sarcasm
Reagan wasn't seen as a conservative. He was seen as Reagan, a larger than life figure who transcended conservatism. Similarly, some southern states voted for Clinton (vs Dole) not because he was a liberal, but because he was a good old boy who transcended ideology. Obama won purple states despite being a far leftist because the electorate doesn't see him as a far leftist - he transcends leftism. Romney and McCain won the red states. They lost the union states that voted for Reagan against Mondale because he imposed significant protectionist measures to keep union jobs in the country - measures that neither Romney or McCain will stand behind. The free trade orthodoxy that has taken over the GOP is probably the factor that has sunk its electoral fortunes in the rust belt, rather than any number of social issues. Bush II won via superior organization, but Obama showed us twice that the Dems have caught up in that arena, and then some.
RIGHT! Like when Scott Brown won in Massachusetts in January of 2010, then in November of 2010 when failed to take any seats at all!!!
.... oh, wait....
Reagan was our FDR. For most of the electorate, to hear either of these men’s voices was to believe and trust them. There is no shortage of conservatives in the GOP. What we lack is someone with Reagan’s charisma. I like Palin, but her personality is grating to the majority of Americans and a large number of Republicans. She also has the distinction of being a half-term governor from a tiny state, population-wise. In the 200+ years of this nation’s history, we’ve had one FDR and one RWR. I wouldn’t count on anyone in the GOP, moderate or conservative, coming anywhere near RWR’s numbers.
They are not stupid. They are corrupt. There's a difference.
The Republican establishment understands they can win seats in conservative areas by appearing conservative. Meanwhile, they avoid trouble with the Dems, media, and protestors by not opposing the Dems on anything the Dems deem important.
By playing ball, they can also get invited to fun parties, have mistresses, smoke pot, take bribes, etc. They understand the fun stops when they balk the Left.
I wouldn't take that on a bet myself. The Republican party has an uncanny ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory time, after time, after time.
That's why they're referred to as the STUPID Party in my house.
(Alternatively, the Democrats are the EVIL Party.)
I am not counting on a RWR redux, but I do have high hopes for either Cruz or Paul. I realize that Paul is correctly considered a Libertarian, but I like his style, and guts- (same as Cruz).Two other politicians that I find refreshingly agreeable are Louis Gohmert, and Trey Gowdy, but it is a looong stretch for Representatives. But we will undoubtedly wind up with another McCain, Dole, or Romney, and drive off the Tea Party, Conservative, and Evangelical votes, thereby electing the dimmacrat. I don’t see Hillary running.
This strategy has worked so very, very well for the party in the past -- as amply demonstrated by the McCain and Romney administrations. As opposed to the failed Reagan candidacy, of course.
I'm sorry but, if a candidate can't get his own base out, he'll never win an election.
How about the GOPe strategy of blaming the base? Won't that work? They have some of their flying monkeys posting right here on FR.
They got the base out - they won the red states handily. They couldn't win the Rust Belt states (or the original snowbird state, FL), and that was all she wrote. No surprise there - no hard line conservative has won a Rust Belt governorship either. Rick Scott barely won FL in 2010, and that was an excellent year for the GOP. The electorate is moving left, and the irony is that the end of the Cold War has accelerated that move.
NC's governor, Pat McCrory, pushed through several laws social conservatives had been asking for. His approval rating is 37%. This tells me that Beverly Perdue's election victory was not a fluke, that the state's electorate is changing, either demographically or ideologically.
??? Why do you suppose the GOP establishment ran John Anderson as a third party candidate? Maybe you weren't around yet, or weren't paying attention. Reagan was attacked for being a trigger happy Cold War cowboy who risked nuclear war with the USSR.
He had Jerry Falwell's newly ascendant Moral Majority behind him, as well as Paul Weyrich's fundraising machine. And to be clear, the democrats did everything they could to make sure everyone knew how conservative Reagan was.
That's how he was attacked, but it never stuck. That's why he was called the Teflon President.