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Sleeper issue that could help Dems in 2014: Midterms starting to look a lot less favorable to GOP
The Week ^ | January 22, 2014 | Jon Terbush

Posted on 01/23/2014 12:36:12 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

The GOP has made opposition to ObamaCare a central pillar of its 2014 campaign strategy. And even though the health care law has begun to turn around, that may not be such a bad idea given lingering public skepticism over the law.

However, there is one crucial piece of ObamaCare that may well become a big winner for Democrats by the end of the year: The dramatic expansion of Medicaid.

Unlike the overall law, the expansion of Medicaid is actually quite popular with voters of all political stripes. Even in the Deep South, more than six in ten support expanding Medicaid, according to one survey last year; conservatives split almost evenly on the issue.

This presents the GOP with two interconnected problems.

First, it undermines part of the party's "repeal" crusade, since nixing ObamaCare would mean ending a popular policy that has already extended benefits to millions of Americans, many of them previously uninsured.

In red West Virginia, some 75,000 people have already enrolled in Medicaid, far higher than expected, according to The New York Times. As a result, the number of uninsured people in the state has plummeted by about a third.

From the Times:

Waitresses, fast food workers, security guards, and cleaners described feeling intense relief that they are now protected from the punishing medical bills that have punched holes in their family budgets. They spoke in interviews of reclaiming the dignity they had lost over years of being turned away from doctors' offices because they did not have insurance. [New York Times]

That's a perfect 2014 Democratic ad campaign right there: People are happy now that they're covered by Medicaid, and Republicans want to take it away.

Though voters are generally leery of ObamaCare as a whole, they like the Medicaid expansion because they support the idea of extending coverage to the needy. As the Washington Post's Greg Sargent notes, this gives Democratic candidates in red states some wiggle room.

They are not embracing ObamaCare. But they oppose repeal, and they are standing behind the general goal of expanding coverage to those who can't afford it. This is true of Michelle Nunn in Georgia (where 57 percent support the Medicaid expansion) and Alison Lundergan Grimes in Kentucky, who wants the law fixed and supports making coverage available to hundreds of thousands of Kentuckians, rather than throwing "the baby out with the bathwater."

None of these Dems were in Congress to vote for ObamaCare, so they are free not to embrace the law overall while supporting a part that's providing more and more coverage and security to people who lacked it. [Washington Post]

On another level, the GOP may have shot itself in the foot by broadly opposing Medicaid expansion at the state level from the get-go.

Thanks to a Supreme Court ruling, states are able to opt out of the Medicaid expansion. So even though the federal government will cover 100 percent of the added costs for the next three years, and 90 percent of the costs after that, 24 mostly GOP-controlled states have decided not to participate.

Virginia, under then-Gov. Bob McDonnell (R), is one of the states that opted out. However, McDonnell's would-be GOP successor, Ken Cuccinelli, lost last November's gubernatorial election after vowing to continue that policy. While Cuccinelli was a uniquely terrible candidate who lost for a host of reasons, it's likely that his position on Medicaid played a role, too. A recent Roanoke poll of Virginia voters shows that only one-quarter think Medicaid should not be expanded.

The refusal of some states to expand Medicaid has left an estimated eight million people with no access to affordable health care, all of whom would otherwise have been eligible under the program. Republicans have almost gone out of their way in fulfilling the Democrats' caricature of the GOP as a heartless "party of no."

Perhaps it's no surprise, then, that several GOP-led states are already beginning to reconsider accepting the expansion after all.

If Republicans continue to staunchly oppose the Medicaid expansion on principle, they'll be rejecting a widely popular policy and effectively advocating to push people off their new health care coverage. As we saw last year with Obama's broken "you can keep it" promise, stripping people of their existing health insurance doesn't go over so well.


TOPICS: Issues; Parties; U.S. Congress; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: democrats; medicaid; obamacare; socializedmedicine
Full title: The sleeper issue that could help Democrats in 2014: The midterm elections are starting to look a lot less favorable to the GOP
1 posted on 01/23/2014 12:36:12 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
And even though the health care law has begun to turn around...
The beginning of the second sentence undermines the author's cognitive abilities.
2 posted on 01/23/2014 12:42:46 AM PST by Bratch
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
As we saw last year with Obama's broken "you can keep it" promise, stripping people of their existing health insurance repeatedly and forcefully lying to people doesn't go over so well.
3 posted on 01/23/2014 12:44:37 AM PST by Ray76 (How modern liberals think: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eaE98w1KZ-c)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

political pipedream.


4 posted on 01/23/2014 12:44:47 AM PST by kingattax (America needs more real Americans.)
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To: Bratch

Bingo..great catch...IMHO, if anything, it’s starting to look/feel MORE like a wave election..


5 posted on 01/23/2014 12:48:14 AM PST by ken5050 (This space available cheap...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
This is a liberal thinking everyone views reality the same way he does.

The expansion of Medicare was a good thing!

6 posted on 01/23/2014 12:48:28 AM PST by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How in the aitch-eee-double-L does accepting money that the gov’t has (with threat of near certain criminal punishment for non-compliance) taken from others “reclaim the dignity they had lost over years of being turned away from doctors’ offices because they did not have insurance.”

This country is doomed. One can only hope some pieces survive.


7 posted on 01/23/2014 1:27:52 AM PST by Paul R. (We are in a break in an Ice Age. A brief break at that...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And the Repubs could counter with.. “It took the overturning of an entire industry and the loss of millions of Americans’ medical care plans they liked for something that could have been achieved a lot mess painfully?”


8 posted on 01/23/2014 1:30:34 AM PST by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: Paul R.

Not only that, but try using Medicaid. Most physicians want nothing to do with it since it pays almost nothing.


9 posted on 01/23/2014 1:31:23 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t the financial responsibility of maintaining the newly expanded Medicaid fall to the states in a couple years?


10 posted on 01/23/2014 1:34:21 AM PST by ScottinVA (Obama is so far in over his head, even his ears are beneath the water level.)
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To: ScottinVA

Ssshhhh, you’ll let the cat out of the bag!


11 posted on 01/23/2014 1:35:16 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet (Jealousy is when you count someone else's blessings instead of your own.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Not only that, but try using Medicaid. Most physicians want nothing to do with it since it pays almost nothing.

Exactly right. But what is the narrative that the Lame stream press will be running 24/7 before the election? We need to be ready, and have our own narrative that shows the drop in the availability of doctors for an expanded program, and how that will dramatically affect the quality of healthcare for the poorest among us...

12 posted on 01/23/2014 1:43:02 AM PST by D Rider (Don't give sharp objects to small children)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

And what are all of the States that agreed to significantly expand their Medicare rolls going to do when the Feds stop paying the subsidies?

There’s no way the Feds can pay 100% to each State for the huge increases in Medicade enrollees that are occurring instead of Obamacare enrollees. ....They can’t raise taxes that much! Those States will be going broke and Doctors will be retiring in droves. ...Many Docs now want even take Medicare patients and they are paid even less from Medicaid.


13 posted on 01/23/2014 1:53:22 AM PST by octex
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
  ...And even though the health care law has begun to turn around

  When they say "turning around" do they mean turning up or turning down? Maybe, the law turns around, then spins and then finally spirals crazily until it hits the ground and creates a gigantic healthcare crater.
14 posted on 01/23/2014 2:37:22 AM PST by Maurice Tift (Never wear anything that panics the cat. -- P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Medicaid offers very little in the way of care but for sure it offers large, very large waiting times.


15 posted on 01/23/2014 2:54:54 AM PST by Hostage (ARTICLE V)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This libtard author may be on to something....the sheeple love their getsmedat....free medical care....

The idiot pubbies need to address this by making sure people understand nothing is “free” and hard working tax payers in these states will pick up the tab....

I am sure the GOP will double down on stupid and offer free donuts for life with your free Medicaid if you vote for us .../ S


16 posted on 01/23/2014 2:56:46 AM PST by Popman ("Resistance to Tyrants is Obedience to God" - Thomas Jefferson)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“The GOP has made opposition to ObamaCare a central pillar of its 2014 campaign strategy.”

I stopped reading after the first sentence. When you start an article with an obvious lie, why read it. The Republicans haven’t done crap to oppose Obamacare.


17 posted on 01/23/2014 3:06:24 AM PST by caver (Obama: Home of the Whopper)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
try using Medicaid. Most physicians want nothing to do with it since it pays almost nothing.
Obama has found the key to containing health care costs - just don’t pay doctors!

The man is a genius.


18 posted on 01/23/2014 3:08:23 AM PST by conservatism_IS_compassion ("Liberalism” is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

No matter how extreme any issues are, there’s NFW the GOP will win anything. We’re so naive that we still fall back on believing that issues are important, when the dems’ well-oiled cheating machine has already been perfected. We’re dooooomed.


19 posted on 01/23/2014 3:19:40 AM PST by MayflowerMadam ("If you think healthcare is expensive now, just wait until it's free." P.J. O'Rourke)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If you are not one of the unemployed who may have worked for a number of years,purchased a home,a car,other personal assets of any value,you are happy,free insurance policy,if you can find a doctor,if not sign on to Medicaid and forget passing any of your assets on,if you don’t lose them from bankruptcy first,because the government gets it all to pay for your Medicaid,the biggest transfer of wealth and property to come.
Way to go Obama


20 posted on 01/23/2014 3:46:00 AM PST by ballplayer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Cloward and Piven.


21 posted on 01/23/2014 3:57:42 AM PST by Rappini (Veritas vos Liberabit)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Plus number people on Medicaid
Fewer Doctors seeing Patients
Results in zero Doctor appointments for many.

Maybe these Medicaid folks can get an appointment with a Nurse, or a Pet Vet


22 posted on 01/23/2014 4:29:44 AM PST by Steven Tyler
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

My take on an old Regan joke

Mr. Reagan then told his current favorite, about a Russian who wants to buy a car. A Matter of Delivery

The man goes to the official agency, puts down his money and is told that he can take delivery of his automobile in exactly 10 years.

Morning or afternoon?’’ the purchaser asks. ‘’Ten years from now, what difference does it make?’’ replies the clerk.

‘’Well,’’ says the car-buyer, ‘’I have a Doctors appointment in the morning.’’


23 posted on 01/23/2014 4:33:19 AM PST by Steven Tyler
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

It’s as if they can completely overlook the massive number of bankruptcies, store closures and incredible economic disaster not but a few weeks away...


24 posted on 01/23/2014 4:39:03 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The GOP has made opposition to ObamaCare a central pillar of its 2014 campaign strategy.

The GOP has already shown it doesn't have the stomach, or the stones, for this fight and is trying to tip-toe away from it.

With their impending cave on immigration, the DemoncRATS will have no trouble holding the Senate, and will likely win the House, as the Republicans are giving the conservative wing of their base nothing to vote for.

25 posted on 01/23/2014 4:48:14 AM PST by Arm_Bears (Refuse; Resist; Rebel; Revolt!)
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To: ScottinVA

According to the article, the feds pay 100 percent of state medicaid costs for the first 3 years, then 90 percent thereafter.


26 posted on 01/23/2014 4:53:25 AM PST by Yardstick
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To: caver
“The GOP has made opposition to ObamaCare a central pillar of its 2014 campaign strategy.”

I stopped reading after the first sentence. When you start an article with an obvious lie, why read it. The Republicans haven’t done crap to oppose Obamacare.

Exactly what I was thinking. I have yet to see a reason to vote for Republican'ts this year other than they aren't Democrats. I'm no longer accepting that as a valid reason to give anyone my vote.

27 posted on 01/23/2014 5:07:04 AM PST by EricT. (ARBEIT MACHT FREI- now get back to work you taxpaying peasant!)
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To: kingattax
political pipedream

Not really. I doubt the expanded Medicare will get many people to vote dem that would've voted Republican, but the RINOs can lose this for us. Why? The Republicans can get the blame, those that accepted donations from complicit insurance companies and those that didn't vote to stop Obamacare from implementation.

Constitutional conservatives don't seem to be in much trouble. But the sellouts, the water boys and girls for the global empire, aren't going to inspire anyone to vote Republican. Their backstabbing is going to cost them the support of their voting fodder of the past. Who's going to vote for the backstabbers?

28 posted on 01/23/2014 5:13:51 AM PST by grania
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To: EricT.

This past year the Republicans have made it crystal clear that they are no different than liberals.


29 posted on 01/23/2014 5:16:18 AM PST by caver (Obama: Home of the Whopper)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Barbara Streisand, is starting to screech.

30 posted on 01/23/2014 5:17:41 AM PST by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a gun..0'Caligula / 0'Reid / 0'Pelosi)
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To: Popman
The idiot pubbies need to address this by making sure people understand nothing is “free” and hard working tax payers in these states will pick up the tab....

Everyone already knows that, except that's really the problem. We have devolved so much as a country, a society, that even though people know that the "benes" come from people who work, they don't care, and figure, for some bizarrely selfish reason, they are "owed" the benefits.

They don't care that others are working for their livelihood, and actually expect others should support them. For whatever reason, because their childhood sucked, or because they have a chronic illness (that doesn't prevent them from working, it's just an inconvenience that they'd rather focus on than contribute to society), or because their race was once enslaved, and so it's whitey's turn now to be the slave. Or whatever selfish rationilization they can live with to stay at home and be a slug.

No, the only thing that's going to stop this downward spiral is an education and realization that this selfishness is indeed the root of the problem. And that's only going to come when (or if) people start waking up to the reality of Christ.

It's not going to happen by yanking away benefits or providing new ones or by any kind of legistlation in general, either. This is the primary reason to be conservative. To get government out of the way, to let Christ work in people's lives.

31 posted on 01/23/2014 5:19:36 AM PST by FourtySeven (47)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

bookmark


32 posted on 01/23/2014 5:40:54 AM PST by Free Vulcan (Vote Republican! You can vote Democrat when you're dead...)
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To: All
"However, there is one crucial piece of ObamaCare that may well become a big winner for Democrats by the end of the year: The dramatic expansion of Medicaid."

Duhhhh!!

This has always been the 'hidden' strategy of the RATs to ensure a pathway to 'single-payer' coverage!! And now, sadly, the GOPe to help ensure their tenure in government.

33 posted on 01/23/2014 5:55:55 AM PST by harpu ( "...it's better to be hated for who you are than loved for someone you're not!")
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To: Bratch

Are you suggesting the dissonance is strong with this one ? ;-)


34 posted on 01/23/2014 8:42:02 AM PST by fieldmarshaldj (Resist We Much)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

35 posted on 01/23/2014 10:01:13 AM PST by Bratch
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