Skip to comments.Hispanic Growth Not Turning Texas Blue as Expected
Posted on 07/05/2014 7:56:58 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
HOUSTON, TexasThe enormous growth of the Hispanic population does not seem to be turning Texas blue as fast as many political pundits expected. Recent data from the U.S. Census Bureau revealed a decreasing non-Hispanic white population and a rapidly growing Hispanic population. The growth of the Hispanic population over the past fourteen years was expected to make a huge difference in Texas Republican vs. Democrat voting patterns. It appears it has not.
A report in the Washington Post indicates this may not be the case. The article by Philip Bump, contains a series of interactive demographic maps that illustrate several different views of Hispanic population density and Republican/Democrat voting history. The report indicates more whites died than were born last year. On the other hand, both the Hispanic and Asian communities grew in population percentage.
The popular thinking is that the change in the American population portends bad news for a Republican Party that's still heavily dependent on support from those older, whiter voters, Bump states. Our thinking: What better place to track how that evolution might occur than Texas.
The report compares the 2000 and 2012 presidential election results and compares them to Hispanic population density in Texas. It concludes that while there was a close link between the density of a countys Hispanic population and its support for Democrat candidates, the voting pattern for that county did not change as the county became less white and more Hispanic.
This backs up two key points I have been making these last few years, said Steve Munisteri, Chairman of the Republican Party of Texas in an interview with Breitbart Texas. First, the state got more competitive than people realize in 2008 (this article shows a 5% increase for Democrats between 2004 and 2008), but since....
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
Well congress is going back down there so with what blue they do have and the yellow of the congress critters we ought to have a lovely greeny shade...
Most Hispanics are Christian and have at least some family values. The democratic party is the party of evil.
This has been tackled before very succinctly. While the state is seeing some modest change, the fact is Hispanics who settle in Texas (while still voting majority Democrat) have a smaller split between the parties than in other states. Other than perhaps Florida, Texas actually has probably the highest percentage of conservative Hispanic voters.
For all its faults (Cornyn), the Texas GOP is one of the better state parties. In fact, it ranks right up there in the top 5. The resistance to the grassroots is a lot weaker, and the candidates make very good cases for conservatism.
If the state parties of the nation were more like Texas, Illinois would be very competitive in a Midterm cycle, and Alaska would never elect scum like Begich.
If it were to turn out that recently naturalized Hispanic immigrants were voting majority Republican, you would see a 300-foot-high, 50-foot-thick wall, topped with remote-controlled miniguns, rocket launchers and electrified razor wire built in a matter of weeks. Land mines on both sides of it. A half-mile killing zone on the US side, patrolled by military guard dogs with steel inlays in their teeth.
There could be several explanations, but one is that it’s generally accepted that about 1/3 of the Hispanics in the US are here illegally. Some illegals probably vote, but a huge majority probably don’t.
So, a significant percentage of Hispanics in the US don’t vote, which is the main reason the Dims are frothing at the mouth to pass amnesty, and the main reason any Republican is a self-destructive fool to support amnesty.
Sorry for being so pessimistic. Bush II was our last hope. But he fumbled the ball, and the opposition ain't giving the ball back.
I work EVERY DAY with Hispanics, in Texas, lots of them.
The ones that I work with, other than their names, and varying degrees of accents, are IDENTICAL to the whites I work with, especially when it comes to politics - and yes, they are CONSERVATIVE.
The Dems are not going to get very far with Hispanics here by nominating a FLAMING LIBERAL, educated in the Northeast, who hates men. Maybe that can work in California, but not in Texas.
This story could have been written in 1991 about California.
And it’s not just about hispanics, although that’s huge.
The political, economic and media elite live in cities that lean strongly Democrat (Austin, Houston, Dallas, San Antonio) — they look on the Republican suburban and rural majority as alien and out of touch, and are teaching that majority’s children exactly that. Outside of frat row, the politics at students at UT, A&M and Rice couldn’t be differentiated from that of students at UCLA or Rutgers.
The other party is the party of “Hail Satan,” isn’t it?
Which is why a man I know told his son (they live in Florida) that the boy had the choice of going to Florida Baptist College for ALL FOUR YEARS or paying his own way to U of F or where ever. FBC does not permit freshmen or I think sophomores to have automobiles either on campus or garaged in the small city it is located in. The kid is not happy but will comply. I strongly suggest others do likewise and find a small evangelical if possible religiously oriented 4 year undergrad college rather than let their sons and daughters be debauched by the corrupt student culture of some place like LSU or U of F and brain washed by the collectivist leftist faculty.
That has been my experience also. One of my hispanic friends I met in the early 80s. Whenever Ronald Reagan was on TV he would shush the heck out of people to shut the heck up so he could listen to his favorite president.
Most hispanics live their lives as conservatives. The only reason they will vote for a democrat is because they are lacking in political knowledge.
Can they have motorcycles, motor boats, hang gliders?
A&M has the largest Corps of Cadets in the country outside the military academies.
Only 22% of voters in Texas are hispanic. So many are illegal, guest workers or under 18. It would still be decades before the state turns blue.
The GOP get 80% of the white vote in Texas and only around 50% of the white vote in California. That is a bigger difference.
Sorry, Bob, that's just not true.
In 2012, Texas Hispanics voted:
Ted Cruz: 35%
Paul Sadler(D): 65%
This poll comes from Latino Decisions.
Here's the link:
I imagine not. The purpose of the no car rule is to make it as difficult as possible for the undergrads to spend weekends dissipating on the Gulf coast in places such as Panama City.
“Hispanic Growth Not Turning Texas Blue as Expected”
That’s the reason illegals are being encouraged to flood across our borders ... particularly in Texas. CA is already blue enough.
I will guess that is the “turn out” number, not the “eligible” number.
According to Pew Research, 26% of “eligible” voters in Texas were Hispanic in 2012.
That number will go up in 2014.
New 18-20 year old American born Hispanic citizens will be eligible to vote.
At least 100,000 more Texas Hispanics have been naturalized in the last two years.
And the total number of white voters has declined slightly since 2012.
Re: “The GOP get 80% of the white vote in Texas”
I think that might be high.
I have not seen a poll for white voters in 2012.
However, in 2008, John McCain got just 73% of the white vote.
Re: “The GOP get around 50% of the white vote in California”
I think most people will be shocked to learn that white California voters voted like this in 2012:
Find one illegal to cast a vote for a republican and the border would shut down in seconds.
Yes, that is the main reason that others states turn blue. The white vote is more evenly split.
The legal Hispanics are generally hard-working and do not cotton to those who steal their tax dollars (through the government proxy system called the IRS) and give the rest of them a bad name.
You are right, and the American people are wrong.
Hispanics in TX vote Democrat because they believe the old line about the Democrats being for “the little people like me.”
Good for you, but most of the American people are too poor to fund a private college.
LOL! You got that right!
“Ted Cruz: 35%
Paul Sadler(D): 65%”
That’s not bad - and Bush was able to hit 40%. The ones that I work with are certainly not a cross-section of Hispanics - they are better educated and have something to lose - but it does show that they are not “owned” by Democrats, and these numbers show the same.
The problem for Democrats that it will take A LOT MORE Hispanics to give them the votes they need if even 35% of them are willing to vote Republican - and that assumes the number is fixed. Inch it up to 40% and they’re almost useless to Democrats if Republicans can hold the white vote.
That’s why the Dems STILL aren’t getting anywhere in Texas. If the black population were swapped with the Hispanics here (in percentages), we would already another California.
Population density drives support for big gov, period. It does not matter if the population is white or hispanic. Big gov lovers take majority control the world over once an area's population density reaches 1,000 people per square mile.
Peak People occurs about the year 2055. Peak White People has already occurred. Unless the DNA codes get beamed out to space there will never be more white people than there is now anywhere in the universe.
But if amnesty is passed, within a few years Hispanics will be 30% or more of Texas voters as the amnestied illegals begin to vote.
And I haven't seen anything that says Republicans are winning the Hispanic vote in Texas. Some claim that W got 44%, but that's the highest claim I've seen and many dispute that since it was based only on exit polls.
And, at present, there is no reason to believe any administration will stop the de facto open borders that will add more and more Hispanic voters.
Then why do legal Hispanics vote democrat?
This is mostly right-wing wishful thinking reminiscent of California 25 years ago.. Just give it a little time..