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Obama And The Dems Are Counting On Pat Buchanan To Be Wrong
The Louisiana Hayride ^ | August 18, 2014 | Scott "MacAoidh" McKay

Posted on 08/18/2014 9:41:11 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

And if they’re right, they’ll keep the Senate this fall.

Buchanan, in an interview with the Daily Caller today, predicted that the violence in Ferguson and the perceived enabling of race hustlers and leftist revolutionaries there will generate a massive negative reaction by America’s “silent majority” at the polls in November.

(VIDEO-AT-LINK)

Buchanan might be right, but of course his perspective is that of a veteran of the Nixon administration. Richard Nixon was elected in a massive rout in 1968, following months of roiling civil unrest in America’s cities. Nixon spoke of that silent majority not taking to the streets thanks to their interest in more productive pursuits such as jobs and family, and it worked for him.

2014 is not 1968. For a couple of reasons.

First, the riots and unrest of 1968 stand as a far larger moment of turbulence in American history than the low-yield rabble demonstrating nightly in Ferguson. And second, the America of 1968, and most notably Nixon’s silent majority which spoke so loudly at the polls that fall, simply doesn’t exist as a coherent body today.

It’s unrealistic to think that one week-long, or two weeks long, period of chaos in a lower-class St. Louis suburb would generate the kind of reaction in middle-class America that burning cities from Philadelphia to Oakland did some 46 years ago. The vast majority of the American people are safely insulated from any real effects of Ferguson, and while cable TV news and the internet can certainly deliver the events from there across the country in real time, the interest in Ferguson is more like voyeuristic curiosity than it is a matter of personal security as most Americans perceived as city after city exploded in violence in 1968.

Of course, for the Hard Left and the Democrat constituencies participating in Ferguson or cheering the revolutionaries on, it has to feel like their own version of 1968. They are engaged and excited – and they’re being egged on by the Obama administration and its allies. That Jesse Jackson, Al Sharpton, International ANSWER, the Occupy people, Anonymous and the New Black Panthers are all involved in Ferguson is no accident; Ferguson is an opportunity for them to find recruits, earn publicity and energize their networks of activists and the disaffected.

And that’s what the Obamunists are counting on. Which is why Eric Holder is now descending on Ferguson, and why he’s demanding a pointless third autopsy of Michael Brown’s body. It’s also why Holder’s Justice Department demanded that the local police not release the surveillance camera footage of the robbery Brown committed mere minutes before he was shot to death by Officer Darren Wilson of the Ferguson PD. To demand that the police withhold information about the case, when the release of that information was not a posthumous character assassination of Brown but rather a window into his demeanor at the time he was shot (which in itself doesn’t justify Brown’s shooting but it does lay down a pattern by which it becomes understandable that a dangerous confrontation with a cop could lead to tragedy a few minutes later), is hardly a matter of law enforcement; it’s a matter of politics. And with all of DOJ’s resources and Holder/Obama’s credibility within that community, it’s telling that the release of the robbery video set off a fresh round of violence in Ferguson amid what looked like a lack of engagement from Washington in exhorting people not to loot, burn, shoot and pummel.

Michael Brown is thus the next Trayvon Martin. And Obama and his allies want to exploit him for votes the way they used Trayvon’s corpse in 2012.

Buchanan thinks that strategy will backfire. Perhaps he’s right; certainly it would say positive things about the character of the current American electorate should voters take to the polls and reject this demagoguery in November. It isn’t as though Obama has earned the credibility of the voters with his performance on virtually any other issue, and it isn’t that the majority of Americans are satisfied with the level of racial harmony Obama, who sold himself as a racial healer when running for the office he now holds back in 2008, has produced in his time as president.

But that isn’t the calculus of the Obama team. And while they might be grasping at straws for a winning issue in the midterms as their prospects continue to dim, this isn’t just desperation. It’s part of an overarching strategy.

Obama’s survival, amid his disastrous governance on virtually every significant issue, has been dependent on his ability to rally his base coalition of support – blacks, Hispanics, gays, milennials, public employee union members, single women and academics – while degrading the morale of conservatives and right-leaning moderates. Obama has created, effectively, a perception among conservatives that the damage he’s doing to the country they love is permanent and therefore the prospects for the nation’s future are dim – and that disgust has led to the kind of apathy which chased some three million conservatives from the polls in 2012. Either that, or the disgust he actively pursues leads to desperation on the Right which brings mistakes like the birther movement, conspiracy theories about whether he’s a Muslim, FEMA concentration camps and the like. Which he then uses to pump up his own base.

And Ferguson is more of the same. With Ferguson, Obama and his allies get to push the meme that black people can’t get a fair shake from the police anywhere in the country – a dreadful narrative to be sure, considering that as Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Riley said tonight in a particularly good segment with Brett Baier’s all-star panel, it’s not the police but black criminals who are killing young black men in staggering numbers. They’re also pushing the persistence of institutionalized white racism and fanning black rage at that bogeyman without slapping down the lynch-mob mentality of the New Black Panther-led Ferguson rabble chanting their desire for Wilson’s blood – trial or no trial. While the majority of America would surely recoil from such antics, the Democrat base has little trouble with it and actually supports such atrocious conduct. If you disagree, feel free to explain the delight at Rick Perry’s indictment in the Democrat fever swamps, or their support for the IRS’ persecution of Tea Party groups.

There is no particular purchase for Republican Senate candidates in states outside Missouri to involve themselves in Ferguson, and as such there is no reason why the GOP base should be galvanized by it. Not like Obama’s base will be if the violence and “police repression” continues there. Sprinkle in some Brown idolatry a la Trayvon, in which “Don’t Shoot! Hands Up!” becomes the new hoodie, regardless of the actual facts of the Brown case, and you now have a national meme to reach gullible, low-information, pop-culture voters. We’re already seeing that, as tweets have surfaced from many of the usual suspects – John Legend, Michael Moore, Martha Plimpton.

So Obama’s calculus, which might be borne of disadvantage in a rough midterm cycle, is the same as it was in 2012 – offend and dispirit the other side, pander to his own. Many among the Democrat coalition will look upon the federal prosecution of Darren Wilson, and the societal shaming of the “repressive” white middle class he’s bound to represent by the end of this episode once it’s fully spun, as a deliverable, and Obama and Holder will do everything they can to deliver it in time for the election.

It’s what he does. Buchanan, and those who believe as he does, had better not take for granted that Brown-as-Trayvon is a failed strategy.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; U.S. Congress; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: 2014; democrats; ferguson; obama

1 posted on 08/18/2014 9:41:12 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I think Pat’s right on the money. I think whites from coast to coast are getting fed up being blamed for black America’s failures.


2 posted on 08/18/2014 9:48:48 PM PDT by dowcaet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Normally I’d say Pat was full of it but I remember watching the riots in the 60-70’s.
It seemed cool to walk out of class along with college students.
Until they started burning down cities.


3 posted on 08/18/2014 9:56:27 PM PDT by Zathras
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The main difference today also is the 24 hour news cycle and coverage.


4 posted on 08/18/2014 10:01:16 PM PDT by headstamp 2
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To: dowcaet

I agree .. but I think we’ve been fed up for a lot longer than Pat claims.

After 5 years of this liberal nonsense, based on ignorant lunacy .. I’ve had enough.

Time for the juveniles to be replaced by adults who have a clue what’s going on in the world.

Sincerely, I don’t believe America needs any more riots, murders, invasions, etc. I think we already DONE.


5 posted on 08/18/2014 10:01:52 PM PDT by CyberAnt (True the Vote: " MY AMERICA, ... I'm terrified it's slipping away.")
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I disagree. Assuming it doesn’t last for more than a couple of weeks, the Nov elections are too far away. By then all this will be a distant memory and the political fallout from Ferguson will be minimal.

What will get everyone to the voting booth is the last six years of fundamental transformation. We all know that America has become the laughingstock of the world and we are but a shadow of what America was only 30 years ago.


6 posted on 08/18/2014 10:04:45 PM PDT by MichaelCorleone (Jesus Christ is not a religion. He's the Truth.)
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To: headstamp 2; MinuteGal

“The main difference today also is the 24 hour news cycle and coverage.”

Bingo. Unlike during the 60’s, 70’s when you only saw what was going on the nightly news on the alphabet stations, now you see the Ferguson antics 24 hours a day/nite. You see so much that the silent majority is being saturated with the clown show in Ferguson, with plenty of time to get thoroughly disgusted with it all. I’m with Buchanan on this one, as I have felt exactly the same for a long time now.


7 posted on 08/18/2014 10:13:57 PM PDT by flaglady47 (The useful idiots always go first)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

!


8 posted on 08/18/2014 10:16:20 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (The end move in politics is always to pick up a weapon...eh? "Bathhouse" 0'Mullah? d8-)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Richard Nixon was elected in a massive rout in 1968

"Massive rout," my butt. Nixon took 43.4% of the popular vote versus Humphrey's 42.7%, with Wallace taking the rest. Since when is 43.4% a "massive route"? Since when is a 0.7% difference between the winner and the runner-up called "massive"? Since when is having 56.7% of the voters vote *against* you a "massive rout"? Sheesh.

He's obviously confusing it with the 1972 election.

9 posted on 08/18/2014 10:25:48 PM PDT by CardCarryingMember.VastRightWC (Folks ask about my politics. I say: I dont belong to any organized political party. I'm a Republican)
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To: MichaelCorleone; MinuteGal

“What will get everyone to the voting booth is the last six years of fundamental transformation. We all know that America has become the laughingstock of the world and we are but a shadow of what America was only 30 years ago.”

Yes, but Ferguson is part of this fundamental transformation, as without Obama/Holder having their black backs, this baloney in Ferguson would be 1/10th of what it has turned into. In fact, it is being egged on by this Obama regime. So what you say above is dead on but part of it are these Ferguson riots. It’s cumulative, and tucked back in the recesses of the silent majority’s collective minds, is a Ferguson compartment, and it all adds up.

The results will be confirmed during the midterm elections. My one caveat is demographics. At some time you reach a tipping point, and we may be very nearly there. All it will take is a significant enough amount of white disaffected voters who stay home or won’t vote Republican to spoil the broth. However, as I have stated, many Dems don’t come out for mid-terms, unless they too have been riled up by Ferguson enough to actually show up at the polls.

Dont underestimate the affects of Ferguson, for bad or for good. It’s only a little over 2 months until the mid-term elections. That’s not that far away, and these stand-offs/protests in Ferguson have a way to go before they will be over. We haven’t even got to the funeral yet for Big Mike. That ought to be a big spectacle for the folks.


10 posted on 08/18/2014 10:33:41 PM PDT by flaglady47 (The useful idiots always go first)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
People have short memories. One account of "W"'s re-election in 2004 is that it was a reaction to the Massachusetts Supreme Court decision Goodridge v. Dept. of Public Health (2003) forcing through sodomite pseudo-marriage.

GAY MARRIAGE: Did issue help re-elect Bush?

Now, with less than 3% of the population homosexual, the elites have got their clutches thoroughly around the public weal.

11 posted on 08/18/2014 10:50:03 PM PDT by CharlesOConnell (CharlesOConnell)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Buchanan, in an interview with the Daily Caller today, predicted that the violence in Ferguson and the perceived enabling of race hustlers and leftist revolutionaries there will generate a massive negative reaction by America’s “silent majority” at the polls in November.

Buchanan has been predicting the same sort of "massive negative reaction" for the better part of three decades now. He's wrong, as usual - the events in Ferguson are of interest to the major media organizations, political bloggers, the Washington Beltway, and absolutely no one else. The Senate will be won or lost based on economic concerns - no one will even remember the Ferguson shooting or the resulting riots.
12 posted on 08/19/2014 12:01:56 AM PDT by AnotherUnixGeek
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To: CardCarryingMember.VastRightWC

Thanks for digging up the exact numbers on 1968. I was sure that “massive rout” was way off, and you’ve confirmed that.

This isn’t just dissing someone for misspelling a candidate’s name or the like. Your historical correction really blows the author’s whole thesis out of the water.


13 posted on 08/19/2014 12:06:01 AM PDT by Eagle Forgotten
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Many white Americans voted for Obama in hopes of buying racial peace in America.

Instead of being the uniter he claimed to be, Obama has been the most divisive, race baiting President in American history.

The knock out game has been slapping middle class America out of their apathetic slumber.

The events in Ferguson are going to be a gut punch to force Americans to realize the damage Obama is doing.

14 posted on 08/19/2014 12:51:12 AM PDT by rdcbn
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Obama and the rest of America’s enemies aren’t just counting on Ferguson as another political Trayvon moment for their base, they are polling on it. If this fails, they will try the next item on their list. The war on women failed. The minimum wage failed. Immigration failed. They are hoping the latest Sweet Baby Trayvon will motivate their low-information voters. This is likely to fail too, and they know it, but they are desperate. I imagine they already have the next trial balloon ready for when they decide this isn’t enough either.


15 posted on 08/19/2014 1:53:33 AM PDT by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: All; flaglady47
Excellent and important thread. Should be read by all.

Leni

16 posted on 08/19/2014 3:53:55 AM PDT by MinuteGal
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Richard Nixon was elected in a massive rout in 1968

301 EV, 43.4% of the popular vote, 511,944 popular vote margin.

Not a "massive rout" by any stretch of the imagination.

17 posted on 08/19/2014 3:58:24 AM PDT by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: Pollster1
The war on women failed

Untrue. The War on Women™ has never failed in a campaign where it has been used.

18 posted on 08/19/2014 4:00:45 AM PDT by Jim Noble (When strong, avoid them. Attack their weaknesses. Emerge to their surprise.)
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To: Eagle Forgotten; CardCarryingMember.VastRightWC
Richard Nixon was elected in a massive rout in 1968
"Massive rout," my butt. Nixon took 43.4% of the popular vote versus Humphrey's 42.7%, with Wallace taking the rest. Since when is 43.4% a "massive route"? Since when is a 0.7% difference between the winner and the runner-up called "massive"? Since when is having 56.7% of the voters vote *against* you a "massive rout"? Sheesh.

He's obviously confusing it with the 1972 election.

9 posted on August 19, 2014 at 1:25:48 AM EDT by CardCarryingMember.VastRightWC

Thanks for digging up the exact numbers on 1968. I was sure that “massive rout” was way off, and you’ve confirmed that.

This isn’t just dissing someone for misspelling a candidate’s name or the like. Your historical correction really blows the author’s whole thesis out of the water.

Certainly it transforms the issue - but to the extent that it does, wouldn’t you say that it blows up Pat Buchannan’s thesis - not the thesis of the author of this piece, which is that Pat Buchannan is wrong?
OTOH if you consider that most of George Wallace’s votes probably came out of the hide of Richard Nixon - he of the “infamous Southern Strategy” - you might take Pat Buchannan’s slant on the 1968 result.

19 posted on 08/19/2014 9:46:13 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion ("Liberalism” is a conspiracy against the public by wire-service journalism.)
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To: Jim Noble

They tried to get it going this year, and most independent women yawned. Even liberal women didn’t care enough to say they would vote. “War on Women” is polling as a particularly weak issue this year.


20 posted on 08/19/2014 2:53:59 PM PDT by Pollster1 ("Shall not be infringed" is unambiguous.)
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To: Pollster1

What’s going to be their next trick? They’ve blown through most of their bag of tricks.


21 posted on 08/19/2014 7:14:01 PM PDT by 1010RD (First, Do No Harm)
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