Posted on 04/04/2015 8:51:24 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
I was a teenager in 1980. I grew up in Connecticut and I remember the adults around me were unhappy about Jimmy Carter, and they were talking about how they were thinking about voting for this guy named Ronald Reagan. Well, of course decades later we’ve all come to realize what a transformational presidency that Reagan’s was and I’m thinking next year will be another one too. Almost the same circumstances too. Stagnant economy and the Iranians doing a number on our elected officials in DC.
yep, you nailed it....
You missed the most important word in my statement - ELIGIBLE voters.
The Census counts ALL persons present in Texas, including illegals, legal non-citizens, and minor children.
Hispanics make up 38.4% of Texas residents. But only 44% of Texas Hispanics are eligible to vote.
Non-Hispanic whites make up 44% of Texas residents (not 55% as you wrote above). However, almost 80% of Texas whites are eligible to vote.
In all Texas elections, eligible white voters turn out at a much higher rate than eligible Hispanic voters.
In the 2014 election, all ethnic groups in Texas turned out at a lower rate compared to 2012. But Hispanic turn out was the lowest of all. Compared to 2012, almost 50% fewer Hispanics turned out.
You also made another math error. You claim all state wide Texas GOP candidates won by at least 20% in 2014. Cruz won by 15.8%.
Re: “If 65% of white vote Republican, then the entire Midwest opens up for Republicans and Dems won’t know what hit them.”
The last presidential candidate to get 65% of the white vote was Founding Father James Monroe, in 1820.
Re: “You can give up, I will not.”
Glad to hear that.
What's your plan to stop massive LEGAL immigration?
Oh, I forgot, you support Ted Cruz, who wants to INCREASE massive LEGAL immigration.
Re: “The premise underlying your entire argument on this is wrong.”
Your one sentence analysis is incorrect.
HEY GENIUS - how about you quit TROLLING this site.
For starters, exactly WHAT OFFICE was Cruz running for in 2014? It certainly wasn’t US Senate - he won that 2 years earlier.
Perhaps it’s best that you stop TROLLING THIS SITE unless you have something CONSTRUCTIVE to say.
“The last presidential candidate to get 65% of the white vote was Founding Father James Monroe, in 1820”
So who’s your candidate? Harold Stassen perhaps?
Your premise is that this “legal immigration” issue has proportional relevance. It doesn’t. See post # 60 to illustrate why.
.
>> “Hispanics make up 38.4% of Texas residents. But only 44% of Texas Hispanics are eligible to vote.” <<
And that fact is what the Democrat party has staked its very existence upon changing.
.
Your comment makes no sense.
I was responding to your political fantasy about a GOP presidential candidate getting 65% of the white vote.
What does Harold Stassen have to do with that?
Yup - I goofed.
Since this is a thread about Ted Cruz's election chances, I assumed you were talking about Cruz getting a 20% margin.
I'll read more carefully next time.
I've been trolling Free Republic since the Bush election in 2000.
Immigration is my specialty, since 2005 anyway, when I helped Free Republic destroy the Bush-McCain Amnesty.
If Jim doesn’t like my threads, he can inform me of that. You, however, are not the site owner any more than I am.
“I was responding to your political fantasy about a GOP presidential candidate getting 65% of the white vote.”
Republican candidates got 75% to 89% of the WHITE VOTE from Alabama to New Mexico in 2014 - that’s why they won by the margins they did. I’ll concede that it was an off-year election, but asking for 65% nationally is not unreasonable, given the how far left the Dems now are.
But they will have to run a candidate that will FIGHT FOR THE WHITE VOTE - they will not get it by running Harold Stassen or whoever you’re pushing.
“Re: “For starters, exactly WHAT OFFICE was Cruz running for in 2014?” Yup - I goofed.”
You’re a better man than most here, admitting a mistake...
“Since this is a thread about Ted Cruz’s election chances, I assumed you were talking about Cruz getting a 20% margin.”
I know people that voted against Cruz (or didn’t vote) here in Texas in 2012 because they didn’t like his style against other Republicans. They had no problem with his political positions though. Add them to the vote, and he likely would have reached a 20% number.
But I’m STILL WAITING - you tell me you’re against Amnesty, yet you seem to say that the country is a lost cause for Republicans...so who should the Republicans run. I use Harold Stassen because I haven’t heard any other names. Maybe Harold Baker? I just don’t know your strategy...maybe buying land and barricading in Idaho?
Since 2005 my strategy has been to convince Republicans to only support candidates who:
(1) Demand dramatic reductions in LEGAL immigration.
(2) Demand vigorous enforcement of current laws against illegal immigration.
I have totally failed.
100% irreversible failure.
Every year, more Republicans die than Democrats.
Every year, more Democrats turn 18 than Republicans.
Every year, 750,000 new citizens are sworn in, and 80% of them will vote for Democrats.
As best I can tell, a majority of the Republican Party is aggressively supporting its own political suicide.
I have no idea how to stop that, except to keep pushing the mathematical reality in their faces - and hoping for a political miracle.
So you suggest we pack it up and move to Idaho for a last stand?
Sorry, but I not give up that easily.
Republicans have been getting 70%-90% of the white vote in most of the southeastern states since Nixon's landslide in 1972.
I haven't seen 2014 data on New Mexico, but Romney got just 56% of the white vote there in 2012.
Maybe Susana Martinez, the Mexican-American Republican governor, got 75% of the white vote in New Mexico in 2014?
Are you aware that 61% of Hispanics voted AGAINST Martinez in 2010?
Most important - the impressive surplus of white votes in the S.E. is offset by much more liberal white voting in other states.
White voters in Washington state, Oregon, Iowa, and most of the N.E. states gave Obama a majority vote.
In Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan, the white vote was very close to 50-50.
Bottom Line - if a majority of white voters in the Pacific northwest, the Midwest, and the N.E. really want a Conservative president, why don't they vote like the white voters in Texas and the Old South?
I respect your stamina.
I've been fighting this War since Kennedy-Nixon in 1960.
Except for a couple years in Reagan's first term, except for a couple months during the Newt Gingrich revolution in 1995, this country has relentlessly moved to the LEFT for the last 55 years.
If you have a serious national strategy to stop that, I look forward to hearing about it.
“In Minnesota, Wisconsin, Illinois, and Michigan, the white vote was very close to 50-50.”
Ever wonder why? They are the target...get them to 65% and even Illinois would be play.
What makes you SO CONVINCED that their vote is static. They voted for Reagan in the past, they can do it again.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.