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[Gordon]KGW poll: Smith's senate lead increases
kgw.com ^ | 10-20-02 | Jim Parker & Vince Patton

Posted on 10/31/2002 10:36:43 AM PST by Salvation

KGW poll: Smith's senate lead increases

10/30/2002

By JIM PARKER and VINCE PATTON, KGW Staff

With less than a week until election day, it appears Republican incumbent Sen. Gordon Smith has slightly increased his lead over Democratic opponent Bill Bradbury -- according to a new KGW poll of likely Oregon voters.

Smith currently garners support from 56% of those surveyed, up from 52% just a week ago.

*
Bradbury’s support has remained steady during this one-week period at 34%. Only 5% of voters remain undecided.

Constitution Party candidate Lon Mabon garnered 2% of the vote, and Libertarian candidate Dan Fitzgerald had 1%.

The poll conducted for Northwest NewsChannel 8 by Riley Research Associates surveyed 604 likely Oregon voters. It was conducted from Oct. 23 to Oct. 28 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percent.

“While I’m not ready to call this race,” said pollster Mike Riley, “It’s going to be one that for most observers is considered a done deal.”

Not only has Smith’s lead grown by 4% overall since a week ago, he’s also showing increases among Democrat crossover voters.

Our latest poll shows 32% of Democrats say they support Smith. That’s up from 27% in our last poll.

Smith also continues to enjoy majority support from both men and women, the poll shows.

“I’m sure that Bill Bradbury has been disappointed,” said KGW political analysts Len Bergstein. “But he’s been buried by $5 million in advertising. As a result, he’s never gotten off the mat.”

“Money moves your numbers in a U.S. Senate race,” he added. “And Smith has to feel very happy at this point.”


TOPICS: Oregon; Campaign News; Parties; Polls; State and Local; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: bradbury; gordonsmith
For your information and discussion
1 posted on 10/31/2002 10:36:43 AM PST by Salvation
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To: Grampa Dave
Could you do an Oregon Ping for me?

Thanks
2 posted on 10/31/2002 10:37:22 AM PST by Salvation
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To: All
Other than getting the name "Gordon" in the wrong place. LOL!

Proof the whole thing, Salvation
3 posted on 10/31/2002 10:38:52 AM PST by Salvation
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To: Salvation; EBUCK; AuntB; justshe; wanderin; Archie Bunker on steroids; Granof8; SAMWolf; ...
Salvation, thanks for the good news post.

Would the rest of you please ping your fellow Oregonians.

The Green Jihadists do not want Smith to be re elected.

Too bad we can't flash on the bill board, "Vote for Smith"!
4 posted on 10/31/2002 10:52:55 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: Salvation
Phi Kap Mom, some good news from Oregon re Senator Smith, Republican up for re election!

You might want to ping this good news to your great list!
5 posted on 10/31/2002 11:01:30 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave; 1more4perfecteconomy; AndreaZingg; Andy from Beaverton; anechoic; Animaltrout; ...
I actually went ahead and voted for Smith in this one. I wanted to cast mine for Fitz but though this one was too important....guess it really wouldn't have mattered.

THE BIG OREGON PING!!!!!!

EBUCK
6 posted on 10/31/2002 11:03:20 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: EBUCK
Thanks for the ping and your vote.

We need to elect a lot of fiscal conservative third party people at the local levels on the west coast to start bailing the west coast out of the tax and spend bankruptcy all 3 states are in the elections the next 4 years. That will send a message to both parties.

However, Da$$hole has be outed from being the Rat Majority leader or this country is in trouble.
7 posted on 10/31/2002 11:12:21 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave
If the insane one payer health plan passes here this state will be bankrupt in 5 years, guranteed. And the State will also have a few less subjects to kick around, as I'll be moving my family out.

EBUCK

8 posted on 10/31/2002 11:14:40 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: Grampa Dave; EBUCK
I posted this on the Oregon page:

This week I called all 99 Republicans in my precinct...it was a rewarding experience !!

Voting is important, some need a little nudge...

You'd be surprised at how many feel that they're the only Republicans in town, especially in places like Eugene... :o)

9 posted on 10/31/2002 11:18:05 AM PST by blackie
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To: EBUCK
We'll be moving to Idaho if the single payer health plan passes...

Every homeless person in America will move here...Oregon will go broke in less that five years !!

Freedom Is Worth Fighting For !!

Molon Labe !!
10 posted on 10/31/2002 11:22:13 AM PST by blackie
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To: blackie
Idaho huh? Wonder what the job outlook is like out there....hmmmm...

EBUCK

11 posted on 10/31/2002 11:25:09 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: blackie
You have 100 republicans in Eugene?

What a great grass root job, you have done!
12 posted on 10/31/2002 11:31:28 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: blackie; EBUCK
Oregon is broke right now. The socialized health care will just make it worse.

Kali is about $30 to 46 billion $'s in debt. We have Rat bond issues for the children all over the state. These bond issues represents another $30 to $40 billion debt.

It is like a giving a person in a bankruptcy court for over charging his credit cards, another credit card good for the same amount that he can't pay now.
13 posted on 10/31/2002 11:35:34 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: Grampa Dave
I'm glad Smith is doing well but I'm really depressed thinking about Kulongoski winning and the health plan measure passing. I'm just not in a position financially to move out of state.
14 posted on 10/31/2002 11:36:37 AM PST by Tailback
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To: Tailback
The proposed health plan will destroy what is left of Oregon's economy.

Any business with any sense of survival will move to Idaho or Nevada.

Any private business owner who can run his/her business in another state, should run for that other state asap if the stoned voters in Portland vote for this Socialist plan.
15 posted on 10/31/2002 11:40:53 AM PST by Grampa Dave
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To: Tailback
I don't think you will have a choice. There aren't going to be any jobs in a few years.

EBUCK

16 posted on 10/31/2002 11:44:46 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: EBUCK
Ask Jeff Head about Idaho jobs.
17 posted on 10/31/2002 11:50:20 AM PST by blackie
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To: Grampa Dave
There are several precincts in Eugene, I just called the 99 pubbies in mine...
I got the list from darryl@orgop.org for my precinct.
18 posted on 10/31/2002 11:53:08 AM PST by blackie
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To: blackie; Grampa Dave
Thanks Blackie, will do.

BTW, I just posted a thread dealing with American soldiers under U.N. command. Kinda anti-Bush (because he is actually in charge) but I thought you folks might be interested..Link

EBUCK

19 posted on 10/31/2002 11:55:26 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: EBUCK
I haven't voted yet, but since he is so far ahead I'm NOT going to vote for him. His pro-Kosovo, pro-Bosnia, pro-Chechyn, pro-homosexual rights and pro-hate crime agenda drove me far away from this .... I can't think of the right word to describe such a poor thinker.
20 posted on 10/31/2002 12:04:12 PM PST by Andy from Beaverton
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To: Andy from Beaverton
I voted as soon as I had my mail-in ballot in hand. Maybe I should have waited a bit.

You're right, he's pro "a lot of stuff that isn't Conservative" which is why he gets so much of the Rat vote. And he's probably the most conservative person we can get elected in this State.

EBUCK

21 posted on 10/31/2002 12:19:16 PM PST by EBUCK
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To: EBUCK
I work for the government (public works) so I might still have a job. Of course, liberals don't exactly want roads to be maintained so then again, I may not have a job.
22 posted on 10/31/2002 12:19:43 PM PST by Tailback
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To: Tailback
I wonder what is Smith's secret? He's running in a liberal state and he's got it in the bag. I've heard he's a moderate, but not so much the Arlen Specter-Snowe-Collins type. So what's his appeal?
23 posted on 10/31/2002 12:24:10 PM PST by nospinzone
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To: EBUCK
Thanks EBUCK.
24 posted on 10/31/2002 12:39:28 PM PST by blackie
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To: EBUCK
Gordon Smith is also so pro many things conservative !!

Death To all Muslim Extremist's !!

Snuff Saddam, NOW !!

The RATS Are In Disarray...Eradicate The Rodents !!

Fire Democrats, Hire Republicans !!

GWB Is The Man !!

The Second Amendment...
America's Original Homeland Security !!

Freedom Is Worth Fighting For !!

Let's Roll !!

Molon Labe !!

25 posted on 10/31/2002 12:43:05 PM PST by blackie
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To: Salvation; Grampa Dave; EBUCK
Thanks for the post and the pings! I'm glad to see him pulling away. I was uncomfortable with the polls for a while. It was way too close!

"The Green Jihadists do not want Smith to be re elected.

Too bad we can't flash on the bill board, "Vote for Smith"!"

You're right, Gramps! The weenie greenie's will hate this!

" I wanted to cast mine for Fitz but though this one was too important....guess it really wouldn't have mattered."

Thanks for the vote, EBUCK. I just hope the Smith supporters in NH will be as smart as you have been and vote for Sununu. For the life of me, I can't understand any conservative who would deliberately vote to let Daschle continue as the Senate Majority Leader.

26 posted on 10/31/2002 4:30:57 PM PST by dixiechick2000
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To: Grampa Dave; PhiKapMom
Ping!
27 posted on 10/31/2002 4:44:26 PM PST by Salvation
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To: blackie
I think the health thing will not pass. The Oregonian ad stating that this would bring financial ruin to Oregon has been running a lot.
28 posted on 10/31/2002 4:46:12 PM PST by Salvation
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To: Tailback
**Kulongoski winning **

I don't think so. There has been a huge effort by Right to Life and Catholic Family Association to get Mannix elected. And I think Oregonians want a change.

In other words, Republican win (upset)!
29 posted on 10/31/2002 4:48:05 PM PST by Salvation
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To: Salvation
I hope you're right. I bet $5 with a coworker that Mannix would lose and told him that if I had to pay him I'd do it with a huge grin on my face. I just think that theres too much ignorance of politics among most Oregonians and too much vote fraud in Multnomah County. You watch, Portland precincts will be the very last to tally their votes, and if I remember correctly they still are using punchcard ballots.
30 posted on 10/31/2002 7:35:16 PM PST by Tailback
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To: Grampa Dave
Bradbury just attacked Smith for being against assisted suicide. It was a poor ad and made Bradbury look like an idiot. Smith is a Rino. His ads on the west side make him look like a lib & ads on the East side portray him as a conservative.
31 posted on 10/31/2002 9:18:41 PM PST by Archie Bunker on steroids
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To: Tailback
**they still are using punchcard ballots.**

But I thought it was a statewide "mail-in" election.
32 posted on 10/31/2002 11:25:09 PM PST by Salvation
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To: Salvation
Yep, you're right. You are mailed a punchcard ballot and mail it back. But punchcards are the easiest ballot to commit fraud with. Lay a stack on a table and drive a nail through the Kulongoski hole.
33 posted on 11/01/2002 7:19:24 AM PST by Tailback
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To: Archie Bunker on steroids
Yup, RINO he certainly is. I think he was a full blown RAT right up until he had to run in a conservative district (IIRC?), then he swapped banners.

EBUCK

34 posted on 11/01/2002 8:30:32 AM PST by EBUCK
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To: Tailback
"Lay a stack on a table and drive a nail through the Kulongoski hole."

The vote tallying machine will not count those...think about it...

The RATS Are In Disarray...Eradicate The Rodents !!

Fire Democrats, Hire Republicans !!

GWB Is The Man !!

The Second Amendment...
America's Original Homeland Security !!

Freedom Is Worth Fighting For !!

Let's Roll !!

Molon Labe !!

35 posted on 11/01/2002 8:33:28 AM PST by blackie
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To: Tailback
We don't get punch cards down here (in the valley). We get ballots that have little holes to fill in with my crusty black pen.

I imagine that they are a bit harder to forge but if a guy was inclined he could just create a template....

EBUCK
36 posted on 11/01/2002 8:33:55 AM PST by EBUCK
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