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Poll has Terrell up by 8%/Perkins vows to support her
The (Baton Rouge) Advocate ^ | 11-16-02 | MARSHA SHULER

Posted on 11/16/2002 6:17:54 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative

A survey conducted by Wilson Research Strategies for Susan B. Anthony List shows Suzanne Haik Terrell leading incumbent U.S. Senator Mary Landrieu by 8% among likely run-off voters.

The poll conducted on Nov. 10-12 by Wilson Research Strategies surveyed 503 likely run-off voters in Louisiana. The margin of era is +/-4.4% at the 95% confidence level.

The survey also showed that Terrell performs much better with her base than does Landrieu. Among registered Republican voters, Terrell acquires 73% of the vote compared to 16% for Landrieu. With registered Democrats Landrieu nets 51% with Terrell receiving 42% of the vote.

The Susan B. Anthony List and its connected PAC (SBA List Candidate Fund) support pro life causes and candidates.


U.S. Senate candidate Suzanne Terrell got a boost Friday as the fourth-place finisher, conservative state Rep. Tony Perkins, said he will actively work to help fellow Republican Terrell beat incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu.

Perkins, who had strong support from pro-family, pro-life forces, said he's become convinced that Terrell shares his views on issues important to his followers.

"I am convinced now that she holds the right position on issues like the right-to-life, lowering taxes, the Second Amendment, defense and the family," Perkins said.

"I have no doubt, with her political insight and understanding, that she will hold fast to those decisions," he said.

Just as importantly, Perkins said, Terrell has agreed to work with him to mend fences between the moderate and social conservative wings of the state Republican Party so Louisiana can become a "real two-party state."

"We have agreed it is an appropriate time to put the past behind and together pursue Louisiana's future," said Perkins, who is eyeing a bid for statewide office next year.

The endorsement came on the same day a trio of Democratic lawmakers said Terrell should "temporarily step aside" as state elections commissioner since her office is overseeing the election.

A trio of Republican lawmakers and Terrell quickly responded that the Democrats' concern is "a false issue" and wondered why they are so suddenly concerned.

Terrell and Landrieu face each other Sunday on the national "Meet the Press" talk show at 8 a.m. on NBC affiliates.

Vice President Dick Cheney visits Lafayette and Monroe on Monday on Terrell's behalf.

On Friday Terrell welcomed the endorsement from Perkins, whose active support has been considered key to efforts to solidify Terrell's GOP base going into the Dec. 7 runoff election.

Perkins is "well-respected as a legislator beyond his so-called social conservative people. He has the respect of a lot of people," said Terrell in a telephone interview from New Orleans.

Perkins garnered 10 percent of the vote in the Nov. 5 election. Landrieu finished first with 46 percent of the vote, followed by Terrell with 27 percent, then Republican U.S. Rep. John Cooksey, with 14 percent. The remaining five candidates split 3 percent.

Cooksey endorsed Terrell on election night but since then has said he won't actively help her because of last-minute attacks he says came from Terrell and Perkins camps. Both have denied the allegation.

"Everytime you have someone who comes on board, it expands your ability to get votes. We want to get every vote of those 54 percent that didn't vote for Mary," Terrell said.

Perkins said he will actively work for Terrell, contacting his supporters, making appearances for and with her, and doing radio ads, particularly on Christian radio stations.

"I will be working with them (supporters) through any concerns they may have," Perkins said.

Terrell, a moderate Republican, said she agreed with Perkins that the state Republican Party needs to be "a very inclusive party that doesn't take people for granted, that will welcome the social conservatives into the party as active players."

Terrell and Perkins have been on opposite sides in intra-party fights over leadership. Perkins also questioned Terrell's anti-abortion credentials during the campaign, noting that she helped sponsor a Planned Parenthood event in New Orleans.

Asked how Terrell convinced him of her pro-life commitment, Perkins said, "As I said, I don't know where she stood prior to the race. I know where she stands now. At some point and time, you just have to take someone at their word."

Perkins pointed to public statements Terrell made during the campaign and positions posted on her campaign Web site.

Over the last week, Perkins said, he's received "almost as many phone calls as I received votes" in the Nov. 5 election.

Included were "many conversations" with the White House and the Republican National Committee about the importance of the U.S. Senate race to President Bush and the country, he said.

Three Democratic legislators supporting Landrieu held a news conference to question the political wisdom of Terrell supervising the election where she's on the ballot twice -- once as a candidate and again as commissioner.

Participating were Legislative Black Caucus chairman Rep. Arthur Morrell, D-New Orleans, and state Sens. Kip Holden, D-Baton Rouge; and Rob Marionneaux, D-Maringouin.

Marionneaux said Terrell may want to "avoid the stain of Florida" where Republican Secretary of State Katherine Harris ran into major election turmoil in the 2000 presidential race.

A trio of Republican lawmakers supporting Terrell replied in a news conference a short time later.

"We need to focus on issues," Sen. Jay Dardenne said. "Obviously, they are reaching to create an issue."

Rep. Steve Scalise, R-Metairie, said maybe Landrieu's upset because Terrell's doing such a good job.


TOPICS: Louisiana; Polls; U.S. Senate
KEYWORDS: marylandrieu; suzanneterrell; tonyperkins

1 posted on 11/16/2002 6:17:54 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: KQQL; Coop; Torie; AntiGuv; BlackRazor; southernnorthcarolina
poll ping!
2 posted on 11/16/2002 6:18:57 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Well, thank the Lord. I hope this is true. The more I watch this, the more I believe that Terrell will win.

But a message to the Louisiana GOP: Don't be overconfident. You need to win not only this Senate seat, but also the open US House seat.

My prayers are for a Terrell victory. Landrieu is a fraud. She stands for nothing significantly good, and should be voted out.
3 posted on 11/16/2002 6:52:02 AM PST by No dems 2002
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: GraniteStateConservative
Could there be something wrong with this poll? I can't believe that 41% of registered Democrats are supporting the republican that didn't even get 40% of the voters in the first ballot.

5 posted on 11/16/2002 11:31:01 AM PST by IMRight
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To: GraniteStateConservative
***Among registered Republican voters, Terrell acquires 73% of the vote compared to 16% for Landrieu. With registered Democrats Landrieu nets 51% with Terrell receiving 42% of the vote. ***

If this is true, Landrieu is in deep dieu dieu!
6 posted on 11/16/2002 11:55:05 AM PST by drstevej
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To: IMRight
***41% of registered Democrats are supporting the republican that didn't even get 40% of the voters in the first ballot. ***

Note reistered voters VS actual voters. Big difference.
7 posted on 11/16/2002 11:56:36 AM PST by drstevej
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To: GraniteStateConservative
OBSERVATION: This election may not mean the difference in which party is in the majority this year; but Terrell will serve 6 years. Her election in 2002 makes holding the Senate in 2004 and 2006 elections easier. And with a close Senate in the balance, this is essential -- especially with RINOs and McCain around.
8 posted on 11/16/2002 12:01:39 PM PST by drstevej
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To: GraniteStateConservative
I wish those poll results are true, but this sounds WAY too overconfident. I can't believe for a moment that many Dems are going for Terrell !
9 posted on 11/16/2002 12:05:05 PM PST by fieldmarshaldj
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To: fieldmarshaldj; drstevej; IMRight
This is a poll of Dem strength of Landrieu, not John Breaux. These numbers are realistic. The Dems have like a 2:1 edge in registration in the state, but many are "blue dog" Democrats. The fact that Landrieu failed to avoid a runoff itself supports the notion that she doesn't have a strongly committed base. She wins the more liberal Democrats, but conservative Democrats could go to Terrell or just not show up.

John Breaux is nearly twice as conservative as Landrieu and the conservative "blue dog" Democrats that like Breaux aren't as partial to Landrieu.
10 posted on 11/16/2002 12:48:08 PM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: William Creel
How is Terrell a moderate?

Beats me. They said the same thing about Norm Coleman, who is pro-life, pro-tax cut, etc. Maybe it's wishful thinking.
11 posted on 11/16/2002 2:33:31 PM PST by nospinzone
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To: conservative_2001; Coop; rightwingbob; DeaconBenjamin; Congressman Billybob; Vis Numar; mwl1; ...
Poll Ping!

This is a partisan poll, so it probably overstates Terrell's position a bit. Even so, unless it is wildly inaccurate, it looks like good news.

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

12 posted on 11/16/2002 3:09:50 PM PST by BlackRazor
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To: GraniteStateConservative
When you're only up one run in the 8th inning, it isn't a good idea to spend a lot of time gloating.

The Louisiana run-off is in December, and I am asking for support for our last "man" at bat, Suzanne Haik Terrell.

Suzanne Haik Terrell, graduate of Loyola University Law School, former New Orleans City Council member, first Republican woman to hold statewide office (as Elections Commissioner.) Since taking office in 2000 she has achieved many of her goals, cutting the bloated Department's budget by canceling contracts, streamlining operations, and downsizing the Department's spending practices and personnel.

"We will never create a culture in this country that honors life until we have a pro-life woman making the case every day from the Senate floor. Today there are no pro-life women in the Senate. That must change. Louisiana can change it."--Suzanne Haik Terrell

Please send a contribution by credit card on-line or mail a check if you cannot personally volunteer time.

Link to www.suzieterrell.com

Suzanne Haik Terrell for U.S. Senate Campaign
P.O. Box 44267
Baton Rouge, LA 70806

Volunteers can contact campaign headquarters in Baton Rouge at
6554 Florida Blvd., Rm 242
(225)218-8683

13 posted on 11/16/2002 5:12:55 PM PST by patriciaruth
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To: BlackRazor; Torie; Free the USA; deport; paul544; ambrose
-4% for Part poll.....= she is up by aprox 4%.


REMEMBER in LA registered RAts out number Republicans 3:1...
so Terrel needs atleast 35-40% of the RATS to win..the
14 posted on 11/16/2002 8:43:04 PM PST by KQQL
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To: GraniteStateConservative; William Creel; nospinzone
Conservative VS Moderate republicans of LA !

LA republicans are divided into 3 groups...
1)First Group doesn't belief in abortion in any case.
= Conservative republicans of LA.
2)2nd group which believes in a abortion in case of rape,
incest.
= Moderate republicans of LA.

3) Pro-choice republican = Liberal republicans
15 posted on 11/16/2002 9:01:53 PM PST by KQQL
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Do you know the actual numbers?

O.k She is up by 8% ...but what are the numbers?
16 posted on 11/16/2002 9:12:27 PM PST by KQQL
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To: KQQL
Terrel needs atleast 35-40% of the RATS to win.

And Landrieu is acting like Republican-light, so in the 'Rats' eyes, the choice is between a fake Repub to work in the minority or a real Repub to work with the majority. Sometimes, even some 'Rats can do the right thing.

17 posted on 11/16/2002 10:23:31 PM PST by PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
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To: PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., leaves the National D-Day Museum after attending a Veterans Day program in New Orleans, Monday, Nov. 11, 2002. Landrieu is carrying a book by the founder of the museum, the late Dr. Stephen Ambrose. Landrieu is in a runoff election against Elections Commissioner Suzanne Haik Terrell. (AP Photo/Bill Haber)
18 posted on 11/16/2002 10:26:32 PM PST by KQQL
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To: KQQL
See...she has good taste in literature.
19 posted on 11/16/2002 10:30:21 PM PST by PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
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To: PeoplesRepublicOfWashington
But she looks depressed..this picture was taken on NOV 11,2002
20 posted on 11/16/2002 10:31:49 PM PST by KQQL
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To: ambrose
She 's reading your book...

Look you got a fan....lol
21 posted on 11/16/2002 10:32:28 PM PST by KQQL
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To: KQQL
har.
22 posted on 11/17/2002 1:07:51 AM PST by ambrose
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To: ambrose
This stupid poll doesn't give numbers...
So she is winning by 8%...what does that mean..
23 posted on 11/17/2002 1:16:32 AM PST by KQQL
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To: KQQL
No, that's all I have.
24 posted on 11/17/2002 7:09:18 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Many of us that voted for Perkins in the primary did so in hope of sending a message that Louisiana is a strong pro-life/pro-family state and oppose the amoral democrat party. The fact that Landrieu has cut her ties to the DNC and ask them to stay out of the runoff election suggests that she has gotten that message.

Landrieu is between a rock and a hard spot. She claims that she supports W but that doesn't wash with most of her base in Orleans Parish. If she runs back to her base she will loose the rest of the state with the exception of the union workers in the river parish chemical plants which vote the way they are told to.

Her only hope is an endorsement by Governor Foster. I doubt that will happen. My guess is that Foster has taken all the heat he wants by not endorsing Terrell. The only well liked politician in the state supporting her is Senator Breaux and I doubt he would be there if it weren't necessary to stay in good graces with his party and shore up his own liberal support.

Landrieu has other problems as well. 1. Terrell is also from Orleans Parish and will get most of the moderate vote from there. 2. The scare tactics she used on seniors failed to work in the primary due to more and more baby boomers reaching senior status. The new seniors are more sophisticated and wish they could have invested even a minute percentage of their government mandated FICA taxes in the bond market over the years. 3. The middle income wage earners in this state want to live long enough to see the recently passed tax cuts while Landrieu wants to eliminate them. 4. Landrieu is wed to the Democrats position of no education vouchers but many Louisiana Catholics choose parochial schooling meaning they have to pay public taxes plus private tuition and those that don't chose Parochial schools would if they could afford it. 5. Landrieu wants the government to fund abortions and Louisiana is pro-life. Even those few that want abortion on demand don't want to pay for someone else's promiscuity. 6. The Orleans political machine is now in disrepair with Morial out of the mayor's chair and Connick out of the DA's office. 7. Landrieu failed to support Cleo Fields run for governor and that has East Baton Rouge blacks upset with her.

The deck is stacked against Landrieu and she is the one that stacked it. If we can get out the conservative vote as was done in the primary Terrell will win. A good heavy drenching rain in Orleans Parish will help too as Orleans voters tend to stay away from the polls on cold rainy days.
25 posted on 11/17/2002 9:25:06 AM PST by NickFlooding
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To: William Creel
There's some kind of controversy because her name appeared somewhere in connection with a Planned Parenthood fundraiser. But she insists she is pro-life and says they had no permission to use her name. It became an issue during the campaign.
26 posted on 11/17/2002 10:25:08 AM PST by The Old Hoosier
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To: NickFlooding
I will be at the polls early to vote for Terrell rain or shine.

The opportunity to vote against Landrieu twice is greatly appreciated.
27 posted on 11/17/2002 11:33:19 AM PST by drstevej
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To: NickFlooding
I will call fox news steve ducy to work on the rain! : )
28 posted on 11/17/2002 2:04:49 PM PST by GoMonster
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Terrell, a moderate Republican, said she agreed with Perkins that the state Republican Party needs to be "a very inclusive party that doesn't take people for granted, that will welcome the social conservatives into the party as active players."

Mrs. Terrell isn't a moderate. If you look at her positions on the issues, she is a solid conservative. As a city council member in New Orleans, I'm sure she had to work with so many liberals that she may have seemed moderate, but the positions that she's bringing into this race are solidly conservative. On many issues, I'm as much a Bob Smith/Alan Keyes/Pat Buchanan conservative as anyone, and I almost switched to her campaign. She is also a very personable campaigner who people will like when they meet. I hope her appeal to moderates will be in persuading them to become more conservative or showing them how conservative they really are.

WFTR
Bill

29 posted on 11/17/2002 4:45:42 PM PST by WFTR
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To: GraniteStateConservative
If the December run-off were held today, Suzie Terrell would garner 48% of the vote and Senator Landrieu would receive 40%
30 posted on 11/17/2002 7:06:53 PM PST by KQQL
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Over the last week, Perkins said, he's received "almost as many phone calls as I received votes" in the Nov. 5 election.

Funny line!

31 posted on 11/18/2002 5:55:41 AM PST by Coop
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To: KQQL
Where did you get those numbers?
32 posted on 11/18/2002 5:59:08 AM PST by Coop
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To: Coop
Yeah, I like Perkins. He'll probably run for Governor next year.
33 posted on 11/18/2002 6:40:29 AM PST by GraniteStateConservative
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To: Coop
Where did you get those numbers?

More details are here:

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/790768/posts

34 posted on 11/18/2002 7:16:03 AM PST by BlackRazor
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To: GraniteStateConservative
Yeah, I like Perkins. He'll probably run for Governor next year.

I did notice that mention of his interest in a statewide office next year. :-) Probably explains why he's being a team player right now.

35 posted on 11/18/2002 7:21:57 AM PST by Coop
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To: BlackRazor
Thank you kindly
36 posted on 11/18/2002 7:28:28 AM PST by Coop
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To: Coop
Most of the endorsements to be made have now been made. Cleo Fields has thrown his support behind Landrieu (though he said he has nothing bad to say about Terrell) and said he'll work for her reelection, although two other black legislators are still balking. The Sugar industry folks endorsed Landrieu but said they had nothing against Terrell.

(Apparently the only folks who don't like Suzie Terrell are NARAL and John Cooksey.)

On the other side, Terrell now has the support of Gov. Foster and the aforementioned Perkins, and of course the national GOP.

If the race is really a tossup or a Terrell lead at this point, things should be looking good with Dubya rolling into town two days before the election (that's an estimate -- any word on when he'll come down?) Of course a lot depends on GOTV, but I think Terrell has better odds than Landrieu, which is pretty amazing considering Landrieu's relatively moderate incumbency.
37 posted on 11/20/2002 9:06:01 AM PST by JohnnyZ
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To: JohnnyZ
Nope, no word on the President will go down there, although I did read today he is planning to visit. And I did see for the first time that Rudy Giuliani will also be paying a visit to Ms. Terrell. :-)
38 posted on 11/20/2002 9:14:16 AM PST by Coop
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To: Coop
I just vote on a poll at hillnews.com (the congressional newspaper) which asked whether Landrieu would keep her seat. 88% said she would lose! 48% of the respondents identified themselves as R's, 40% 'Rats.

Perhaps it gives an indication that the buzz is going against Little Mary?
39 posted on 11/22/2002 3:13:54 PM PST by JohnnyZ
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