To: colorado tanker
The most accurate vote predictor for the last election was whether the voter frequently attends religious services. Those who do are overwhelmingly Republcan.
I guess the real or next question is how many of those that 'frequently attends religious services' will go to the polls and vote come election day.... If we can determine that number then we know the results....
posted on 12/23/2003 10:18:44 AM PST
The trend has been lower turnout by evangelicals, frustrated by the lack of progress on abortion in the post-Bork era. Rove said lack of turnout by evangelicals almost cost Bush the election in 2000. I think the last minute DUI hit may have had some effect on that.
I think turnout will be up in 2004 because Rove and Reed have been working hard on the issue - and because people will turn out to keep a militant secularist and abortionist out of the White House. Plus a lot of evangelicals will vote to keep someone in the White House who is willing to fight the islamist terrorists, which Dean will not do.
Just my two cents - a lot can happen in the next year.
posted on 12/23/2003 10:28:53 AM PST
by colorado tanker
("There are but two parties now, Traitors and Patriots")
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