What statistics? References, please, because if they were valid numbers, we would be using them.
The statistics show that she actually did better with voters in her congressional district than Bush did when he ran in 2000. That's hardly someone who voters run from.
Sorry, but that is not a statistic you use to predict a statewide race.
In Realpolitic, one of the first things you look at is their Q rating. That is the percentage of people who know them who like them, minus two and a half times the number of people who know them and dislike them. Katherine does very poorly here STATEWIDE.
Another viable test is the Dollar Driver Scale. You get a percentage of voters who would GIVE MONEY to see her elected, vs those who would GIVE MONEY to see her opponent elected. (You are not actually looking for money here, just the depth of commitment.) Again, she fairs very poorly in this STATEWIDE.
Finally, you poll voters and ask if they are in favor/opposed to her "slightly or an average amount or a huge amount?" Again, she does poorly here, with those who oppose her doing so with great vigor.
A great lady. Not this race; not this time.
posted on 01/08/2004 10:20:53 AM PST
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The statistics show that she actually did better with voters in her congressional district than Bush did when he ran in 2000.
It's true that she got 55 where Bush got 54. But then again 2000 was a Democrat year, while 2002 was a GOP year. And:
That's hardly someone who voters run from.
"In the end, voters in this Republican-leaning district returned to form and gave her a 24,300-vote winning margin. This margin was lower than those of other Republican candidates running in pretty similar Republican performing open-seat races in south and central Florida. Republican Mario Diaz-Balart took 65 percent of the vote in the newly created 25th district and former House Speaker Tom Feeney took 62 percent in the new 24th district." http://www.cookpolitical.com/display.cfm?edit_id=39
According to the folks in the know, she didn't run a good campaign for Congress and had to be bailed out with last minute attack ads from the NRCC.
posted on 01/08/2004 12:17:42 PM PST
(Abolish the food tax)
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