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To: ClintonBeGone
Sorry, but that is not a statistic you use to predict a statewide race.

In Realpolitic, one of the first things you look at is their Q rating. That is the percentage of people who know them who like them, minus two and a half times the number of people who know them and dislike them. Katherine does very poorly here STATEWIDE.

Another viable test is the Dollar Driver Scale. You get a percentage of voters who would GIVE MONEY to see her elected, vs those who would GIVE MONEY to see her opponent elected. (You are not actually looking for money here, just the depth of commitment.) Again, she fairs very poorly in this STATEWIDE.

Finally, you poll voters and ask if they are in favor/opposed to her "slightly or an average amount or a huge amount?" Again, she does poorly here, with those who oppose her doing so with great vigor.

A great lady. Not this race; not this time.
88 posted on 01/08/2004 10:20:53 AM PST by MindBender26 (For more news as it happens, stay tuned to your local FReeper Network station)
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To: MindBender26
Sorry, but that is not a statistic you use to predict a statewide race. In Realpolitic, one of the first things you look at is their Q rating. That is the percentage of people who know them who like them, minus two and a half times the number of people who know them and dislike them. Katherine does very poorly here STATEWIDE. Another viable test is the Dollar Driver Scale. You get a percentage of voters who would GIVE MONEY to see her elected, vs those who would GIVE MONEY to see her opponent elected. (You are not actually looking for money here, just the depth of commitment.) Again, she fairs very poorly in this STATEWIDE. Finally, you poll voters and ask if they are in favor/opposed to her "slightly or an average amount or a huge amount?" Again, she does poorly here, with those who oppose her doing so with great vigor.

You sound like a radio advertising salesman. In real life you use voter history, not polls to suggest how voters will vote in the future. It is very much an accepted statistic in elections to compare how different candidates have done in the same districts and then factor for things that are not equal. In her case, she did better than Bush in her own congressional district AFTER becoming this terrible lightening rod you claim she is. In that case, the adjustments work in her favor and it's more than likely she'll help, not hurt him.

114 posted on 01/08/2004 10:50:14 AM PST by ClintonBeGone
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