It will be a Bush v. Hillary race, and will go 50%/49%
posted on 01/08/2004 10:22:44 AM PST
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But Jeb Bush was also dealing with the same allegations as well. The margin was larger than 50-49, IIRC.
It would be close, I agree. A 52/47 race. Given Jeb Bush's presence in `02, given the fact the Rats were just as dirty there, and the fact that she took a strong stand for doing her job, I think she comes out on top of that matchup. But it would require a lot of resources.
Again, the big concern is the number of activists Dean could generate for the other side. He's got a big direct-donor list, and he has excited their base. It would not hurt to have ours excited down in Florida after the last race.
I would like to emphasize that all three of the major names would be good Senators, and each have valid points in their favor. McCollum has a statewide race under his belt, albeit he lost it. Martinez would probably have a solid win, and he does provide a high profile for future elections, although I'd have him for 2006, since the sixth-year elections for two-term Presidents tend to be rough. Katherine Harris excites the activists, which would even the odds against Howard Dean's activists.
Furthermore, all would be good Senators. No need to get in srious arguments over this.
posted on 01/08/2004 10:33:31 AM PST
(Why did the Nazgul run from Arwen's flash flood? All they managed to do was to end up dying tired.)
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