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Iranian Alert -- January 31, 2004 -- IRAN LIVE THREAD --Americans for Regime Change in Iran
The Iranian Student Movement -- Up To The Minute Reports ^ | 1.31.2004 | DoctorZin

Posted on 01/30/2004 11:07:59 PM PST by DoctorZIn

The US media almost entirely ignores news regarding the Islamic Republic of Iran. As Tony Snow of the Fox News Network has put it, “this is probably the most under-reported news story of the year.” But most American’s are unaware that the Islamic Republic of Iran is NOT supported by the masses of Iranians today. Modern Iranians are among the most pro-American in the Middle East.

There is a popular revolt against the Iranian regime brewing in Iran today. Starting June 10th of this year, Iranians have begun taking to the streets to express their desire for a regime change. Most want to replace the regime with a secular democracy. Many even want the US to over throw their government.

The regime is working hard to keep the news about the protest movement in Iran from being reported. Unfortunately, the regime has successfully prohibited western news reporters from covering the demonstrations. The voices of discontent within Iran are sometime murdered, more often imprisoned. Still the people continue to take to the streets to demonstrate against the regime.

In support of this revolt, Iranians in America have been broadcasting news stories by satellite into Iran. This 21st century news link has greatly encouraged these protests. The regime has been attempting to jam the signals, and locate the satellite dishes. Still the people violate the law and listen to these broadcasts. Iranians also use the Internet and the regime attempts to block their access to news against the regime. In spite of this, many Iranians inside of Iran read these posts daily to keep informed of the events in their own country.

This daily thread contains nearly all of the English news reports on Iran. It is thorough. If you follow this thread you will witness, I believe, the transformation of a nation. This daily thread provides a central place where those interested in the events in Iran can find the best news and commentary. The news stories and commentary will from time to time include material from the regime itself. But if you read the post you will discover for yourself, the real story of what is occurring in Iran and its effects on the war on terror.

I am not of Iranian heritage. I am an American committed to supporting the efforts of those in Iran seeking to replace their government with a secular democracy. I am in contact with leaders of the Iranian community here in the United States and in Iran itself.

If you read the daily posts you will gain a better understanding of the US war on terrorism, the Middle East and why we need to support a change of regime in Iran. Feel free to ask your questions and post news stories you discover in the weeks to come.

If all goes well Iran will be free soon and I am convinced become a major ally in the war on terrorism. The regime will fall. Iran will be free. It is just a matter of time.

DoctorZin


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: iaea; iran; iranianalert; iranquake; protests; southasia; studentmovement; studentprotest
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To: DoctorZIn
Iran's Threat to Coalition Forces in Iraq

January 15, 2004
The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
Raymond Tanter

On January 13, 2004, Eli Lake of the New York Sun reported that two senior members of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) had defected to coalition forces in Iraq. This defection constitutes a good opportunity to reflect on several issues, including Iran's efforts to infiltrate the Iraqi Shi'i community, Tehran's potential plans to target (either directly or by proxy) U.S. forces in Iraq, and the appropriate U.S. policy response to this potential Iranian threat.

Iran's Support for Anti-American Terrorism

According to the State Department's Patterns of Global Terrorism 2002 (issued in April 2003), Tehran provides the Lebanon-based Hizballah with "funding, safe haven, training, and weapons." Such support (estimated at $80 million per year) has given Iran a terrorist proxy of global reach. For example, Hizballah suicide bombings against the U.S. Marine barracks and the U.S. embassy annex in Beirut (in October 1983 and September 1984, respectively) killed some 300 U.S. diplomats and soldiers. In addition, the twenty-two individuals on the FBI's list of Most Wanted Terrorists include three Hizballah operatives accused of the 1985 hijacking of TWA Flight 847, during which a U.S. Navy diver was murdered. The hijacking featured the infamous image of an American pilot peering out of the cockpit with a gun to his head. Moreover, according to a November 1, 1996, report by the Washington Post, Saudi intelligence concluded that a local group calling itself Hizballah was responsible for the June 1996 truck bombing of the Khobar Towers U.S. military housing complex on the kingdom's Persian Gulf coast. The Saudis also asserted that this local group was a wing of Lebanese Hizballah. More recently, Hizballah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah made the following remarks in a speech given one week before coalition forces launched Operation Iraqi Freedom (as broadcast on al-Manar, the organization's Beirut-based satellite television station): "In the past, when the Marines were in Beirut, we screamed, 'Death to America!' Today, when the region is being filled with hundreds of thousands of American soldiers, 'Death to America!' was, is, and will stay our slogan."

Iran's support for anti-American terrorism is not limited to Hizballah, however. According to the State Department, some al-Qaeda operatives have obtained safe haven in Iran. U.S. intelligence believes that one such operative is Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, for whose capture the State Department's "Rewards for Justice" program offers up to $5 million. Iran's links to al-Qaeda may predate the organization's post-September 11 flight from Afghanistan. At the trial for those suspected of bombing the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania in 1998, one of the defendants testified that he had provided security for meetings between al-Qaeda and Hizballah operatives. In addition, phone records revealed at the trial demonstrated that, during the period preceding the bombings, 10 percent of the calls made from Osama bin Laden's satellite phone were to Iran.

Iranian Efforts in Postwar Iraq

Over 2,000 Iranian-sponsored clerics have crossed into Iraq from Iran since the cessation of major combat in May 2003. Many of them carry books, compact discs, and audiotapes that promote militant Islam. Moreover, according to Iranian dissident sources, the IRGC's Qods (Jerusalem) Force is establishing armed underground cells across the Shi'i southern region of Iraq, often using the Iranian Red Crescent as a front. Such sources also contend that the Jerusalem Force has established medical centers and local charities in Najaf, Baghdad, Hillah, Basra, and al-Amarah in order to gain support from the local population. In addition, according to a September 2003 Washington Times report, IRGC agents have been deployed to Najaf in order to gather intelligence on U.S. forces. Tehran has also permitted members of Ansar al-Islam, a terrorist faction with close links to al-Qaeda, to cross back into Iraq and join the anti-American resistance.

Even as Tehran began to send Iranian operatives into postwar Iraq, members of Hizballah infiltrated the country as well. Because most of Hizballah's members are Arab, they may constitute an even more effective Iranian proxy in Iraq than Iranian agents trained in Arabic. According to Iranian dissident sources (and confirmed in part by U.S. intelligence), Tehran tasked Hizballah with sending agents and clerics across a major portion of southern Iraq. Indeed, once major combat operations came to an end, Hizballah "holy warriors" crossed into the country not only from Syria, but from Iran as well. Initially, these operatives numbered nearly 100, but this relatively small figure belies their potential impact on behalf of Tehran. Hizballah has established charitable organizations in Iraq in order to create a favorable environment for recruiting, a tactic that the organization had previously tested in southern Lebanon with Iranian assistance. Moreover, according to Mohammed al-Alawi, Hizballah's chief spokesman in Iraq, the organization's agents act as local police forces in many southern cities (e.g., Nasiriya, Ummara), ignoring an official U.S. ban on militias. Overall, Tehran seems to be using Hizballah to supplement its own penetration of local Iraqi governing offices and judiciaries.

In addition, Iranian dissident sources report that Tehran has used Hizballah to smuggle Iraqis living in Iran back into their native country. A significant number of Iraqis have dual nationalities and have resided in Iran for many years; some have even served as IRGC commanders. Hizballah can help conceal their long association with Iran; indeed, some of these individuals have apparently joined Iraqi police forces since the end of major combat.

Iranian dissident sources also contend that Hizballah is casing coalition assembly centers in Iraq and tracking the timing and order of movements by various coalition vehicles, including tanks, armored personnel carriers, and motorcades (this assertion has yet to be confirmed by U.S. intelligence officials). Hizballah agents are reportedly videotaping various locations in two-person teams, often using public transportation such as taxis. Footage of targets is sometimes concealed between banal imagery (e.g., wedding festivities) in order to avoid detection by coalition forces. Such reports echo Hizballah's own public statements, voiced as early as mid-April 2003, regarding its willingness to attack U.S. forces in Iraq and its increasing ability to do so.

Talks with Iran?

The devastating earthquake that struck Iran in December 2003 renewed the debate over whether Washington should resume its quiet dialogue with Tehran. That dialogue was suspended in spring 2003 after intelligence linked al-Qaeda operatives held in Iran to a series of suicide bombings in Saudi Arabia. Now that Tehran has agreed in principle to some limits on its nuclear program, Iranian-sponsored terrorism heads the list of topics that Washington needs to discuss with Tehran. Another key issue is Tehran's efforts to build an intelligence infrastructure in Iraq. Prior to resuming U.S.-Iranian dialogue, Washington should not only insist that Iran expel al-Qaeda, but also demand that Ansar al-Islam, Hizballah, and the IRGC's Jerusalem Force withdraw from Iraq. With over 10,000 coalition forces stationed in southern Iraq, force-protection planners should be particularly wary of Hizballah's intelligence efforts, given the organization's past attacks against U.S. military forces in Lebanon and Saudi Arabia.

Raymond Tanter is an adjunct scholar of The Washington Institute.

http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/watch/Policywatch/policywatch2004/827.htm
21 posted on 01/31/2004 12:15:58 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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To: DoctorZIn; All
Abdul Qadeer Khan under 'house arrest'

STANDFIRST, Jan 31: Investigators have uncovered a sophisticated black market in components with Islamabad at its centre.

While on a tour of eight Asian countries in the summer of 2002, Colin Powell, the US secretary of state, arrived in Islamabad with a special request.

Mr Powell asked President, General Pervez Musharraf, to arrest Abdul Qadeer Khan, the mastermind of Pakistan's nuclear weapons programme and a hero in the country. He said Mr Khan needed to be questioned over the alleged secret trading of Pakistan's nuclear technology to North Korea and he had evidence.

An American spy satellite had recorded images of a Pakistani transport plane being loaded with missile parts in North Korea. It was, the US believed, part of a barter deal trading Pakistani nuclear know-how for missiles.

According to sources in Washington, Mr Powell offered Gen Musharraf assistance for an inquiry into Mr Khan's activities. The Guardian has learned that money, equipment and lie detectors for interrogations would be made available. Gen Musharraf rejected the overture but the case against Mr Khan has been building up inexorably since.

Yesterday, Mr Khan was under effective house arrest in Islamabad waiting to hear if he will face charges of treason.

The evidence being considered is embarrassing for Pakistan, whose scientists are accused of being at the centre of the illegal and dangerous trade in nuclear secrets. Astonishing details of their alleged involvement not only with North Korea but with Libya and Iran have emerged in the last two months after the UN's demand that Iran provide its investigators with a comprehensive record of its 20-year-old nuclear effort. The UN's nuclear detectives, acting on names and contacts supplied by Tehran plus information gleaned in Iran, found evidence which pointed to Pakistan as the source for Iran's uranium enrichment technology. But in an interview with a Pakistani satellite channel last month Mr Khan denied any involvement with Iran. "I am being accused for nothing, I never visited Iran, I don't know any Iranian, nor do I know any Iranian scientist.I will be targeted naturally because I made the nuclear bomb, I made the missile," he said.

When Libya's leader, Colonel Muammar Gadafy, volunteered last month to scrap his covert nuclear bomb project, MI6, the CIA and UN inspectors from Vienna got a glimpse of Libya's equipment and concluded that Pakistan and Mr Khan were again the source, directly or indirectly, of the bomb-making equipment.

Gary Milhollin, head of the Wilson Project, a counter- proliferation group, said: "In all three places (North Korea, Iran and Libya), it's the same designs and technology. It was pilfered by A Q Khan. It's old but it works. The Pakistanis used it to make 30 bombs."

The result is that almost two years after Gen Musharraf rebuffed Mr Powell and almost 30 after Mr Khan absconded from the Netherlands with top secret blueprints on how to enrich uranium, the scientist feted in Pakistan may be about to face trial.

The signals from Islamabad, this week, are that at least two men, apparently Mr Khan and Mr Farooq, will face trial for selling Pakistani nuclear secrets abroad.

Faisal Saleh Hayat, Pakistan's interior minister, said on Monday: "No patriotic Pakistani should even think of selling out Pakistan. "There was a time when they used to call themselves heroes of Pakistan. But now the real face of some of these heroes is being exposed. We will take legal action against them."

The network being revealed by investigations in Pakistan, Iran, and Libya has alarmed seasoned inspectors and intelligence services by its scale, its sophistication and the ease with which it has operated unimpeded for almost two decades.

According to this week's issue of Der Spiegel, a German weekly, a German intelligence report found in the mid-1990s that "there is said to be cooperation between Iran's atomic energy organisation and Pakistan's Khan laboratories".

Almost ten years later, the threads in the dense web of the nuclear black market stretching from the far east to the Middle East and Europe are being unravelled.

Pakistan and its nuclear laboratories named after Dr Khan, at Kahuta, south of Islamabad, are the common factor in tracing equipment found in Libya and Iran, and believed to be in North Korea. But the networks which appear to have been set up in the mid-80s may now have grown so extensive as to have acquired a life of their own, independent of the original Pakistani sponsors.

According to diplomats tracking the investigations, Tehran named some six individuals and several firms as being involved in the black market trade.This led to the questioning of Mr Khan and his associates, but investigators suspect this is the tip of an iceberg.

"This is globalisation at work," said one well-informed source."So many fingers are pointing at Pakistan. There are only a handful of people who can pull together systems like this. But there are a large number of firms who can do gadgets and gizmos for centrifuges." Another diplomatic source agreed Pakistan was the main suspect. "But there's a whole bunch of other suspects and sources. There has been a very active market in this stuff and this thing is widening." Those suspected of involvement include an unnamed British businessman in Dubai and middlemen in Sri Lanka and the Middle East.

A planeload of nuclear equipment impounded by the Americans from Libya will provide details on the provenance of the machinery, as will a shipload of centrifuge components manufactured in Malaysia and seized aboard a German boat en route to Libya in October.

Mr Milhollin said Col Gadafy's programme, going back a decade, involved a deal with the Pakistani scientists "to outsource" the manufacturing and supplies of parts. But the main focus of the investigation is the trade in parts for gas centrifuges, the key machines required to establish a home-based nuclear weapons effort. The centrifuges found in Libya and Iran are all of the same fundamental design, by the German engineer Gernot Zippe. The design dates from the late 1960s for what was to become the Anglo/German/Dutch consortium, Urenco. At the same time as Zippe was working on his design, Mr Khan was studying in Germany and Belgium.

In 1975 he absconded with the Zippe centrifuge blueprints. Back home and given carte blanche to lead Pakistan's race to match India's nuclear bomb, he and his experts improved the Zippe design, known as G-2, to what has become known in expert circles as Pak-2. A Dutch court sentenced Mr Khan to four years jail for industrial espionage in 1983, but the verdict was overturned on the grounds that he had never been served with the arrest warrant.

It remains unclear how tainted Gen Musharraf's government is. The political imperative for both Islamabad and Washington is to maintain that Pakistan's role was limited to that of a few rogue scientists acting without state authorisation and that in any case the nuclear deals preceded Gen Musharraf's takeover in 1999 and have been suppressed since then.

The latter claim is called into question by the alleged sighting of the Pakistani plane in North Korea in 2002 and by some of the supplies to Libya which have taken place since 1999. Because of the Pakistani leader's importance to the Americans in the war on terror, "there is," says one of the diplomats, "a high need to protect Musharraf. That's politics. Musharraf may not have wanted to know what was going on for reasons of plausible deniability".

But even if the Pakistani channels are being closed down and Gen Musharraf escapes international censure and survives the domestic fallout, the damage may well already be done.

Jon Wolfsthal, a nuclear analyst at the Carnegie Endowment said: "There's concern that this thing has spread beyond their (Pakistan's) control. Once you let the chickens loose, you can't get them back into the coop."

http://www.dawn.com/2004/01/31/latest.htm
22 posted on 01/31/2004 2:08:40 PM PST by nuconvert ("Why do you have to be a nonconformist like everybody else?")
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To: DoctorZIn
Arlen Specter--well, duh.

85% boycott--yyyyyessss.

Eat a magic bullet, Arlen.

23 posted on 01/31/2004 3:39:36 PM PST by PhilDragoo (Hitlery: das Butch von Buchenvald)
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To: DoctorZIn; All
Dozens of Iranian Lawmakers Resign in Response to Blacklist

Kansas City Star ^ | Saturday, January 31, 2004 | SORAYA SARHADDI NELSON - Knight Ridder Newspapers

TEHRAN, Iran - (KRT) - Dozens of Iranian lawmakers resigned from parliament Saturday to protest the refusal by Iran's ruling Islamic clerics to lift a widespread ban on pro-reform candidates in next month's parliamentary elections.

The resignations herald an almost unavoidable showdown between the popularly-elected government of President Mohammad Khatami, who is allied with the reformers, and unelected hardline clerics on the Guardian Council.

The clerics have been trying to wrest control of the assembly from reformers who are working to bring secular rule to Iran.

On Friday, the all-powerful council refused to reinstate most of the candidates they had banned, including key reform leaders and incumbents, and insisted that elections proceed on Feb. 20 as planned.

In a clear warning they would not stand for defiance, the council also disqualified at least seven incumbents who were initially approved to run, but who protested on behalf of blacklisted colleagues.

With negotiations hopelessly stalled, most reformers say they no longer have a choice but to stand up the 12-man council. Among the options being weighed by Khatami and his ministers are postponing the elections or including the names of the 2,450 blacklisted candidates on the ballots.

Either action would directly contravene orders from the council and lead to a crisis of political control.

The outcome of the clash is of intense concern to the Bush administration, which would like to see a moderate, secular government come to power that would end alleged efforts to develop nuclear weapons and cut off support for international terrorism.

Any immediate decision on how to confront the council was delayed after doctors were summoned to the presidential office to treat Khatami for severe back pain on Saturday afternoon, officials said. His staff later canceled all of the president's meetings and events in the coming days, including the long-awaited inauguration Sunday of the new international airport south of the capital named after the Islamic Republic's late founder, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

State-run news outlets quoted Khatami saying that his government had reached a "deadlock" with powerful conservatives in a crisis over forthcoming elections. The statement was later retracted without explanation.

Instead, he was later quoted saying that his government "will hold only free and competitive elections."

But reformist incumbents staging their 21st daily sit-in in a hallway outside the main Majlis chamber insisted democratic elections were no longer possible. An estimated 60 lawmakers signed the joint letter of resignation. At least one reinstated incumbent also submitted his resignation.

"This Islam is the Islam of caliphs, not the Islam of a republic. This is dictatorship itself!" senior Majlis member Mohsen Mirdamadi proclaimed to fellow resigning parliament members who responded with enthusiastic applause. "Our duty is to stand against this deviation."

After his speech, Mirdamadi, one of the students who took hostages at the U.S. Embassy here in 1979, told Knight Ridder that the deepening political crisis was something he'd never imagined possible.

"The main threat we faced against our liberty early in the revolution was a threat from the outside - especially America," he said. "No one thought that someday we'd face a threat against our liberty from the inside."

The names of the resigning lawmakers are to be submitted to the speaker of the Majlis on Sunday. After the names are read aloud, those quitting will walk out en masse, organizers said. The debate and parliamentary approval needed for the resignations to take effect could tie up the legislature for a month.

Iran's interior minister, meanwhile, renewed his plea to the Guardian Council to postpone the elections. The request was immediately rejected.

"The Interior Ministry is obligated to hold these elections on the legally appointed date," Council member Reza Zavarei told Iran's student news agency. He added the bans confirmed on Friday could not be appealed.

Also on Saturday, Iran's foreign ministry spokesman denied reports of an impending, unprecedented visit by a group of congressional aides to Tehran in February, which was announced by Sen. Arlen Specter, R-Pa, the day before. "No planning has been made for the visit of representatives from the American legislature to Iran and such trips are not on agenda," spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi told state-run media.

http://www.kansascity.com/mld/kansascity/news/
24 posted on 01/31/2004 3:42:03 PM PST by nuconvert ("Why do you have to be a nonconformist like everybody else?")
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To: DoctorZIn
I heard a rumor. I don't quite know what to make of it, but I can see several possibilities that even if the US cuts a deal, there is someone or something else waiting in the wings.
The scuttlebut is that Iran's Mullahs are offering up Bin Laden and Al Zawahiri in return for the US backing off of badmouthing the mullahs or helping the students. Don't know if it's true. It came from Monsoor Ijaz.
Has anyone heard anything like this???
25 posted on 01/31/2004 4:49:16 PM PST by Nix 2 (http://www.warroom.com QUINN AND ROSE from 6-10 AM-104.7 FM in da Burgh&WWVA AM)
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To: DoctorZIn
IRAQ BEGINNING TO BECOME A NORMAL SOCIETY

by Amir Taheri
Arab News
January 30, 2004

PARIS, 30 January 2004 — At a radio phone-in program the other day I was taken to task by some listeners for what they believed is Iraq's "slide into chaos." "You campaigned for the liberation of Iraq and now look what has happened!"

This was followed by a "what has happened" list of events that included Shiites demonstrating, Kurds asking for autonomy, Sunnis sulking, and various political parties and groups tearing each other apart in the Iraqi media over the shape of the future constitution.

The truth, however, is that, far from sliding into chaos or heading toward civil war, Iraq is beginning to become a normal society. And all normal societies face uncertainties just as do all normal human beings.

One should welcome the gradual emergence of a normal political life in Iraq after nearly half a century of brutal despotism, including 35 years of exceptionally murderous Baathist rule.

The central aim of the war in Iraq, at least as far as I am concerned, was to create conditions in which Shiites can demonstrate without being machine-gunned in the streets of Baghdad and Basra, while the Kurds are able to call for autonomy without being gassed by the thousands as they were in Halabja under Saddam.

It is good that Grand Ayatollah Ali-Muhammad Sistani can issue fatwas, something he could not have done under Saddam Hussein. It is even better that those who disagree with the grand ayatollah could say so without being murdered by zealots.

And why shouldn't the Sunnis sulk if they feel that they may not get a fair deal in the new Iraq? And what is wrong with Kurds telling the world that they are a distinct people with their own languages, culture and even religious faiths, and must, therefore, be allowed to develop within the parameters of their identity?

If anything, the Iraqi political fight is taking place with an unusual degree of courtesy in which the Marques of Queensbury' rule applies, which is not the case even in some mature democracies. The new Iraq, as it is emerging, will be full of uncertainties. But that is precisely why the liberation war was justified. Under Saddam the Iraqis faced only the certainty of concentration camps and mass graves.

The Iraqis are now free to debate all aspects of their individual and national life. The fact that different, often conflicting views are now expressed without fear should be seen as a positive achievement of the liberation. Democracy includes the freedom to demonstrate, especially against those in charge, and to "tear each other apart" in the media and town-hall political debates. It also includes the difficulty of reaching a consensus on major issues. Those who follow Iraqi politics would know that Iraq today is the only Arab country where all shades of opinion are now free to express themselves and to compete for influence and power in a free market of ideas.

Even the Baathists, whose party was formally banned after the liberation, are beginning to group in a number of local clubs.

What are the key issues of political debate in Iraq today? Here are some:

• The Arab Sunnis want Iraq described as "part of the Arab nation." This is opposed by the Kurds who say the constitution must describe Iraq as a "binational: Arab and Kurdish" state. The Shiites, some 60 percent of the population, reject both the Arab and the "binational" formulae. Instead, they wish to emphasize the concept of Iraqitude (Uruka).

• The Kurds want Iraq to become a federal state so that they can enjoy autonomy in their provinces. This is opposed by Arab Sunnis and Shiites.

• Some parties, both Sunni and Shiite, want Islam to be acknowledged as the religion of the state in the new constitution.

• Some parties want Iraq to withdraw from OPEC, the Arab League and the Organization of the Islamic Conference (OIC) and, instead, seek some form of association with the European Union.

• Several parties and personalities want a clause for peace and cooperation with all nations to be included in the constitution. They see this as a step toward an eventual recognition of Israel.

• There are deep divisions on economic philosophy.

• There are divisions on the electoral system. The Kurds and Sunni Arabs want proportional representations with measures that could prevent Shiites from using simple majority rules to impose their will. The Shiites want a first past-the-post system that could give them up to 70 percent of the seats in any future Parliament.

Most of these issues have haunted Iraq since it was carved out of the Ottoman Empire and formed into a nation-state some seven decades ago. Successive Iraqi despots tried to keep a lid on these issues either by denying their existence or by stifling debate. This is what most Arab regimes, which share many of Iraq's problems, have done for decades and continue to do today. If Iraq is to be transformed into a model for all Arabs it should take a different path right from the start.

The US-led coalition that now controls Iraq could well revert to that despotic tradition by imposing an artificial consensus. The fact that the coalition has chosen not to do is to its credit. Real consensus is bound to be harder to achieve and Iraq is certain to experience a lively political debate, including mass demonstrations and a war of leaflets, until a compromise is reached on how to form a provisional government and how to handle the task of writing a new constitution.

Most Iraqi political figures, acting out of habit, constantly turn to the coalition authorities with the demand that their own view be adopted and imposed by fiat. The coalition should resist the temptation to dictate terms. It should also refrain from making any partial alliances. Today, the entire Iraqi nation, in all its many different components, could be regarded, at least potentially, as a friend of the US and its allies.

The US-led coalition should accept that the road ahead will be bumpy. But that is not necessarily bad news. For democracy is nothing but a journey on constantly bumpy roads.

http://www.benadorassociates.com/article/1544
26 posted on 01/31/2004 5:12:56 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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To: DoctorZIn
ABANDONED BY KHATAMI, REFORMISTS HAVE LOST THE ELECTORAL BATTLE

TEHRAN, 31 Jan. (IPS)

The Iranian crisis over mass disqualification of reformist candidates, among them several leading reformist lawmakers deepened on Saturday with contrary statements attributed to the government and the President, saying that an amiable solution of the raw has reached a "dead end" and warning that elections in such situation "lacked legitimacy and legality".

As the disqualified reformists announced their decision to resign, Iranian news agencies reported that obeying the Chief Executive, ministers and provincial governors decided to remain in office, forgetting earlier threats to resign and the office of Mr. Mohammad Khatami denied a report by the official IRNA news agency earlier on Saturday that he had told reporters talks with the Council of the Guardians to resolve the crisis were at a "dead-end".

"Khatami did not say such a thing", the British news agency "Reuters" quoted a spokesman as having said.

Mr. Khatami also cancelled an emergency meeting of his cabinet to review the situation.

According to the latest list of the approved candidates, the number of reformist deputies disqualified increased to 87 instead of the original 80 barred by the Council of the Guardians, humiliating further more the reformist camp.

Dr. Mohammad Reza Khatami, the younger brother of the embattled President and fist vice-Speaker of the Majles who is among the disqualified deputies, in a statement published Friday on behalf of the protesting deputies reiterated that they would resign in mass and again urged the Government to delay the elections.

"Now that the brave people of Iran has discovered the true visage of the Council of the Guardians as a body opposed to the reforms, representatives of the people have no other way but to boycott the elections", he added, again urging the Government to delay the date of the elections.

Also, Khatami has dismissed his Interior Minister Hojjatoleslam Abdolvahed Mousavi-Lari favouring postponing the date of the elections, due for 20 February, insisting forcefully that the voting must be organized on time, a new and major concession to the ruling conservatives.

According to a spokesman for the CG that has barred the majority of the reformist candidates on grounds of their "lack" of allegiance to Islam, the concept of velayat faqih, or the absolute rule of the leader etc. has re-instated several of the disqualified hopefuls, with only three incumbent deputies only.

"An election in which more than half of the seats are pre-determined is not legitimate", Mr. Mousavi-Lari who’s Ministry is responsible for organizing the elections told IRNA.

In a letter to the 12 members CG that is directly controlled by Ayatollah Ali Khameneh’i, the Minister had demanded that the elections be reported, waiting for the divergences between the Government and the Majles on the one side and the conservatives on the other be solved.

But in his answer, Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati, the Secretary of the CG reminded him bluntly that he could resign if he thinks that the Interior Ministry can not organize the elections on time.

"According to the law, the Interior Ministry is obliged to hold the elections on the legally appointed date," Guardian Council member Reza Zavarei told the independent Students news agency ISNA. He said the bans confirmed on Friday could not be appealed.

"It would be a shame for the government to hold the first ever sham election and Khatami should not do so", said Ali Tajernia, one of some 100 MPs holding a three-week sit-in protest at parliament over the candidate bans.

Despite the intensifying of the crisis, the first one of the 25 years-old Islamic Republic by its magnitude, public interest in the dispute remained muted, expressing the voters anger at the reformers, accused of failing to carry out their promised reforms.

According to a survey carried out recently by the Interior Ministry, more than 77 per cent have said they would not take part in the forthcoming elections against near 11 per cent saying they would. Some 7 per cent have said they "very probably" would not go to the poling stations while more than 2 per cent said they "probably would" and 2 per cent having "no idea".

"What the conservatives are after is to end the existing duality in the governance. They want to have the control of the regime in its totality and to this end, they do not care about what the world would say", commented Dr Qasem Sho’leh Sa’di, a former Member of the Majles and an opponent of the present political system of Iran.

"At first glance, the scheme might benefit both the people and the conservatives, but at a long range, they would have no other way but to bow to the people’s demands for a more democratic and free system", he added.

Meanwhile, the Iranian Foreign Affairs Ministry denied reports in the American press, quoting some American congressmen about a planned trip to Tehran.

"No plans for US congressmen or senators to visit Iran have been made and this sort of trip is not on our agenda", the Ministry’s senior spokesman Hamid Reza Asefi told IRNA.

Iranian representatives at the Majles also expressed their objection to the invitation. "If American lawmakers are to come to Iran, it should be on our invitation, but we ignore everything and have not been informed about it", one member of the Foreign and National Security Affairs Committee observed

Asefi’s comments come a day after Senator Arlen Specter, a Pennsylvania Republican, said the visit could set the stage for a later mission by US lawmakers.

Washington cut all relations with the Islamic Republic after revolutionary students, most of them now favouring resumption of ties, stormed the US embassy in Tehran on 4 November 1979 and held 55 American diplomats as hostages for 444 days.

The Senator made the statement after meeting the Iranian Ambassador to the United Nations Mohammad Javad Zarif over a diner in Washington D.C. on Tuesday. He gave no exact date for the trip, but press reports have pointed to the month of February, just over a week before the controversial Iranian elections.

Zarif's appearance in Washington was a significant gesture as for the White House, Iran is still considered as a "rogue State".

Like other diplomats from nations with which the United States does not have official relations, Mr. Zarif is confined to New York, where the United Nations is headquartered and a radius of 30 kilometres from the city centre.

Playing down the importance of the meeting, Mr. Asefi observed that this was not the first time that Iran's representative at the United Nations, "in order to explain things to non-governmental people in the United States, attends such sessions".

"Before this, Iran's representatives have been to Washington for similar purposes", he added, mentioning also that in the Swiss mountain resort of Davos Foreign Affairs Minister Kamal Kharrazi had met Senator Joseph Biden in the sideline of the World Economic Forum.

"Mr. Zarif would not agree with the visit of American lawmakers without having clear authorisation from the leader, Ayatollah Ali Khameneh’i, who decides on all major policies", one Iranian diplomat told Iran Press Service, adding that "sometimes, the Office of the Leader fails to inform the Foreign Affairs Ministry about its decisions".

ENDS IRAN DISQUALIFICATIONS 31104

http://www.iran-press-service.com/articles_2004/Jan_04/iran_disqualifications_31104.htm
27 posted on 01/31/2004 5:15:20 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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To: DoctorZIn
Feature : The Slogan Of The People

Saturday, January 31, 2004 - ©2003 IranMania.com

31 January 2004

Niloofar Nafici

I am stunned and in disbelief of what I see before my eyes. It's amazing to see what has happened to my people, the Iranian people. We have so much pride, love, and respect for our amazing "Iranian” background. Yet every day we continue to quarrel amongst ourselves. Why do we fight amongst ourselves? Ignorance is the reason my friend; that profound dirty eight letter word that so many of us love to hold on to. Unfortunately our ignorance hinders us and like our favorite side-dish, maast-toh-kheyar (yogurt & cucumber), too many of us continue to observe, sitting on the sideline, watching our ancient and noble Iran be raped daily.

How is it that we, as Iranians, are now able to negotiate our moral responsibility to our countrymen, brave Iranian men and women that suffer at the hands of so-called "religious" men daily? These are the very clerics that enjoy lavish lifestyles, while the very souls that they claim to “save” (by force), deteriorate and struggle or endure unimaginable agonies in their notorious prisons. While abroad, we sit and discuss Iran’s future; should there be reform? Should there be this or that? Should I have a latte? Why don’t we focus our energies on supporting the very capable albeit extremely repressed Iranians inside Iran itself. They are the ones who feel the bitterness and brutality of this regime, and they alone are capable of toppling it. But they need our support, morally, if not more, at the very least.

If one person dies in the cause of freedom, in my eyes it is clear enough and merits our support and attention; if over 30,000 Iranians are imprisoned that DEMANDS our attention. Sorry, but that's very clear to me, when we hear about heroine being cheaper than milk and eggs, when we hear that Iran is number two in the world for prostitution, this is the country where some of the smartest and most educated people in the world are left jobless and have no choice but to struggle to make ends meet alone. All this occurs while the 47th richest man (Rafsanjani) in the world is a “humble” mullah from Iran. Well, I’ll be damned. Once again, you would think that's reason enough to stand up for those brave freedom-loving Iranians. Our countrymen stand in the face of oppression and tyranny on a daily basis; unfortunately some of us indirectly support this regime through our own ignorance or preoccupation with our lives. Others of us attempt to fight the oppression in ways that are feasible abroad but end up giving up because our struggle is not manifested in tangible means. The end result is too many strong voices each with an exact idea that is the “only” possible solution to our oppression. Well guess what, this isn't burger king, and you can't have it your way, all day. Democracy is a process of individuals arguing and expressing DIFFERENCES in opinions and beliefs. When will we learn to LISTEN to each other instead of demanding to be listened to all the time? I hope that we can learn to accomplish this important step to cooperate together; so that we can build the strong national unity that we so dearly need.

Let us remember the passion we have inherited from our forefathers? The same drive, the same enlightened thinking, the same amazing spirit of our ancestors that are rooted as far back as 2500 years ago. Let us not forget our own great ancestor, Cyrus the Great, declared the first declaration of Human rights in the history of the world in 538 BC. Isn't that a shame? This is such a profound fact, from an even more profound culture, but we are now suffering immensely at the hands of a self-righteous group of terrorists that continue to terrorize our land. All in their scheme to make a profit, to fill their pockets as much as possible, they take money (qoms) from the people who struggle daily, in the place of scholars and holy men. These people are leaches, they live only to suck our noble land dry until its dead and then they can move on to their next pray. Such parasitic organisms must be cut out like cancer and shall be through the will of the people. But again, they need our help, and our support. Our dear women in Iran wish only to progress their lives and pursue their dreams, but end up pursuing men in the streets of Arab countries instead. They sell their bodies, like common a common commodity, what a shame that our noble Iran has fallen so.

Ignorance and inaction are the greatest weapons of our oppressors. Mr. Albert Einstein said it well “The world is a dangerous place, not because of those who do evil, but because of those who look on and do nothing”. We need to truly educate ourselves, and manifest those core beliefs of humanity, love and life that are so strongly part of our ancient heritage. We must make it a priority to fight and to constantly challenge the ignorance we come across daily within our own community. From religious centers, to organizations that say they help "progress" and "spread" Iranian culture; we have to carefully analyze and pay attention to where our help and financial support really goes. Ironic isn't it? They supposedly try to preserve our history, but what's the point when there's no future for the Iranian people? I'd rather salute the students, the true scholars from past to present, from Ferdowsi to Amir Taheri and many others. They are truly the heroes of our land, the soldiers of truth, fighting a terrorist totalitarian regime that defines what brutal oppression is. We must support our countrymen that go out in the streets, risking their own lives, crying out for a referendum, for change, for freedom, for a TRUE democracy in Iran. The time has come for change. Change brought forth by those who have suffered long enough. This is where the cycles of oppression and the history of terror ends. This is where we realize what being an Iranian is about: our people, our future, our true Iran. I end with the clear, powerful and simple words of those brave Iranians in the streets, risking their lives: "Referendum, Referendum, Een hast shoaare mardom" (Referendum, Referendum, This is the slogan of the people).

http://www.iranmania.com/News/ArticleView/Default.asp?NewsCode=22134&NewsKind=CurrentAffairs
28 posted on 01/31/2004 5:20:06 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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To: DoctorZIn
Let us pray that you are correct.
29 posted on 01/31/2004 11:40:47 PM PST by AmericanVictory (Should we be more like them, or they like us?)
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To: DoctorZIn
This thread is now closed.

Join Us At Today's Iranian Alert Thread – The Most Underreported Story Of The Year!

"If you want on or off this Iran ping list, Freepmail DoctorZin”

30 posted on 01/31/2004 11:47:15 PM PST by DoctorZIn (Until they are Free, "We shall all be Iranians!")
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