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AP Poll Shows Women, Blacks Backing Kerry (Who'da Thunk?)
WINS News ^ | 2/11/04

Posted on 02/11/2004 7:06:42 AM PST by areafiftyone

WASHINGTON (AP) -- John Kerry built a winning coalition in two Southern states with strong support from women, blacks and Democratic voters hungry for victory in November, according to Associated Press exit polls.

Kerry also finished first among white Southern voters Tuesday, but fared better among black voters in Tennessee and Virginia, leaving some question about the strength of his appeal with a crucial Southern voting bloc.

Retired nurse Bob Casey, a 68-year-old independent from Memphis, Tenn., said he voted for Wesley Clark, but would vote for President Bush in the general election over Kerry, a Massachusetts senator.

"I don't need any more of those liberals from back East," Casey said.

Kerry tapped into voter anger and dissatisfaction with Bush in primaries in Virginia and Tennessee, appealing especially to those eager to win in November, similar to what he found among voters elsewhere in the country.

The results come from exit polls in both states conducted for the AP and the television networks by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International.

The Virginia results of 1,679 interviews were subject to sampling error of plus or minus 4 percentage points, higher for subgroups. The Tennessee results from 2,513 interviews were subject to sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points, larger for subgroups.

Kerry ran very strong among those who said the most important quality for a candidate was the ability to defeat Bush - claiming three-fourths of the Virginia voters who said that quality was most important and almost two-thirds of Tennessee voters who wanted to support a general election winner.

None of his rivals were even close to Kerry among those voters - about three in 10 of all Virginia voters and one-fourth of all Tennessee voters. Kerry also ran strong in both states among voters who thought experience was the top quality.

Michelle Darby, 34, a marketing manager for an insurance company in Roanoke, Va., said she voted for Kerry because she wants to see a victory by "anybody but George Bush. ... Electability."

"I like what (Kerry) stands for," she said. "John Edwards is a little too young. (Howard) Dean's a crazy man. (Wesley) Clark's just, I don't know, there's something there I don't like."

Six in 10 Virginia voters said it was very likely Kerry would beat Bush and an additional three in 10 said it was somewhat likely. Only two in 10 said it was very likely Edwards would beat Bush in November.

While Kerry showed many strengths, Edwards battled him to a draw among independents in Tennessee and Edwards finished far ahead among conservatives in Virginia.

Margaret Gerardin, a 41-year-old Edwards supporter from Norfolk, Va., said she decided at the last second to vote for Edwards because she feels like he is more in touch "with the common man."

Kerry and Edwards tied among Virginia voters who said it was most important to have a candidate who cares about people like them, while Edwards edged Kerry among Tennessee voters who said that was most important.

Clark, who dropped from the race Tuesday night, showed more strength among Virginia and Tennessee voters who thought national security and the war in Iraq were top issues than he did among voters who picked other issues. Dean, who did not actively compete in the two states, did somewhat better among voters who said it was most important to have a candidate who stands up for what he believes.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Tennessee; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2004; blackvote; bubbavote; clark; edwards; kerry; ndependentvote; womensvote

1 posted on 02/11/2004 7:06:43 AM PST by areafiftyone
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To: areafiftyone
Now they know why we are "angry white males".
2 posted on 02/11/2004 7:08:39 AM PST by gathersnomoss
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To: areafiftyone
It was the FEMALE vote that put Clinton in office.
3 posted on 02/11/2004 7:09:06 AM PST by Moby Grape
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To: areafiftyone
Such cogent and brilliant thinking from the Dems . . . NOT!

I seriously fear for the future of our Republic . . . and I have my doubts about the Nineteenth Amendment. < g >

4 posted on 02/11/2004 7:10:00 AM PST by AnAmericanMother (. . . sed, ut scis, quis homines huiusmodi intellegere potest?. . .)
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To: areafiftyone
"I don't need any more of those liberals from back East," Casey said.

You've got to love that "logic".

5 posted on 02/11/2004 7:11:49 AM PST by Lost Highway (The things of earth will grow strangely dim in the light of his glory and grace.)
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To: areafiftyone
More AP media bias. This article makes it sound like the women and blacks are separate voting groups and not Democrats.

AP= American Pravda
6 posted on 02/11/2004 7:12:24 AM PST by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: areafiftyone
This article is more media bulls**t. It was a DEMOCRATIC primary, for crying out loud. It wasn't the entire state speaking with one voice that they want Kerry. He is simply the preferred choice amonghst a group of pathetic losers.
7 posted on 02/11/2004 7:12:29 AM PST by over3Owithabrain
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To: areafiftyone
I'm shocked and amazed.
8 posted on 02/11/2004 7:12:34 AM PST by JustPlainJoe
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To: Impeach the Boy; areafiftyone
It was the FEMALE vote that put Clinton in office.

It was the unmarried women with children sponging off taxpayers who put Clinton in office.

9 posted on 02/11/2004 7:12:37 AM PST by Paleo Conservative (Do not remove this tag under penalty of law.)
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To: AnAmericanMother; hobbes1
and I have my doubts about the Nineteenth Amendment. < g >

Stop the Suffraging now :-)

10 posted on 02/11/2004 7:14:00 AM PST by NeoCaveman (No one listens to techno no more.)
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To: Paleo Conservative
Clinton got a majority of the female vote period.
11 posted on 02/11/2004 7:15:46 AM PST by Moby Grape
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To: areafiftyone
There were so few voters, it's a stretch to say that woman and blacks are behind Kerry. What percentage of women voted for Kerry in Virginia yesterday? How many of those women were black? I voted yesterday, but no for Kerry. I am a white female. I intend to vote for Bush in November. Are they gonna compile statistics for that?
12 posted on 02/11/2004 7:16:14 AM PST by petitfour
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To: Paleo Conservative
Actually it was the soccer moms with the minivans that put Clinton in office.
13 posted on 02/11/2004 7:16:21 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: areafiftyone
I guess folks are unhappy with the dangerous place the world has become, and are blaming GW for it, when, in fact, Clinton's 8 years of avoidance are a more deserving target.

But the fact that so many females look for answers in socialism is a reasonably aggravating.
14 posted on 02/11/2004 7:17:13 AM PST by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: Impeach the Boy
It was the FEMALE vote that put Clinton in office.

Actually, it was the H. Ross Perot vote that put him in office.

15 posted on 02/11/2004 7:18:29 AM PST by Cowboy Bob
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To: dubyaismypresident; xsmommy
AMEN!

Retired nurse Bob Casey, a 68-year-old independent from Memphis, Tenn., said he voted for Wesley Clark, but would vote for President Bush in the general election over Kerry, a Massachusetts senator. "I don't need any more of those liberals from back East," Casey said.

Exactly as I posited this A.M......

16 posted on 02/11/2004 7:18:53 AM PST by hobbes1 (Hobbes1TheOmniscient® "I know everything so you don't have to" ;)
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To: petitfour
This was exit polling. Highly biased to democrats, because republicans had no reason to go to the polls. It would be like holding a poll at the democratic convention. What do you think the outcome would be?

Also, whenever they break out women, they need to differentiate between married and single because the populations are extremely different.

DK
17 posted on 02/11/2004 7:19:44 AM PST by Dark Knight
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To: areafiftyone
They are talking about a Demcoratic Primary.

Of all the freaks in the Democratic political sideshow, the most electable is Liberman, as he is more of a centrist. His lack of showing in the Democratic Priamry indicates how very far to the laft the bulk of registered Democrats have drifted.

Out of the remaining pack of leftists you had Kucinich, a real joke, Edwards - a relative unknown, Clark - a carpetbagging liar with a lot of baggage, Sharpeton - another real joke, and Dean - a possibly mentally deranged individual. Who is a good leftist Democrat to select? Probably Kennedyesque Kerry.

In the general election we will have to wait and see where the women's vote and the black vote go. The Repubs have been steaadily eroding the Democratic lock on the Hispanic vote. Perhaps the same will happen with the Blacks.

Unless the Repubs actively attempt to recruit conservative Blacks, Hispanics, and Asian-Americans, the Dems will continue to threaten us with their Bolshevik agenda.

That is one of the reasons I hope to see Condi Rice run in 2008, and hope she will replace that milktoast Powell as Secretary of State in the New Bush Administration.
18 posted on 02/11/2004 7:20:41 AM PST by ZULU (GOD BLESS SENATOR JOE MCCARTHY!!!)
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To: Cowboy Bob
That too.
19 posted on 02/11/2004 7:21:17 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: areafiftyone
This is one young single woman who will be voting for Bush! He may not be perfect, but he's our best hope, IMO.
20 posted on 02/11/2004 7:22:41 AM PST by RosieCotton
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To: The South Texan
More AP media bias. This article makes it sound like the women and blacks are separate voting groups and not Democrats.

Ding ding ding! And we have a winnah -- ! :)

21 posted on 02/11/2004 7:23:02 AM PST by KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle ("The Clintons have damaged our country. They have done it together, in unison." -- Peggy Noonan)
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To: Dark Knight
This was exit polling. Highly biased to democrats, because republicans had no reason to go to the polls. It would be like holding a poll at the democratic convention. What do you think the outcome would be?

Good point.

22 posted on 02/11/2004 7:23:40 AM PST by RosieCotton
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To: RosieCotton
Another single woman will be voting for him! ME!! :-)
23 posted on 02/11/2004 7:23:40 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: ZULU
Hubby was discussing the current culture of our society with a black female the other day. She would tend to vote for the RAT candidate. However, when the MASS SC ruling came out last week, she had to reevaluate her support for RATS. She will not vote for Kerry.
24 posted on 02/11/2004 7:24:52 AM PST by petitfour
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To: areafiftyone
Not this woman!
25 posted on 02/11/2004 7:25:12 AM PST by k omalley
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To: k omalley; areafiftyone
FReeper gals unite! ;-)
26 posted on 02/11/2004 7:25:56 AM PST by RosieCotton
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To: petitfour
There were so few voters

Thank you for pointing that out. I'd like to see a total for all the people that voted yesterday.

It's frightening how few people decide these things.

27 posted on 02/11/2004 7:26:24 AM PST by Howlin
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To: k omalley
Well its a free country and you have every right to vote for who you want to.
28 posted on 02/11/2004 7:27:29 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: RosieCotton
Kewl!
29 posted on 02/11/2004 7:27:53 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: ZULU
Why not Condi Rice as VP in 2004?
30 posted on 02/11/2004 7:28:22 AM PST by Notasoccermom
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To: areafiftyone
Time to slip on my 'wife-beater t-shirt and crank-up my David Allan Coe tapes. Maybe time to add to my 'tats' collection too.
31 posted on 02/11/2004 7:29:43 AM PST by johnny7 (“C'mon! You sons 'o bitches wanna live forever!?”)
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To: RosieCotton
Hi, Rosie.

Assuming Bush wins, which seems likely to me, I wonder who we have with enough stature to oppose the witch in 08.
32 posted on 02/11/2004 7:30:02 AM PST by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: Notasoccermom
Why not? Sounds great to me. Either way, she looks Presidential in 2008.
33 posted on 02/11/2004 7:31:36 AM PST by ZULU (GOD BLESS SENATOR JOE MCCARTHY!!!)
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To: petitfour
There are socially conservative blacks out there.

The task of the Repubs is to locate them, target them, recruit them and run them for office. Ditto for conservative Hispanics and Asians.

Race is not relevant. Political philosophy is.
34 posted on 02/11/2004 7:33:33 AM PST by ZULU (GOD BLESS SENATOR JOE MCCARTHY!!!)
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To: areafiftyone
I was responding to the article you posted which stated that women back Kerry. To make it clear I do not support Kerry. Ugh!
35 posted on 02/11/2004 7:33:58 AM PST by k omalley
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To: Howlin
In Virginia there were 394,720. That is pathetic turnout. Hubby and I voted. And a number of other Freepers. The RATS who turned out are rabid RATS who can not see that they were voting someone UNELECTABLE due to his Massachusetts ultraLIBERAL history. That is good for Bush, but it sure doesn't say much about the core of the RAT party.
36 posted on 02/11/2004 7:35:58 AM PST by petitfour
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To: k omalley
I do apologize - LOL I thought you meant you would not vote for Bush! Ya think I need more coffee this morning? Or maybe a lobotomy? ;-)
37 posted on 02/11/2004 7:38:17 AM PST by areafiftyone (Democrats = the hamster is dead but the wheel is still spinning)
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To: petitfour
More to the point, does anybody believe John Kerry has any chance to carry Tennesse or Virginia in November?
38 posted on 02/11/2004 7:48:46 AM PST by Meldrim
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To: areafiftyone
"Kerry ran very strong among those who said the most important quality for a candidate was the ability to defeat Bush ..."


I keep hearing this and similar statements overandoverandover...I never cease to be amazed at the seeming stupidity of a great number of Americans! Apparently the safety and security of this country (and their very lives) is less important than defeating President Bush. Just stick anyone in the White House...it doesn't matter as long as we get rid of Bush! Heaven help us all!!
39 posted on 02/11/2004 7:51:49 AM PST by Maria S ("I will do whatever the Americans want…I saw what happened in Iraq, and I was afraid." Gaddafi, 9/03)
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To: Impeach the Boy
It was the FEMALE vote that put Clinton in office.

That is exactly why God put Man in charge.

Unto the woman he said, I will greatly multiply thy sorrow and thy conception; in sorrow thou shalt bring forth children; and thy desire shall be to thy husband, and he shall rule over thee. {Genesis 3:16}

Satan has turned and twisted things.

40 posted on 02/11/2004 7:52:51 AM PST by trebb (Ain't God good . . .)
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To: RosieCotton

Rosie, You've renewed my support for the 19th amendment.

41 posted on 02/11/2004 7:54:11 AM PST by Hoboken
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To: AnAmericanMother
my wife readily admits to reservations about the 19th amend
42 posted on 02/11/2004 7:55:26 AM PST by petertare (truth, justice and the American way)
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To: AnAmericanMother
my wife readily admits to reservations about the 19th amend
43 posted on 02/11/2004 7:55:30 AM PST by petertare (truth, justice and the American way)
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To: areafiftyone
Actually it was because conservatives sat out the election because the Republicans insisted on running a RINO. (Dole)
44 posted on 02/11/2004 8:27:10 AM PST by antisocial (Texas SCV)
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To: Cowboy Bob
If Kerry gets in office (GOD FORBID) many will blame women/blacks but actually it'll be all the conservative crybabies who say 'waaaaah I'm not voting for Bush'
45 posted on 02/11/2004 8:31:32 AM PST by cyborg
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To: areafiftyone
Hmmm... Perhaps W should try just a little more pandering to these groups. Yeah, that's it! He just hasn't pandered enough. Maybe a few billion more and they'll like him.
46 posted on 02/11/2004 8:33:52 AM PST by Redcloak (Mirab, his sails unfurled.)
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To: Impeach the Boy
It was the FEMALE vote that put Clinton in office.

Not true. According to exit polling, women favored Clinton by 9 points over Bush in 1992, but men also favored Clinton, though by only 3 points. The 1992 election had the narrowest gender gap of any election since 1976.

47 posted on 02/11/2004 8:41:49 AM PST by BlackRazor
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To: Hoboken
Rosie, You've renewed my support for the 19th amendment.

Thanks. ;-) Got an (almost) 18 year old sister who will be voting the same way, come November - her first time voting. Doing our part the best we can...

48 posted on 02/11/2004 9:01:41 AM PST by RosieCotton
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To: areafiftyone
I wonder if Kerry cares about his children conceived out of wedlock?
49 posted on 02/11/2004 9:07:12 AM PST by js1138
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To: BlackRazor
Don't know where you got your info (and I am not disputing what you have offered), but for YEARS after the 92 elections the buzz was that the soccer moms put their caring hubby-daddy substitute teddy-bear Clinton into the White House....From Rush Limbaugh to leftwing pundits, the talk was of how Clinton got the female vote because of looks and projecting the caring persona.....

Like or not, too many women vote by feelings and appearance....

Clinton did get a majority of the female votes, but as someone else pointed out that the real reason Clinton won was H. Ross Perot.
50 posted on 02/11/2004 9:26:55 AM PST by Moby Grape
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