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Threat Matrix- Daily Terror Thread (4):
New York Post ^ | February 24, 2004 | By NILES LATHEM

Posted on 02/24/2004 3:19:05 AM PST by Revel

Edited on 05/26/2004 5:19:43 PM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

February 24, 2004 -- WASHINGTON - The Pentagon has dispatched the elite commando force that hunted down Saddam Hussein to Afghanistan for a new operation aimed at getting Osama bin Laden, officials said yesterday. Military sources confirmed that members of the shadowy Task Force 121, the unit that conducted the high-tech search for Saddam and his henchmen, have recently begun operating in the remote mountainous region along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border where bin Laden and key al Qaeda and Taliban fugitives are believed to be hiding. The Task Force is made up of highly trained Delta and SEAL commandos, as well as CIA paramilitary operators. It operates outside normal military channels.


(Excerpt) Read more at nypost.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: binladen; hammerandanvil; terror; threat; threatmatrix
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To: liz44040
Actually I do have that information at my fingertips :) Not all the smaller attacks have been put in the matrix yet but enough where you can see a pattern.

I am not saying by any means that I'm sure something is going to happen - I'm just saying that given the historical pattern, and the other information that I've seen, that I think it would probably be a good idea to at least conduct an analysis of the situation. I'll post a couple of translations in a few minutes.

By the way, I've provided Doug and Sean a copy of this matrix for the website at www.homelandsecurityus.com - they are working on a big update tonight.

Date Event Location
10/6/2002 Zawahiri tape
10/10/2002 Bali: Twin nightclub bombings Indonesia
11/1/2002 Mombase bombings Kenya
5/1/2003 Zawahiri tape
5/12/2003 Russia: Chechen government building Russia
5/12/2003 Saudi Arabia - Riyadh bombings Saudi Arabia
5/14/2003 Russia: Chechen government building; assasination Russia
5/16/2003 Morocco: Bombings Morocco
8/1/2003 Yousef Aleiri tape
8/1/2003 Russia: Car bombing military hospital, Mozduk Russia
8/3/2003 Zawahiri tape
8/5/2003 Indonesia - JW Marriott Hotel Indonesia
8/7/2003 Iraq - Car bombing Jordanian Embassy Iraq
8/9/2003 Abu Mohamed Al Ablajaudio tape
8/18/2003 Abdel Najdi audio tape
8/19/2003 Iraq - UN Comound Iraq
10/12/2003 Voice of Jihad # 1
10/17/2003 Cloud Enterprises video (Wills of Heroes)
10/18/2003 Bin Laden Statement
10/22/2003 Voice of Jihad # 2
11/7/2003 Voice of Jihad # 3
11/8/2003 Saudi Arabia - Badr al Riyah Saudi Arabia
11/12/2003 Iraq - Al Nasriyah Italian military base Iraq
11/12/2003 Voice of Jihad # 4
11/15/2003 Turkey - Synagogues Turkey
11/20/2003 Turkey - British Consulate Turkey
11/26/2003 Voice of Jihad # 5
12/3/2003 Cloud Enterprises video: Martrys of Arabian Conflict
12/6/2003 Russia - Stavropol train bombing Russia
12/8/2003 Bin Laden audio tape
12/9/2003 Voice of Jihad # 6
12/19/2003 Zawahiri tape
12/24/2003 Voice of Jihad # 7
1/4/2004 Bin Laden audio tape
1/8/2004 Voice of Jihad # 8
1/22/2004 Voice of Jihad # 9
1/29/2004 Cloud Enterprises video (Badr al Riyadh)
2/1/2004 Iraq -Dual suicide bombing - Kurdish poliical HQ Iraq
2/6/2004 Russia -Moscow Subway Bombing Russia
2/7/2004 Voice of Jihad # 10
2/10/2004 Iraqi Police Station Bombing Iraq
2/11/2004 Iraqi Car Bombing Iraq
2/18/2004 Iraq -Dual Suicide Bombing - Polish HQ Iraq
2/18/2004 Iran - Train Explosion Iran
2/19/2004 India - Explosion Amritsar court complex India
2/19/2004 Turkey - Bombing - in front of Prime Minister's home Turkey
2/21/2004 Voice of Jihad # 11
2/21/2004 India - Attack stopped New Delhi Airport India
2/22/2004 Iraq: explosion and fire on the Kirkuk-Baghdad-Basra pipeline near Al-Hare Iraq
2/23/3004 Zawahiri tape
301 posted on 02/24/2004 6:59:48 PM PST by StillProud2BeFree (http://www.terrorfacts.com for Al Qaeda playing cards featuring Daleel as Joker)
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To: jerseygirl
can't we make up our minds on the clock thing? less then a day means tomorrow.
302 posted on 02/24/2004 7:01:59 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Velveeta
Get a hand-cranked radio/flashlight combo. They're about $40 (I got mine at Bed Bath & Beyond, oddly - but I live in Florida, where hurricanes are common and people need emergency devices).

They operate off batteries, as well, but if your batteries run out, just cranking it for a few seconds will get it running again. It gets am/fm and shortwave.
303 posted on 02/24/2004 7:05:40 PM PST by livius
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To: judicial meanz
Daleel gets his information from the jihadi message boards. He has no more advance knowledge than does my hamster, Stewart, and Stewart doesn't have a clue. Everything he posts has already been posted on a jihadi message board.

I'll go one step farther. If Daleel has so much knowledge, when he posts on the Arabic language jihadi boards why does he post in ENGLISH?

Daleel is simply repeating what he has read. He's getting his ten minutes of fame. But I have yet to see one shred of evidence that he or any of his alters have any advance knowledge or inside info of anything.

I am not concerned because of Daleel's warning. I am concerned because of other, credible indicators of increased threat.

304 posted on 02/24/2004 7:06:28 PM PST by StillProud2BeFree (http://www.terrorfacts.com for Al Qaeda playing cards featuring Daleel as Joker)
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To: freeperfromnj
how in the h*ll do they know this, they say "he's moved out of pakistan", like he sent a postcard.
305 posted on 02/24/2004 7:07:25 PM PST by oceanview
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To: Revel
You did excellent my friend {applause}Must post today's news and then backtrack to thread 3 -g-
306 posted on 02/24/2004 7:13:16 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: StillProud2BeFree; Revel
OK here's one of the translations I did earlier today.
I'm not going to post the link here for obvious reasons but it is from a jihadi board where I have found quite a bit of intel. This translation was obviously passed up to the authorities as soon as I finished it. These aren't machine translations, these are human translations.

BEGIN TRANSLATION

A message to the youg men, the students... (and Allah I envy them)

The God's Messenger said, peace be upon him : ( in paradise there are one hundred staircases that Allah has prepared for the one hundred militants crossing during the three days, these who work for God sake what between the two degrees betwen sky and earth )

( and how much from religius experts who know the truth of Allah's religion and then deviate from it, and declare another, and uses its knowledge in the for wrongful purposes, and the required fatwas of the transient land sultan, you try and you proves by attacking the sultan with Allah's blessing and his sanctities over all the earth, have seen from these who knows and says : [ the law is a right from Allah's rights; glory be to those who claimed it; he has claimed the divine; and he who claimed the divine without the right, he has disbelieved; and he who is recognized for it this right and followed up it on it that have disbelieved also ] and despite that, with its knowledge of this truth, that knows it from the religion necessarily,, it calls for the tyrants who claim the legislation right, and they claim the divine with the claim of this right, who he judged on them by the disbelief, and names them the Muslims and names; what they practice as Islam is not the Islam )


307 posted on 02/24/2004 7:16:42 PM PST by StillProud2BeFree (http://www.terrorfacts.com for Al Qaeda playing cards featuring Daleel as Joker)
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To: jerseygirl
Goodnight Jerseygirl. Prayers from me as well.
308 posted on 02/24/2004 7:17:00 PM PST by Velveeta
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To: Revel; All
Many of us have been ill for years with stomach trouble:

VIRAL GASTROENTERITIS UPDATE 2004



Only posting news from stateside:

[2] Norovirus - USA (Northern Virginia)
[1] Rotavirus - Guatemala {Important due to illegals jumping lines}
Date: Mon 23 Feb 2004

http://www.washingtonpost.com/?referrer=emailarticle

USA: Norovirus Outbreaks Reported Across Northern Virginia


Outbreaks of norovirus infection have been reported across Northern
Virginia, where officials say nursing home populations are among those
hardest hit by the gastrointestinal disease that can cause debilitating
vomiting and diarrhea. Although it is not typically life-threatening, the
virus -- perhaps best known for causing widespread outbreaks on cruise
ships and afflicting guests at the Hyatt Dulles in June [2003] -- can be a
serious illness for infants and the elderly, who are most at risk of
dehydration. Health Department officials said the virus, sometimes referred
to as the "winter vomiting disease virus" has struck across the state, and
the number of cases continues to rise.

In Northern Virginia, suspected outbreaks have been reported in several
nursing homes -- including the Fountains at Washington House, Goodwin
House, and the Hermitage in Northern Virginia, all in Alexandria. Some
managers at affected nursing homes have instituted quarantines to halt the
virus's spread. At one Fairfax County school, Terra Centre Elementary in
Burke, officials undertook a full-scale cleaning of the building after 50
sick children failed to show up Friday, and a norovirus outbreak was suspected.

But health officials said the seasonal ailment is hitting the state no
harder than usual. "It's not abnormal," said Lucy Caldwell, Northern
Virginia spokeswoman for the Virginia Department of Health. "It's as bad as
last year and what we expected to see." In Alexandria, health officials are
testing to determine whether the illness that affected residents and staff
members at 3 city nursing homes is in fact due to norovirus infection.

"We don't expect any confirmation before Wednesday or Thursday, but it has
all the signs and symptoms of norovirus infection," said Bob Custard,
environmental health manager at Alexandria's city health department. "It's
not confined to Alexandria. I've been told of 6 other nursing homes in
other jurisdictions" in Northern Virginia with similar outbreaks.

Nursing homes are easy targets for the virus, which spreads easily through
person-to-person contact, because they often share staff members. Residents
and staff members at Goodwin House West in Falls Church started reporting
virus symptoms on 11 Feb 2004. Before the suspected virus was contained by
restricting visitation on 2 floors in the facility, 81 people, including 34
employees, had reported nausea and diarrhea. "The good news is we're on the
other side of it," said Colleen Ryan Mellon, spokeswoman for Goodwin House
West. "We haven't had any reported cases in the last couple of days."

At Terra Centre, as many as 100 of the school's 632 students reported
symptoms on Friday. School officials said they knew there was real trouble
when 50 children didn't arrive for class that morning. By afternoon, an
additional 30 to 50 children were in the health clinic complaining of
nausea and diarrhea. Suspicious of norovirus infection, which requires time
for laboratory confirmation, health department officials asked the school
to conduct a comprehensive weekend cleaning, scrubbing down surfaces with a
bleach solution and even steam-cleaning the rugs.

Stephen C. Guptill Ph.D.
Senior Research Physical Scientist
U.S. Geological Survey
Reston, VA 20192



Guatemala: Outbreak of Diarrheic Rotavirus Disease


Over the past few weeks, Guatemala has reported to the PanAmerican Health
Organization (PAHO) the existence of an outbreak of diarrheic disease. The
outbreak began in January 2004; based on information dated 31 Jan 2004, it
has affected 28 255 people, of whom 17 032 are under 5 years of age.

Laboratory analyses carried out both in hospitals and by the various areas
of the Ministry of Health, as well as the Guatemalan Institute of Social
Security (Instituto de Guatemala del Seguro Social / IGSS) have identified
rotavirus in 15-60 percent of the samples taken.

During the first 3 weeks of the outbreak, the increase in relation to 2003
was 9 percent, falling to 4 percent in the 4th week. The outbreak has
affected above all the health districts of Ixcan, Peten Sur Oriente, and
Escuintla, but has also spread to Guatemala, Sacatepequez, Suchitepequez,
Quetzaltenango, San Marcos, El Progreso, and Zacapa.

Since the beginning of February 2004, the country has carried out
continuous monitoring of hospital admissions, which have averaged 250 per
day. This monitoring, along with declaring a state of national
epidemiological alert and strengthening information, education, and
communication, has resulted in a greater demand for care and subsequently
in the number of reported cases.

Prevention and control measures have been taken with regard to
strengthening surveillance of detected cases, identifying risk groups, and
increasing awareness among health-care professionals at all levels with a
view to the early detection and proper treatment of diarrheic syndrome and
dehydration.

In addition, there has been a review and strengthening of more structural
aspects such as intra- and intersectoral coordination, internal and mass
communication, and the existence of contingency plans as well as of
medicines and other supplies necessary to respond to this type of emergency.

Rotaviruses are mainly transmitted via fecal-oral contact. The virus is
stable in the environment and can remain viable for long periods of time.
This permits transmission from contact with contaminated surfaces, water,
or food. It is important for prevention and control measures to take these
aspects into account.

There is no specific treatment for the disease. 2 vaccines are currently
being tested (Phase III trials), with promising preliminary results in
terms of efficacy and safety. The principal strategy for dealing with such
outbreaks consists of minimizing the mortality caused by dehydration as a
result of the diarrheic syndrome. Approximately 1 out of every 40 children
with gastroenteritis caused by rotavirus will require hospitalization and
therapy providing fluids intravenously. Compliance with the
oral-rehydration standards set by the global WHO strategy for Integrated
Management of Childhood Illness (IMCI) is extremely important in these cases.
309 posted on 02/24/2004 7:17:15 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: StillProud2BeFree
About 5 years ago I had a dream in which I was in the back of Church and a nuke blast occurred blowing the stain glass windows in and in the dream I was told exactly where I should be with the kids to survive it (back corridor between two cement block walls.)
310 posted on 02/24/2004 7:19:55 PM PST by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: StillProud2BeFree
Thanks for the translation, I was curious what the message said.

in paradise there are one hundred staircases that Allah has prepared for the one hundred militants crossing during the three days

This part has me a little concerned. If we look at what 19 jihadis did during 9/11, what could 100 jihadis do over three days?

311 posted on 02/24/2004 7:20:37 PM PST by thecabal ("Well, boys, I reckon this is it - nuclear combat toe to toe with the Ruskies." --Major T. J. Kong)
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To: StillProud2BeFree
WOW! Thanks for all the hard work.
312 posted on 02/24/2004 7:21:26 PM PST by Velveeta
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Breaking News Alert
AL HOCEIMA, Morocco (AP) Death toll in Moroccan earthquake rises to more than 550, official news agency says.

CNN:

U.S. charges alleged bin Laden aides
02/24/04
Two men accused of being associates of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden have been charged with war crimes and are set to appear before the first U.S. military tribunals convened in the war on terrorism.

Two men alleged to have been bodyguards and aides for Osama bin Laden have been charged with war crimes and will stand trial before the first U.S. military tribunals convened since World War II, officials announced Tuesday.
http://www.cnn.com/2004/LAW/02/24/military.tribunals/index.html

U.S. officials: 9/11-type attacks still possible
02/24/04
Directors of the top U.S. security agencies on Tuesday told the Senate Intelligence Committee that terrorist networks are damaged, but still capable of targeting American interests, including plots on the same scale as the attacks of September 11, 2001.
http://www.cnn.com/2004/US/02/24/terror.intelligence/index.html

313 posted on 02/24/2004 7:21:57 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: livius
Thanks for the tip, that's exactly what I'll go and get tomorrow.

Now if there were only a hand crank to keep me hooked up to FR...
314 posted on 02/24/2004 7:23:12 PM PST by Velveeta
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Breaking News Alert
VIENNA, Austria (AP) Iran conducted nuclear experiments it failed to disclose, U.N. watchdog says in a new report.


Saudi Arabia is changing. And according to The Wall Street Journal, many Saudis "welcome the signs of change that have multiplied in recent months."

This change is called reform – and today’s The Wall Street Journal does a good job explaining this very complex issue.

Read Wall Street Journal Article
http://webreprints.djreprints.com/27387.html

Read Reform section on Saudi Arabia’s Embassy Websi
http://www.saudiembassy.net/Issues/Reform/IssuesRef.asp
315 posted on 02/24/2004 7:25:48 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: Cindy
From Thread 3 and beyond, excellent work on the summary links!!!
316 posted on 02/24/2004 7:27:53 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: Pro-Bush; BagCamAddict; ganeshpuri89; pokerbuddy0; cgk; Sabertooth; Donna Lee Nardo; ...
Ping just in case you don't know Revel started Thread 4 ;)
317 posted on 02/24/2004 7:29:35 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: JustPiper
Many of us have been ill for years with stomach trouble

Do you take extra calcium? It will help. ;-)

318 posted on 02/24/2004 7:29:52 PM PST by Velveeta
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To: thecabal
I love the Front Page, how can it be incorporated now?
http://www.recursiv.com/threatmatrix/moin.cgi/
We must use it! It is so professional and useful!!!
319 posted on 02/24/2004 7:32:37 PM PST by JustPiper (The fly cannot be driven away by getting angry at it)
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To: JustPiper
Thanks JP, I saw it. I'll be back shortly. Working behind the scenes right now.
320 posted on 02/24/2004 7:33:35 PM PST by Calpernia (http://members.cox.net/classicweb/Heroes/heroes.htm)
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