U.S. SENATE RACES - 2004

National Republican Senatorial Committee ^ | Updated regularly on the web | National Republican Senatorial Committee

[DefCon]

SENATE RACES 2004

DEMOCRATS			REPUBLICANS
Bayh, Evan	IN		Bennett, Robert	UT
Boxer, Barbara	CA		Bond, Christopher	MO
Breaux, John *	LA		Brownback, Sam	KS
Daschle, Thomas	SD		Bunning, Jim	KY
Dodd, Christopher	CT		Campbell, Ben Nighthorse	CO
Dorgan, Byron	ND		Crapo, Mike	ID
Edwards, John *	NC		Fitzgerald, Peter *	IL
Feingold, Russell	WI		Grassley, Chuck	IA
Graham, Bob *	FL		Gregg, Judd	NH
Hollings, Ernest *	SC		McCain, John	AZ
Inouye, Daniel	HI		Murkowski, Lisa	AK
Leahy, Patrick	VT		Nickles, Don *	OK
Lincoln, Blanche	AR		Shelby, Richard	AL
Mikulski, Barbara	MD		Specter, Arlen	PA
Miller, Zell *	GA		Voinovich, George	OH
Murray, Patty	WA
Reid, Harry	NV
Schumer, Charles	NY
Wyden, Ron	OR
* designates open seats

[DefCon]

Thirty Four U.S. Senate Seats To Watch In November.

[Koblenz]

Potential Republican Pickups:

NC, SC, GA, FL, SD

Potential Democratic Pickups:

AK, OK, IL

IL is pretty much a foregone conclusion. Oklahoma may still be salvageable, but I'm amazed Republicans aren't doing better there. And Alaska: Murkowski was so dumb to pick his daughter.

[commish]

I pretty much agree with your assessment, but I think LA can be added to the possible pickup list.

I was sure Boxer would be vulnerable, but the Repubs in Calif can;t even focus on thier own Primary, much less start building a concensus against Boxer.

[jpsb]

The GOP can forget the south, "free trade" (which ain't free), illegal imigration.

[FreeAtlanta]

Ga. should definately be a Republican pick up. I am pulling for Herman Cain (here is his website)

[Republic Rocker]

The most important battle is for dashole's seat.......!

[FreeAtlanta]

Besides seeing Boxer knocked out, I would love to see little Tommy Daschole get the boot.

Come South Dakota, do what is right for America! Do we have a good candidate (any candidate) running against him?

[jpsb]

Either one of those two would be sweet. I here tommy is in trouble, hope so.

[republicanwizard]

Not quite. We have good chances in NC, SC, GA, FL, LA, WA, CA, and SD. I am still waiting to see what happens in Nevada.

On the other hand, I believe that Kerry, given his strong opposition to drilling in Alaska, will assure a Murkowski victory. Of course our nominee started behind in Texas in 2002, and I don't see why we shouldn't win in Oklahoma. In Pennsylvania, Specter should win the primary and easily win the general. The remaining state, Illinois, has gotten interesting. The Democratic frontrunner, Blair Hull, has fallen on his face. It seems that Barack Obama, not Hynes or Hull, will be the RAT to oppose Jack Ryan. I am becoming optimistic about our chances in that state.

[commish]

John Thune, who had the 2002 SD Senate seat STOLEN from him is running against Daschle. They are dead even in the polls, and everything points to it being a 1-2% race all the way to November.

The Great thing is Daschle has the Fed Marraige Amendment poised like a GUillotine over his neck. He has to support it to win reelection, but as Senate Minority Leader he must lead the charge to defeat it.

This was brilliant Strategery by Bush again -- Not only for the General Election - But this will require Daschle to be in Washington fighting this battle, while Thune campaigns unopposed throughout SD.

If this is as close as it looks, Watch for Bush and Cheney (mostly Cheney since SD is safe for Bush) to spend a lot of face time with John Thune in SD.

[bobo1]

I live in Illinois, but will probably move within the next few years. The land of Marxism and political corruption. No doubt the Demo's will be in charge. We already have Dirtbag Dubin as a senator. We can probably offer another sleezeball to compliment him.

Blessings, Bobo

[ggekko]

"It seems that Barack Obama, not Hynes or Hull, will be the RAT to oppose Jack Ryan...."

I would rate and Obama-Ryan race as a tossup. In a state like Illinois which has a significant voter registration edge for the Democrats Republicans need help to win. This appears to be happening with Democrats selecting Obama who is a rhetorical lightning rod and potentially a very vulnerable candidate.

[deport]

Of course our nominee started behind in Texas in 2002,

---

What do you base that on? Polling data or something else?

[BlackRazor]

I believe that Kerry, given his strong opposition to drilling in Alaska, will assure a Murkowski victory

Yeah, but that was the old John Kerry. Didn't the new and improved version recently tell the Teamsters he'd be willing to drill like crazy?

[genghis]

A few more states may be in play.
1-hi- I think there is a shot that in-no-way retires
(awesome Republican governor)
2-wi- I would fire tommy thompson and make him run for the senate.
3-n.y.- rudy could take that drat out in a heart beat.
4- ark- we need a candidate
5-md- awesome african-american lt gov might beat that hag.
6- nev- we need a candidate.
I was really optimistic about picking up 8 or so seats at the beginning of the year, but i think 3 or so is the best we will be able to do.

[firewalk]

bttt

[raloxk]

So you think Inez Tannebaum will win SC?

I have no clue who is even running in GA on the DEM side!
You are forgetting that the South is not just about textiles, globalism has brought thousands of high paying jobs to the south. yes, jobs have been lost. Mostly $6 and hour ones that have been replaced by $15 and hour ones.

[raloxk]

Illinois doesnt have party preference requirments when registering to vote.

I think Ryan would beat Obama. I think that millionare elitist Hull will win though. Part of Jon Corzine's Senate recruitment strategy. Rich liberals who want socialist health care for you, but not for them

[JohnnyZ]

Spelling Reference
Tenenbaum
Humphreys
Michels
Feingold
Beasley
Rauschenberger
Mongiardo
Penelas
Deutsch
Isakson
Specter
Hoeffel

Geez, I hope I got that right ;)

States in Play
Open: LA, IL, FL, GA, SC, NC, OK
Republican: Specter, Murkowski, Bunning, Bond
Democrats: Daschle, Murray, Boxer, Feingold, Reid, Lincoln

I think we'll sweep the FL-GA-SC-NC open seats, lose one of OK-AK-IL, but take either LA or defeat one of the incumbent Democrats. +4 pickup

[JohnnyZ]

Some dates to look for, courtesy of George Allen and the NRSC:

Tuesday of next week kicks off the political season in many parts of the country. We'll find out whom Republicans in California and Maryland will select to be our standard bearers in the fall's U.S. Senate races. Below are some of the important states and dates that we will be keeping our eyes on through June:

March
March 2, 2004 California
March 2, 2004 Maryland
March 16, 2004 Illinois

April
April 27, 2004 Pennsylvania

May
May 18, 2004 Arkansas

June
June 1, 2004 South Dakota (Special election for vacant House seat)
June 8, 2004 South Carolina
June 22, 2004 South Carolina run-off (only if no candidate gets over 50% in the primary on June 8th)