To: Momaw Nadon
These look to me to be more accurate guesses than the polls.
The state that to me looks most out of kilter is Minnesota. Minnesota was within 2% last time, but Bush is only given a 33% chance of winning, whereas Wisconsin is and Iowa are almost 50/50. Minnesota seems low.
Idaho seems low too. I don't think Kerry has a 5% chance. Gore lost by 40 points in 2000. That's a lot of ground to make up.
D.C. seems about right.
11 posted on
03/22/2004 10:34:30 AM PST by
TomEwall
To: TomEwall
I agree on Minnesota. Not only did Bush only lose by 2 points last time, but Minnesota is one of the most Republican trending states in the nation. Look what happened there in the '02 midterms. For now, I would put the odds there at near even.
12 posted on
03/22/2004 11:15:24 AM PST by
DallasJ7
To: TomEwall
Place your bets ;-)
13 posted on
03/22/2004 11:15:54 AM PST by
MattinNJ
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