Battleground states in play for Bush camp

THE WASHINGTON TIMES ^ | Apr 26, 2004 | Donald Lambro

[veronica]

Sen. John Kerry is trailing or tied with President Bush in many of the battleground states Democrats won in 2000 and that will likely decide the outcome of this year's elections, according to a survey of polls across the country by The Washington Times.

[Dan from Michigan]

ping

[DM1]

I hope that this keeps up and Kerry gets squashed. I do worry that Kerry is having a dandy time fundraising and could let loose a marketing blitz

[Dan from Michigan]

An EPIC/MRA poll taken at the beginning of this month put the race in a close race — 47 percent for Mr. Kerry to 45 percent for Mr. Bush.

EPIC is a democrat polling firm.

An earlier survey by Michigan pollster Steve Mitchell for the Detroit News in March had Mr. Bush leading 46 percent to 42 percent
Mitchell is a GOP polling firm.

[CollegeRepublican]

Even in reliably Democratic Maryland (10 electoral votes), Mr. Bush has begun to cut into Mr. Kerry's numbers. Mr. Gore carried the state by 17 points, but a recent survey by Maryland pollster Patrick Gonzales gives Mr. Kerry only a five-point edge.

Nothing would make me happier than for Maryland to go for Bush in November. It is a long shot, but gosh that would be awesome.

[Thud]

ping

[DM1]

Yes that would be sweet
however i am really really hoping he can win the OH and PA electorals.
He won OH last time it is electorally rich and a lynchpin to success.
IF he also won PA it would deny the Dem 21 electorals and add it to his own pretty much making sure that he will win.
But only time will tell

[larlaw]

Unfortunately, this article is quite selective in the polls it is referencing. While the President is indeed surprisingly strong in Pennsylvania, most of the independent polls in the rest of the states quoted by Lambro show a far different picture then he is painting. (You can check out www.realclearpolitics.com for an excellent compilation of the latest state by state polls and analysis.)

[CollegeRepublican]

Yes, Pa and Ohio are the key to winning the election, also Florida again. But I am pretty sure that if Bush carries Maryland that he will also carry at least two of the big three battleground states of Pa, Ohio, and Fla.

[ohioWfan]

He's gonna carry OHIO........bank on it!

[PackerBoy]

Ohio will go to Bush. Take it to the bank.

[PackerBoy]

Great minds think alike!

[DM1]

I agree with you there
if Bush carries Maryland it is going to be a sweep!

[DM1]

"He's gonna carry OHIO........bank on it!"
I hope that you are right and normally i would agree however there are three worries that concern me.
1. Polls showed Kerry ahead i Ohio from 1 - 4 points
2. Freepers here say that Taft and the RINOS in OHIO are having reverse coattails.
3. Freepers also mentioned that the war is being detrimental to Bush.

Now i hope that the situation has changed (this was a few weeks ago) since this was the case.
Do you see an increase in Bush activity? Are people complaining about Kerry? Let me know i like to watch this kind of thing
thanks

[ohioWfan]

LOL! Great minds, indeed!

[ohioWfan]

The Bush grassroots campaign is up and running strong, and Kerry's hasn't even begun.

What I hear (in a conservative area) is a LOT of enthusiasm for Bush, and not a peep from anyone for Kerry.

All the stuff in the papers from libs is anti-Bush, but NOT pro-Kerry. The war, I think, will favor Bush. Ohio is a strong military state.

I personally don't think Kerry has a shot. Ohioans are always smart enough to pick the winner......and that, once again, is George W. Bush.

[Coop]

FYI

[DJtex]

Kerry seems to be very slow in getting a real grass-roots organization going. He's counting on the DNC--Terry MacAuliffe (Hillary's butt-boy) and the Unions to pull it off for him. They may both do their best, along with "Moveon.ORG" etc. but it may be for a lost cause already.

Sitting U.S. Senators have a devil of a time winning the Presidency for lots of reasons. I think a big unexamined reason is that a former Governor, or Mayor even, has that Executive experience of actually getting things done--building teams and managing them--putting together the master strategy and refining it with his trusted advisors.

Look at Bush and his team vs. Kerry and his (???) team. Partly, I think it's that Kerry does not trust a lot of people or really have a lot of close friends and advisors. Organization, teamwork, planning & execution--the old X's and O's--will determine this election. Kerry is just cruising along for now. The DNC/Unions will try to make this happen, but they lack leadership, strategy, and management from the top. They're doomed.

[AuH2ORepublican]

Are the polls cited in this article accurate?

[KQQL]

yep, they are.

However they don't include machine polls..lol

[davidosborne]

BTTT