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SurveyUSA: Specter/Toomey Tied
SurveyUSA ^ | 4/26/04

Posted on 04/26/2004 1:26:37 PM PDT by Dales

Specter 48%, Toomey 48%. 4.6% MoE.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections; US: Pennsylvania
KEYWORDS: abortion; arlenspecter; clubforgrowth; pa; paprimary; pattoomey; pennsylvania; prolife; rino; scottishlaw; senate; specter; specterbites; toomey
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Go Pat Go
1 posted on 04/26/2004 1:26:37 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales
What a horse race, probably better than the Kentucky Derby!
2 posted on 04/26/2004 1:27:52 PM PDT by threat matrix ('For my brother, and my country.' Ranger Pat Tillman to Sgt. Bush)
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To: Dales
Wow. Go Pat Go! 8^)
3 posted on 04/26/2004 1:28:01 PM PDT by ABG(anybody but Gore) (Wolfgang Puck does not belong on Iron Chef America, no matter how funny his accent is.)
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To: Dales
Wooooooooohooooooooooo! I've got a good feeling about this race...
4 posted on 04/26/2004 1:28:37 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: Dales
Go Pat Go

Hmmm...

5 posted on 04/26/2004 1:28:52 PM PDT by PRND21
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To: Dales
Holy crap! If accurate, there is NO WAY Toomey loses momentum. IT'S OVER!
6 posted on 04/26/2004 1:29:13 PM PDT by The G Man (John Kerry? America just can't afford a 9/10 President in a 9/11 world. Vote Bush-Cheney '04.)
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To: NittanyLion
Scottish Law RINO hunt in full effect!
7 posted on 04/26/2004 1:29:29 PM PDT by threat matrix ('For my brother, and my country.' Ranger Pat Tillman to Sgt. Joe Bush)
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To: Dales
It is killing me...I'm in the Philly media market, but registered in NJ. Pennsylvanians, please save the Republicans from its most dangerous foes....the liberals in its midst. Those are the most devastating, take for example Specter voting against Bork. If no other reason...send Hatch a message. Hatch needs to get Toomeyed in Utah too!
8 posted on 04/26/2004 1:29:52 PM PDT by blanknoone (Vote GWB in 04 or your great grand daughter WILL wear a Burqa.)
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To: Dales; KQQL; Torie
Turnout.

Will the unions be pushing for Specter?
9 posted on 04/26/2004 1:29:58 PM PDT by ambrose (AP Headline: "Kerry Says His 'Family' Owns SUV, Not He")
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To: Dales
I hope Specter goes down, and when he does, Santorum, Bush, Frist and all the rest better fight for Toomey twice as hard as they're fighting for Specter now.

I really couldn't care less if Specter's seat goes to the Democrat. Specter is practically a Democrat already. So what, so he caucuses with the Republicans, that's it. The rest of his votes are more important than his caucus vote.

Specter losing to Toomey, regardless of if Toomey wins or not will serve as a lesson for turncoat Republicans who feel more at home with Democrats.
10 posted on 04/26/2004 1:30:02 PM PDT by counterpunch (<-CLICK HERE for my CARTOONS)
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To: Dales
Chicago isn't in Pennsylvania, right? ;^]
11 posted on 04/26/2004 1:30:11 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Drug prohibition laws help fund terrorism.)
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To: Badray; smokeyb; GEC; martin_fierro; mountaineer; Dukie; AGreatPer; William McKinley; ...
Pinger
12 posted on 04/26/2004 1:30:48 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales
if an incumbant is below 50% he usually loses.
13 posted on 04/26/2004 1:30:52 PM PDT by Walkingfeather
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To: Willie Green
Come on, you can say it!
14 posted on 04/26/2004 1:30:54 PM PDT by Rebelbase ("Kerry is the female version of Hillary"............FReeper Paul Atreides)
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To: NittanyLion
Wow.. This gets my blood going after just seeing the Quinnipiac poll today.

Cmon Toomey get in there baby..


In event that Spector wins, I am going to be organizing a "Conservatives for Hoeffel" campaign for the GE.

We'll be campaigning on the premise that we prefer 52 seats in the Senate with Jon Kyl chairing the Judiciary Committee, than 53 seats w/ Spector chairing the Judiciary committee.

If we can get well-funded, we plan on running radio ads this fall.

15 posted on 04/26/2004 1:31:17 PM PDT by Josh in PA
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To: threat matrix
If you go to the source, it states that a 2-day tracking poll puts Toomey up by 2 (this is a 3-day tracking poll). It also shows Toomey with a HUGE advantage among voters younger than 35, which gives me great hope for a conservative future...
16 posted on 04/26/2004 1:31:30 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: Dales
Haha... Specter is going down.
17 posted on 04/26/2004 1:31:53 PM PDT by CrazyRightwinger (The terrorists are rooting for the democrats, wonder why?)
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To: Walkingfeather
Republicans in PA... we are counting on you!!! throw the RINO out!
18 posted on 04/26/2004 1:32:03 PM PDT by rrrod
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To: Dales
Get
Out

The Vote.
Or don't blame me.
Our support is behind you.
Make Specter
End his Senate career. Make Toomey
Your new Senator!
!
19 posted on 04/26/2004 1:32:10 PM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper (Think 0-16 Bills.)
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To: Dales
Say bye bye Arlen
20 posted on 04/26/2004 1:32:24 PM PDT by Mo1 (Make Michael Moore cry.... DONATE MONTHLY!!!)
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To: Dales
Toomey has "the big mo."
21 posted on 04/26/2004 1:32:41 PM PDT by The kings dead
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To: Dales
Great news.
22 posted on 04/26/2004 1:33:24 PM PDT by OK
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To: E. Pluribus Unum
Chicago isn't in Pennsylvania, right? ;^]

IIRC several precincts in Philadelphia went 105% for Gore in 2000.

23 posted on 04/26/2004 1:34:39 PM PDT by bondjamesbond (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: JohnnyZ; Kuksool; Clintonfatigued; Dan from Michigan; Coop; Impy; LdSentinal; ForOurFuture; ...
PAT TOOMEY IS GOING TO WIN THIS TOMORROW!

But we need everyone to work hard to make sure that Pat Toomey, who is both a better Republican and a better candidate than Arlen Specter, makes it past the finish line. I am reminded of the words of Dr. Seuss in Horton Hears a Who, when he pointed out how we must all do our part if we are to accomplish great things:

And Horton called back, “I can hear you just fine.
But the kangaroos’ ears aren’t as strong, quite, as mine.
They don’t hear a thing! Are you sure all you boys
Are doing their best? Are they ALL making noise?
Are you sure every Who down in Who-ville is working?
Quick! Look through your town! Is there anyone shirking?”

Through the town rushed the Mayor, From the east to the west.
But everyone seemed to be doing his best.
Everyone seemed to be yapping or yipping!
Everyone seemed to be beeping or bipping!
But it wasn’t enough, all this ruckus and roar!
He HAD to find someone to help him make more.
He raced through each building! He searched floor-to-floor!

And, just as he felt he was getting nowhere,
And almost about to give up in despair,
He suddenly burst through a door and that Mayor
Discovered one shirker! Quite hidden away
In the Fairfax Apartments (Apartment 12-J)
A very small, very small shirker named Jo-Jo
was standing, just standing, and bouncing a Yo-Yo!
Not making a sound! Not a yipp! Not a chirp!
And the Mayor rushed inside and he grabbed the young twerp!

And he climbed with the lad up the Eiffelberg Tower.
“This,” cried the Mayor, “is your towns darkest hour!
The time for all Whos who have blood that is red
To come to the aid of their country!” he said.
“We’ve GOT to make noises in greater amounts!
So, open your mouth, lad! For every voice counts!”

Thus he spoke as he climbed. When they got to the top,
The lad cleared his throat and he shouted out, “YOPP!”

And that Yopp…
That one small, extra Yopp put it over!
Finally, at last! From that speck on that clover
Their voices were heard! They rang out clear and clean.
And the elephant smiled. “Do you see what I mean?…
They’ve proved they ARE persons, no matter how small.
And their whole world was saved by the smallest of All!”

“How true! Yes, how true,” said the big kangaroo.
“And, from now on, you know what I’m planning to do?…
From now on, I’m going to protect them with you!”
And the young kangaroo in her pouch said…
“…ME, TOO!”
“From the sun in the summer. From rain when it’s fall-ish,
I’m going to protect them. No matter how small-ish!”


And like Horton, Pat Toomey believes that a person's a person, no matter how small. So nobody shirk, and let's help Pat Toomey send that pro-abortion RINO Arlen Specter back to Scotland tomorrow. GO, PAT, GO!
24 posted on 04/26/2004 1:34:56 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: Dales
Good news, can Toomey win in the General Election. W is up in Penn.
25 posted on 04/26/2004 1:35:27 PM PDT by TJC
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To: The kings dead
Specter has "Joe-mentum".
26 posted on 04/26/2004 1:35:28 PM PDT by bondjamesbond (Stay well - Stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown)
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To: Mo1
From the writeup:
In 3-day data... it's 48% to 48%. In 2-day data (excluding Friday, including just Saturday and Sunday), Toomey is up by 2. Contest has taken on life of its own, with significance beyond PA: If Specter backers are newly awakened to possibility of defeat, and they vote, Specter wins. If turnout is customary or close to it, Toomey wins. Toomey supporters have stronger convictions.

27 posted on 04/26/2004 1:35:33 PM PDT by Dales
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To: The G Man
"If accurate" is a good caveat, but he wouldn't need "momentum". With as low a turnout as is expected, I think he'd win easily with these numbers. There can be no question that his supporters are more motivated to show up.
28 posted on 04/26/2004 1:36:53 PM PDT by IMRight
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To: Dales
I made some calls for Toomey from out of state this weekend.

Go PAT!
29 posted on 04/26/2004 1:38:28 PM PDT by freedom44
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To: ambrose; Torie
My Prediction:

Spector 53%
Toomey 47%
30 posted on 04/26/2004 1:39:09 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
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To: Dales
My "gut" feeling is that Toomey is going to win this race...won't be a landslide...it will be close...but he'll win.
31 posted on 04/26/2004 1:40:09 PM PDT by smiley
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To: Josh in PA
Kyl bump!
32 posted on 04/26/2004 1:40:30 PM PDT by adam_az (Call your state Republican party office and VOLUNTEER FOR A CAMPAIGN!!!)
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To: counterpunch
I really couldn't care less if Specter's seat goes to the Democrat. Specter is practically a Democrat already.

But he does vote for a GOP leadership.

33 posted on 04/26/2004 1:40:43 PM PDT by jdege
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To: ambrose
Will the unions be pushing for Specter?

I think this is a closed primary. Most union supporters are Dems and - unless they changed party affiliation specifically for this primary - they won't be able to vote for Arlen.

34 posted on 04/26/2004 1:41:20 PM PDT by Cooter
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To: Owen
Remember, we support the rightmost candidate on the ballet in November...
35 posted on 04/26/2004 1:41:48 PM PDT by NittanyLion
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To: Dales
Toomey supporters have stronger convictions.

Yep .. the big telling will be how Philly votes in the way the race turns out

36 posted on 04/26/2004 1:41:58 PM PDT by Mo1 (Make Michael Moore cry.... DONATE MONTHLY!!!)
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To: Dales
We need Freepers in this state to get out the vote...Volunteer for 20 minutes to make phone calls to strangers, or get your non voting family members to vote for Toomey...bribe them if you have too! ;)
37 posted on 04/26/2004 1:42:03 PM PDT by Capitalism2003 ("I am not a friend to a very energetic government. It is always oppressive." Thomas Jefferson)
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To: KQQL
Sometimes you have to break a few eggs to to get what you want right? Isnt that was the commies say. In this case I would gladly take a 1 seat bullet to get rid of this seniltor. Dont know if Toomey is glamourous enough to pull it off. Sphincter wins 56-44 IMHO.
38 posted on 04/26/2004 1:42:58 PM PDT by samadams2000 (Liberalism is communism one drink at a time)
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To: Dales
WOW! I never thought i'd see this day.
39 posted on 04/26/2004 1:43:24 PM PDT by bethelgrad (for God, country, and the Corps OOH RAH!)
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To: smiley
One vote is a win, one little vote.
40 posted on 04/26/2004 1:44:09 PM PDT by RetiredArmy (We'll put a boot in your ass, it's the American Way! Toby Keith)
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To: KQQL
Why do you think that Specter will win by 6%?

Do you think the "certain voter" polling is inaccurate? It's the day before the primary, and it will be overcast tomorrow, so if people still don't know whether or not they'll vote, chances are they won't vote.
41 posted on 04/26/2004 1:44:10 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: Dales
I am so excited by this, I just can't wait!
42 posted on 04/26/2004 1:44:36 PM PDT by Petronski (I'm not always cranky.)
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To: Cooter
Most union supporters are Dems and - unless they changed party affiliation specifically for this primary - they won't be able to vote for Arlen.

I read somewhere the switch of registrations is not high ..

IF that's true .. then it looks like the Unions won't play to big in the primary

43 posted on 04/26/2004 1:44:41 PM PDT by Mo1 (Make Michael Moore cry.... DONATE MONTHLY!!!)
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To: samadams2000
true, but I still say Spector wins.

44 posted on 04/26/2004 1:45:23 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
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To: Dales
Go Pat Go!

Down here in GA we have the same thing gong on: Zell Miller's seat is up, and it will go to a Republican. We have 4 people on the ballot, the leader is Johnny Isakson (maybe) a RINO in its pure form, with a strong showing by Herman Cain, a GREAT CONSERVATIVE!!!!

Isakson won't even show up to any type of debate with Mr. Cain, he's a chicken %(^&.

Go Toomey!

Isn't it great fun pulling the Republicans to the conservative side!
45 posted on 04/26/2004 1:45:28 PM PDT by eyespysomething (The Barbarians are at the Gates. Don't give Kerry the key!)
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To: rrrod
There are lots of Toomey yard signs in Western PA where I live. Not many for Specter. I'm voting for Toomey as soon as I get out of work tomorrow. Specter's Scottish law vote finished him for me. He's running ads almost non-stop saying that it's "Toomey vs Bush." He also left a message on my answering machine which was a compilation of Bush's endorsement remarks at his recent stop in Pittsburgh. Specter is pulling out all the stops to beat Toomey. Main line loyal Republicans may feel that the Bush and Santorum endorsements for Specter require them to vote for him. Santorum and Bush should have stayed out of the fight.
46 posted on 04/26/2004 1:46:18 PM PDT by WestSylvanian
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Comment #47 Removed by Moderator

To: AuH2ORepublican
That's my Opinion.
I could be wrong , I hope I am wrong, but I get the feeling Spector will win by 5-6%.

If W hadn't coem and supported Spector, Toomey would have won by 3-4%
48 posted on 04/26/2004 1:47:11 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
That's my Opinion.
I could be wrong , I hope I am wrong, but I get the feeling Spector will win by 5-6%.

If W hadn't come and supported Spector, Toomey would have won by 3-4%
49 posted on 04/26/2004 1:47:40 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
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To: William Creel
Phillu Suburbs to have RINO voters
50 posted on 04/26/2004 1:48:19 PM PDT by KQQL (@)
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