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Cal ISO Transmission Emergency-Oops, I did it again
WECC Daily Report for 5/6/04 ^ | 5/6/04 | WECC daily report

Posted on 05/04/2004 1:47:22 PM PDT by Robert357

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To: Robert357
If the ISO Management and oversight team isn't firing people and keeping the ISO accountable, then it there needs to be some changes in the oversight boards that appoint the leaders of the ISO, who hire and fire the staff of the ISO. There needs to be staff accountability for the forecasts produced by ISO staff.

Correct, in the reverse order. However, we have enough evidence that nothing has been done that cleaning house from either direction won't make any difference.

21 posted on 05/04/2004 4:57:21 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: ArmstedFragg
As someone who once wrote the algorithms used in the energy management portion of a utility SCADA system, I know it can be hard to forecast energy usage on a day ahead and hour ahead basis. However, one has to try and one has to constantly improve the system.

A good friend of mine actually did a scholarly paper pitting several different algorithms against his chief dispatcher, Roy. Then they did a multi-month test and Roy won, but a couple of the programs were so go that they implemented them, just in case Roy got in a car accident or quite.

I am what is now called a DOUG(Dumb Old Utility Guy), as I still believe in an obligation to serve and the need to have proper reserves at all times. I have testified before FERC on deregulation cases and have advised utilities and industries on tricks associated with deregulation. However, I also feel all of us in the industry need to demand more from our peers.

I am sure that the ISO is under extreme budget pressure, but folks inside need to point out the cost of these outages and pressure the ISO members and management that something needs to be done to do better forecasts.

Thank you for what you are doing and thank you for sharing your insights.

22 posted on 05/04/2004 5:06:00 PM PDT by Robert357
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To: snopercod
...a miscalculation in 1922, when hydrologists overestimated the average flow of the Colorado River and locked the number into a multistate agreement called the Colorado River Compact.

I had read about that and it does not bode well for the future of power generation on the Colorado River. You are right that the multi-year drought in parts of the West could have major power impacts.

23 posted on 05/04/2004 5:28:09 PM PDT by Robert357
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To: Carry_Okie
"Arnold will solve this as soon as he gets back from playing RUNNING FOR PRESIDENT"

Somebody (you and/or Arnold) should read the constitution. He can never be president.

--Boris

24 posted on 05/04/2004 6:53:35 PM PDT by boris (The deadliest weapon of mass destruction in history is a Leftist with a word processor)
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To: boris
Somebody (you and/or Arnold) should read the constitution. He can never be president.

Somebody (that means you) should note that Orin Hatch and others have already proposed an Amendment doing away with the Constitutional requirement that a President of the United States be a native born citizen.

Really, it's just a coincidence.

25 posted on 05/04/2004 8:35:38 PM PDT by Carry_Okie (There are people in power who are truly evil.)
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To: Carry_Okie
"Somebody (that means you) should note that Orin Hatch and others have already proposed an Amendment doing away with the Constitutional requirement that a President of the United States be a native born citizen.

Really, it's just a coincidence."

Let's bet on whether this is ratified during Arnold's lifetime. I'll open. $100 says no ratification. This is a purely public offer, and I am completely serious.

--Boris

26 posted on 05/05/2004 8:14:21 AM PDT by boris (The deadliest weapon of mass destruction in history is a Leftist with a word processor)
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To: boris
Let's bet on whether this is ratified during Arnold's lifetime. I'll open. $100 says no ratification. This is a purely public offer, and I am completely serious.

I wouldn't take it, but it has NOTHING to do with whether my assertion that Arnold was running was misinformed either politically or constitutionally, as you asserted.

Got it?

27 posted on 05/05/2004 8:22:52 AM PDT by Carry_Okie (The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column)
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