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Electoral College Breakdown 2004, May 26th Update
ECB2004 ^ | 5/26/04

Posted on 05/26/2004 4:14:59 PM PDT by Dales

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1 posted on 05/26/2004 4:14:59 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales

Since I posted the answer to your quiz on your blog, I'll let someone else take a stab at the Weekly Quiz here.


2 posted on 05/26/2004 4:17:07 PM PDT by So Cal Rocket (Fabrizio Quattrocchi: "Adesso vi faccio vedere come muore un italiano")
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To: Dales

And are the pollsters ever going to realize that the state (commonwealth?) of Virginia is dying for a new poll?


3 posted on 05/26/2004 4:18:12 PM PDT by So Cal Rocket (Fabrizio Quattrocchi: "Adesso vi faccio vedere come muore un italiano")
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To: Neets; Coop; The G Man; nevergiveup; scan58; AuH2ORepublican; BoomerBob; Galatians513; onyx; ...

Ping


4 posted on 05/26/2004 4:19:52 PM PDT by Dales
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To: Dales
How do you know the mafia was there?

LoL!

5 posted on 05/26/2004 4:24:16 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: Dales
Why isn't Georgia running more strongly for Bush? It appears to be based on an old Democrat partisan poll back in the heyday of the Edwards candidacy. I think Bush would poll considerably better in Georgia in a nonpartisan, non-Zogby poll with Kerry as the Democrat candidate taken today.
6 posted on 05/26/2004 4:28:30 PM PDT by dufekin (John F. Kerry. Irrational, improvident, backward, seditious.)
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To: Dales

How can you tell a Pole is at a cockfight? He'[s the one with the duck. How do you know an Italian's there. He bets on the duck. How do you know the Mafia's there? The duck wins".

Joke told by Reagan in the leadup to the 1980 NH primary. Okay. I cheated. I saw the answer in the comments section of your blog.:)


7 posted on 05/26/2004 4:29:10 PM PDT by WinOne4TheGipper (I make no guarantee that the above post was written by a sane person.)
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To: Dales
Why is Kerry even a factor in these discussions? Most of the analysts I've heard from recently contend that as goes the news from Iraq, so go Pres. Bush's re-election prospects. If this is true, Kerry is irrelevant. He will not win on his own. He can only win if the bottom falls out of our efforts in Iraq.

It seems like over the past week or so, American casualties in Iraq have been much reduced from previous weeks. The bad news from Fallujah and Najaf, and the Abu Ghraib prison (or whatever it's called) have been overblown in the sense that the news from Iraq has been tunnel vision, focused on the bad news, ignoring the good news in Iraq. Hence, Bush is weighted down, not by John Kerry, but by a concerted effort by the news media to spin the news from Iraq in the worst possible light.

Again, as odd as it may seem to contend, Kerry is almost a non-entity in this race. Right now, it's a race between Bush's goals in Iraq, and the public's perception of how well those goals are being met. Much can change in a week's time. And at some point, the voters may simply get weary of the news media lying about what is going on in Iraq.

8 posted on 05/26/2004 4:38:55 PM PDT by My2Cents ("Well...there you go again.")
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To: Dales

It's amazing to me that Michigan and Oregon are a tossup right now...man it's be nice if Ahnold pulls something out of the hat in Ca.


9 posted on 05/26/2004 4:40:23 PM PDT by God luvs America (Support Our Troops....Don't vote for Kerry!)
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To: Dales
Florida and Ohio.

If W finds a way to pull off those two, everything else will fall into place. If he can't, then I don't like his chances.

10 posted on 05/26/2004 4:48:43 PM PDT by comebacknewt
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To: Dales
Sleep tight everyone.

Before Nov 4th, WMD's will be located in big quantities, Bin Laden's will be a "certified" dead man, and the economy will be getting stronger and stronger.

11 posted on 05/26/2004 4:54:40 PM PDT by AmericaUnited (It's time someone says the emperor has no clothes.)
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To: All

new jersey spread reflects the fraud. newark, atlantic city, camden, perth amboy, just to make it look like blowout. when they start reporting those first, not last, there will be a more accurate tally.


12 posted on 05/26/2004 5:01:33 PM PDT by olde north church (Do you want a president that eats bar-be-cue or a president that eats watercress?)
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To: AmericaUnited
I hope you are right about WMD and UBL (I think we have a better chance at UBL then the WMD). I don't think Iraq had large quantities "already made up" - no need for Saddam to have had them this way - he had all the production capabilites (and that is all he was concerned with having).

From the look of this analysis - things have broke slighly Kerry's way - I mean look at PA,FL and CA - all have broke for Kerry (trending that is).

We need to keep working - Plenty of time to turn it around but this is going to a tight race I'm starting to feel.

13 posted on 05/26/2004 5:05:55 PM PDT by POA2
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To: Dales

Hey Dales - how about making the Bush states Red and the rat states Blue. Before 2000 it was all interchangeable but nowadays the terms "red states" and "blue states" are as much a part of the political lexicon as "bible belt" or "soccer mom." Everytime I see one of your maps it takes me a second to figure out why it seems odd, kind of like reading signs in the rear-view mirror.


14 posted on 05/26/2004 5:07:42 PM PDT by azcap
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To: Dales
While the media has been concentrating on national polls, the state-by-state polls are what are important. Thank you for the latest update.

Indiana is pro-Bush, and I think this will help us elect Mitch Daniels as governor this year.

15 posted on 05/26/2004 5:13:52 PM PDT by Miss Marple
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To: Miss Marple

MSNBC/NBC have Kerry winning with 313.


16 posted on 05/26/2004 5:17:08 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Dales

.

NEVER FORGET


The morning after HILLARY's election as a U.S. Senator from New York in November 2000...

HILLARY publically announced that the 1st Bill she was going to introduce after sworn in...

was a Bill to ABOLISH our Republic-Saving ELECTORAL COLLEGE.

The Enemy is now Within...
and always has been.


NEVER FORGET


17 posted on 05/26/2004 5:17:17 PM PDT by ALOHA RONNIE (Vet-Battle of IA DRANG-1965 http://www.LZXRAY.com)
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To: God luvs America

Since I live in the People's Republik of Oregon, I can't believe it is a toss up either! WOW! No wonder Teresa's husband has been here twice in a week.


18 posted on 05/26/2004 5:18:02 PM PDT by bevlar ("Ted Kennedy's Oldsmobile has killed more people than my gun")
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To: azcap; Dales

He's been there, done that.

When I teasingly recommended he reverse the columns by putting Bush on the right and Kerry on the Left, he did that, too.

Besides, it's the PURPLE states that matter anyway.


19 posted on 05/26/2004 5:21:02 PM PDT by jack gillis
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To: Dales

I reject the validity of the Zogby Battleground instrument until it has been shown valid by replication and predictive confirmation.

I do so because any poll that relies to any degree on self-selection has to have a built-in bias. It's the reverse-only-worse of the participation-rate problem.


20 posted on 05/26/2004 5:27:52 PM PDT by jack gillis
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