Posted on 08/06/2004 6:33:18 PM PDT by Land_of_Lincoln_John
CHICAGO (CBS 2) Alan Keyes is expected to formally enter the race for U.S. Senate this Sunday, but an exclusive CBS 2 poll shows most Illinoisans think its inappropriate for Keyes to run in Illinois. Many have an unfavorable view of the Maryland resident.
Our exclusive CBS 2/Newsradio 780 poll suggests that Keyes has a lot of hard work ahead in the senate contest.
Some Republican leaders are preparing to welcome Alan Keyes to Illinois this Sunday with a rally in northwest suburban Arlington Heights. Others are speaking out about the drawbacks of a candidate who's never lived in the Prairie State, no matter how good a debater he may be.
Mr. Keyes, while he'll raise the level of debate, there's no doubt he'll be able to stand on the stage with Mr. Obama, it's not certain that he'll know where the stage is, said Greg Baise, president of the Illinois Manufacturers Association.
It is not just Greg Baise and his powerful Illinois Manufacturers Association. When we asked 500 adults about a non-resident such as Keyes running to represent Illinois in the Senate, 25 percent said it was appropriate; 75 percent inappropriate.
Asked their view of Alan Keyes specifically, 18 percent said it was favorable; 33 percent said it was unfavorable; with 49 percent having no impression.
With Democratic Senate nominee Barack Obama still basking in the glow of the national attention he received at the Boston convention, 48 percent of Illinois adults said they had a favorable view of him, with 22 percent unfavorable and 29 percent reporting no impression either way.
Referring to our findings, a Keyes spokesman said, "It doesn't surprise us at all. Obama's been unopposed for six weeks now. Let's give (Keyes) a chance to talk to the voters of Illinois before taking another poll."
There are two other candidates also running for U.S. Senate in Illinois. Jerry Kohn is with the Libertarian Party. Albert Franzen is running as an independent candidate.
Go Alan Go!
How many voters will confuse this man for the Frenchurian Candidate?
the way to win this (or have a chance):
Keyes doesn't run against Obama, he runs a national campaign against the Democrats. The same way Kerry beat Weld for Seante in Mass - he started running against Newt Gingrich, and he won.
What he said.
I think Keyes can take him in a debate, although Obama is smooth. It will be linguistic duel.
evidently IL doesnt have anyone to run, so they have to import a guy. I dislike carpetbaggers as much as the next guy but hey, i am from MA and our gov. Mitt is a carpetbagger and he is doing a pretty good job.
though it brings up a valid point, what if Illinois goes to war with maryland! what side will alan choose?!?!?
Gee - the voting is already over?
That was fast.
What's the margin of error for an unbiased sample of 500? 6%? 10%? Anyone want to do the math?
On top of that, anyone want to speculate as to whether or not the sample is biased?
in the future voting will be done by randomly calling 500 people on the phone. no more having to go all the way to the ballot box!
Just one more reason to hate polls.
Funny, there was not a single story in the LiberalNazi mainstream media complaining about that evil carepetbagger Hillary Clinton, riding into town to seize the New York Senatorial seat because her nationwide research polls told her that we New Yorkers were the most moronic voters in the USA.
Go, Alan, Go!
After all if an Arkansas resident can fly into NY on a broom and become Senator, don't discount your chances in Illinois.
He might just win. With enough disgruntled Republicans voting for him, in addition to plenty of democrats who are too stupid to know the difference between Jerry Kohn and John Kerry.
The Gang That Couldn't Shoot Straight
Prairie state my ass, this is the land of lincoln.
To all the blanking Moriarty types in the rino party of illinois, you wanted ryan three times and you wonder why your rank and file went to osama obama.
The only difference between the NE rino and the illinois rino's the NE rinos have integrity.
Not likely voters or even registered voters. Okay to stew it down, 500 adults means about 320 registered voters and about 260 likely voters. If he got a 25% favorable rating, that isn't too bad.
A question.... if you know.
Does Illinois register voters by Party? If so what is the percentages for each, D, R, I, etc. If not do you know how the state has broken out percentage wise in statewide races such as Senator, Gov. by Party affiliation when voting. I'm assuming the democrats lead but don't know for sure.
Thanks for any info you can share.
I did and it confused me until I read it about four times.
LOL--I blinked a couple of times and rubbed my eyes. Thought my eyes were crossed.
Rino=integrity is an oxymoron my friend. ; )
Geez....if Hildabeast can do it, so can Keys!
Right on target and I think Alan will demolish Obama in their debates.
This is about putting someone on the ticket running to strengthen the rest of the ballot.
Also it will stop the dims from having a pass straight to the Senate. In other words spending money that could go elswhere.
The GOP knows the battle is lost but not to show up would be perceived as weakness and that dirty tricks pay off.
Alan Keyes would demolish most everyone in a debate. If I was Obama, which is ludicrous in itself is ludicrous, I would certainly be pooping my pants at the thought of going up against Keyes.
Sounds like the pollsters are a bunch of racists against Dr Keyes.
Good analysis. However, I think that Alan Keyes has more than a decent chance of winning, if he really campaigns hard for the seat, and if he gets an endorsement visit by President Bush.
Obama is also black... (Well, 1/2 black, though it makes no difference to me.)
What a surprise.
Is Jerry related to Forbes Kohn?
I personally would have voted for him last election for President. I did vote for him in the primary.
This is also about putting a black man who is an outstanding conservative moral voice in front of millions of people during the debates to take the shine off the dims new star.
Dr. Keyes will make Obama wish he was back in Kenya herding goats with his father after the debates.
Not sure how the split is (anyone else?) Dems surely greatly outnumber registered Republicans. On primary day, a voters has do declare, or more precisely, choose a ballot. Dem or Republican, plus I guess Libertarian. You can decide that day (of the primary) what ballot you want. Voters cannot declare themselves "independent" and expect a ballot. Again, that's for primaries.
We don't have election day registration.
I'd be shocked if there were more than 50,000 Republican-registered voters in Chicago. There are a few Republican-leaning areas (Far Northwest-side, Lincoln Park), but when I lived in the city I was a registered Democrat. You never know when you need a "favor."
Just because of the Chicago situation, Dems, IMO, lead GOP registered voters 60-40 at least! Probably more.
No "Right-to-Life" candidate?
On second thought Keyes is "right-to-life."
Keyes beat Dershowitz and that was a debate of ideas and facts.
Obama is a lightweight when it coems to that.
A picture of the new, "Three Stooges." Terayshu looks like a horror movie poster-child. Edwards looks like a fag who just took a hit from a crack pipe. Scarykerry is a definite, Goober look-a-like from the Andy Griffin show.
As I stated on another thread on this subject:
"All Free Republic lovers of liberty should be thrilled when an articulate person steeped in an understanding of America's Constitutional republic and the philosophy expressed in the Declaration of Independence gets a chance to be heard by hundreds of thousands of people.
"Let's not quibble about the win/lose question right now. Hadn't the election already been virtually conceded to Obama when Ryan dropped out? If so, let's just be glad that a controversial, outspoken advocate for liberty has a chance to be heard. Who knows, some future young leader may be influenced by the reasoned arguments Keyes will use to rebut the Liberal Left politics of the Democrats.
"Every voice for the Founders' philosophy is needed right now. Keyes, by education and by talent and devotion to the Constitution, needs to be heard. Let him have the pulpit! Give him the vote. Fresh air and sunshine are needed--and the young rising star of the Liberal Left may learn some new debating skills, and a thing or two about America's founding philosophy too."
Alan Keyes is a 21st Century man who holds deeply to the philosophy of Washington, the Adamses, Madison, Jefferson, and all the other geniuses who made the 'miracle of America' come into being. Not only does his Harvard education in constitutional government qualify him for expounding on that philosophy, but he has a Creator-endowed intellect and ability to articulate principles that few others possess. More power to the Illinois GOP for its courage in putting him opposite Obama in the debate arena!!
Thanks for your input. I had looked a little but hadn't spent time looking for the data.
If your name was ryan in the past twenty years you could be in the pubbie party, in illinois.
Keyes is like Patrick Fitzgerald (the us attorney that is going after illinois politicos), you need an outsider to shake up the illinois political establishment.
If the ploitician is from illinois he has larceny in his heart, whether the name is ryan, daley, durbin, madigian, or osama obama.
I like Keyes for the most part, but am I the only one who thinks he uses more words to express himself than he needs?
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