Skip to comments.AOL Poll Shows Bush Winning 48 State Landslide (John F*ckin Carries Only Vermont and D.C)
Posted on 08/12/2004 12:15:26 AM PDT by goldstategop
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Sorry, Kerry carries Connecticut AND Vermont as well as D.C. A Sea of Red! That would make the Bush Haters shut up for good!
That's about right I think.
I really don't know if Bush will carry that number of states, but as I've been saying, it will be between 57% and 61% fo Bush. Based on the economic model.
Something is wrong when BUSH is carrying KALIFORNIA!
The poll projects 58% for Bush, 40% for Kerry and 2% for Nader. Admittedly, its unscientific but I think its right on the money. The President even wins Blue States like CA, IL, and NY as well as Kerry's own home state of MA. Apparently, eve Kerry's own home state voters have given him a big fat thumbs down. That's not good news in a state where Democrats outnumber Republicans! A massive sea of Red! Wow, no more two Americas!
I've been getting some internet based polling that balances the samples for Democrats, Republicans and Indy's. The group doing the polling is not pro-Bush by any means. It shows the media polls are shorting Bush by about ten percent. He is actually up about eleven points. Florida, Pennsylvania, Michigan, all are solid for the president. It's optimistic, I know, but something to consider.
I think Bush will win but this is just a bit optimistic.
I've been calling BUSH51-52% Kerry 45-46%
only a "political observer" with no experience whatsoever with online polls would be "shocked" by the results of one.
any "political observer" who considers the results of any online poll "shocking news" needs to learn the meaning of the word "unscientific."
this online poll means nothing, would mean nothing if it showed Kerry winning fifty states, and would mean nothing if it showed Nader winning fifty states.
this does tell me something, though, about the quality of reporting in World Net Daily.
Considering MA is filled with liberals, you would think Kerry would win his own home state? But he's losing! Its better than Algore losing Tennessee. And if there is a 48 state landslide, the Democrats won't be able to blame the Supreme Court or on Kerry's not getting the message out. Kerry's getting his message out and its not one the American people like.
What's of more interest than the state by state projections, is that fact Kerry gets 40% of the popular vote. That's in line with what Democrats have received in the past. Its also a strong indication Kerry has NOT expanded his base of support beyond the ABB crowd. Something to think about.
That would make the Bush Haters shut up for good!
Bush by 10 points!
internet polling is garbage. it's constantly subject to freeps and DUing, mass and multiple voting by activists. etc.
don't believe a word of this poll. it's worthless.
Thought you might find this "interesting."
I don't believe in polls of this sort. Still its a different picture from the one the media is trying to sell us, namely that it will be a close election. Americans don't appear to agree.
maybe it's too late and in the morning I'll remember.
LOL. Anybody But Bush.
A Gallup survey following the recent Democratic convention had Bush receiving 50 percent support among likely voters, and Kerry with 47 percent. Among the larger group of registered voters, Kerry held a 50-47 lead.
According to a poll published Aug. 5 by Rasmussen Reports, Kerry held an electoral lead over Bush of 228-197, with 113 votes listed as toss-ups.
Rasmussen also puts out a daily tracking poll on the presidential contest, and yesterday's results had Kerry leading the incumbent in the popular vote 49 to 46 percent.
So where is the supposed Bush surge? Do Bush supporters just not answer their telephones, or are they always working to keep the economy going and never home? Lots of work to be done, folks.
I get the same poll. I think the poll is skewed in favor of Bush because internet junkies, regardless of party affiliation, are better informed and better educated than people without internet access. These voters tend to vote more conservatively even if they are independent or Dem. Let's face it, the only way the Jackass Party can win elections is by propagandizing the issues with the ignorant masses.
Watch there be an huge earthquake in California right before the election!
They'll blame it on Bush, no doubt.
AOL members? There are people still using this crap called AOL?
Now, I'm as optimistic that Bush will win as the next person. However, this poll...is pretty much crap if you ask me. Every poll, from SurveyUSA to Gallup, has the race close. Now, these polls may not be the most accurate out there (especially if they over sample Democrats over Republicans), but still, they are CERTAINLY more accurate then any internet poll out there (polls that can be skewed by either Freepers or DUers). And one restricted to AOL members certainly doesn't add to the accuracy.
First, that map shows who voted for Arnold vs. Bustamonte. NOT for who voted for the recall. If you had that map, it would show a few more counties voting for the Recall. Including LA county.
Still, it is true that, without the Bay Area (and LA country), California would be a conservative state. But as you know, the Bay Area and LA county are BOTH the most populated areas of the state.
Now, it isn't impossible that Bush could win (until the Iraq problems and the 9-11 commission stuff, polls were showing them even), I won't be holding my breath on it. After all, the Dems and Indys that voted for the recall, doesn't mean they will vote for Bush (it was an election against Davis, not Democrats).
Scrap CNN, Zogby, etc. for polling data. Go to TradeSports.com These people have no political ax to grind, they are, not to be too polite about it, bookies. Their electoral math has Bush/Cheney ahead, but only by 13-16 electorals. Pennsylvania and Ohio are going to be hugely important. Florida, I think Bush gets this time, but this margin makes even New Mexico big. Watch where the busses go and the candidates spend money.
Tonight on FOx they said it will take a mircle for Bush to win.
Things like this get us too complacent. I believe this as much as I believe Zogby.
This election will be CLOSE, and with the Democrat propensity to cheat and attempt to steal election by courts, allowing felons to vote, bribing the homeless and shutting out the military, we have to make sure Republican turnout is huge.
So not only do you need to vote, but bring your boys and talk to your co workers, neighbors and even the postman. Everyone must do their part on election day! We don't need to just win, we need to win by enough so that the Dim Rats can't try to steal it again. And this time, they even have the manufactured 'electroic screen' story and even European "observers" to try and give the election to Kerry through the courts.
Let your friends and family KNOW that we have to re-elect Big W. If you like your terrorists dead and your taxes low, you'll vote for GWB. If you don't, you won't.
They used to say that of Bush's father in 1988 when there was no FOX NEWS CHANNEL and the media was all liberal. Michael Dukakis led for awhile by double digit margins. Bush trounced him on Election Day by 12 percentage points.
Which ever way it goes, it will NOT be close. The winner will be elected in a walk. I don't buy the media's annointing Kerry the winner and AOL, which should have a preponderance of liberals, isn't even going for Kerry. Why won't the people in his own home state vote for him? That's the $64,000 one I'd like an answer to.
Every vote counts and it'll be almost as close as last time. There is nothing to be gained by deluding ourselves that W will win in a landslide. I think he will win but it'll be very close.
I respectfully disagree with you. A noted economist doesn't think it will be close and neither do most Americans. Kerry is quite simply a terrible candidate. That's not obvious now but it will be by Election Day. Stay tuned.
GOPers are simply more tech savvy. As a native New Yorker, I can tell you that there is not a chance in Hades that New York will vote for Bush. As state politics go, it is amazing that NY is able to even get RINOs like Pataki.
Okay.....who freeped this poll???
Don't you know that Rasmussen, Gallup, and CBS polls tell us we are a 50/50 nation.
Only "rich people" have computers and can vote in this poll and we know all rich people are Republicans!
Is it ALL GOP'ers? Then how do you explain him losing MA? Its a Democratic stronghold. In a worst case scenario, he should win it; heck even Mondull held onto Minnesota in 1984!
Considering the tilt of people on AOL, I'm surprised it did NOT show a Kerry romp. It turns out even Lefties don't like him that much. Those who are voting are voting AGAINST Bush NOT for Kerry. I have yet to see a liberal give us a POSITIVE REASON why they support their candidate.
If you trust this easily maniplated internet poll stuffed(if not Freeped) by our side, I have some beachfront property in Kansas for you to purchase.
If you believe all the voters in MA are Republicans, I'd love to sell you John Kerry's townhouse there.
As bad as Seattle is, Beacon Hill would be worse. Jean Kerre' can keep his townhouse.
As I've been saying people may like the I hate George Bush message but they can't stand John Kerry. The more they see of him the lower he'll go.
He should stay in the Big Ketchup Mansions and do a Max Headroom virtual campaign.
Bush by 3%
The point about the poll is even if you think its far too optimistic is a LOT of people aren't warm to Kerry. Note Bush carries MA with 51% of the vote! Does that mean half the Democrats think THEIR candidate is The Lurch?? What it tells us is people lie to pollsters and tell them what they want to hear. It doesn't mean they'll vote that way in November.
Your 40% or so is the Hate Bush folks. Why can't Kerry pick up the other 7 to 10% of the swing voters who decide elections? It goes back to his getting NO BOUNCE at the Convention. At the end of the day, he'll carry his base but that's all the votes he'll get. Something about him just turns people off.
Good God! I knew something about Kerry was bothering me that I could not quite put a finger on, besides all the obvious things.
Max Headroom... yep, fits to a "Tee..."
|Max Headroom: Twenty Minutes Into The Future. Blank Reg: "Remember when we said there was no future? Well, this is it.". ... Max Headroom Local Links: ...
www.public.iastate.edu/~spires/max.html - 3k -
Nearly 60% of the American people don't want to vote for someone who looks a cadaver. Let's face it, they may not agree with everything Bush does but they can stand seeing him on TV for the next four years. Kerry makes people react negatively. If you think that ain't so, just wait til the debates.
I like these poll numbers, but I'm waiting until I hear a fat lady singing before I relax.
I pray everyday Bush wins !!!!
I believe that AOL might do anything to lull us into a false sense of security so that we will give an inch and blink first.
There! I can take my foil hat off now.
Bush only loses the popular vote because five major cities have more RAT voters than the entire country.
Man, the margin just keeps getting bigger and bigger! Last week I saw several people claiming Bush won by 11 points in 1988. Now it's up to 12!
The actual margin was 7.7 points.
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