Posted on 08/13/2004 6:56:12 AM PDT by JesseHousman
TAMPA, Fla. - With a "scary, scary" Hurricane Charley zeroing in on Florida's west coast Friday, state officials urged almost 2 million tourists and residents to evacuate and avoid the path of a storm that could submerge parts of this city's downtown and other neighboring areas.
Charley's expected 120 mph top sustained winds and massive storm surge could devastate coastal and low-lying areas in Tampa and St. Petersburg. Everything from waterfront condominium towers to vulnerable mobile homes were in danger on the Gulf Coast.
Charley's center was expected to pass west of the Florida Keys early Friday before hitting the Tampa Bay area later in the day, dumping heavy rain and possibly spawning sporadic tornadoes, Hugh Cobb, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami, said Thursday. About 6.5 million of Florida's 17 million residents were in Charley's projected path, the U.S. Census Bureau reported.
"It does have the potential of devastating impact. ... This is a scary, scary thing," said Gov. Jeb Bush, who had declared a state of emergency.
State meteorologist Ben Nelson said the surge could reach up to 16 feet in the Tampa area if Charley hits at 120 mph, making it a major hurricane at Category 3 strength.
About 1.9 million people from the Florida Keys north through the west coast have been advised to evacuate, although many will stay in their homes, said Kristy Campbell, spokeswoman at the state emergency management center. It was estimated that 1.1 to 1.5 million will be leaving their homes ahead of the storm, she said.
"In many areas, people are still leaving," Campbell said Friday.
Friday morning, the weather at the St. Petersburg/Clearwater International Airport was calm, said Jeff Clauss, an airport spokesman.
At 8 a.m., the hurricane was in the Florida Straits, 75 miles west of Key West.
Forecasters said Charley had top sustained winds of about 110 mph. It was moving north-northwest near 18 mph and was expected to strengthen, meteorologists said. Hurricane force winds extended outward 30 miles from the eye; tropical storm force winds went out 125 miles.
All the west coast of Florida's peninsula was under a hurricane warning, as was the lower Florida Keys. Tropical storm watches and warnings extended from the middle Keys to Cape Fear, N.C.
Most of the evacuations were in the counties of Hillsborough, which contains Tampa, and Pinellas, a peninsula that contains St. Petersburg. All residents of MacDill Air Force Base, on another peninsula in Tampa Bay, were ordered out with only essential personnel remaining. MacDill is home to U.S. Central Command, the nerve center of the war in Iraq.
"MacDill Air Force Base will probably be mostly underwater and parts of downtown Tampa could be underwater if we have a Category 3," Nelson said. "In a Category 3, you can almost get to the point where Pinellas County becomes an island."
Gary Vickers, Pinellas' emergency management chief, told people in evacuation zones there would be "a period of time where if you stay behind and you change your mind and you want to be rescued, no one can help you.
"We aren't going to go out on a suicide mission," he said.
Heavy traffic flowed Thursday afternoon away from the coast near Tampa in Florida's biggest evacuation request since 1999, when Hurricane Floyd prompted an order for a record 1.3 million people to evacuate the state's east coast.
Many residents on Florida's southwest coast tried to prepare for the worst, buying plywood to board up homes and stocking up on water, canned food and batteries to ride out Charley.
Beth Ciombor of Sarasota was at a Home Depot Thursday loading two sheets of plywood onto the top of her minivan while her 2-year-old son watched.
"It's very threatening," Ciombor said. "I'm on the verge of tears. It's so frightening."
In the Florida Keys, visitors and mobile home residents followed orders to leave the entire 100-mile-long island chain or report to shelters.
About 60 people slept at one Key West elementary school overnight, stretched out on blankets and mattresses in a hallway as a circular fan buzzed. Peter Berg, 45, from Vancouver, British Columbia, had been vacationing in Key West for a week when he and his wife were forced to leave their hostel.
"I keep telling myself it could be worse," he said.
Next to him, Audrey and Gregory Pace sat on the floor on blankets as their 4-year-old son, Stephen, watched the cartoon "Land Before Time IX" on a portable DVD player while sitting on a "Blue's Clues" sleeping bag. Gregory Pace said the family came to the shelter Thursday night because they had to leave their mobile home on nearby Stock Island.
He said their home sits beneath coconut trees, a dangerous situation with Charley approaching.
The coconuts "turn into bombs in storms," he said.
At dawn Friday, fisherman Manuel Garcia was trying to secure his boss's fishing boat, the Cowboy III, in the Stock Island marina, where heavy surf was pushing the vessel against a cement barrier.
"If the water comes up, I can do nothing," he said, smoking a thick cigar.
Power companies said they were mobilizing thousands of workers to prepare for widespread electricity outages, and out-of-state crews were being readied to rush to Florida.
On Thursday, Tropical Storm Bonnie came ashore in the Florida Panhandle, but its top sustained winds of 50 mph caused little damage. It weakened into a depression late Thursday and was no longer a threat, Cobb said.
(Associated Press writers Mitch Stacy in Tampa, David Royse in Apalachicola, Ken Thomas in Key West, Vickie Chachere in Sarasota and Rachel La Corte, Adrian Sainz and John Pain in Miami contributed to this report.)
Hurricane Charlie should have been called "Clyde".
I'm in Tampa, about 2 miles north of downtown and 1 block from the river. I'm staying put. Wish me luck!
Stay safe. We'll be praying for all of you down there.
Isabel came thru my back yard last year.
Prayers for you and all in Charley's path. Stay safe.
We're in Naples, 1 1/2 miles from the gulf. We'll be thinking of you today!
http://web.naplesnews.com/sections/webcams/front.html
WOW! These are some good live feeds on beaches.
Good Luck.
I will be praying all day for everyone,stay safe,fatima
Aren't they predicting sixteen foot water surges there?
SE St. Petersburg. I'm staying...
Hurricane Charlie should have been called "JOHN".
Stay safe fellow Freepers.
Huh???
That's the same thing I said on another thread. It's coming so close behind Bonnie that it would have been cute to have done that.
I said the same thing yesterday. Somebody was asleep at the wheel on that one!
Prayers are with you -- Godspeed...
bttt
Bonnie-Spawned Tornado Rips Through Northwest Jacksonville
http://www.news4jax.com/weather/3648478/detail.html
(With Video)
I can't believe what I'm seeing... people taking a stroll on the beach while a hurricane is knocking at the front door...
Every place has it's risks, some places are more prone to earthquakes, others tornados, or floods. At least with hurricanes you get advance warning, you don't get those with earthquakes.
My brother and his wife were evacuated from St. Pete. 8 foot surge expected to hit his house (he spent close to 24 hours sandbagging and putting up plywood). They're sheltering with my parents in Sarasota (8 miles inland and about thirty feet up).
I'm sure everyone will be fine but I'm guled to the weather channel.
Looks like it's moving almost due north now.
Actually, I HAVE family that have lived right in the heart of hurricane country most of their lives (the Keys) and they'd never live anyplace else.
Bush's fault.
Der Spiegel (the "serious" and "respected" German magazine) pretends that this tornado is Charlie ...
Mike, do you have a link for that? My (addicted to weather) sister just got high speed so I'm trying to put together some good links for her.
How do you access it for free? I have Comcast broadband (and digital cable).
Hi neighbor! We're on 21st Ave N near St. Pauls Catholic School. I'm freeping until the power goes out!!
Go to Comcast's portal page (I think it's at http://home.comcast.net but don't quote me), and check either the news or the video page.
There are worse natural disaster than hurricanes. Tornadoes & forest fires scare me more.
If you're on Bellsouth.net (which is where I am), go to http://home.bellsouth.net/news then look on the right side of the page.
Each of the other services has a similar portal page. Check on the "News" link from that page to get access. The feed is in RealPlayer.
LOL. Methinks this is what NOAA would look like if after all the class-action lawyers sue for losing their homes on the Gold Coast.
Communism is so useful--look at all those high tech computers and maps!
Is your part of the Gulf Coast *really* that incapable of absorbing the impact of a Category 2/3 hurricane, and one that has a pretty fast forward speed (up to 20 mph at landfall) at that.
Two million called to evacuate? Flooding in downtown Tampa?
The only thing I can think of that can pose a serious problem is the storm surge, since the landfall point will likely be on the eastern side of the storm and the high forward speed adds a bit, too, but a 110-plus MPH storm that is racing through the landfall area (and will clear out just as quickly) isn't exactly extreme, wind-wise or rain-wise.
A Cat 2/3 (out of 5) storm should cause panic, say, in Maine (where hurricane preparedness is not even an issue) not along the Gulf coast (where it should be a way of life).
I daresay those in SE Louisiana, where I'm originally from, or Houston, where I now live, would be concerned but not "panicked" by this "scary, scary" storm.
What would they do if something like Camille plowed into SW Florida? There would be nothing left of the place!
When I first moved to Tampa, I met an elderly gentlement who had been in Tampa during the 1921 hurricane. He said that everything downtown was under water to the second floor. He seemed to have been quite affected by it. This isn't going to be pretty.
I hope my home can withstand 120 mile per hour gusts cause they're comin'.
LOoks like Tampa is in line for a direct hit if this thing doesn't move.
It looks like it's turning a little to the east. Then again, I'm probably not very good at reading these things.
http://www.970wfla.com/jacor-common/streaming_disclaimer.html
(Currently: Live Audio News in Regards to Evacs/Etc.)
More streaming weather-related info:
http://www.irlp.net/
http://www.voipwx.net/ - Skywarn / Hurricane Spotter Network
Tampa Area News Stations:
http://www.wtsp.com - Live stream local news
http://www.wfts.com
ttp://www.wftx.com
http://www.baynews9.com - Live streaming radar
http://www.sptimes.com
http://www.naplesnews.com
http://www.news-press.com
http://www.herald-tribune.com
Webcams:
http://www.naplesnet.com/webcam/webcam_index.htm
Other:
http://hurricanecity.com/ - thanks mhking
Especially in Tampa - St. Pete area you now have a cat2-3 storm moving a 10-16FT Storm Surge into a Bay that Opens to the South--- The Water will come in and pile up. Almost all the newer housing and all Condo's are built to withstand the winds, but wind doesn;t matter if the whole thing is under water.
Snowy: It looks like it's turning a little to the east. Then again, I'm probably not very good at reading these things.
Geometry is EVERYTHING now. Unlike a hurricane approaching the Atlantic coast from the east, the "dirty" side of the storm will be to the south of landfall instead of to the north. If Charley goes inland south of Tampa Bay, the worst winds will be out of the west and that area will be spared the worst of the storm surge (but someone else further to the south will get drilled).
Worst case - Charley glances off St. Pete and then runs right up the coast - then a large stretch of NW Florida will get bad storm surge, and the worst will get pushed up into Tampa Bay. And that's only a tracking difference of about 20-30 miles.
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