New Zogby Poll: Kerry Favored Over Bush 47%-43%

Zogby ^ | 8/15/04

[Nataku X]

'Fess up. You're just pulling our legs, right?

[Palladin]

Right you are Dr.Deb. As has been said so often here, the only poll that counts is the one on Election Day.

[SC Swamp Fox]

"Likely Voters" is a subset of "Registared Voters" and in polling standards is usually considered to be a higher standard.

Each polling agency has it's own methods of determining which registared voters they talk to are likely to vote.

Both LV and RV are a higher standard than "Adults".

[NDJeep]

I'm serious - those were some of the questions. I wrote Zogby and told them if they were going to continue polling in this fashion to remove me from their list

[Kay]

You have a good memory. I couldn't remember all those questions.

[hflynn]

I understand that LV's are a subset of RV's, however when you see a poll stating the sample is comprised of RV's it indicates the polling organization is using purchased lists of RV's to contact the saaple group. In other words their is no question the LVs are RVs but when I see LV's I'm not sure they are RV's and without a purchased list the pollster cannot be 100% certain.

[JFC]

I say it is too close for comfort. We need to get PRO-ACTIVE and not sit idle. I can assure you the left are out in full force and very energized with their HATE for Bush.

[Zack Nguyen]

The questions they ask are very slanted.

Really? Could you go into more detail here. I'd like to know more about how Zogby conducts polls.

[Zack Nguyen]

It's better than most polls. If we treat each group as 1/3rd of the electorate, then the 18-point Kerry lead among independents would give Kerry a 6-point lead.

Ah, but here's the difference in American politics circa 2004 - we are no longer evenly split between Dems, Reps and Indies.

The total number of swing voters is 8% - 10%. It has shrunk continually over the last decade or so. There are a multitude of cultural (and religious) reasons why this is the case, but the fact is the electorate is more partisan than it has been since the post-Civil War period.

That's why this election is so close, and why Kerry received no post-convention bounce, and why Bush probably won't either. At least 90% of voters (probably more) are committed already, and nothing will change their minds.

[Zack Nguyen]

Are we really expected to believe that fully a third of people who "invested" now don't ("almost half" to 31% would be a third fewer "investors")?

I agree. That makes no sense at all. Would it not devastate the market to have that many people pull their money out? Wouldn't we have seen it?

[BSunday]

I hope they keep on polling Kerry ahead. It will make the dems apathetic and stay away from the polls. After all, it's not that they like Kerry, but that they hate Bush. And who wants to stop partying long enough to go vote for a guy who is ahead in the polls ?

[hflynn]

The more I watch Kerry, the less I worry about the election.

Zogby polls use to be reliable but understand the Zogby's are Arabs 1st and John Zogby polls reflect a Muslime bias since 9/11. John's bother Jim is the President of the Arab American Institute, the main Arab political lobby in the U.S.

[myself6]

These polls showing kerry in the lead are cover.


Ive been reading posts about dem 527's putting MASSIVE funds into "voter registration" drives otherwise known as voter roll padding.

They are going to use these additional names and address's to commit voter fraud on an EPIC scale.

Friday I was sitting in the parking lot of miller stadium tailgating before the brewers game. Along come these lefty looking college age girls registering people to vote. They stopped at the people beside us and asked if they wanted to register, some did some didnt. Before the voter babes moved on they asked this kid how old he was, the answer was 17. They then asked him to register to vote. His family got a good chuckle out of it as he registered.

That boy will not go vote and the voter babes dont really care, it was just another name and address to use as another kerry vote.

Im not kidding, this is going to get bad. Unless we as citizens do something about this they WILL get away with it.

I didnt have any video equipment with me but Im making sure I keep it in my car from now on. Please do the same and record everything you see that might be dem voter fraud in action. Im sure there are some that might have the time and energy to actively follow leftist scum around. Im not sure if the video is admissible in court but it will make a great tool for enlisting people to the cause of rebellion. Who knows, even a little vigilante payback for the a--holes who work to steal our country.