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THE SWIFT BOAT AD IS WORKING
Talking Points ^ | 8/18/04 | Joshua Micah Marshall

Posted on 08/18/2004 10:52:52 AM PDT by AdrianSpidle

Swift Boat Ad Working Joshua Micah Marshall reluctantly reports:

Perhaps the most astonishing demonstration of the Swift Boat ad’s effectiveness, however, is the proportion of potential Kerry voters whose opinions shifted after having watched the ad. Independents intending to vote for Kerry felt considerably less sure of their choice after watching the Swift Boat ad.

Before the ad, 41.94% of Independents intending to vote for Kerry felt that they would “definitely” vote for him; 37.10% felt “most likely” to vote for him; 20.97% were “leaning” towards him; and none were “not sure.”

These levels of commitment changed markedly after viewing the Swift Boat ad. Independents “definitely” voting for Kerry dropped to 29.03%. Those “most likely” to vote for him were relatively unchanged at 33.87%. Those “leaning” towards Kerry dropped to 9.68%. Finally, Independents “not sure” of their initial choice of Kerry increased substantially to 27.42%. This substantial change attests to the effectiveness of the Swift Boat ad’s attacks.

http://www.talkingpointsmemo.com/archives/week_2004_08_08.php#003266

THE VITNAM VETS HAVE ONLY JUST BEGUN TO FIGHT.

FIRST - THE VIETNAM VETS AGAINST KERRY SERENADED HIM BEFORE HIS ACCEPTANCE SPEACH WITH

"KERRY LIED AND GOOD MEN DIED". I KNOW THOSE WORDS RANG IN HIS EARS AS HE MADE MIS WOODEN ACCEPTANCE SPEACH.

SECOND - THE SWIFT BOAT VETS BOOK GOT A LOT OF ATTENTION

THIRD - THE SWIFT BOAT VETS TV AD IS ACTUALLY WORKING.

THE FOURTH AND FINAL BLOW WILL COME ON SEPTEMBER TWELFTH IN WASHINGTON DC WHEN THOUSANDS OF VIETNAM VETS DEMONSTRATE AGAINST HIM AND SHOUT AT THE TOP OF THEIR LUNGS -

KERRY LIED AND GOOD MEN DIED.

THIS WILL BE THE YEAR WHEN THE DEMOCRATS FINALLY REALIZE...

http://pep.typepad.com/public_enquiry_project/2004/08/swift_boat_ad_w.html


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2004; ads; aidandcomfort; antiamerican; betrayal; bronze; cambodia; christmasincambodia; command; credibilitygap; crushkerrydotcom; discrepancies; duty; flipper; hanoijohn; hanoikerry; iaintfondajohn; independentvote; johnkerry; kerry; kerrylieddotcom; kerrylies; ketchup; ketchupmoney; liar; liarliarliar; lyingliar; military; militaryrecord; nixonblaming; nocallnoshow; noshow; polls; purpleheart; scambodia; sedition; skerrykerry; swift; swiftboat; swiftboatveterans; swiftvetsdotcom; tang; tellingawhopper; thatstheticket; traitor; treason; unamerican; unfit; unfitforamerica; unfitforcommand; vet; veteran; veterans; veteransforbush; veteransfortruth; vets; vietnam; warcrimes; warcriminal; whenever; wintersoldierdotcom
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1 posted on 08/18/2004 10:52:52 AM PDT by AdrianSpidle
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To: AdrianSpidle; 68-69TonkinGulfYachtClub; Wait4Truth; TomGuy

2 posted on 08/18/2004 10:54:39 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: AdrianSpidle

3 posted on 08/18/2004 10:56:00 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: AdrianSpidle

Drip.

Drip.

Drip.


4 posted on 08/18/2004 10:56:56 AM PDT by js1138 (In a minute there is time, for decisions and revisions which a minute will reverse. J Forbes Kerry)
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To: AdrianSpidle

I haven't seen the swiftboat ad yet. Is it running in Texas?


5 posted on 08/18/2004 10:56:56 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: AdrianSpidle

.............Before After
Definitely...41.94% 29.03%
Most Likely..37.10% 33.87%
Leaning......20.97% 09.68%
Not Sure......0.00% 27.42%

Wow!

6 posted on 08/18/2004 11:04:35 AM PDT by Petronski (First algore invented everything, then Kerry smuggled it to Cambodia.)
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To: Ditter

Swing states only.


7 posted on 08/18/2004 11:04:56 AM PDT by Petronski (First algore invented everything, then Kerry smuggled it to Cambodia.)
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To: Ditter
I haven't seen the swiftboat ad yet. Is it running in Texas?

The Swift Boaters budget is too small. They are running the ad in a few swing states. Texas would be the last place I would spend a dollar on this election running an ad.

8 posted on 08/18/2004 11:05:39 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: AdrianSpidle

Hmmmmm...might be time to donate another $100 to the Swifties.


9 posted on 08/18/2004 11:06:16 AM PDT by Plutarch
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To: Ditter

I have seen it on Fox News. (NE TX)


10 posted on 08/18/2004 11:07:07 AM PDT by mathluv (Protect my grandchildren's future. Vote for Bush/Cheney '04.)
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To: AdrianSpidle

Bump!


11 posted on 08/18/2004 11:07:16 AM PDT by talleyman (John Kerry: The Manurian Candidate - he's seared - no, stir-fried - no, poached - no, flambeed!)
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To: Ditter

Go to their website (swiftvets.com) and view the ad.


12 posted on 08/18/2004 11:07:53 AM PDT by Extremely Extreme Extremist
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To: SheLion; Howlin
Howlin, could you ping this?

Among those independents who said they were voting for Kerry, before and after seeing the SwiftVets ad:


.............Before After
Definitely...41.94% 29.03%
Most Likely..37.10% 33.87%
Leaning......20.97% 09.68%
Not Sure......0.00% 27.42%

Wow!

13 posted on 08/18/2004 11:08:27 AM PDT by Petronski (First algore invented everything, then Kerry smuggled it to Cambodia.)
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To: Always Right

I figured that would be the case. I watch so little network TV that I could miss it even if it was aired here.


14 posted on 08/18/2004 11:08:53 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: AdrianSpidle
what is the MAX I can donate to the group?

if I had the $$$ I'd happily donate at least $10k without batting an eyelash.

15 posted on 08/18/2004 11:10:36 AM PDT by prophetic (Dems investigate for pre 9/11intel - but now we've LOTS of Intel and they claim politics)
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To: AdrianSpidle

Really?

I heard right here at FR that it was backfiring on W and that Bush should tell them to shut up.


16 posted on 08/18/2004 11:11:02 AM PDT by No_Outcome_But_Victory (Reagan preferred to shoot the bear... the verdict of history will be simple: nice aim.)
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To: prophetic
what is the MAX I can donate to the group?

No limits on donations to 527s. George Soros has give $20 million.

17 posted on 08/18/2004 11:12:41 AM PDT by Right Wing Professor (www.swiftvets.com)
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory
I heard right here at FR that it was backfiring on W and that Bush should tell them to shut up.

That was reported on Fox News last night, on Hannity and Combs. Someone in FR must have been reporting what they heard. I heard that.

18 posted on 08/18/2004 11:13:15 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: Ditter

They would be wasting their money here in Bush country, it is needed in Iowa, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Ohio etc.


19 posted on 08/18/2004 11:15:43 AM PDT by longhorn too
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory
I heard right here at FR that it was backfiring on W and that Bush should tell them to shut up.

Must have been a DU plant.

Anyone hear Rush talking to some lady yesterday who was basically mouthing the DNC talking points on the Swift Boat Vets? She may as well have been reading from a script because her comments were no different than what the Democrats are peddling.

20 posted on 08/18/2004 11:16:17 AM PDT by Sister_T (Democrats AND The Partisan Press are the REAL enemies to freedom in the world!)
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To: SheLion

There is no backfire on Bush.....who has nothing to do with this Ad.

The Ad is educating independents on the real Kerry!


21 posted on 08/18/2004 11:16:19 AM PDT by JulieRNR21 (One good term deserves another! Take W-04....Across America!)
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To: AdrianSpidle
Excellent news! Reaffirms why the dem operatives have gone berserk.

Don't know if the ad had anything to do with the following, but I'd certaily like to think so. ;-)


August 18, 2004

Bush Consolidating Base in Core Republican States

Bush makes gains in Republican states, slight inroads in showdown states



by Frank Newport

GALLUP NEWS SERVICE

PRINCETON, NJ -- George W. Bush has over the last two months consolidated his base vote in core Republican states and made slight inroads in swing states in the process of moving to a somewhat more competitive position against John Kerry.

This conclusion is based on a comparison of more than 3,500 interviews (including 3,141 registered voters), conducted in three CNN/USA Today/Gallup polls from mid-July through Aug. 11, with a group of more than 3,000 interviews (including 2,696 registered voters), conducted in three polls in June and early July.

Among all registered voters nationwide, the most recent three polls show Kerry with an average one-point lead over Bush -- 48% to 47%. Kerry's average lead among the three polls before that (in June and early July) was six points, 50% to 44%.

22 posted on 08/18/2004 11:16:57 AM PDT by RottiBiz
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To: SheLion
Someone in FR must have been reporting what they heard.

They were actually saying that it was turning their family and friends against Bush.

I was more upset that they wanted to squelch the SwiftVets free speech.

23 posted on 08/18/2004 11:17:53 AM PDT by No_Outcome_But_Victory (Reagan preferred to shoot the bear... the verdict of history will be simple: nice aim.)
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To: Sister_T
Anyone hear Rush talking to some lady yesterday who was basically mouthing the DNC talking points on the Swift Boat Vets?

I've never heard a more obvious seminar caller.

24 posted on 08/18/2004 11:19:38 AM PDT by No_Outcome_But_Victory (Reagan preferred to shoot the bear... the verdict of history will be simple: nice aim.)
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To: JulieRNR21
There is no backfire on Bush.....who has nothing to do with this Ad.

The Ad is educating independents on the real Kerry!

I definitely know that.  I was responding to Post #16 for No_Outcome_But_Victory.

He said he heard that the President isn't gaining any points for this ad.  Personally, I don't believe it.  And I know that our President has nothing to do with this ad.  It's the Vets doing it independently on their own to get the truth out.


25 posted on 08/18/2004 11:19:43 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: prophetic

I believe that since this is a private group, you can donate up to $15,000,000.00 or so. I think George Soros probably knows the max.(/sarcasm)

Actually though I do believe you can donate what ever you want.


26 posted on 08/18/2004 11:20:31 AM PDT by DaiHuy (MUST HAVE JUST BEEN BORN THAT WAY...)
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To: Ditter

You can see the ad here:

www.swiftvets.com


27 posted on 08/18/2004 11:21:35 AM PDT by LOC1
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To: AdrianSpidle

It had to have really hurt Josh Marshall to have to write those words.

That makes me very very happy.


28 posted on 08/18/2004 11:23:56 AM PDT by Dont Mention the War (we use the ˇ°ml maximizeˇ± command in Stata to obtain estimates of each aj , bj, and cm.)
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To: SheLion

Roger that.....got it!


29 posted on 08/18/2004 11:24:24 AM PDT by JulieRNR21 (One good term deserves another! Take W-04....Across America!)
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory
I've never heard a more obvious seminar caller.

A tipoff that you're hearing one is the rebuttal:

"But he never served with Kerry", "He wasn't on his boat".

30 posted on 08/18/2004 11:25:40 AM PDT by Semper Paratus
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To: AdrianSpidle

Told ya. I think the 527s are WAY overrated. It takes a phenomenal amount of money to spread lies, but very little money to tell the truth, as the Swifties show!


31 posted on 08/18/2004 11:25:41 AM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news.)
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To: JulieRNR21
Roger that.....got it!


32 posted on 08/18/2004 11:27:56 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory

I saw Susan Estrich on FOX yesterday say that the Republicans should stop this ad because it is helping Kerry!!


33 posted on 08/18/2004 11:28:43 AM PDT by BallyBill (Sandy Berger was here!!)
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To: BallyBill
I saw Susan Estrich on FOX yesterday say that the Republicans should stop this ad because it is helping Kerry!!

Sure, Susan. How about that President Dukakis? Oh..ah.. erm NEVERMIND!

34 posted on 08/18/2004 11:31:21 AM PDT by No_Outcome_But_Victory (Reagan preferred to shoot the bear... the verdict of history will be simple: nice aim.)
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To: AdrianSpidle

The country can't afford to elect another anti-military weenie like Clinton.


35 posted on 08/18/2004 11:32:17 AM PDT by Ciexyz ("FR, best viewed with a budgie on hand")
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To: LOC1

I think the swiftboat site has been hacked. I tried to go there & got an electric co. I did a search & got an anti Bush site that I had trouble getting out of. Try it.


36 posted on 08/18/2004 11:33:16 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: Ditter

I think it's only running in swing states. But I think you can see it at swiftvets.org


37 posted on 08/18/2004 11:36:03 AM PDT by CyberAnt (President Bush: The only way to Peace is through Victory!)
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To: Ditter

This works fine for me:

www.SwiftVets.com


38 posted on 08/18/2004 11:36:19 AM PDT by JulieRNR21 (One good term deserves another! Take W-04....Across America!)
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To: JulieRNR21; LOC1
This should get you there...

Click the logo to donate to Swift Boat Veterans for Truth.

39 posted on 08/18/2004 11:37:57 AM PDT by Chieftain (Support the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth and expose Hanoi John's FRAUD!)
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To: Ditter
I think the swiftboat site has been hacked. I tried to go there & got an electric co. I did a search & got an anti Bush site that I had trouble getting out of. Try it.

OMG You're RIGHT!

It's been hacked! Took me to this Gawd Awful Anti Bush Site. HELP!!!!!!!!!!

40 posted on 08/18/2004 11:38:29 AM PDT by SheLion (The terrorist are here.......living among us. It's too late to close the borders.)
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To: AdrianSpidle; All
If you wish to support the SBV, click the picture:

For everything I have on The Franchurian Candidate, click the pix, goto "last," and work backwards:


41 posted on 08/18/2004 11:39:31 AM PDT by backhoe (Just an old Keyboard Cowboy, ridin' the Trackball into the Sunset...)
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To: BallyBill
I saw Susan Estrich on FOX yesterday say that the Republicans should stop this ad because it is helping Kerry!!

That's a sure sign the ad is hurting Kerry.

42 posted on 08/18/2004 11:41:43 AM PDT by NavySEAL F-16 (Proud to be a Reagan Republican)
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To: AdrianSpidle
The most striking thing about this poll is it puts one of the claims that the media makes as a lie. The claim is that the over 90% of the folks in this election are already fully committed to a candidate.

If 30% of people who are committed change their minds after one ad, they were not strongly committed.

43 posted on 08/18/2004 11:42:04 AM PDT by VRWC_minion
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory

Maybe that was me...

When the RNC called and asked for a donation. I told them this time I would not because I was giving my money to the Swift Vets instead from now on.

The money is better served with the Swift Vets I think.


44 posted on 08/18/2004 11:44:42 AM PDT by BushisTheMan
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To: VRWC_minion

Committed to a candidate who tells the truth, but when he is exposed as a liar,...


45 posted on 08/18/2004 11:45:45 AM PDT by Melinda
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To: JulieRNR21

Sorry, I get Hurricane Electrical Service. ????


46 posted on 08/18/2004 11:47:10 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: BushisTheMan

No, it wasn't you.

You're a great American!


47 posted on 08/18/2004 11:47:18 AM PDT by No_Outcome_But_Victory (Reagan preferred to shoot the bear... the verdict of history will be simple: nice aim.)
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To: SheLion

It looks like it is just you & me. LOL


48 posted on 08/18/2004 11:50:05 AM PDT by Ditter
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To: Ditter
You can view the Swift Boat Vets Ad here:

Swift Boat Vets Ad

Click one of the four choices at the bottom. I played it in both Real and Windows Media (Real loaded much faster, but Windows Media had a much bigger picture).

Don't miss it!!!!

49 posted on 08/18/2004 11:50:58 AM PDT by RottiBiz
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To: No_Outcome_But_Victory
Oh the add is very effective.

You've got Kerry denouncing the latest MoveOn.org ad in hopes Bush reciprocates by denouncing the the Swift Boat Vets.

You've got the Carville and Lanie Davis and the rest of the Rats screaming and thrashing around like a little bRats.

Kerry has not directly attacked the Swift Boat Vets. He cannot effectively dispute the facts against him.

50 posted on 08/18/2004 11:53:20 AM PDT by demlosers
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