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NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIŅO
NOAA ^ | Sept. 10, 2004 | NOAA

Posted on 09/13/2004 6:21:53 PM PDT by glorgau

Sept. 10, 2004 — NOAA declared today that El Niño is back but this time around in a weaker state. "El Niño conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are expected to last through early 2005," said Jim Laver, director of the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. "At this time it is not clear what, if any, impacts this event will have on ocean temperatures in the classical El Niño region along the west coast of South America and on temperature and precipitation in the United States."

Impacts depend on a variety of factors, such as the intensity and extent of the warming in the tropical Pacific. NOAA will continue to monitor the situation in the tropical Pacific and will provide more detailed information on possible impacts due to this event in coming months.

In the release of the El Niño Diagnostic Discussion, the NOAA Climate Prediction Center scientists noted that sea surface temperatures (SSTs) were more than 0.5 degrees C above average in the central and western equatorial Pacific during August 2004. By early September, positive SST departures greater than 0.5 degrees C (~1 degree F) were found between 160 E and 120W, with departures greater than 1 degree C extending from 170 E eastward to 140 W.

"The increase and eastward expansion of warmth in the central equatorial Pacific during July through August indicate the early stages of a warm (El Niño) episode," said Vernon Kousky, NOAA's lead ENSO forecaster. He added, "Through the end of August conditions were not yet indicative of a basin-wide El Niño, particularly due to the presence of below normal sea-surface temperatures in the far eastern equatorial Pacific near the South American coast." The lack of basin-wide warming indicates that this El Niño is likely to be much weaker than the 1997-1998 event.

NOAA declares the onset of El Niño conditions when the three-month average sea-surface temperature departure exceeds 0.5 degrees C in the east-central equatorial Pacific [between 5 degrees -5 degrees S and 170 degrees W-120 degrees W]. To be classified as a full-fledged El Niño episode, these conditions must be satisfied for a period of at least five consecutive three-month seasons.

El Niño is associated with changes in sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean and can have significant impacts on weather around the world. El Niño episodes occur about every four to five years and can last up to 12 to 18 months.

The El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion is a consolidated effort of NOAA and its funded institutions. NOAA will continue monitoring El Niño developments and provide monthly updates through its El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Diagnostic Discussion. The next update will be issued on October 7, 2004, in association with the U.S. Winter Outlook.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: elnino; globalwarming; ratedpg13; weather
Global warming alert!
1 posted on 09/13/2004 6:21:55 PM PDT by glorgau
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To: glorgau
NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIÑO

This is Bush's fault! (And did you know that John F'in Kerry was for El Nino, before he was against it?

2 posted on 09/13/2004 6:24:23 PM PDT by Ulysses ("Most of us go through life thinking we're Superman. Superman goes through life being Clark Kent!")
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To: glorgau
Well . . . this is why it is called average rainfall.
3 posted on 09/13/2004 6:25:30 PM PDT by BenLurkin (We have low inflation and and low unemployment.)
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To: glorgau
NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIÑO

Oh, the return of the demonRat party.

Someone post the official seal of the rats

4 posted on 09/13/2004 6:25:32 PM PDT by feedback doctor (GW Bush is home, and the lights are on!)
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To: glorgau
NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIÑO

Is he replacing Ketchup on the Rat ticket?

5 posted on 09/13/2004 6:30:29 PM PDT by rickmichaels
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To: BenLurkin

Well . . . this is why it is called average rainfall.


Thats better than "mean" rainfall


6 posted on 09/13/2004 6:33:16 PM PDT by al baby (she stuned my little beeber)
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To: al baby

Now you're trying to confuse me.


7 posted on 09/13/2004 6:35:11 PM PDT by BenLurkin (We have low inflation and and low unemployment.)
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To: glorgau

In the words of the econuts:

"We must saaaaaaaaaaaaaave the planet!"

Come Henny Penny, Turkey Lurkey, Foxy Loxy, Goosey Loosey. We must go and tell the king!


8 posted on 09/13/2004 7:04:49 PM PDT by Ole Okie (What's the new frequency, Danno?)
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To: glorgau

Chris Farley as El Nin`o!

Pretty funny.


9 posted on 09/13/2004 7:34:24 PM PDT by Finalapproach29er ({about the news media} "We'll tell you any sh** you want hear" : Howard Beale --> NETWORK)
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To: glorgau

I find the timing suspicious..... ;-)

( Not to mention we haven't even found the ark yet much less noaa ).....


10 posted on 09/13/2004 9:45:38 PM PDT by festus (The constitution may be flawed but its a whole lot better than what we have now.)
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To: glorgau
Don't worry!

We'll fight it with
EL REÑO!!

11 posted on 09/13/2004 9:52:03 PM PDT by uglybiker (Urrrrrrgh! Kerry! Baaaaaaaad!!!!!!..................Frank N. Stein)
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To: Jeremiah Jr

NOAA ANNOUNCES THE RETURN OF EL NIÑO

Noah announces the return of the Christ child.

Or a flood, as it were.

Ouch.


12 posted on 09/14/2004 12:40:34 AM PDT by Thinkin' Gal
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