Posted on 09/14/2004 7:15:44 AM PDT by tellw
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
If Western Europeans Could Vote in U.S. Presidential Election, Kerry Would Lead Bush by 6-to-1 Majority:
Less than 20 percent of adults in each of five largest countries support Bush
Rochester, N.Y. and London – 14 September, 2004 – A new survey by HI Europe conducted in the five largest European countries finds that if Europeans could vote in the U.S. elections, they would currently prefer John Kerry over George W. Bush by a massive 6-to-1 majority. However, the survey also finds that many adults (27%) in these countries are undecided about whom they would vote for.
These are the results of a five-nation survey of adults (aged 16 and over) conducted by HI Europe, based on 1,032 interviews in Great Britain, 1,011 in France, 1,056 in Germany, 1,028 in Italy, and 974 in Spain. The surveys, which were conducted online between August 11 and 17, 2004, were designed to be representative of all adults in each country.
In three countries, President Bush is supported by less than seven percent (7%) of adults. The largest majorities who choose Kerry over Bush were found in Germany (69% to 6%), France (63% to 4%) and Spain (57% to 5%).
In Italy, where Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has been a strong supporter of President Bush, Kerry has a 52 percent to 18 percent majority.
In Britain, where Prime Minister Tony Blair has been the strongest and most visible supporter of the war in Iraq, Kerry leads Bush by a more modest 36 percent to 12 percent plurality, with fully 45 percent still undecided.
Not only do most European adults prefer Kerry over Bush, they also believe (by 62% to 16%) that Kerry will defeat Bush. These results suggest that most Europeans have not been following the U.S. elections very closely, as Kerry has not enjoyed a large lead in any American poll, and most polls have shown the race to be close or have given President Bush the lead.
Methodology
This survey was conducted online by HI Europe between August 11 and 17, 2004, among the following nationwide cross sections of adults aged 16 and over: 1,032 in Great Britain; 1,011 in France; 1,056 in Germany; 1,028 in Italy and 974 in Spain. Figures for region, age, sex, education and income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.
In theory, with probability samples of these sizes, one could say with 95 percent certainty that the results in each: Great Britain, France, Germany, Spain and Italy have a statistical precision of plus or minus 3 percentage points of what they would be if the entire adult populations in those countries had been polled with complete accuracy.
Unfortunately, there are several other possible sources of error in all polls or surveys that are probably more serious than theoretical calculations of sampling error. They include refusals to be interviewed (non-response), question wording and question order, and weighting. It is impossible to quantify the errors that may result from these factors. These online samples were not probability samples.
woo-hoo!
So what? They can't vote.. End of this non-story.
Wonder how many would vote for Lenin or Marx if they were still alive...
I wonder what the percentage would be in Iran, Syria, and North Korea.
He's in good company...Reagan would have done as poorly. They hate decisive conservatives who actually accomplish something.
The Bloggers rule, and the MSM is going to knell to it soon. Life is good.
Among Al Qaeda and the Islamofascists who want to exterminate us, Kerry's lead is even higher, probably around 100%.
And if Karl Marx could vote and Mao along with all of China and North Korea and Bin Laden and all arab Muslims could vote..yadda yadda yadda...and if the Manson Family and if only Hollywood Movie stars cold vote....yadda yadda yadda...
And if my dog could vote the refrigerator and freezer wouldnt have a dog proof door on it...
And the local butcher shop would have a doggy door in back....open 24 - 7
That's because Kerry hasn't campaigned there yet.
Yes... Has John Kerry picked where he's going to run for office after his Senate career is over in 2008?
Guess what: A majority of Americans wouldn't vote for Chirac either.
Looks like Kerry's way ahead in the campaign for president of Western Europe. That's good, he's gonna need something to do after he embarrasses the Democrats with another McGovern/Dukakis style debacle in November...
Did the study of Eurinals include the influence of bribes? Did it ask how many of the people being questioned about voting in the US had even bothered to vote in recent EU elections.
2008? Senate Career? He had one of those and it's supposed to end? I thought he was on an advanced form of welfare as he she as hell hasn't gone to work.
Yeah, well there's a reason why their economies are choking on Socialism, and they're being overrun by Islamic extremists.
I think Kerry might be an improvement over Chirac. The French should go for it. The Germans, if they want a piece of him, could get his counsel during snowboarding breaks.
Europe? I, can't, quite, place it. Hmmm. Oh, of course! It's where all those cute little shops are. Disney ownes it, doesn't it?
Just like the Democrat Party!
America is a good shepherd for the flocks of European sheep threatened by the wolves of Islam.
Sheep are very stupid animals.
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