Rothenberg: Outlook for Democrats Suddenly Darkens Just About Everywhere

Roll Call ^ | 9-9-04 | Stuart Rothenberg

[The Old Hoosier]

It's a week old, but I didn't see this posted anywhere.

[finnman69]

[tdadams]

Over at the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, things have turned from bad to worse. Let me count the ways.

If I read nothing else of this article, this one line brings a smile to my face.

[Mike Fieschko]

To have any chance of retaking the House, Democrats still need a wave to develop, and in this regard they remain better positioned than the Republicans to net seats in November.

This guy forgets the expected pick up from the Texas redistricting. There will be Rs relacing Ds because of that.

[fortheDeclaration]

"Kerry is very much in the race, and events could turn sentiment quickly."

They sure like to delude themselves don't they?
Every day finds Kerry falling further behind.
He is now trying to hold unto many Gore states, which will
likely go Bush.

[CV_Gas]

I'm looking for a site or discussion with a more detailed breakdown of all the senate races (preferably the hotly contested ones). Something along the lines of Dale's Electoral College Breakdown (polls, updated predicitions). Are we going to get the sixty seats we need? Any suggestions out there?

[tdadams]

Let me mention a couple of things the author overlooked. Richard Gephardt, a repeated failure for the Democratic presidential nomination, has decided to leave politics altogether due to softening support from his home state of Missouri.

In South Dakota, long time Senator and professional class war general Tom Daschle is being outpolled by his challenger John Thune.

Terry McAuliffe is still smiling that cheesy, oblivious grin while DNC staffers have drawn the long knives on him.

[NewMediaFan]

Outlook for Democrats Suddenly Darkens Just About Everywhere

Maybe media-darling John Edwards will finally catch fire and catapult Kerry and the Dims to victory. That's what we were told anyway.

ha ha ha

[princess leah]

Who are we praying gets ousted from the senate?
Here let me list the names:

Tom Daschle - SD
Barbara Boxer - CA
Nelson - FL
Osama Murray - WA
Patrick Leahy - VT
Russ Feingold - WI
Harry Reid - NV
Barbara Murkowski - MD
Dickhead Durbin - IL?
Levin - MI (is he running this year?)
Ted Kennedy (not rerunning, but he needs to go - see GOD)

OK, maybe I don't have these all correct, but I do know that Tom Daschle is in trouble and that's a darn good start!

[centurion316]

Subscribe to the Cook Political Report. Just make sure that you up the limit on your credit card before you do. Bottom line is that information on Congressional Races is worth its weight in gold and Stu Rothenburg and Charlie Cook make very nice livings collecting all that data and selling it to many eager buyers - you're not going to find it all in one place for free.

[CV_Gas]

Unfortunately, I have to report that the state of the GOP in IL is pathetic. Our former Gov. George Ryan single handedly destroyed the entire party and the hope of any sanity returning here any time soon is remote (re: Dickhead Durbin)

[Dont_Tread_On_Me_888]

How about adding Arlen Specter and the rest of the RINOs to that list.

[Stand W]

RE: Coburn in OK,

At first it looked like Coburn would waltz pretty easily, but recent polls put them in statistical dead heat. Carson's gone negative and Coburn needs to respond.

[counterpunch]

This article seems to be something of a consulation piece.
It's as if the author is saying "now, now, its not so bad, we can still pull it out."

The fact is the prospects are far more worse for Democrats than the article lets on. This sentence struck me as particularly dishonest:

To have any chance of retaking the House, Democrats still need a wave to develop, and in this regard they remain better positioned than the Republicans to net seats in November. But a wave seems less likely today than it did four weeks ago, and honest Democrats are no longer able to talk seriously about 218 seats.

In truth, the wave is on the Republicans' side. After the Republican sweep laid dormant since its first rush in 1994, it may be returning again. This time not motivated by an agressive campaign by Newt Gingritch, but instead by America's growing concern that Democrats put politics and party over security and country.

Even if all things remain equal, It is the Republicans who are assured to pick up seats in the House, because the Democrat Gerrymandering of Texas of the '90s has been undone.

[CV_Gas]

I suspect he was a RAT in elephants clothing. Cleaned out death row by executive fiat. You'd think he was an activist judge or something.

[WoodstockCat]

"Darkens Just About Everywhere"..

Hoping for Dandy Don to pop out and sing at 9 PM on 11/2..."Turn out the lights..the party's over...!"

[counterpunch]

Another thing I forgot to mention.
The author doesn't even mention Tom Daschle's re-election woes.

[petercooper]

Barbara Murkowski - MD

Mikulski

[thingumbob]

To have any chance of retaking the House, Democrats still need a wave to develop, and in this regard they remain better positioned than the Republicans to net seats in November. But a wave seems less likely today than it did four weeks ago, and honest Democrats (is there such a thing?) are no longer able to talk seriously about 218 seats.

Recent news has also worked to the disadvantage of the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee.

Awwwww......!!! Everyone give Stu a Big BOOooooo....Hoooooo.....welcome!

[overwhelmedbylife]

Things are shaping up well. The cherry on top will be defeating Daschle.