I'm not. I don't think a 10 kiloton bomb would produce wide-spread stampeding. It would gut the center of the city (where few people usually actually live), and irradiate a minor area around that. Not to sure about the lethality of a smoke plume from a small yield weapon (i.e. the weather-blown "footprint"). It would be a gigantic problem, no doubt.
I think you are right. This is about the size of the Hiroshima/Nagasaki weapons, and note that they were *air bursts*, about 500m above the ground IIRC, for max blast effect. The effects of a ground burst would be less.
I beg to differ, if that were detonated in NYC there would indeed be panic to make 911 look like a parade.
It would gut the center of the city (where few people usually actually live), and irradiate a minor area around that.
Where millions of people work, this thing would go off mid-morning, mid week. Thousands, if not millions would be dead in the initial blast and thousands more would die due to radiation in the following couple weeks.
It would be a gigantic problem, no doubt.
Understatement of the year!
What is most disturbing in my mind is that triggering devices are designed safety in mind.
They enable the DROPPER to get far enough away NOT to be destroyed by the device..
You don't need much of a trigger if the DROPPER is willing to go up with the device..
One could trigger a nuclear event just by pushing two sub critical masses together...then boom
Looking at Hiroshima and Nagasaki, I would guess you could expect a 50% fatality rate within the blast radius.
I think a nuke in the one kiloton range in the center of a city would probably kill 50,000 or more, and another 50,000 sick or seriously injured. I don't think it would kill anywhere near a million people as an earlier poster suggested.
That being said, you misplace emphasis on the center of a city being 'where few people actually live.' It is certainly a place where many many people work, and that would be disasterous - take no solace that it isn't a residential area.
A 1 kiloton bomb detonated at Citicorp Center in NYC, for example, just before lunch hour, would leave a crater a little bigger than a city block and ignite at least once city block in each direction. If that isn't at least 50,000 dead and 50,000 injured, I don't know what is.